Week 5 Flex Rankings & Results — Standard

By Red Zone Rank engine · Final board published Sun, Oct 11, 8:03 AM ET (v2) · results scored Tue, Oct 13, 5:01 AM ET

Week4 5 6

Jahmyr Gibbs is our Flex #1 for Week 5 in Standard, ahead of Bijan Robinson and Derrick Henry. The biggest riser since the last publish is Tre Tucker (#87→#83); the biggest faller is Kyle Monangai (#12→#93).

Week 5 boardsQB RB WR TE Flex K DST OverallAlsoRest-of-season Flex 2026 draft Flex

Results table

Week 5 FLEX · Standard · Proj = engine median · Range = 20th–80th percentile · Opp/Total from the market as of 4:05 AM ET · Actual from final stats · Finish = actual rank on this board · Δ = actual − proj · Hit = within 6 ranks or inside the range · bye-week teams (CAR, KC) excluded
Rank	Player	Team	Opp	Proj	Actual	Finish	Δ	Hit	Note
Tier 1 · Must start
1	Jahmyr Gibbs RB1 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	16.1	32.7	FLEX1	+16.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 8.9–25.1.
2	Bijan Robinson RB2 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	15.4	11.8	FLEX35	-3.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 8.6–24.2.
3	Derrick Henry RB3 BAL @ ATL	BAL	@ ATL	14.8	20.0	FLEX9	+5.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 7.8–23.6.
Tier 2 · Start
4	Kyren Williams RB4 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	13.5	13.6	FLEX29	+0.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 7.4–21.4.
5	Jonathan Taylor RB5 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	13.4	8.2	FLEX42	-5.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 6.9–21.5.
Tier 3
6	Javonte Williams RB6 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	12.0	12.2	FLEX34	+0.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 5.8–19.1.
7	James Cook RB7 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	11.3	21.8	FLEX6	+10.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 5.9–18.7.
8	Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR1 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	11.2	17.8	FLEX13	+6.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 4.9–20.0.
9	Christian McCaffrey RB8 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	11.1	14.3	FLEX25	+3.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 5.3–18.6.
10	CeeDee Lamb WR2 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	10.9	0.9	FLEX82	-10.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 4.9–19.5.
11	Jaylen Warren RB9 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	10.5	30.8	FLEX2	+20.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 6.3–16.8.
12	Zay Flowers WR3 BAL @ ATL · Questionable	BAL	@ ATL	10.2	6.6	FLEX47	-3.6	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 10.2 if he plays.
13	D'Andre Swift RB10 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	10.2	13.3	FLEX31	+3.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 5.1–17.0.
14	Chase Brown RB11 CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	10.1	4.0	FLEX59	-6.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 5.6–16.5.
15	Puka Nacua WR4 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	10.1	20.7	FLEX8	+10.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 4.7–18.2.
16	Aaron Jones RB12 MIN @ NO	MIN	@ NO	10.0	15.7	FLEX18	+5.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 5.5–16.3.
17	Ashton Jeanty RB13 LV @ NE · Questionable	LV	@ NE	9.8	7.7	FLEX43	-2.1	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 57% — median 9.8 if he plays.
18	Chris Olave WR5 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	9.5	4.6	FLEX58	-4.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 4.5–17.7.
19	Nico Collins WR6 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	9.4	5.6	FLEX51	-3.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 3.8–17.1.
20	Amon-Ra St. Brown WR7 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	9.0	6.9	FLEX44	-2.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 3.6–16.5.
21	Omarion Hampton RB14 LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	8.8	3.9	FLEX60	-4.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 3.5–15.7.
22	Rhamondre Stevenson RB15 NE vs LV · Questionable	NE	vs LV	8.8	14.5	FLEX23	+5.7	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 90% — median 8.8 if he plays.
23	Cam Skattebo RB16 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	8.4	5.1	FLEX54	-3.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 3.9–14.8.
24	Tee Higgins WR8 CIN @ MIA · Questionable	CIN	@ MIA	8.4	2.2	FLEX71	-6.2	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 97% — median 8.4 if he plays.
25	Bhayshul Tuten RB17 JAX vs PHI	JAX	vs PHI	8.4	9.6	FLEX39	+1.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 3.7–14.9.
26	Emanuel Wilson RB18 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	7.9	11.2	FLEX37	+3.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 3.5–14.1.
27	Jeremiyah Love RB19 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	7.8	2.2	FLEX72	-5.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 3.5–14.1.
28	Michael Wilson WR9 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	7.7	3.3	FLEX64	-4.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 3.5–14.5.
29	Brian Robinson RB20 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	7.7	1.6	FLEX74	-6.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 2.6–13.6.
30	Christian Watson WR10 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	7.6	26.3	FLEX4	+18.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 3.2–14.6.
31	Davante Adams WR11 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	7.5	17.1	FLEX15	+9.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 3.3–14.8.
32	Brock Bowers TE1 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	7.5	15.0	FLEX20	+7.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 2.6–14.0.
33	Quinshon Judkins RB21 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	7.5	5.0	FLEX55	-2.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 3.5–13.6.
34	Drake London WR12 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	7.4	11.8	FLEX36	+4.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 3.6–14.2.
35	Tony Pollard RB22 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	7.3	5.2	FLEX53	-2.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 3.5–13.5.
36	Bucky Irving RB23 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	7.3	29.5	FLEX3	+22.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 3.7–13.4.
37	George Kittle TE2 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	7.1	2.4	FLEX69	-4.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 2.4–13.7.
38	TreVeyon Henderson RB24 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	6.8	3.8	FLEX61	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 2.9–12.7.
39	Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB25 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	6.8	14.2	FLEX27	+7.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 2.7–12.9.
40	Trey McBride TE3 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	6.6	12.6	FLEX33	+6.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 2.6–12.9.
41	RJ Harvey RB26 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	6.4	0.7	FLEX83	-5.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 2.6–12.3.
42	Sam LaPorta TE4 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	6.2	14.8	FLEX21	+8.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 2.4–12.8.
43	Ja'Marr Chase WR13 CIN @ MIA · Questionable	CIN	@ MIA	6.2	13.7	FLEX28	+7.5	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 79% — median 6.2 if he plays.
44	Alvin Kamara RB27 NO vs MIN · Questionable	NO	vs MIN	6.0	0.6	FLEX85	-5.4	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 79% — median 6.0 if he plays.
45	David Montgomery RB28 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	6.0	1.1	FLEX79	-4.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 2.0–12.1.
46	Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB29 JAX vs PHI	JAX	vs PHI	6.0	1.1	FLEX80	-4.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 1.6–12.1.
47	Carnell Tate WR14 TEN vs HOU · Questionable	TEN	vs HOU	5.9	0.6	FLEX86	-5.3	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 5.9 if he plays.
48	Ollie Gordon II RB30 MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	5.8	14.8	FLEX22	+9.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 2.3–11.5.
49	Garrett Wilson WR15 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	5.8	16.4	FLEX17	+10.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 2.1–12.4.
50	Denzel Boston WR16 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	5.6	10.6	FLEX38	+5.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 2.2–12.4.
51	J.K. Dobbins RB31 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	5.6	13.4	FLEX30	+7.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 2.8–10.8.
52	Luther Burden III WR17 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	5.5	4.9	FLEX56	-0.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 2.2–12.0.
53	Juwan Johnson TE5 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	5.4	1.6	FLEX75	-3.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 2.0–11.3.
54	Parker Washington WR18 JAX vs PHI	JAX	vs PHI	5.3	24.4	FLEX5	+19.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 2.1–11.7.
55	Romeo Doubs WR19 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	5.3	1.6	FLEX76	-3.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 1.9–11.9.
56	Deebo Samuel Sr. WR20 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	5.1	0.5	FLEX87	-4.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 1.9–11.2.
57	Woody Marks RB32 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	5.1	8.5	FLEX40	+3.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 1.6–11.0.
58	DK Metcalf WR21 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	5.1	2.3	FLEX70	-2.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 2.0–11.3.
59	Harold Fannin Jr. TE6 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	5.0	0.4	FLEX88	-4.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 1.2–10.8.
60	Matthew Golden WR22 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	4.8	14.3	FLEX26	+9.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 1.9–11.0.
61	Mike Gesicki TE7 CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	4.7	6.4	FLEX49	+1.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 1.7–10.2.
62	Braelon Allen RB33 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	4.7	17.6	FLEX14	+12.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 1.6–10.7.
63	Malik Nabers WR23 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	4.7	18.1	FLEX12	+13.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 1.9–10.8.
64	Devaughn Vele WR24 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	4.6	2.6	FLEX68	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 1.8–10.7.
65	Jameson Williams WR25 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	4.5	16.7	FLEX16	+12.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 2.0–9.9.
66	George Pickens WR26 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	4.5	19.0	FLEX11	+14.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 1.9–10.0.
67	Jaylen Waddle WR27 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	4.5	2.8	FLEX66	-1.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 1.8–10.4.
68	Malik Washington WR28 MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	4.5	6.1	FLEX50	+1.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 1.9–10.1.
69	Blake Corum RB34 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	4.5	13.2	FLEX32	+8.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 2.1–9.4.
70	Tyler Warren TE8 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	4.4	14.4	FLEX24	+10.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 1.6–10.1.
71	Keon Coleman WR29 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	4.4	6.7	FLEX46	+2.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 1.8–10.2.
72	Tyler Allgeier RB35 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	4.4	1.6	FLEX77	-2.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 1.5–10.3.
73	Mike Evans WR30 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	4.4	19.3	FLEX10	+14.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 1.7–10.3.
74	T.J. Hockenson TE9 MIN @ NO	MIN	@ NO	4.4	0.7	FLEX84	-3.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 1.9–9.9.
75	Tucker Kraft TE10 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	4.4	6.6	FLEX48	+2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 1.6–9.9.
76	Rome Odunze WR31 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	4.2	2.0	FLEX73	-2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 1.8–9.6.
77	Tyler Higbee TE11 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	4.2	8.3	FLEX41	+4.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 1.6–9.6.
78	Mike Washington Jr. RB36 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	4.2	1.0	FLEX81	-3.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 1.3–10.0.
79	Isaiah Likely TE12 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	4.1	21.4	FLEX7	+17.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 1.7–9.6.
80	Jordan Addison WR32 MIN @ NO · Questionable	MIN	@ NO	4.1	0.0	FLEX90	-4.1	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 4.1 if he plays.
81	Roman Wilson WR33 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	4.0	0.0	FLEX91	-4.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 1.5–9.9.
82	Keaton Mitchell RB37 LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	4.0	2.9	FLEX65	-1.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 1.5–9.2.
83	Tre Tucker WR34 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	3.9	3.5	FLEX63	-0.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 1.7–9.2.
84	Brenton Strange TE13 JAX vs PHI	JAX	vs PHI	3.9	6.8	FLEX45	+2.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 1.7–9.2.
85	Wan'Dale Robinson WR35 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	3.9	5.3	FLEX52	+1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 1.1–10.2.
86	Josh Downs WR36 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	3.9	4.7	FLEX57	+0.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 1.7–8.9.
87	Jakobi Meyers WR37 JAX vs PHI	JAX	vs PHI	3.8	3.7	FLEX62	-0.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 1.5–9.2.
88	Dalton Kincaid TE14 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	3.8	2.7	FLEX67	-1.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 1.6–9.0.
89	MarShawn Lloyd RB38 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	3.8	15.7	FLEX19	+11.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 1.5–8.9.
90	Kalif Raymond WR38 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	3.8	0.4	FLEX89	-3.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 1.5–9.2.
91	Austin Ekeler RB39 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	3.7	1.4	FLEX78	-2.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 1.6–8.4.
92	Tank Bigsby RB40 PHI @ JAX	PHI	@ JAX	3.7	0.0	FLEX92	-3.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 1.2–9.4.
93	Kyle Monangai RB41 CHI @ GB · Out	CHI	@ GB	0.0	0.0	FLEX93	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
94	Stefon Diggs WR39 WAS vs NYG · Out	WAS	vs NYG	0.0	0.0	FLEX94	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
95	Saquon Barkley RB42 PHI @ JAX · Out	PHI	@ JAX	0.0	0.0	FLEX95	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
96	Mack Hollins WR40 NE vs LV · Out	NE	vs LV	0.0	0.0	FLEX96	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start

Showing 24 of 96 · tiers 3+ below

What the numbers say

6.4mean abs. error · Standard points, top 36 · Week 4: 6.0

0.26rank correlation · Spearman, top 36

4 / 12ranked top 12 who finished top 12

61%actuals inside the 20–80 range · target 60%

This version was published after the week's first kickoff, so it is scored as a retrospective, not a forecast.

The engine's read on Week 5

Engine byline · no human author · Week 4 FLEX accuracy: MAE 6.0, top-12 hit 4/12

Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Common questions about Week 5 FLEX rankings

Who is the best flex to start in Week 5 Standard?

Jahmyr Gibbs, our FLEX1 with a 16.1-point median; Bijan Robinson is FLEX2.

When do these rankings update?

Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.

How this board is built

Projectionsens-fit-2026w04-mkt-2026-w5-2026-10-06+mkt-2026-w05-2026-10-06-09

Market2026-w05-2026-10-13-08

Simulation10,000 outcomes per player

Week 4 FLEX accuracyMAE 6.0 · top-12 hit 4/12

Rankings versionv2 · Sun, Oct 11, 8:03 AM ET

Ranks tagsunday-2026-w5-0803

Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits

More rankings

Week 5 · other positionsQuarterback Running Back Wide Receiver Tight End Kicker Defense Overall

FLEX · other formatsWeek 5 FLEX — PPR Week 5 FLEX — Half-PPR

FLEX · other weeksWeek 4 FLEX Week 6 FLEX Rest-of-season Flex 2026 draft Flex

This weekWeek 5 hub Ask about this board Waiver wire Injury report

VersionsRankings v4d5ad6bc· projections ens-fit-2026w04-mkt-2026-w5-2026-10-06+mkt-2026-w05-2026-10-06-09· lines 2026-w05-2026-10-13-08· injuries 2026-10-11T15:35:27Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version