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Week 6 Flex Rankings — PPR

Puka Nacua is our Flex #1 for Week 6 in PPR, ahead of Kyren Williams and Jaxon Smith-Njigba. This is the first published version of this board.

Rankings table

Week 6 FLEX · PPR · Proj = engine median · Range = 20th–80th percentile · Opp/Total from the market as of 1:05 PM ET · Chg since the previous publish · locked players kept at actual points · bye-week teams (CIN, DET, MIA, MIN) excluded
RankPlayerStatusTeamOppTotalProjRangeChgVerdictNote
Tier 1 · Must start
1Puka Nacua WR1
LA vs ARI · 51.5
—LAvs ARI51.519.9—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 11.3–32.2.
Tier 2
2Kyren Williams RB1
LA vs ARI · 51.5
—LAvs ARI51.517.8—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 10.5–26.7.
3Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR2
SEA @ DEN
—SEA@ DEN (Thu)final17.6—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DEN · 20–80 range 9.3–28.8.
4Bijan Robinson RB2
ATL vs CHI · 52.0
—ATLvs CHI52.017.5—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 10.4–26.6.
5Jaylen Warren RB3
PIT @ TB · 39.5
—PIT@ TB39.516.6—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 9.8–25.8.
6Derrick Henry RB4
BAL @ CLE · 40.5
—BAL@ CLE40.516.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 9.1–24.7.
7Javonte Williams RB5
DAL @ GB · 53.0
—DAL@ GB53.015.3—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 8.6–23.7.
8Christian Watson WR3
GB vs DAL · 53.0
—GBvs DAL53.015.1—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 7.4–25.1.
9Christian McCaffrey RB6
SF vs WAS · 51.5
—SFvs WAS (Mon)51.515.1—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 8.4–23.8.
10CeeDee Lamb WR4
DAL @ GB · 53.0
—DAL@ GB53.014.6—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 7.8–24.0.
11Jonathan Taylor RB7
IND vs TEN · 44.5
—INDvs TEN44.514.6—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 8.2–22.9.
12Zay Flowers WR5
BAL @ CLE · 40.5
—BAL@ CLE40.514.5—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 7.7–24.1.
13James Cook RB8
BUF @ LV · 53.5
—BUF@ LV53.514.2—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 7.9–22.4.
14Brock Bowers TE1
LV vs BUF · 53.5
—LVvs BUF53.514.1—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 7.1–23.7.
15Chris Olave WR6
NO @ NYG · 46.0
—NO@ NYG46.014.1—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 7.6–23.7.
16Drake London WR7
ATL vs CHI · 52.0
—ATLvs CHI52.013.4—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 7.1–22.6.
17Davante Adams WR8
LA vs ARI · 51.5
—LAvs ARI51.513.2—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 6.3–22.5.
18Ashton Jeanty RB9
LV vs BUF · 53.5
—LVvs BUF53.512.9—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 7.2–20.7.
19D'Andre Swift RB10
CHI @ ATL · 52.0
—CHI@ ATL52.012.9—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 7.3–20.6.
20Bucky Irving RB11
TB vs PIT · 39.5
—TBvs PIT39.512.8—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 7.3–20.0.
21Malik Nabers WR9
NYG vs NO · 46.0
—NYGvs NO46.012.6—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NO · 20–80 range 6.5–21.0.
22Garrett Wilson WR10
NYJ @ NE · 43.5
—NYJ@ NE43.512.5—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 6.4–21.0.
23Trey McBride TE2
ARI @ LA · 51.5
—ARI@ LA51.512.5—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 6.5–20.9.
24Nico Collins WR11
HOU @ JAX · 42.5
—HOU@ JAX42.512.3—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 6.3–21.0.
Showing 24 of 96 · tiers 2+ below

Key changes since the previous publish

First published version of this board — no changes to show yet.

The engine's read on Week 6
Engine byline · no human author · Week 5 FLEX accuracy: MAE 7.9, top-12 hit 2/12

Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Tiers 1–2 in depth

Puka NacuaWR1 · LA vs ARI
Median 19.9 · 20–80 range 11.3–32.2 · game total 51.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 11.3–32.2.
Kyren WilliamsRB1 · LA vs ARI
Median 17.8 · 20–80 range 10.5–26.7 · game total 51.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 10.5–26.7.
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR2 · SEA @ DEN
Median 17.6 · 20–80 range 9.3–28.8. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DEN · 20–80 range 9.3–28.8.
Bijan RobinsonRB2 · ATL vs CHI
Median 17.5 · 20–80 range 10.4–26.6 · game total 52.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 10.4–26.6.
Jaylen WarrenRB3 · PIT @ TB
Median 16.6 · 20–80 range 9.8–25.8 · game total 39.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 9.8–25.8.
Derrick HenryRB4 · BAL @ CLE
Median 16.0 · 20–80 range 9.1–24.7 · game total 40.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 9.1–24.7.

Common questions about Week 6 FLEX rankings

Who is the best flex to start in Week 6 PPR?

Puka Nacua, our FLEX1 with a 19.9-point median; Kyren Williams is FLEX2.

When do these rankings update?

Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.

How this board is built
Projectionsens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09
Market2026-w06-2026-10-16-17
Simulation10,000 outcomes per player
Week 5 FLEX accuracyMAE 7.9 · top-12 hit 2/12
Rankings versionv1 · Tue, Oct 13, 5:31 AM ET
Ranks tagseed-2026-w6-20261013T0931
Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits
VersionsRankings v0850ba1e· projections ens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09· lines 2026-w06-2026-10-16-17· injuries 2026-10-15T22:45:25Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version