Kyren Williams is our RB1 for Week 6 in PPR, ahead of Bijan Robinson and Jaylen Warren. This is the first published version of this board.
Rankings table
| Rank | Player | Status | Team | Opp | Total | Proj | Range | Chg | Verdict | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 · Must start | ||||||||||
| 1 | Kyren Williams LA vs ARI · 51.5 | — | LA | vs ARI | 51.5 | 17.8 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 10.5–26.7. | |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson ATL vs CHI · 52.0 | — | ATL | vs CHI | 52.0 | 17.5 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 10.4–26.6. | |
| 3 | Jaylen Warren PIT @ TB · 39.0 | — | PIT | @ TB | 39.0 | 16.6 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 9.8–25.8. | |
| 4 | Derrick Henry BAL @ CLE · 39.5 | — | BAL | @ CLE | 39.5 | 16.0 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 9.1–24.7. | |
| 5 | Javonte Williams DAL @ GB · 53.0 | — | DAL | @ GB | 53.0 | 15.3 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 8.6–23.7. | |
| 6 | Christian McCaffrey SF vs WAS · 51.5 | — | SF | vs WAS (Mon) | 51.5 | 15.1 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 8.4–23.8. | |
| 7 | Jonathan Taylor IND vs TEN · 44.5 | — | IND | vs TEN | 44.5 | 14.6 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 8.2–22.9. | |
| 8 | James Cook BUF @ LV · 53.5 | — | BUF | @ LV | 53.5 | 14.2 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 7.9–22.4. | |
| Tier 2 · Start | ||||||||||
| 9 | Ashton Jeanty LV vs BUF · 53.5 | — | LV | vs BUF | 53.5 | 12.9 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 7.2–20.7. | |
| 10 | D'Andre Swift CHI @ ATL · 52.0 | — | CHI | @ ATL | 52.0 | 12.9 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 7.3–20.6. | |
| 11 | Bucky Irving TB vs PIT · 39.0 | — | TB | vs PIT | 39.0 | 12.8 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 7.3–20.0. | |
| 12 | Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs NYJ · 43.5 | — | NE | vs NYJ | 43.5 | 12.0 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 6.2–19.3. | |
| Tier 3 | ||||||||||
| 13 | Bhayshul Tuten JAX vs HOU · 42.5 | — | JAX | vs HOU | 42.5 | 10.5 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 5.6–17.3. | |
| 14 | Quinshon Judkins CLE vs BAL · 39.5 | — | CLE | vs BAL | 39.5 | 10.3 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 5.4–17.1. | |
| 15 | Cam Skattebo NYG vs NO · 46.0 | — | NYG | vs NO | 46.0 | 9.6 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NO · 20–80 range 4.8–16.3. | |
| 16 | Emanuel Wilson SEA @ DEN | — | SEA | @ DEN (Thu) | final | 9.6 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DEN · 20–80 range 4.4–16.5. | |
| 17 | Tony Pollard TEN @ IND · 44.5 | — | TEN | @ IND | 44.5 | 9.3 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ IND · 20–80 range 5.1–15.3. | |
| 18 | Omarion Hampton LAC @ KC · 41.5 | — | LAC | @ KC | 41.5 | 9.2 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ KC · 20–80 range 4.2–16.1. | |
| 19 | Braelon Allen NYJ @ NE · 43.5 | — | NYJ | @ NE | 43.5 | 9.0 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 4.2–15.6. | |
| 20 | J.K. Dobbins DEN vs SEA | — | DEN | vs SEA (Thu) | final | 8.5 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SEA · 20–80 range 4.1–14.9. | |
| 21 | MarShawn Lloyd GB vs DAL · 53.0 | — | GB | vs DAL | 53.0 | 8.4 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 3.2–15.3. | |
| 22 | RJ Harvey DEN vs SEA | — | DEN | vs SEA (Thu) | final | 8.3 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SEA · 20–80 range 4.0–14.5. | |
| 23 | Jeremiyah Love ARI @ LA · 51.5 | — | ARI | @ LA | 51.5 | 8.2 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 4.0–14.3. | |
| 24 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS @ SF · 51.5 | — | WAS | @ SF (Mon) | 51.5 | 8.0 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 3.5–14.2. | |
| 25 | Alvin Kamara NO @ NYG · 46.0 | — | NO | @ NYG | 46.0 | 7.9 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 3.3–14.0. | |
| 26 | Woody Marks HOU @ JAX · 42.5 | — | HOU | @ JAX | 42.5 | 7.7 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 3.2–14.3. | |
| 27 | Blake Corum LA vs ARI · 51.5 | — | LA | vs ARI | 51.5 | 7.4 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 3.1–13.9. | |
| 28 | TreVeyon Henderson NE vs NYJ · 43.5 | — | NE | vs NYJ | 43.5 | 7.2 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 3.0–12.9. | |
| 29 | Brian Robinson ATL vs CHI · 52.0 | — | ATL | vs CHI | 52.0 | 7.0 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 2.2–13.6. | |
| 30 | Ty Johnson BUF @ LV · 53.5 | — | BUF | @ LV | 53.5 | 7.0 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 2.9–12.9. | |
| 31 | Keaton Mitchell LAC @ KC · 41.5 | — | LAC | @ KC | 41.5 | 6.3 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ KC · 20–80 range 2.7–11.9. | |
| 32 | Rachaad White WAS @ SF · 51.5 | — | WAS | @ SF (Mon) | 51.5 | 6.3 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 2.7–11.9. | |
| 33 | Kenny Gainwell TB vs PIT · 39.0 | — | TB | vs PIT | 39.0 | 6.3 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 2.5–11.9. | |
| 34 | David Montgomery HOU @ JAX · 42.5 | — | HOU | @ JAX | 42.5 | 6.1 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 2.2–11.7. | |
| 35 | Tyjae Spears TEN @ IND · 44.5 | — | TEN | @ IND | 44.5 | 6.1 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ IND · 20–80 range 2.6–11.0. | |
| 36 | Tyler Allgeier ARI @ LA · 51.5 | — | ARI | @ LA | 51.5 | 6.0 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 2.4–11.5. | |
| 37 | Pierre Strong GB vs DAL · 53.0 | — | GB | vs DAL | 53.0 | 5.5 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 2.1–10.7. | |
| 38 | Kimani Vidal LAC @ KC · 41.5 | — | LAC | @ KC | 41.5 | 5.4 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ KC · 20–80 range 1.9–10.9. | |
| 39 | Justice Hill BAL @ CLE · 39.5 | — | BAL | @ CLE | 39.5 | 5.0 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 2.0–9.9. | |
| 40 | Kendre Miller NO @ NYG · 46.0 | — | NO | @ NYG | 46.0 | 5.0 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.6–10.8. | |
| 41 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX vs HOU · 42.5 | — | JAX | vs HOU | 42.5 | 4.8 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 1.5–10.6. | |
| 42 | George Holani SEA @ DEN | — | SEA | @ DEN (Thu) | final | 4.8 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DEN · 20–80 range 1.7–9.9. | |
| 43 | Austin Ekeler WAS @ SF · 51.5 | — | WAS | @ SF (Mon) | 51.5 | 4.8 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 1.8–9.8. | |
| 44 | Will Shipley PHI vs CAR · 39.0 | — | PHI | vs CAR | 39.0 | 4.4 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CAR · 20–80 range 1.3–10.0. | |
| 45 | Mike Washington Jr. LV vs BUF · 53.5 | — | LV | vs BUF | 53.5 | 4.2 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 1.5–9.7. | |
| 46 | Raheim Sanders CLE vs BAL · 39.5 | — | CLE | vs BAL | 39.5 | 4.2 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 1.5–9.0. | |
| 47 | Bam Knight ARI @ LA · 51.5 | — | ARI | @ LA | 51.5 | 3.9 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 1.2–9.1. | |
| 48 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG vs NO · 46.0 | — | NYG | vs NO | 46.0 | 3.8 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NO · 20–80 range 1.2–8.6. | |
Showing 24 of 48 · tiers 3+ below
Key changes since the previous publish
First published version of this board — no changes to show yet.
The engine's read on Week 6
Engine byline · no human author · Week 5 RB accuracy: MAE 6.3, top-12 hit 7/12
Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.
Tiers 1–2 in depth
Kyren WilliamsRB1 · LA vs ARI
Median 17.8 · 20–80 range 10.5–26.7 · game total 51.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 10.5–26.7.
Bijan RobinsonRB2 · ATL vs CHI
Median 17.5 · 20–80 range 10.4–26.6 · game total 52.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 10.4–26.6.
Jaylen WarrenRB3 · PIT @ TB
Median 16.6 · 20–80 range 9.8–25.8 · game total 39.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 9.8–25.8.
Derrick HenryRB4 · BAL @ CLE
Median 16.0 · 20–80 range 9.1–24.7 · game total 39.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 9.1–24.7.
Javonte WilliamsRB5 · DAL @ GB
Median 15.3 · 20–80 range 8.6–23.7 · game total 53.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 8.6–23.7.
Christian McCaffreyRB6 · SF vs WAS
Median 15.1 · 20–80 range 8.4–23.8 · game total 51.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 8.4–23.8.
Common questions about Week 6 RB rankings
Who is the best running back to start in Week 6 PPR?
Kyren Williams, our RB1 with a 17.8-point median; Bijan Robinson is RB2.
When do these rankings update?
Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.
How this board is built
Projectionsens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09
Market2026-w06-2026-10-16-20
Simulation10,000 outcomes per player
Week 5 RB accuracyMAE 6.3 · top-12 hit 7/12
Rankings versionv1 · Tue, Oct 13, 5:31 AM ET
Ranks tagseed-2026-w6-20261013T0931
Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits
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VersionsRankings v0850ba1e· projections ens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09· lines 2026-w06-2026-10-16-20· injuries 2026-10-15T22:45:25Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version