Week 5 Running Back Rankings & Results — PPR

By Red Zone Rank engine · Final board published Sun, Oct 11, 8:03 AM ET (v2) · results scored Tue, Oct 13, 5:01 AM ET

Week2 3 4 5 6

Jahmyr Gibbs is our RB1 for Week 5 in PPR, ahead of Bijan Robinson and Kyren Williams. The biggest riser since the last publish is Braelon Allen (RB35→RB33); the biggest faller is Kyle Monangai (RB14→RB47).

Week 5 boardsQB RB WR TE Flex K DST OverallAlsoRest-of-season Running Back 2026 draft RB

Results table

Week 5 RB · PPR · Proj = engine median · Range = 20th–80th percentile · Opp/Total from the market as of 4:05 AM ET · Actual from final stats · Finish = actual rank on this board · Δ = actual − proj · Hit = within 6 ranks or inside the range · bye-week teams (CAR, KC) excluded
Rank	Player	Team	Opp	Proj	Actual	Finish	Δ	Hit	Note
Tier 1 · Must start
1	Jahmyr Gibbs DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	20.1	37.7	RB1	+17.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 11.9–30.2.
Tier 2 · Start
2	Bijan Robinson ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	18.5	15.8	RB14	-2.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 11.2–27.9.
3	Kyren Williams LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	17.9	19.6	RB6	+1.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 10.7–26.9.
Tier 3 · Start
4	Derrick Henry BAL @ ATL	BAL	@ ATL	16.3	21.0	RB5	+4.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 9.1–25.3.
5	Jonathan Taylor IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	15.8	11.2	RB22	-4.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 8.9–24.4.
6	Christian McCaffrey SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	15.1	17.3	RB10	+2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 8.4–23.8.
7	Javonte Williams DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	14.9	14.2	RB17	-0.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 8.4–22.8.
8	Chase Brown CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	14.7	7.0	RB28	-7.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 8.9–22.2.
Tier 4
9	Ashton Jeanty LV @ NE · Questionable	LV	@ NE	13.4	10.7	RB24	-2.7	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 57% — median 13.4 if he plays.
10	Jaylen Warren PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	13.3	36.8	RB2	+23.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 8.1–20.5.
11	James Cook BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	12.8	22.8	RB4	+10.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 7.1–20.5.
12	Aaron Jones MIN @ NO	MIN	@ NO	12.6	18.7	RB7	+6.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 7.3–19.6.
13	D'Andre Swift CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	12.1	17.3	RB11	+5.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 6.6–19.6.
14	Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs LV · Questionable	NE	vs LV	11.4	17.5	RB9	+6.1	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 90% — median 11.4 if he plays.
15	RJ Harvey DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	11.0	0.7	RB45	-10.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 5.5–18.4.
16	Quinshon Judkins CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	10.7	8.0	RB26	-2.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 5.6–17.8.
17	Omarion Hampton LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	10.5	4.9	RB33	-5.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 4.9–17.9.
18	Cam Skattebo NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	10.4	7.1	RB27	-3.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 5.3–17.3.
19	Jeremiyah Love ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	10.1	2.2	RB39	-7.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 5.1–16.9.
20	Bhayshul Tuten JAX vs PHI	JAX	vs PHI	9.9	11.6	RB21	+1.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 4.7–16.9.
21	Bucky Irving TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	9.8	31.5	RB3	+21.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 5.2–16.5.
22	Tony Pollard TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	9.6	5.2	RB31	-4.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 4.9–16.2.
23	Emanuel Wilson SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	9.2	13.2	RB19	+4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 4.2–15.8.
24	Alvin Kamara NO vs MIN · Questionable	NO	vs MIN	8.7	2.6	RB36	-6.1	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 79% — median 8.7 if he plays.
25	Brian Robinson ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	8.3	1.6	RB42	-6.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 3.2–14.8.
26	Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	8.2	14.2	RB18	+6.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 3.5–14.5.
27	TreVeyon Henderson NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	7.7	4.8	RB34	-2.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 3.3–13.8.
28	Ollie Gordon II MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	7.6	14.8	RB16	+7.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 3.3–13.5.
29	David Montgomery HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	7.4	1.1	RB43	-6.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 2.9–14.0.
30	Woody Marks HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	7.0	12.5	RB20	+5.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 2.6–13.1.
31	Tyler Allgeier ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	6.9	3.6	RB35	-3.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 2.7–13.0.
32	J.K. Dobbins DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	6.8	15.4	RB15	+8.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 3.4–12.3.
33	Braelon Allen NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	6.5	18.6	RB8	+12.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 2.5–12.8.
34	Keaton Mitchell LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	6.4	5.9	RB29	-0.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 2.7–11.9.
35	Kenny Gainwell TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	6.4	5.8	RB30	-0.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 2.5–12.0.
36	Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX vs PHI	JAX	vs PHI	6.4	2.1	RB40	-4.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 1.8–12.7.
37	MarShawn Lloyd GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	6.4	16.7	RB12	+10.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 2.8–11.8.
38	Ty Johnson BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	6.3	11.2	RB23	+4.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 2.4–11.9.
39	Austin Ekeler WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	5.8	2.4	RB37	-3.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 2.6–10.8.
40	Blake Corum LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	5.7	16.2	RB13	+10.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 2.7–10.8.
41	Mike Washington Jr. LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	5.3	2.0	RB41	-3.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 1.7–11.1.
42	Tank Bigsby PHI @ JAX	PHI	@ JAX	4.9	0.0	RB46	-4.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 1.7–10.6.
43	Bam Knight ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	4.9	0.8	RB44	-4.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 1.2–10.5.
44	Raheim Sanders CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	4.7	2.3	RB38	-2.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 1.9–9.6.
45	George Holani SEA vs SF · Questionable	SEA	vs SF	4.5	5.1	RB32	+0.6	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 66% — median 4.5 if he plays.
46	Kendre Miller NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	4.4	9.0	RB25	+4.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 1.5–9.6.
47	Kyle Monangai CHI @ GB · Out	CHI	@ GB	0.0	0.0	RB47	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
48	Saquon Barkley PHI @ JAX · Out	PHI	@ JAX	0.0	0.0	RB48	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start

Showing 24 of 48 · tiers 4+ below

What the numbers say

6.3mean abs. error · PPR points, top 36 · Week 4: 6.7

0.49rank correlation · Spearman, top 36

7 / 12ranked top 12 who finished top 12

64%actuals inside the 20–80 range · target 60%

This version was published after the week's first kickoff, so it is scored as a retrospective, not a forecast.

The engine's read on Week 5

Engine byline · no human author · Week 4 RB accuracy: MAE 6.7, top-12 hit 5/12

Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Common questions about Week 5 RB rankings

Who is the best running back to start in Week 5 PPR?

Jahmyr Gibbs, our RB1 with a 20.1-point median; Bijan Robinson is RB2.

When do these rankings update?

Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.

How this board is built

Projectionsens-fit-2026w04-mkt-2026-w5-2026-10-06+mkt-2026-w05-2026-10-06-09

Market2026-w05-2026-10-13-08

Simulation10,000 outcomes per player

Week 4 RB accuracyMAE 6.7 · top-12 hit 5/12

Rankings versionv2 · Sun, Oct 11, 8:03 AM ET

Ranks tagsunday-2026-w5-0803

Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits

More rankings

Week 5 · other positionsQuarterback Wide Receiver Tight End Flex Kicker Defense Overall

RB · other formatsWeek 5 RB — Half-PPR Week 5 RB — Standard

RB · other weeksWeek 2 RB Week 3 RB Week 4 RB Week 6 RB Rest-of-season Running Back 2026 draft RB

This weekWeek 5 hub Ask about this board Waiver wire Injury report

VersionsRankings v4d5ad6bc· projections ens-fit-2026w04-mkt-2026-w5-2026-10-06+mkt-2026-w05-2026-10-06-09· lines 2026-w05-2026-10-13-08· injuries 2026-10-11T15:35:27Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version