Week 5 Flex Rankings & Results — Half-PPR

By Red Zone Rank engine · Final board published Sun, Oct 11, 8:03 AM ET (v2) · results scored Tue, Oct 13, 5:01 AM ET

Week4 5 6

Jahmyr Gibbs is our Flex #1 for Week 5 in Half-PPR, ahead of Bijan Robinson and Kyren Williams. The biggest riser since the last publish is Kalif Raymond (#84→#80); the biggest faller is Kyle Monangai (#22→#93).

Week 5 boardsQB RB WR TE Flex K DST OverallAlsoRest-of-season Flex 2026 draft Flex

Results table

Week 5 FLEX · Half-PPR · Proj = engine median · Range = 20th–80th percentile · Opp/Total from the market as of 4:05 AM ET · Actual from final stats · Finish = actual rank on this board · Δ = actual − proj · Hit = within 6 ranks or inside the range · bye-week teams (CAR, KC) excluded
Rank	Player	Team	Opp	Proj	Actual	Finish	Δ	Hit	Note
Tier 1
1	Jahmyr Gibbs RB1 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	18.2	35.2	FLEX1	+17.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 10.5–27.5.
2	Bijan Robinson RB2 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	16.9	13.8	FLEX33	-3.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 10.0–26.0.
3	Kyren Williams RB3 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	15.6	16.6	FLEX25	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 9.1–24.1.
4	Derrick Henry RB4 BAL @ ATL	BAL	@ ATL	15.6	20.5	FLEX12	+4.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 8.5–24.4.
5	Jonathan Taylor RB5 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	14.6	9.7	FLEX43	-4.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 7.9–22.9.
6	CeeDee Lamb WR1 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	14.6	1.9	FLEX78	-12.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 7.5–24.4.
7	Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR2 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	14.5	20.3	FLEX13	+5.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 7.1–24.6.
8	Javonte Williams RB6 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	13.4	13.2	FLEX34	-0.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 7.2–20.9.
9	Puka Nacua WR3 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	13.4	29.2	FLEX5	+15.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 7.1–22.8.
10	Christian McCaffrey RB7 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	13.0	15.8	FLEX27	+2.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 6.9–21.1.
11	Chris Olave WR4 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	13.0	6.6	FLEX53	-6.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 6.8–22.4.
12	Zay Flowers WR5 BAL @ ATL · Questionable	BAL	@ ATL	12.7	10.6	FLEX38	-2.1	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 12.7 if he plays.
13	Chase Brown RB8 CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	12.4	5.5	FLEX57	-6.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 7.3–19.3.
14	James Cook RB9 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	12.1	22.3	FLEX11	+10.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 6.5–19.6.
15	Amon-Ra St. Brown WR6 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	12.1	9.9	FLEX42	-2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 5.8–20.7.
16	Jaylen Warren RB10 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	11.9	33.8	FLEX2	+21.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 7.2–18.6.
17	Nico Collins WR7 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	11.6	8.1	FLEX49	-3.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 5.4–20.2.
18	Ashton Jeanty RB11 LV @ NE · Questionable	LV	@ NE	11.6	9.2	FLEX45	-2.4	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 57% — median 11.6 if he plays.
19	Aaron Jones RB12 MIN @ NO	MIN	@ NO	11.3	17.2	FLEX22	+5.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 6.5–17.9.
20	D'Andre Swift RB13 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	11.1	15.3	FLEX28	+4.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 5.9–18.2.
21	Tee Higgins WR8 CIN @ MIA · Questionable	CIN	@ MIA	11.1	3.2	FLEX73	-7.9	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 97% — median 11.1 if he plays.
22	Michael Wilson WR9 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	10.5	5.3	FLEX59	-5.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 5.3–18.3.
23	Trey McBride TE1 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	10.2	17.1	FLEX23	+6.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 5.1–17.8.
24	Rhamondre Stevenson RB14 NE vs LV · Questionable	NE	vs LV	10.0	16.0	FLEX26	+6.0	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 90% — median 10.0 if he plays.
25	Davante Adams WR10 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	9.9	19.6	FLEX15	+9.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 4.7–18.0.
26	Brock Bowers TE2 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	9.8	19.0	FLEX16	+9.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 4.5–17.5.
27	Drake London WR11 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	9.8	15.3	FLEX29	+5.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 5.0–17.5.
28	Omarion Hampton RB15 LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	9.7	4.4	FLEX65	-5.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 4.2–16.8.
29	Christian Watson WR12 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	9.6	29.3	FLEX4	+19.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 4.4–17.3.
30	Cam Skattebo RB16 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	9.4	6.1	FLEX56	-3.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 4.6–16.0.
31	Bhayshul Tuten RB17 JAX vs PHI	JAX	vs PHI	9.2	10.6	FLEX39	+1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 4.2–15.9.
32	Quinshon Judkins RB18 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	9.1	6.5	FLEX54	-2.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 4.6–15.6.
33	George Kittle TE3 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	9.0	4.9	FLEX61	-4.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 3.8–16.4.
34	Jeremiyah Love RB19 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	8.9	2.2	FLEX76	-6.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 4.4–15.4.
35	Ja'Marr Chase WR13 CIN @ MIA · Questionable	CIN	@ MIA	8.8	16.7	FLEX24	+7.9	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 79% — median 8.8 if he plays.
36	Sam LaPorta TE4 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	8.8	17.3	FLEX20	+8.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 4.1–16.3.
37	RJ Harvey RB20 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	8.8	0.7	FLEX88	-8.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 4.1–15.2.
38	Bucky Irving RB21 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	8.6	30.5	FLEX3	+21.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 4.5–14.9.
39	Emanuel Wilson RB22 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	8.5	12.2	FLEX35	+3.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 3.9–14.9.
40	Tony Pollard RB23 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	8.4	5.2	FLEX60	-3.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 4.2–14.8.
41	Carnell Tate WR14 TEN vs HOU · Questionable	TEN	vs HOU	8.4	1.1	FLEX85	-7.3	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 8.4 if he plays.
42	Garrett Wilson WR15 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	8.3	19.9	FLEX14	+11.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 3.6–15.8.
43	Brian Robinson RB24 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	8.0	1.6	FLEX80	-6.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 2.9–14.2.
44	Luther Burden III WR16 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	7.8	6.9	FLEX51	-0.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 3.5–14.9.
45	Juwan Johnson TE5 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	7.8	3.6	FLEX71	-4.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 3.3–14.1.
46	Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB25 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	7.5	14.2	FLEX32	+6.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 3.2–13.7.
47	Alvin Kamara RB26 NO vs MIN · Questionable	NO	vs MIN	7.4	1.6	FLEX81	-5.8	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 79% — median 7.4 if he plays.
48	Tyler Warren TE6 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	7.3	17.9	FLEX18	+10.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 3.2–13.5.
49	TreVeyon Henderson RB27 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	7.3	4.3	FLEX67	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 3.1–13.2.
50	Parker Washington WR17 JAX vs PHI	JAX	vs PHI	7.3	27.4	FLEX6	+20.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 3.1–14.3.
51	DK Metcalf WR18 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	7.2	3.8	FLEX69	-3.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 3.1–13.9.
52	Denzel Boston WR19 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	7.2	12.1	FLEX36	+4.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 3.0–14.6.
53	T.J. Hockenson TE7 MIN @ NO	MIN	@ NO	7.1	1.2	FLEX84	-5.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 3.4–13.5.
54	Romeo Doubs WR20 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	7.1	2.1	FLEX77	-5.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 2.8–14.3.
55	Harold Fannin Jr. TE8 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	7.0	0.9	FLEX87	-6.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 2.4–13.5.
56	Malik Nabers WR21 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	6.9	23.6	FLEX8	+16.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 3.0–13.5.
57	Deebo Samuel Sr. WR22 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	6.8	1.5	FLEX83	-5.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 2.8–13.4.
58	Devaughn Vele WR23 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	6.8	4.6	FLEX63	-2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 3.0–13.5.
59	David Montgomery RB28 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	6.8	1.1	FLEX86	-5.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 2.5–13.0.
60	Ollie Gordon II RB29 MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	6.7	14.8	FLEX30	+8.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 2.8–12.5.
61	Matthew Golden WR24 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	6.7	17.3	FLEX21	+10.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 2.8–13.3.
62	Malik Washington WR25 MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	6.7	9.1	FLEX46	+2.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 3.1–13.0.
63	Mike Gesicki TE9 CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	6.5	6.9	FLEX52	+0.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 2.5–12.4.
64	Isaiah Likely TE10 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	6.5	26.9	FLEX7	+20.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 3.0–12.7.
65	Jaylen Waddle WR26 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	6.5	3.8	FLEX70	-2.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 2.8–12.8.
66	Tucker Kraft TE11 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	6.5	9.1	FLEX47	+2.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 2.7–12.4.
67	Mike Evans WR27 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	6.4	22.8	FLEX10	+16.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 2.7–12.9.
68	George Pickens WR28 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	6.4	23.5	FLEX9	+17.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 2.9–12.6.
69	Jameson Williams WR29 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	6.4	17.7	FLEX19	+11.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 3.0–12.5.
70	Wan'Dale Robinson WR30 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	6.3	8.3	FLEX48	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 2.3–13.0.
71	Tyler Higbee TE12 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	6.3	10.8	FLEX37	+4.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 2.7–12.1.
72	J.K. Dobbins RB30 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	6.2	14.4	FLEX31	+8.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 3.1–11.5.
73	Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB31 JAX vs PHI	JAX	vs PHI	6.2	1.6	FLEX82	-4.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 1.7–12.4.
74	Keon Coleman WR31 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	6.1	7.2	FLEX50	+1.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 2.6–12.4.
75	Woody Marks RB32 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	6.1	10.5	FLEX40	+4.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 2.1–12.0.
76	Brenton Strange TE13 JAX vs PHI	JAX	vs PHI	5.9	10.3	FLEX41	+4.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 2.7–11.6.
77	Rome Odunze WR32 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	5.9	3.5	FLEX72	-2.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 2.6–11.9.
78	Michael Mayer TE14 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	5.9	0.7	FLEX89	-5.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 2.8–11.5.
79	Jakobi Meyers WR33 JAX vs PHI	JAX	vs PHI	5.8	4.7	FLEX62	-1.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 2.5–11.5.
80	Kalif Raymond WR34 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	5.8	1.9	FLEX79	-3.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 2.5–11.7.
81	Josh Downs WR35 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	5.7	6.2	FLEX55	+0.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 2.7–11.5.
82	Tre Tucker WR36 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	5.7	5.5	FLEX58	-0.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 2.6–11.5.
83	Tyler Allgeier RB33 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	5.7	2.6	FLEX75	-3.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 2.2–11.6.
84	Jordan Addison WR37 MIN @ NO · Questionable	MIN	@ NO	5.7	0.0	FLEX90	-5.7	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 5.7 if he plays.
85	Braelon Allen RB34 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	5.6	18.1	FLEX17	+12.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 2.1–11.7.
86	Roman Wilson WR38 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	5.6	0.0	FLEX91	-5.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 2.2–11.8.
87	Cade Otton TE15 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	5.5	4.0	FLEX68	-1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 2.6–10.6.
88	Dalton Schultz TE16 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	5.5	4.5	FLEX64	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 2.6–10.6.
89	Dalton Kincaid TE17 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	5.4	3.2	FLEX74	-2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 2.3–10.9.
90	Khalil Shakir WR39 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	5.3	9.5	FLEX44	+4.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 2.4–10.5.
91	Keaton Mitchell RB35 LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	5.2	4.4	FLEX66	-0.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 2.1–10.5.
92	Kenyon Sadiq TE18 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	5.1	-0.7	FLEX96	-5.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 1.9–10.8.
93	Kyle Monangai RB36 CHI @ GB · Out	CHI	@ GB	0.0	0.0	FLEX92	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
94	Stefon Diggs WR40 WAS vs NYG · Out	WAS	vs NYG	0.0	0.0	FLEX93	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
95	Saquon Barkley RB37 PHI @ JAX · Out	PHI	@ JAX	0.0	0.0	FLEX94	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
96	Mack Hollins WR41 NE vs LV · Out	NE	vs LV	0.0	0.0	FLEX95	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start

Showing 24 of 96 · tiers 1+ below

What the numbers say

6.8mean abs. error · Half-PPR points, top 36 · Week 4: 6.7

0.21rank correlation · Spearman, top 36

3 / 12ranked top 12 who finished top 12

58%actuals inside the 20–80 range · target 60%

This version was published after the week's first kickoff, so it is scored as a retrospective, not a forecast.

The engine's read on Week 5

Engine byline · no human author · Week 4 FLEX accuracy: MAE 6.7, top-12 hit 4/12

Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Common questions about Week 5 FLEX rankings

Who is the best flex to start in Week 5 Half-PPR?

Jahmyr Gibbs, our FLEX1 with a 18.2-point median; Bijan Robinson is FLEX2.

When do these rankings update?

Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.

How this board is built

Projectionsens-fit-2026w04-mkt-2026-w5-2026-10-06+mkt-2026-w05-2026-10-06-09

Market2026-w05-2026-10-13-08

Simulation10,000 outcomes per player

Week 4 FLEX accuracyMAE 6.7 · top-12 hit 4/12

Rankings versionv2 · Sun, Oct 11, 8:03 AM ET

Ranks tagsunday-2026-w5-0803

Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits

More rankings

Week 5 · other positionsQuarterback Running Back Wide Receiver Tight End Kicker Defense Overall

FLEX · other formatsWeek 5 FLEX — PPR Week 5 FLEX — Standard

FLEX · other weeksWeek 4 FLEX Week 6 FLEX Rest-of-season Flex 2026 draft Flex

This weekWeek 5 hub Ask about this board Waiver wire Injury report

VersionsRankings v4d5ad6bc· projections ens-fit-2026w04-mkt-2026-w5-2026-10-06+mkt-2026-w05-2026-10-06-09· lines 2026-w05-2026-10-13-08· injuries 2026-10-11T15:35:27Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version