Week 5 Overall Rankings & Results — Half-PPR

By Red Zone Rank engine · Final board published Sun, Oct 11, 11:35 AM ET (v3) · results scored Tue, Oct 13, 5:01 AM ET

Week4 5 6

Josh Allen is our #1 overall for Week 5 in Half-PPR, ahead of Brock Purdy and Joe Burrow. The biggest riser since the last publish is Theo Johnson (#259→#258); the biggest faller is Josh Palmer (#258→#291).

Week 5 boardsQB RB WR TE Flex K DST OverallAlsoRest-of-season Overall 2026 draft Overall

Results table

Week 5 OVERALL · Half-PPR · Proj = engine median · Range = 20th–80th percentile · Opp/Total from the market as of 4:05 AM ET · Actual from final stats · Finish = actual rank on this board · Δ = actual − proj · Hit = within 6 ranks or inside the range · bye-week teams (CAR, KC) excluded
Rank	Player	Team	Opp	Proj	Actual	Finish	Δ	Hit	Note
Tier 1 · Must start
1	Josh Allen QB1 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	20.5	30.5	OVERALL4	+10.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 12.3–29.0.
Tier 2
2	Brock Purdy QB2 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	18.7	16.2	OVERALL47	-2.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 11.3–26.8.
3	Joe Burrow QB3 CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	18.4	24.6	OVERALL15	+6.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 11.1–25.8.
4	Jahmyr Gibbs RB1 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	18.2	35.2	OVERALL2	+17.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 10.5–27.5.
5	Jared Goff QB4 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	18.1	28.9	OVERALL8	+10.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 11.3–25.3.
6	Dak Prescott QB5 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	17.4	12.6	OVERALL73	-4.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 10.8–24.4.
7	Bijan Robinson RB2 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	16.9	13.8	OVERALL65	-3.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 10.0–26.0.
8	Matthew Stafford QB6 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	16.8	27.3	OVERALL10	+10.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 10.0–23.9.
9	Jacoby Brissett QB7 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	15.9	24.8	OVERALL14	+8.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 9.0–23.0.
10	Trevor Lawrence QB8 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	15.8	21.7	OVERALL22	+6.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 8.9–22.7.
11	Kyren Williams RB3 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	15.6	16.6	OVERALL45	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 9.1–24.1.
12	Deshaun Watson QB9 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	15.6	12.2	OVERALL74	-3.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 9.2–22.4.
13	C.J. Stroud QB10 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	15.6	20.9	OVERALL24	+5.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 9.4–22.4.
14	Derrick Henry RB4 BAL @ ATL	BAL	@ ATL	15.6	20.5	OVERALL25	+4.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 8.5–24.4.
15	Tyler Shough QB11 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	15.6	-0.2	OVERALL297	-15.7	Miss	P(active) 85% from the injury report; median 15.6 if he plays.
16	Drake Maye QB12 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	15.3	39.5	OVERALL1	+24.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 8.8–22.2.
17	Bo Nix QB13 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	15.2	7.9	OVERALL122	-7.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 8.6–22.2.
18	Kirk Cousins QB14 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	15.0	13.7	OVERALL66	-1.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 8.5–22.1.
19	Aaron Rodgers QB15 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	14.9	22.0	OVERALL21	+7.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 8.5–21.6.
20	Jonathan Taylor RB5 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	14.6	9.7	OVERALL98	-4.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 7.9–22.9.
21	CeeDee Lamb WR1 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	14.6	1.9	OVERALL220	-12.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 7.5–24.4.
22	Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR2 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	14.5	20.3	OVERALL27	+5.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 7.1–24.6.
23	Jalen Hurts QB16 PHI @ JAX · locked	PHI	@ JAX	14.4	13.0	OVERALL68	-1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 7.8–21.5.
24	Jordan Love QB17 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	13.9	25.3	OVERALL13	+11.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 7.7–20.2.
25	Javonte Williams RB6 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	13.4	13.2	OVERALL67	-0.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 7.2–20.9.
26	Justin Herbert QB18 LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	13.4	10.2	OVERALL92	-3.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 7.4–20.0.
27	Geno Smith QB19 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	13.4	10.0	OVERALL96	-3.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 7.6–19.5.
28	Puka Nacua WR3 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	13.4	29.2	OVERALL7	+15.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 7.1–22.8.
29	Sam Darnold QB20 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	13.3	8.3	OVERALL116	-5.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 7.3–19.8.
30	Christian McCaffrey RB7 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	13.0	15.8	OVERALL51	+2.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 6.9–21.1.
31	Cam Ward QB21 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	13.0	5.0	OVERALL159	-8.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 7.0–19.8.
32	Chris Olave WR4 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	13.0	6.6	OVERALL139	-6.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 6.8–22.4.
33	Zay Flowers WR5 BAL @ ATL · Questionable	BAL	@ ATL	12.7	10.6	OVERALL87	-2.1	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 12.7 if he plays.
34	Malik Willis QB22 MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	12.5	18.9	OVERALL33	+6.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 6.9–18.4.
35	Chase Brown RB8 CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	12.4	5.5	OVERALL151	-6.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 7.3–19.3.
36	Kyler Murray QB23 MIN @ NO	MIN	@ NO	12.2	18.3	OVERALL34	+6.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 6.7–18.2.
37	James Cook RB9 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	12.1	22.3	OVERALL20	+10.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 6.5–19.6.
38	Amon-Ra St. Brown WR6 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	12.1	9.9	OVERALL97	-2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 5.8–20.7.
39	Jaylen Warren RB10 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	11.9	33.8	OVERALL3	+21.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 7.2–18.6.
40	Daniel Jones QB24 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	11.8	11.1	OVERALL83	-0.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 6.0–18.2.
41	Nico Collins WR7 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	11.6	8.1	OVERALL119	-3.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 5.4–20.2.
42	Ashton Jeanty RB11 LV @ NE · Questionable	LV	@ NE	11.6	9.2	OVERALL101	-2.4	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 57% — median 11.6 if he plays.
43	Jameis Winston QB25 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	11.4	25.7	OVERALL12	+14.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 5.6–17.4.
44	Athan Kaliakmanis QB26 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	11.4	0.0	OVERALL255	-11.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 5.8–17.5.
45	Aaron Jones RB12 MIN @ NO	MIN	@ NO	11.3	17.2	OVERALL41	+5.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 6.5–17.9.
46	Michael Penix Jr. QB27 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	11.2	14.4	OVERALL58	+3.2	Hit	P(active) 85% from the injury report; median 11.2 if he plays.
47	D'Andre Swift RB13 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	11.1	15.3	OVERALL52	+4.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 5.9–18.2.
48	Tee Higgins WR8 CIN @ MIA · Questionable	CIN	@ MIA	11.1	3.2	OVERALL190	-7.9	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 97% — median 11.1 if he plays.
49	Michael Wilson WR9 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	10.5	5.3	OVERALL157	-5.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 5.3–18.3.
50	Trey McBride TE1 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	10.2	17.1	OVERALL42	+6.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 5.1–17.8.
51	Rhamondre Stevenson RB14 NE vs LV · Questionable	NE	vs LV	10.0	16.0	OVERALL48	+6.0	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 90% — median 10.0 if he plays.
52	Davante Adams WR10 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	9.9	19.6	OVERALL30	+9.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 4.7–18.0.
53	Brock Bowers TE2 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	9.8	19.0	OVERALL31	+9.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 4.5–17.5.
54	Drake London WR11 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	9.8	15.3	OVERALL53	+5.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 5.0–17.5.
55	Omarion Hampton RB15 LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	9.7	4.4	OVERALL171	-5.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 4.2–16.8.
56	Christian Watson WR12 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	9.6	29.3	OVERALL6	+19.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 4.4–17.3.
57	Cam Skattebo RB16 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	9.4	6.1	OVERALL143	-3.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 4.6–16.0.
58	Jalon Daniels QB28 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	9.3	13.9	OVERALL64	+4.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 2.7–17.7.
59	Bhayshul Tuten RB17 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	9.2	10.6	OVERALL88	+1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 4.2–15.9.
60	Quinshon Judkins RB18 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	9.1	6.5	OVERALL140	-2.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 4.6–15.6.
61	Brandon Aubrey K1 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	9.0	5.0	OVERALL160	-4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 4.0–14.0.
62	George Kittle TE3 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	9.0	4.9	OVERALL165	-4.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 3.8–16.4.
63	Jeremiyah Love RB19 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	8.9	2.2	OVERALL209	-6.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 4.4–15.4.
64	Ja'Marr Chase WR13 CIN @ MIA · Questionable	CIN	@ MIA	8.8	16.7	OVERALL44	+7.9	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 79% — median 8.8 if he plays.
65	Sam LaPorta TE4 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	8.8	17.3	OVERALL39	+8.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 4.1–16.3.
66	RJ Harvey RB20 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	8.8	0.7	OVERALL251	-8.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 4.1–15.2.
67	Bucky Irving RB21 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	8.6	30.5	OVERALL5	+21.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 4.5–14.9.
68	Emanuel Wilson RB22 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	8.5	12.2	OVERALL75	+3.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 3.9–14.9.
69	Tony Pollard RB23 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	8.4	5.2	OVERALL158	-3.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 4.2–14.8.
70	Carnell Tate WR14 TEN vs HOU · Questionable	TEN	vs HOU	8.4	1.1	OVERALL237	-7.3	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 8.4 if he plays.
71	Garrett Wilson WR15 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	8.3	19.9	OVERALL29	+11.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 3.6–15.8.
72	Brian Robinson RB24 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	8.0	1.6	OVERALL227	-6.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 2.9–14.2.
73	Cairo Santos K2 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	8.0	0.0	OVERALL256	-8.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
74	Jason Myers K3 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	8.0	23.0	OVERALL18	+15.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
75	Ka'imi Fairbairn K4 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	8.0	17.0	OVERALL43	+9.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
76	Eddy Pineiro K5 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	8.0	6.0	OVERALL144	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
77	Tyler Bass K6 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	8.0	13.0	OVERALL69	+5.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
78	Evan McPherson K7 CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	8.0	7.0	OVERALL129	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
79	Chad Ryland K8 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	8.0	2.0	OVERALL215	-6.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
80	Jake Bates K9 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	8.0	10.0	OVERALL93	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 4.0–14.0.
81	Will Reichard K10 MIN @ NO	MIN	@ NO	8.0	16.0	OVERALL49	+8.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
82	Cam Little K11 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	8.0	9.0	OVERALL105	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
83	Harrison Mevis K12 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	8.0	2.0	OVERALL216	-6.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
84	Spencer Shrader K13 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	8.0	21.0	OVERALL23	+13.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
85	Tyler Loop K14 BAL @ ATL	BAL	@ ATL	8.0	14.0	OVERALL63	+6.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
86	HOU D/ST DST1 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	8.0	15.0	OVERALL54	+7.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
87	MIN D/ST DST2 MIN @ NO	MIN	@ NO	8.0	11.0	OVERALL84	+3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 3.0–13.0.
88	Luther Burden III WR16 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	7.8	6.9	OVERALL135	-0.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 3.5–14.9.
89	Juwan Johnson TE5 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	7.8	3.6	OVERALL183	-4.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 3.3–14.1.
90	Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB25 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	7.5	14.2	OVERALL60	+6.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 3.2–13.7.
91	Alvin Kamara RB26 NO vs MIN · Questionable	NO	vs MIN	7.4	1.6	OVERALL228	-5.8	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 79% — median 7.4 if he plays.
92	Tyler Warren TE6 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	7.3	17.9	OVERALL37	+10.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 3.2–13.5.
93	TreVeyon Henderson RB27 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	7.3	4.3	OVERALL174	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 3.1–13.2.
94	Parker Washington WR17 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	7.3	27.4	OVERALL9	+20.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 3.1–14.3.
95	DK Metcalf WR18 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	7.2	3.8	OVERALL180	-3.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 3.1–13.9.
96	Denzel Boston WR19 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	7.2	12.1	OVERALL76	+4.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 3.0–14.6.
97	T.J. Hockenson TE7 MIN @ NO	MIN	@ NO	7.1	1.2	OVERALL235	-5.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 3.4–13.5.
98	Romeo Doubs WR20 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	7.1	2.1	OVERALL214	-5.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 2.8–14.3.
99	Nick Folk K15 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	7.0	12.0	OVERALL78	+5.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
100	Chris Boswell K16 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	7.0	13.0	OVERALL70	+6.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
101	Wil Lutz K17 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	7.0	10.0	OVERALL94	+3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
102	Jake Elliott K18 PHI @ JAX · locked	PHI	@ JAX	7.0	6.0	OVERALL145	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
103	Daniel Carlson K19 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	7.0	1.0	OVERALL242	-6.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
104	Jason Sanders K20 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	7.0	7.0	OVERALL130	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
105	Matt Gay K21 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	7.0	5.0	OVERALL161	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 4.0–12.0.
106	Chase McLaughlin K22 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	7.0	7.0	OVERALL131	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 3.0–13.0.
107	Riley Patterson K23 MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	7.0	4.0	OVERALL178	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
108	Cameron Dicker K24 LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	7.0	6.0	OVERALL146	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
109	Andre Szmyt K25 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	7.0	7.0	OVERALL132	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
110	Andy Borregales K26 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	7.0	9.0	OVERALL106	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
111	Trey Smack K27 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	7.0	3.0	OVERALL193	-4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
112	Dominic Zvada K28 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	7.0	10.0	OVERALL95	+3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 3.0–13.0.
113	Drew Stevens K29 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	7.0	8.0	OVERALL120	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
114	CIN D/ST DST3 CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	7.0	9.0	OVERALL107	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 3.0–13.0.
115	DEN D/ST DST4 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	7.0	12.0	OVERALL79	+5.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
116	JAX D/ST DST5 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	7.0	2.0	OVERALL217	-5.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 3.0–13.0.
117	Harold Fannin Jr. TE8 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	7.0	0.9	OVERALL249	-6.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 2.4–13.5.
118	Malik Nabers WR21 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	6.9	23.6	OVERALL16	+16.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 3.0–13.5.
119	Deebo Samuel Sr. WR22 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	6.8	1.5	OVERALL231	-5.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 2.8–13.4.
120	Tyson Bagent QB29 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	6.8	1.2	OVERALL236	-5.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 4.0–10.7.
121	Devaughn Vele WR23 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	6.8	4.6	OVERALL167	-2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 3.0–13.5.
122	David Montgomery RB28 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	6.8	1.1	OVERALL238	-5.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 2.5–13.0.
123	Ollie Gordon II RB29 MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	6.7	14.8	OVERALL55	+8.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 2.8–12.5.
124	Matthew Golden WR24 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	6.7	17.3	OVERALL40	+10.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 2.8–13.3.
125	Malik Washington WR25 MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	6.7	9.1	OVERALL103	+2.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 3.1–13.0.
126	Mike Gesicki TE9 CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	6.5	6.9	OVERALL136	+0.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 2.5–12.4.
127	Isaiah Likely TE10 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	6.5	26.9	OVERALL11	+20.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 3.0–12.7.
128	Jaylen Waddle WR26 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	6.5	3.8	OVERALL181	-2.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 2.8–12.8.
129	Tucker Kraft TE11 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	6.5	9.1	OVERALL104	+2.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 2.7–12.4.
130	Mike Evans WR27 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	6.4	22.8	OVERALL19	+16.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 2.7–12.9.
131	George Pickens WR28 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	6.4	23.5	OVERALL17	+17.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 2.9–12.6.
132	Jameson Williams WR29 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	6.4	17.7	OVERALL38	+11.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 3.0–12.5.
133	Wan'Dale Robinson WR30 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	6.3	8.3	OVERALL117	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 2.3–13.0.
134	Tyler Higbee TE12 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	6.3	10.8	OVERALL86	+4.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 2.7–12.1.
135	J.K. Dobbins RB30 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	6.2	14.4	OVERALL59	+8.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 3.1–11.5.
136	Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB31 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	6.2	1.6	OVERALL229	-4.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 1.7–12.4.
137	Keon Coleman WR31 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	6.1	7.2	OVERALL126	+1.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 2.6–12.4.
138	Woody Marks RB32 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	6.1	10.5	OVERALL89	+4.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 2.1–12.0.
139	Joey Slye K30 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	6.0	3.0	OVERALL194	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
140	CHI D/ST DST6 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	6.0	1.0	OVERALL243	-5.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
141	CLE D/ST DST7 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	6.0	9.0	OVERALL108	+3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
142	LAC D/ST DST8 LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	6.0	3.0	OVERALL195	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
143	LV D/ST DST9 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	6.0	-1.0	OVERALL299	-7.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0.
144	PIT D/ST DST10 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	6.0	1.0	OVERALL244	-5.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
145	SEA D/ST DST11 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	6.0	6.0	OVERALL147	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
146	WAS D/ST DST12 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	6.0	6.0	OVERALL148	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
147	Brenton Strange TE13 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	5.9	10.3	OVERALL91	+4.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 2.7–11.6.
148	Rome Odunze WR32 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	5.9	3.5	OVERALL185	-2.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 2.6–11.9.
149	Michael Mayer TE14 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	5.9	0.7	OVERALL252	-5.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 2.8–11.5.
150	Jakobi Meyers WR33 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	5.8	4.7	OVERALL166	-1.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 2.5–11.5.
151	Kalif Raymond WR34 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	5.8	1.9	OVERALL221	-3.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 2.5–11.7.
152	Josh Downs WR35 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	5.7	6.2	OVERALL142	+0.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 2.7–11.5.
153	Tre Tucker WR36 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	5.7	5.5	OVERALL152	-0.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 2.6–11.5.
154	Tyler Allgeier RB33 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	5.7	2.6	OVERALL199	-3.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 2.2–11.6.
155	Jordan Addison WR37 MIN @ NO · Questionable	MIN	@ NO	5.7	0.0	OVERALL257	-5.7	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 5.7 if he plays.
156	Braelon Allen RB34 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	5.6	18.1	OVERALL35	+12.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 2.1–11.7.
157	Roman Wilson WR38 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	5.6	0.0	OVERALL258	-5.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 2.2–11.8.
158	Cade Otton TE15 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	5.5	4.0	OVERALL179	-1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 2.6–10.6.
159	Dalton Schultz TE16 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	5.5	4.5	OVERALL169	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 2.6–10.6.
160	Dalton Kincaid TE17 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	5.4	3.2	OVERALL191	-2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 2.3–10.9.
161	Khalil Shakir WR39 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	5.3	9.5	OVERALL99	+4.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 2.4–10.5.
162	Keaton Mitchell RB35 LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	5.2	4.4	OVERALL172	-0.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 2.1–10.5.
163	Kenyon Sadiq TE18 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	5.1	-0.7	OVERALL298	-5.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 1.9–10.8.
164	MarShawn Lloyd RB36 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	5.1	16.2	OVERALL46	+11.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 2.2–10.3.
165	Blake Corum RB37 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	5.1	14.7	OVERALL57	+9.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 2.4–10.1.
166	Colston Loveland TE19 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	5.0	2.9	OVERALL197	-2.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 2.0–10.9.
167	Tre Harris WR40 LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	5.0	2.6	OVERALL200	-2.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 2.3–10.1.
168	Ty Johnson RB38 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	5.0	9.2	OVERALL102	+4.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 1.8–10.4.
169	Pat Freiermuth TE20 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	5.0	19.0	OVERALL32	+14.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 1.8–10.7.
170	ATL D/ST DST13 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	5.0	11.0	OVERALL85	+6.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
171	BAL D/ST DST14 BAL @ ATL	BAL	@ ATL	5.0	5.0	OVERALL162	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0.
172	DET D/ST DST15 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	5.0	7.0	OVERALL133	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0.
173	GB D/ST DST16 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	5.0	18.0	OVERALL36	+13.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
174	NE D/ST DST17 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	5.0	6.0	OVERALL149	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
175	NO D/ST DST18 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	5.0	12.0	OVERALL80	+7.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0.
176	NYG D/ST DST19 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	5.0	5.0	OVERALL163	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0.
177	NYJ D/ST DST20 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	5.0	16.0	OVERALL50	+11.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0.
178	Dontayvion Wicks WR41 PHI @ JAX · locked	PHI	@ JAX	5.0	8.8	OVERALL110	+3.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 2.1–10.3.
179	Mark Andrews TE21 BAL @ ATL	BAL	@ ATL	5.0	2.8	OVERALL198	-2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 2.0–10.9.
180	Kenny Gainwell RB39 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	4.9	4.3	OVERALL175	-0.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 1.8–10.3.
181	Greg Dulcich TE22 MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	4.9	7.7	OVERALL124	+2.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 1.9–10.0.
182	Chris Godwin Jr. WR42 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	4.9	5.5	OVERALL153	+0.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 1.9–10.5.
183	Isaac TeSlaa WR43 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	4.8	0.0	OVERALL259	-4.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 2.0–10.3.
184	Xavier Hutchinson WR44 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	4.8	8.5	OVERALL114	+3.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 2.1–9.9.
185	Jake Ferguson TE23 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	4.8	3.4	OVERALL187	-1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 1.4–10.6.
186	KC Concepcion WR45 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	4.8	1.0	OVERALL245	-3.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 1.9–10.1.
187	Austin Ekeler RB40 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	4.7	1.9	OVERALL222	-2.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 2.1–9.6.
188	Mike Washington Jr. RB41 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	4.7	1.5	OVERALL232	-3.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 1.5–10.5.
189	Emeka Egbuka WR46 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	4.7	14.2	OVERALL61	+9.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 1.7–10.5.
190	Ladd McConkey WR47 LAC vs DEN · Questionable	LAC	vs DEN	4.6	0.0	OVERALL260	-4.6	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 41% — median 4.6 if he plays.
191	Isaiah Williams WR48 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	4.5	2.4	OVERALL205	-2.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 1.6–10.5.
192	Tank Bigsby RB42 PHI @ JAX · locked	PHI	@ JAX	4.3	0.0	OVERALL261	-4.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 1.5–9.9.
193	Pat Bryant WR49 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	4.3	0.0	OVERALL262	-4.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 1.5–10.1.
194	Hunter Henry TE24 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	4.2	11.9	OVERALL81	+7.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 1.6–9.6.
195	Dohnte Meyers WR50 CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	4.2	2.2	OVERALL210	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 1.6–9.3.
196	DJ Moore WR51 BUF @ LA · Questionable	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	4.2	0.0	OVERALL263	-4.2	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen 11:30 ET): P(active) 70% — median 4.2 if he plays.
197	Jaylin Noel WR52 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	4.1	12.7	OVERALL71	+8.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 1.4–9.4.
198	Malachi Fields WR53 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	4.1	3.0	OVERALL196	-1.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 1.4–9.9.
199	Ryan Flournoy WR54 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	4.1	10.5	OVERALL90	+6.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 1.5–9.3.
200	Antonio Williams WR55 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	4.1	4.6	OVERALL168	+0.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 1.5–9.4.
201	Bam Knight RB43 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	4.0	0.8	OVERALL250	-3.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 1.0–9.6.
202	ARI D/ST DST21 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	4.0	-1.0	OVERALL300	-5.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 0.0–8.0.
203	BUF D/ST DST22 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	4.0	2.0	OVERALL218	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 0.0–8.0.
204	DAL D/ST DST23 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	4.0	1.0	OVERALL246	-3.0	Hit	Played: 0.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
205	IND D/ST DST24 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	4.0	0.0	OVERALL264	-4.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
206	LA D/ST DST25 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	4.0	1.0	OVERALL247	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
207	MIA D/ST DST26 MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	4.0	1.0	OVERALL248	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 1.0–8.0.
208	PHI D/ST DST27 PHI @ JAX · locked	PHI	@ JAX	4.0	5.0	OVERALL164	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 1.0–8.0.
209	TB D/ST DST28 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	4.0	7.0	OVERALL134	+3.0	Hit	Played: 1.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
210	TEN D/ST DST29 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	4.0	2.0	OVERALL219	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
211	Rashod Bateman WR56 BAL @ ATL	BAL	@ ATL	4.0	8.7	OVERALL113	+4.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 1.3–9.6.
212	Zach Ertz TE25 PHI @ JAX · locked	PHI	@ JAX	3.9	0.0	OVERALL265	-3.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 1.5–8.8.
213	Darnell Washington TE26 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	3.9	2.2	OVERALL211	-1.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 1.4–9.4.
214	Oronde Gadsden II TE27 LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	3.8	0.0	OVERALL266	-3.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 1.4–9.2.
215	Ted Hurst III WR57 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	3.8	0.0	OVERALL267	-3.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 1.2–9.6.
216	Brian Thomas Jr. WR58 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	3.7	0.0	OVERALL268	-3.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 1.3–9.2.
217	Chig Okonkwo TE28 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	3.7	8.0	OVERALL121	+4.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 1.4–8.9.
218	AJ Barner TE29 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	3.7	3.5	OVERALL186	-0.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 1.4–8.8.
219	Raheim Sanders RB44 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	3.6	1.8	OVERALL224	-1.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 1.4–8.2.
220	George Holani RB45 SEA vs SF · Questionable	SEA	vs SF	3.6	3.1	OVERALL192	-0.5	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 66% — median 3.6 if he plays.
221	Kendre Miller RB46 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	3.6	9.0	OVERALL109	+5.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 1.3–8.8.
222	Darius Cooper WR59 PHI @ JAX · locked	PHI	@ JAX	3.6	14.1	OVERALL62	+10.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 0.5–9.8.
223	Tory Horton WR60 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	3.5	0.0	OVERALL269	-3.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 0.5–9.8.
224	Courtland Sutton WR61 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	3.5	8.8	OVERALL111	+5.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 1.2–8.1.
225	Kimani Vidal RB47 LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	3.4	12.1	OVERALL77	+8.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 1.1–8.4.
226	Jaleel McLaughlin RB48 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	3.4	0.0	OVERALL270	-3.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 1.1–8.9.
227	Kayshon Boutte WR62 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	3.3	5.3	OVERALL155	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 1.2–8.0.
228	Jahan Dotson WR63 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	3.3	6.4	OVERALL141	+3.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 1.0–8.9.
229	Makai Lemon WR64 PHI @ JAX · locked	PHI	@ JAX	3.3	6.8	OVERALL138	+3.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 1.2–7.7.
230	Kyle Pitts TE30 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	3.3	12.7	OVERALL72	+9.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 1.2–7.9.
231	Kendrick Bourne WR65 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	3.3	9.5	OVERALL100	+6.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 0.9–7.7.
232	Najee Harris RB49 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	3.3	1.9	OVERALL223	-1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 1.1–7.9.
233	Samaje Perine RB50 CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	3.3	14.8	OVERALL56	+11.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 1.0–8.3.
234	Tyjae Spears RB51 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	3.3	5.3	OVERALL156	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 1.1–7.8.
235	Cooper Kupp WR66 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	3.2	2.5	OVERALL203	-0.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 1.1–8.4.
236	Elic Ayomanor WR67 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	3.2	2.2	OVERALL212	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 1.0–8.5.
237	Matthew Hibner TE31 BAL @ ATL	BAL	@ ATL	3.2	0.0	OVERALL271	-3.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 1.0–8.4.
238	Elijah Higgins TE32 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	3.1	7.2	OVERALL127	+4.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 0.9–8.4.
239	Kaelon Black RB52 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	3.1	1.6	OVERALL230	-1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 1.2–7.9.
240	Sean Tucker RB53 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	3.1	1.8	OVERALL225	-1.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 0.5–8.8.
241	Laquon Treadwell WR68 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	3.1	4.4	OVERALL173	+1.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 1.1–7.3.
242	SF D/ST DST30 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	3.0	20.0	OVERALL28	+17.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 0.0–7.0.
243	Marvin Harrison Jr. WR69 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	3.0	0.0	OVERALL272	-3.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 0.9–8.4.
244	Jerry Jeudy WR70 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	3.0	3.4	OVERALL188	+0.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 1.1–7.1.
245	Justice Hill RB54 BAL @ ATL	BAL	@ ATL	3.0	8.8	OVERALL112	+5.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 0.9–7.6.
246	Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB55 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	2.9	4.1	OVERALL177	+1.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 0.8–7.7.
247	Treylon Burks WR71 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	2.9	3.6	OVERALL184	+0.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 0.5–8.9.
248	Ray Davis RB56 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	2.9	3.8	OVERALL182	+0.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 0.9–7.5.
249	Mitchell Tinsley WR72 CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	2.9	0.0	OVERALL273	-2.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 0.9–7.6.
250	Chris Bell WR73 MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	2.9	2.6	OVERALL201	-0.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 0.9–7.1.
251	Trey Lance QB30 LAC vs DEN · Doubtful	LAC	vs DEN	2.8	0.0	OVERALL274	-2.8	Hit	Doubtful (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 0% — median 2.8 if he plays.
252	Mark Redman TE33 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	2.8	0.0	OVERALL275	-2.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 1.0–7.1.
253	Jeremy Ruckert TE34 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	2.8	0.0	OVERALL276	-2.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 0.7–7.9.
254	Rashid Shaheed WR74 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	2.8	3.3	OVERALL189	+0.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 0.7–7.1.
255	Jauan Jennings WR75 MIN @ NO	MIN	@ NO	2.7	0.0	OVERALL277	-2.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 0.5–8.2.
256	Evan Engram TE35 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	2.7	7.5	OVERALL125	+4.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 0.8–7.5.
257	Tyler Badie RB57 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	2.7	0.6	OVERALL254	-2.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 0.8–6.8.
258	Theo Johnson TE36 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	2.6	4.5	OVERALL170	+1.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 0.7–7.8.
259	Kaleb Johnson RB58 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	2.6	2.6	OVERALL202	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 0.9–7.0.
260	Kevin Austin Jr. WR76 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	2.5	0.0	OVERALL278	-2.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 0.5–7.7.
261	Konata Mumpfield WR77 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	2.5	0.0	OVERALL279	-2.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 0.5–7.7.
262	Germie Bernard WR78 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	2.5	11.4	OVERALL82	+8.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 0.5–6.9.
263	DeMario Douglas WR79 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	2.5	20.5	OVERALL26	+18.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 0.5–6.7.
264	Seth McGowan RB59 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	2.5	2.4	OVERALL206	-0.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 0.7–6.9.
265	Jonnu Smith TE37 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	2.5	0.0	OVERALL280	-2.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 0.8–6.5.
266	Cody White WR80 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	2.5	5.4	OVERALL154	+2.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 0.5–8.1.
267	Jaylen Wright RB60 MIA vs CIN · Questionable	MIA	vs CIN	2.5	1.1	OVERALL239	-1.4	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 66% — median 2.5 if he plays.
268	Ian Thomas TE38 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	2.5	1.4	OVERALL233	-1.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 0.6–7.2.
269	Josh Cameron WR81 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	2.5	5.8	OVERALL150	+3.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 0.5–8.0.
270	Jordan Watkins WR82 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	2.5	0.0	OVERALL281	-2.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 0.5–6.2.
271	Calvin Ridley WR83 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	2.5	4.3	OVERALL176	+1.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 0.7–6.1.
272	Austin Hooper TE39 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	2.5	0.0	OVERALL282	-2.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 0.7–7.7.
273	Will Shipley RB61 PHI @ JAX · locked	PHI	@ JAX	2.4	7.8	OVERALL123	+5.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 0.8–6.6.
274	Dyami Brown WR84 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	2.4	0.7	OVERALL253	-1.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 0.5–6.7.
275	Darnell Mooney WR85 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	2.4	2.4	OVERALL207	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 0.5–6.6.
276	Dawson Knox TE40 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	2.4	1.1	OVERALL240	-1.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 0.7–7.3.
277	Efton Chism III WR86 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	2.3	8.4	OVERALL115	+6.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 0.5–7.8.
278	Gunnar Helm TE41 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	2.3	0.0	OVERALL283	-2.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 0.7–6.0.
279	Sione Vaki RB62 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	2.3	1.1	OVERALL241	-1.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 0.7–6.5.
280	Jahdae Walker WR87 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	2.3	0.0	OVERALL284	-2.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 0.1–8.3.
281	Eli Raridon TE42 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	2.2	8.2	OVERALL118	+6.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 0.5–7.1.
282	Mo Alie-Cox TE43 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	2.2	2.4	OVERALL208	+0.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 0.4–7.1.
283	Tez Johnson WR88 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	2.2	6.9	OVERALL137	+4.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 0.5–6.3.
284	CJ Donaldson RB63 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	2.2	2.5	OVERALL204	+0.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 0.6–6.5.
285	Isaiah Davis RB64 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	2.2	2.2	OVERALL213	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 0.5–6.8.
286	Nate Adkins TE44 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	2.1	0.0	OVERALL285	-2.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 0.4–7.5.
287	Foster Moreau TE45 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	2.1	1.8	OVERALL226	-0.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 0.6–6.9.
288	Brandin Cooks WR89 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	2.1	7.2	OVERALL128	+5.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 0.5–6.0.
289	Jared Wayne WR90 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	2.0	0.0	OVERALL286	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 0.2–6.2.
290	Cole Kmet TE46 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	2.0	1.3	OVERALL234	-0.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 0.5–6.5.
291	Josh Palmer WR91 BUF @ LA · Out	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	0.0	0.0	OVERALL287	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen 11:30 ET) — do not start
292	Lamar Jackson QB31 BAL @ ATL · Out	BAL	@ ATL	0.0	0.0	OVERALL288	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
293	Kyle Monangai RB65 CHI @ GB · Out	CHI	@ GB	0.0	0.0	OVERALL289	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
294	Stefon Diggs WR92 WAS vs NYG · Out	WAS	vs NYG	0.0	0.0	OVERALL290	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
295	Saquon Barkley RB66 PHI @ JAX · locked	PHI	@ JAX	0.0	0.0	OVERALL291	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
296	Mack Hollins WR93 NE vs LV · Out	NE	vs LV	0.0	0.0	OVERALL292	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
297	Quentin Johnston WR94 LAC vs DEN · Out	LAC	vs DEN	0.0	0.0	OVERALL293	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
298	Michael Pittman WR95 PIT vs IND · Out	PIT	vs IND	0.0	0.0	OVERALL294	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
299	Chris Brooks RB67 GB vs CHI · Out	GB	vs CHI	0.0	0.0	OVERALL295	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
300	Jalen Nailor WR96 LV @ NE · Out	LV	@ NE	0.0	0.0	OVERALL296	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start

Showing 24 of 300 · tiers 2+ below

What the numbers say

7.0mean abs. error · Half-PPR points, top 36 · Week 4: 5.1

0.47rank correlation · Spearman, top 36

4 / 12ranked top 12 who finished top 12

53%actuals inside the 20–80 range · target 60%

This version was published after the week's first kickoff, so it is scored as a retrospective, not a forecast.

The engine's read on Week 5

Engine byline · no human author · Week 4 OVERALL accuracy: MAE 5.1, top-12 hit 1/12

Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Common questions about Week 5 OVERALL rankings

Who is the best overall to start in Week 5 Half-PPR?

Josh Allen, our OVERALL1 with a 20.5-point median; Brock Purdy is OVERALL2.

When do these rankings update?

Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.

Why is DAL D/ST still ranked after playing?

Locked players stay on the board at their actual points so ranks and flex comparisons stay complete.

How this board is built

Projectionsens-fit-2026w04-mkt-2026-w5-2026-10-06+mkt-2026-w05-2026-10-06-09

Market2026-w05-2026-10-13-08

Simulation10,000 outcomes per player

Week 4 OVERALL accuracyMAE 5.1 · top-12 hit 1/12

Rankings versionv3 · Sun, Oct 11, 11:35 AM ET

Ranks tagsunday-2026-w5-1135

Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits

More rankings

Week 5 · other positionsQuarterback Running Back Wide Receiver Tight End Flex Kicker Defense

OVERALL · other formatsWeek 5 OVERALL — PPR Week 5 OVERALL — Standard

OVERALL · other weeksWeek 4 OVERALL Week 6 OVERALL Rest-of-season Overall 2026 draft Overall

This weekWeek 5 hub Ask about this board Waiver wire Injury report

VersionsRankings v4d5ad6bc· projections ens-fit-2026w04-mkt-2026-w5-2026-10-06+mkt-2026-w05-2026-10-06-09· lines 2026-w05-2026-10-13-08· injuries 2026-10-11T15:35:27Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version