Jahmyr Gibbs is our Flex #1 for Week 5 in PPR, ahead of Bijan Robinson and CeeDee Lamb. The biggest riser since the last publish is Ollie Gordon II (#80→#77); the biggest faller is Kyle Monangai (#28→#94).
Results table
| Rank | Player | Team | Opp | Proj | Range | Actual | Finish | Δ | Hit | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 · Must start | ||||||||||
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs RB1 DET @ ARI | DET | @ ARI | 20.1 | 37.7 | FLEX1 | +17.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 11.9–30.2. | |
| Tier 2 | ||||||||||
| 2 | Bijan Robinson RB2 ATL vs BAL | ATL | vs BAL | 18.5 | 15.8 | FLEX30 | -2.7 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 11.2–27.9. | |
| 3 | CeeDee Lamb WR1 DAL vs TB · locked | DAL | vs TB (Thu) | 18.3 | 2.9 | FLEX79 | -15.4 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 9.8–29.4. | |
| 4 | Kyren Williams RB3 LA vs BUF | LA | vs BUF (Mon) | 17.9 | 19.6 | FLEX23 | +1.8 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 10.7–26.9. | |
| 5 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR2 SEA vs SF | SEA | vs SF | 17.8 | 22.8 | FLEX13 | +5.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 9.3–29.1. | |
| 6 | Puka Nacua WR3 LA vs BUF | LA | vs BUF (Mon) | 16.8 | 37.7 | FLEX2 | +20.9 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 9.2–27.5. | |
| 7 | Chris Olave WR4 NO vs MIN | NO | vs MIN | 16.5 | 8.6 | FLEX51 | -7.9 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 9.1–27.3. | |
| 8 | Derrick Henry RB4 BAL @ ATL | BAL | @ ATL | 16.3 | 21.0 | FLEX19 | +4.7 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 9.1–25.3. | |
| 9 | Jonathan Taylor RB5 IND @ PIT | IND | @ PIT | 15.8 | 11.2 | FLEX46 | -4.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 8.9–24.4. | |
| 10 | Zay Flowers WR5 BAL @ ATL · Questionable | BAL | @ ATL | 15.3 | 14.6 | FLEX33 | -0.7 | Hit | Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 15.3 if he plays. | |
| 11 | Amon-Ra St. Brown WR6 DET @ ARI | DET | @ ARI | 15.2 | 12.9 | FLEX40 | -2.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 7.9–24.9. | |
| 12 | Christian McCaffrey RB6 SF @ SEA | SF | @ SEA | 15.1 | 17.3 | FLEX28 | +2.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 8.4–23.8. | |
| 13 | Javonte Williams RB7 DAL vs TB · locked | DAL | vs TB (Thu) | 14.9 | 14.2 | FLEX34 | -0.7 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 8.4–22.8. | |
| 14 | Chase Brown RB8 CIN @ MIA | CIN | @ MIA | 14.7 | 7.0 | FLEX60 | -7.7 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 8.9–22.2. | |
| 15 | Nico Collins WR7 HOU @ TEN | HOU | @ TEN | 13.9 | 10.6 | FLEX49 | -3.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 7.0–23.5. | |
| 16 | Trey McBride TE1 ARI vs DET | ARI | vs DET | 13.8 | 21.6 | FLEX16 | +7.8 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 7.5–22.9. | |
| 17 | Tee Higgins WR8 CIN @ MIA · Questionable | CIN | @ MIA | 13.8 | 4.2 | FLEX74 | -9.6 | Miss | Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 97% — median 13.8 if he plays. | |
| 18 | Ashton Jeanty RB9 LV @ NE · Questionable | LV | @ NE | 13.4 | 10.7 | FLEX48 | -2.7 | Hit | Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 57% — median 13.4 if he plays. | |
| 19 | Jaylen Warren RB10 PIT vs IND | PIT | vs IND | 13.3 | 36.8 | FLEX3 | +23.5 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 8.1–20.5. | |
| 20 | Michael Wilson WR9 ARI vs DET | ARI | vs DET | 13.3 | 7.3 | FLEX58 | -6.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 7.1–22.2. | |
| 21 | James Cook RB11 BUF @ LA | BUF | @ LA (Mon) | 12.8 | 22.8 | FLEX14 | +10.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 7.1–20.5. | |
| 22 | Aaron Jones RB12 MIN @ NO | MIN | @ NO | 12.6 | 18.7 | FLEX25 | +6.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 7.3–19.6. | |
| 23 | Brock Bowers TE2 LV @ NE | LV | @ NE | 12.4 | 23.0 | FLEX12 | +10.6 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 6.2–21.2. | |
| 24 | Davante Adams WR10 LA vs BUF | LA | vs BUF (Mon) | 12.2 | 22.1 | FLEX15 | +10.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 6.0–21.3. | |
| 25 | D'Andre Swift RB13 CHI @ GB | CHI | @ GB | 12.1 | 17.3 | FLEX29 | +5.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 6.6–19.6. | |
| 26 | Drake London WR11 ATL vs BAL | ATL | vs BAL | 12.1 | 18.8 | FLEX24 | +6.7 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 6.4–20.9. | |
| 27 | Christian Watson WR12 GB vs CHI | GB | vs CHI | 11.6 | 32.3 | FLEX5 | +20.7 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 5.6–20.1. | |
| 28 | Rhamondre Stevenson RB14 NE vs LV · Questionable | NE | vs LV | 11.4 | 17.5 | FLEX27 | +6.1 | Hit | Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 90% — median 11.4 if he plays. | |
| 29 | Sam LaPorta TE3 DET @ ARI | DET | @ ARI | 11.3 | 19.8 | FLEX21 | +8.5 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 5.7–19.9. | |
| 30 | Ja'Marr Chase WR13 CIN @ MIA · Questionable | CIN | @ MIA | 11.2 | 19.7 | FLEX22 | +8.5 | Hit | Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 79% — median 11.2 if he plays. | |
| 31 | George Kittle TE4 SF @ SEA | SF | @ SEA | 11.0 | 7.4 | FLEX56 | -3.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 5.2–19.3. | |
| 32 | RJ Harvey RB15 DEN @ LAC | DEN | @ LAC | 11.0 | 0.7 | FLEX90 | -10.3 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 5.5–18.4. | |
| 33 | Carnell Tate WR14 TEN vs HOU · Questionable | TEN | vs HOU | 10.9 | 1.6 | FLEX85 | -9.3 | Miss | Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 10.9 if he plays. | |
| 34 | Quinshon Judkins RB16 CLE @ NYJ | CLE | @ NYJ | 10.7 | 8.0 | FLEX52 | -2.7 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 5.6–17.8. | |
| 35 | Garrett Wilson WR15 NYJ vs CLE | NYJ | vs CLE | 10.7 | 23.4 | FLEX11 | +12.7 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 5.0–19.2. | |
| 36 | Omarion Hampton RB17 LAC vs DEN | LAC | vs DEN | 10.5 | 4.9 | FLEX70 | -5.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 4.9–17.9. | |
| 37 | Cam Skattebo RB18 NYG @ WAS | NYG | @ WAS | 10.4 | 7.1 | FLEX59 | -3.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 5.3–17.3. | |
| 38 | Jeremiyah Love RB19 ARI vs DET | ARI | vs DET | 10.1 | 2.2 | FLEX83 | -7.9 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 5.1–16.9. | |
| 39 | Luther Burden III WR16 CHI @ GB | CHI | @ GB | 10.0 | 8.9 | FLEX50 | -1.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 4.7–18.0. | |
| 40 | Bhayshul Tuten RB20 JAX vs PHI | JAX | vs PHI | 9.9 | 11.6 | FLEX43 | +1.7 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 4.7–16.9. | |
| 41 | Juwan Johnson TE5 NO vs MIN | NO | vs MIN | 9.9 | 5.6 | FLEX65 | -4.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 4.6–17.2. | |
| 42 | Bucky Irving RB21 TB @ DAL · locked | TB | @ DAL (Thu) | 9.8 | 31.5 | FLEX6 | +21.7 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 5.2–16.5. | |
| 43 | Tyler Warren TE6 IND @ PIT | IND | @ PIT | 9.8 | 21.4 | FLEX18 | +11.6 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 4.8–16.9. | |
| 44 | T.J. Hockenson TE7 MIN @ NO | MIN | @ NO | 9.7 | 1.7 | FLEX84 | -8.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 4.9–17.1. | |
| 45 | Tony Pollard RB22 TEN vs HOU | TEN | vs HOU | 9.6 | 5.2 | FLEX68 | -4.4 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 4.9–16.2. | |
| 46 | Parker Washington WR17 JAX vs PHI | JAX | vs PHI | 9.2 | 30.4 | FLEX7 | +21.2 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 4.2–16.9. | |
| 47 | Emanuel Wilson RB23 SEA vs SF | SEA | vs SF | 9.2 | 13.2 | FLEX39 | +4.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 4.2–15.8. | |
| 48 | DK Metcalf WR18 PIT vs IND | PIT | vs IND | 9.1 | 5.3 | FLEX67 | -3.8 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 4.1–16.7. | |
| 49 | Devaughn Vele WR19 NO vs MIN | NO | vs MIN | 9.0 | 6.6 | FLEX62 | -2.4 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 4.1–16.4. | |
| 50 | Malik Nabers WR20 NYG @ WAS | NYG | @ WAS | 8.9 | 29.1 | FLEX8 | +20.2 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 4.1–16.3. | |
| 51 | Isaiah Likely TE8 NYG @ WAS | NYG | @ WAS | 8.8 | 32.4 | FLEX4 | +23.6 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 4.3–15.7. | |
| 52 | Alvin Kamara RB24 NO vs MIN · Questionable | NO | vs MIN | 8.7 | 2.6 | FLEX80 | -6.1 | Miss | Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 79% — median 8.7 if he plays. | |
| 53 | Romeo Doubs WR21 NE vs LV | NE | vs LV | 8.7 | 2.6 | FLEX81 | -6.1 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 3.7–16.6. | |
| 54 | Harold Fannin Jr. TE9 CLE @ NYJ | CLE | @ NYJ | 8.7 | 1.4 | FLEX87 | -7.3 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 3.6–16.1. | |
| 55 | Malik Washington WR22 MIA vs CIN | MIA | vs CIN | 8.7 | 12.1 | FLEX42 | +3.4 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 4.2–16.0. | |
| 56 | Denzel Boston WR23 CLE @ NYJ | CLE | @ NYJ | 8.7 | 13.6 | FLEX37 | +4.9 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 3.8–16.9. | |
| 57 | Deebo Samuel Sr. WR24 SF @ SEA | SF | @ SEA | 8.5 | 2.5 | FLEX82 | -6.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 3.7–15.5. | |
| 58 | Wan'Dale Robinson WR25 TEN vs HOU | TEN | vs HOU | 8.5 | 11.3 | FLEX45 | +2.8 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 3.4–15.9. | |
| 59 | Matthew Golden WR26 GB vs CHI | GB | vs CHI | 8.5 | 20.3 | FLEX20 | +11.8 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 3.7–15.8. | |
| 60 | Tucker Kraft TE10 GB vs CHI | GB | vs CHI | 8.3 | 11.6 | FLEX44 | +3.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 3.7–15.0. | |
| 61 | Brian Robinson RB25 ATL vs BAL | ATL | vs BAL | 8.3 | 1.6 | FLEX86 | -6.8 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 3.2–14.8. | |
| 62 | Jaylen Waddle WR27 DEN @ LAC | DEN | @ LAC | 8.3 | 4.8 | FLEX71 | -3.5 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 3.7–15.4. | |
| 63 | Mike Evans WR28 SF @ SEA | SF | @ SEA | 8.3 | 26.3 | FLEX10 | +18.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 3.6–15.5. | |
| 64 | Tyler Higbee TE11 LA vs BUF | LA | vs BUF (Mon) | 8.3 | 13.3 | FLEX38 | +5.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 3.7–14.9. | |
| 65 | George Pickens WR29 DAL vs TB · locked | DAL | vs TB (Thu) | 8.3 | 28.0 | FLEX9 | +19.8 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 3.9–15.3. | |
| 66 | Jameson Williams WR30 DET @ ARI | DET | @ ARI | 8.2 | 18.7 | FLEX26 | +10.5 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 3.9–15.1. | |
| 67 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB26 WAS vs NYG | WAS | vs NYG | 8.2 | 14.2 | FLEX35 | +6.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 3.5–14.5. | |
| 68 | Michael Mayer TE12 LV @ NE | LV | @ NE | 8.1 | 1.2 | FLEX88 | -6.9 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 4.0–14.6. | |
| 69 | Mike Gesicki TE13 CIN @ MIA | CIN | @ MIA | 8.0 | 7.4 | FLEX57 | -0.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 3.4–14.5. | |
| 70 | Brenton Strange TE14 JAX vs PHI | JAX | vs PHI | 7.8 | 13.8 | FLEX36 | +6.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 3.7–14.2. | |
| 71 | Keon Coleman WR31 BUF @ LA | BUF | @ LA (Mon) | 7.8 | 7.7 | FLEX53 | 0.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 3.4–14.6. | |
| 72 | TreVeyon Henderson RB27 NE vs LV | NE | vs LV | 7.7 | 4.8 | FLEX72 | -2.9 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 3.3–13.8. | |
| 73 | Kalif Raymond WR32 CHI @ GB | CHI | @ GB | 7.7 | 3.4 | FLEX78 | -4.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 3.5–14.3. | |
| 74 | Jakobi Meyers WR33 JAX vs PHI | JAX | vs PHI | 7.7 | 5.7 | FLEX64 | -2.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 3.4–14.1. | |
| 75 | Josh Downs WR34 IND @ PIT | IND | @ PIT | 7.6 | 7.7 | FLEX54 | +0.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 3.6–14.2. | |
| 76 | Rome Odunze WR35 CHI @ GB | CHI | @ GB | 7.6 | 5.0 | FLEX69 | -2.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 3.4–14.2. | |
| 77 | Ollie Gordon II RB28 MIA vs CIN | MIA | vs CIN | 7.6 | 14.8 | FLEX32 | +7.2 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 3.3–13.5. | |
| 78 | Dalton Schultz TE15 HOU @ TEN | HOU | @ TEN | 7.5 | 6.0 | FLEX63 | -1.5 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 3.7–13.4. | |
| 79 | Cade Otton TE16 TB @ DAL · locked | TB | @ DAL (Thu) | 7.5 | 5.5 | FLEX66 | -2.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 3.6–13.3. | |
| 80 | David Montgomery RB29 HOU @ TEN | HOU | @ TEN | 7.4 | 1.1 | FLEX89 | -6.3 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 2.9–14.0. | |
| 81 | Tre Tucker WR36 LV @ NE | LV | @ NE | 7.4 | 7.5 | FLEX55 | +0.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 3.4–13.8. | |
| 82 | Khalil Shakir WR37 BUF @ LA | BUF | @ LA (Mon) | 7.3 | 11.0 | FLEX47 | +3.7 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 3.4–13.3. | |
| 83 | Roman Wilson WR38 PIT vs IND | PIT | vs IND | 7.1 | 0.0 | FLEX92 | -7.1 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 2.9–13.7. | |
| 84 | Mark Andrews TE17 BAL @ ATL | BAL | @ ATL | 7.1 | 4.8 | FLEX73 | -2.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 3.0–13.7. | |
| 85 | Jordan Addison WR39 MIN @ NO · Questionable | MIN | @ NO | 7.0 | 0.0 | FLEX93 | -7.0 | Miss | Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 7.0 if he plays. | |
| 86 | Colston Loveland TE18 CHI @ GB | CHI | @ GB | 7.0 | 3.9 | FLEX75 | -3.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 2.9–13.5. | |
| 87 | Woody Marks RB30 HOU @ TEN | HOU | @ TEN | 7.0 | 12.5 | FLEX41 | +5.5 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 2.6–13.1. | |
| 88 | Tyler Allgeier RB31 ARI vs DET | ARI | vs DET | 6.9 | 3.6 | FLEX77 | -3.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 2.7–13.0. | |
| 89 | Dalton Kincaid TE19 BUF @ LA | BUF | @ LA (Mon) | 6.8 | 3.7 | FLEX76 | -3.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 3.0–12.9. | |
| 90 | J.K. Dobbins RB32 DEN @ LAC | DEN | @ LAC | 6.8 | 15.4 | FLEX31 | +8.6 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 3.4–12.3. | |
| 91 | Kenyon Sadiq TE20 NYJ vs CLE | NYJ | vs CLE | 6.8 | 0.3 | FLEX91 | -6.5 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 2.6–13.0. | |
| 92 | Chris Godwin Jr. WR40 TB @ DAL · locked | TB | @ DAL (Thu) | 6.8 | 7.0 | FLEX61 | +0.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 2.9–13.1. | |
| 93 | Pat Freiermuth TE21 PIT vs IND | PIT | vs IND | 6.8 | 21.5 | FLEX17 | +14.8 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 2.7–13.0. | |
| 94 | Kyle Monangai RB33 CHI @ GB · Out | CHI | @ GB | 0.0 | 0.0 | FLEX94 | 0.0 | Hit | Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start | |
| 95 | Stefon Diggs WR41 WAS vs NYG · Out | WAS | vs NYG | 0.0 | 0.0 | FLEX95 | 0.0 | Hit | Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start | |
| 96 | Mack Hollins WR42 NE vs LV · Out | NE | vs LV | 0.0 | 0.0 | FLEX96 | 0.0 | Hit | Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start | |
Showing 24 of 96 · tiers 2+ below
What the numbers say
7.9mean abs. error · PPR points, top 36 · Week 4: 7.5
0.15rank correlation · Spearman, top 36
2 / 12ranked top 12 who finished top 12
61%actuals inside the 20–80 range · target 60%
This version was published after the week's first kickoff, so it is scored as a retrospective, not a forecast.
The engine's read on Week 5
Engine byline · no human author · Week 4 FLEX accuracy: MAE 7.5, top-12 hit 4/12
Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.
Common questions about Week 5 FLEX rankings
Who is the best flex to start in Week 5 PPR?
Jahmyr Gibbs, our FLEX1 with a 20.1-point median; Bijan Robinson is FLEX2.
When do these rankings update?
Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.
How this board is built
Projectionsens-fit-2026w04-mkt-2026-w5-2026-10-06+mkt-2026-w05-2026-10-06-09
Market2026-w05-2026-10-13-08
Simulation10,000 outcomes per player
Week 4 FLEX accuracyMAE 7.5 · top-12 hit 4/12
Rankings versionv2 · Sun, Oct 11, 8:03 AM ET
Ranks tagsunday-2026-w5-0803
Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits
More rankings
VersionsRankings v4d5ad6bc· projections ens-fit-2026w04-mkt-2026-w5-2026-10-06+mkt-2026-w05-2026-10-06-09· lines 2026-w05-2026-10-13-08· injuries 2026-10-11T15:35:27Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version