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Week 6 Running Back Rankings — PPR

Kyren Williams is our RB1 for Week 6 in PPR, ahead of Bijan Robinson and Jaylen Warren. This is the first published version of this board.

Rankings table

Week 6 RB · PPR · Proj = engine median · Range = 20th–80th percentile · Opp/Total from the market as of 2:05 PM ET · Chg since the previous publish · locked players kept at actual points · bye-week teams (CIN, DET, MIA, MIN) excluded
RankPlayerStatusTeamOppTotalProjRangeChgVerdictNote
Tier 1 · Must start
1Kyren Williams
LA vs ARI · 51.5
—LAvs ARI51.517.8—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 10.5–26.7.
2Bijan Robinson
ATL vs CHI · 52.0
—ATLvs CHI52.017.5—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 10.4–26.6.
3Jaylen Warren
PIT @ TB · 39.5
—PIT@ TB39.516.6—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 9.8–25.8.
4Derrick Henry
BAL @ CLE · 40.0
—BAL@ CLE40.016.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 9.1–24.7.
5Javonte Williams
DAL @ GB · 53.0
—DAL@ GB53.015.3—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 8.6–23.7.
6Christian McCaffrey
SF vs WAS · 51.5
—SFvs WAS (Mon)51.515.1—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 8.4–23.8.
7Jonathan Taylor
IND vs TEN · 44.5
—INDvs TEN44.514.6—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 8.2–22.9.
8James Cook
BUF @ LV · 53.5
—BUF@ LV53.514.2—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 7.9–22.4.
Tier 2 · Start
9Ashton Jeanty
LV vs BUF · 53.5
—LVvs BUF53.512.9—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 7.2–20.7.
10D'Andre Swift
CHI @ ATL · 52.0
—CHI@ ATL52.012.9—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 7.3–20.6.
11Bucky Irving
TB vs PIT · 39.5
—TBvs PIT39.512.8—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 7.3–20.0.
12Rhamondre Stevenson
NE vs NYJ · 43.5
—NEvs NYJ43.512.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 6.2–19.3.
Tier 3
13Bhayshul Tuten
JAX vs HOU · 42.5
—JAXvs HOU42.510.5—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 5.6–17.3.
14Quinshon Judkins
CLE vs BAL · 40.0
—CLEvs BAL40.010.3—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 5.4–17.1.
15Cam Skattebo
NYG vs NO · 46.0
—NYGvs NO46.09.6—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NO · 20–80 range 4.8–16.3.
16Emanuel Wilson
SEA @ DEN
—SEA@ DEN (Thu)final9.6—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DEN · 20–80 range 4.4–16.5.
17Tony Pollard
TEN @ IND · 44.5
—TEN@ IND44.59.3—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ IND · 20–80 range 5.1–15.3.
18Omarion Hampton
LAC @ KC · 41.5
—LAC@ KC41.59.2—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ KC · 20–80 range 4.2–16.1.
19Braelon Allen
NYJ @ NE · 43.5
—NYJ@ NE43.59.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 4.2–15.6.
20J.K. Dobbins
DEN vs SEA
—DENvs SEA (Thu)final8.5—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SEA · 20–80 range 4.1–14.9.
21MarShawn Lloyd
GB vs DAL · 53.0
—GBvs DAL53.08.4—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 3.2–15.3.
22RJ Harvey
DEN vs SEA
—DENvs SEA (Thu)final8.3—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SEA · 20–80 range 4.0–14.5.
23Jeremiyah Love
ARI @ LA · 51.5
—ARI@ LA51.58.2—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 4.0–14.3.
24Jacory Croskey-Merritt
WAS @ SF · 51.5
—WAS@ SF (Mon)51.58.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 3.5–14.2.
Showing 24 of 48 · tiers 3+ below

Key changes since the previous publish

First published version of this board — no changes to show yet.

The engine's read on Week 6
Engine byline · no human author · Week 5 RB accuracy: MAE 6.3, top-12 hit 7/12

Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Tiers 1–2 in depth

Kyren WilliamsRB1 · LA vs ARI
Median 17.8 · 20–80 range 10.5–26.7 · game total 51.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 10.5–26.7.
Bijan RobinsonRB2 · ATL vs CHI
Median 17.5 · 20–80 range 10.4–26.6 · game total 52.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 10.4–26.6.
Jaylen WarrenRB3 · PIT @ TB
Median 16.6 · 20–80 range 9.8–25.8 · game total 39.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 9.8–25.8.
Derrick HenryRB4 · BAL @ CLE
Median 16.0 · 20–80 range 9.1–24.7 · game total 40.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 9.1–24.7.
Javonte WilliamsRB5 · DAL @ GB
Median 15.3 · 20–80 range 8.6–23.7 · game total 53.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 8.6–23.7.
Christian McCaffreyRB6 · SF vs WAS
Median 15.1 · 20–80 range 8.4–23.8 · game total 51.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 8.4–23.8.

Common questions about Week 6 RB rankings

Who is the best running back to start in Week 6 PPR?

Kyren Williams, our RB1 with a 17.8-point median; Bijan Robinson is RB2.

When do these rankings update?

Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.

How this board is built
Projectionsens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09
Market2026-w06-2026-10-16-18
Simulation10,000 outcomes per player
Week 5 RB accuracyMAE 6.3 · top-12 hit 7/12
Rankings versionv1 · Tue, Oct 13, 5:31 AM ET
Ranks tagseed-2026-w6-20261013T0931
Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits
VersionsRankings v0850ba1e· projections ens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09· lines 2026-w06-2026-10-16-18· injuries 2026-10-15T22:45:25Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version