Derrick Henry is our Flex #1 for Week 6 in Standard, ahead of Bijan Robinson and Kyren Williams. This is the first published version of this board.
Rankings table
| Rank | Player | Status | Team | Opp | Total | Proj | Range | Chg | Verdict | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 · Must start | ||||||||||
| 1 | Derrick Henry RB1 BAL @ CLE · 39.5 | — | BAL | @ CLE | 39.5 | 14.5 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 7.8–22.9. | |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson RB2 ATL vs CHI · 52.0 | — | ATL | vs CHI | 52.0 | 14.4 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 8.1–22.7. | |
| 3 | Kyren Williams RB3 LA vs ARI · 51.5 | — | LA | vs ARI | 51.5 | 13.3 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 7.2–21.3. | |
| 4 | Jaylen Warren RB4 PIT @ TB · 39.0 | — | PIT | @ TB | 39.0 | 13.2 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 7.3–21.0. | |
| 5 | James Cook RB5 BUF @ LV · 53.5 | — | BUF | @ LV | 53.5 | 12.7 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 6.7–20.6. | |
| 6 | Javonte Williams RB6 DAL @ GB · 53.0 | — | DAL | @ GB | 53.0 | 12.5 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 6.3–20.5. | |
| 7 | Jonathan Taylor RB7 IND vs TEN · 44.5 | — | IND | vs TEN | 44.5 | 12.4 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 6.3–20.1. | |
| 8 | Puka Nacua WR1 LA vs ARI · 51.5 | — | LA | vs ARI | 51.5 | 11.7 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 5.3–20.7. | |
| 9 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR2 SEA @ DEN | — | SEA | @ DEN (Thu) | final | 11.6 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DEN · 20–80 range 5.1–20.5. | |
| 10 | Christian McCaffrey RB8 SF vs WAS · 51.5 | — | SF | vs WAS (Mon) | 51.5 | 11.5 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 5.6–19.3. | |
| 11 | Christian Watson WR3 GB vs DAL · 53.0 | — | GB | vs DAL | 53.0 | 10.8 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 4.4–18.9. | |
| 12 | D'Andre Swift RB9 CHI @ ATL · 52.0 | — | CHI | @ ATL | 52.0 | 10.5 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 5.4–17.3. | |
| 13 | Bucky Irving RB10 TB vs PIT · 39.0 | — | TB | vs PIT | 39.0 | 10.5 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 5.6–17.1. | |
| Tier 2 | ||||||||||
| 14 | Rhamondre Stevenson RB11 NE vs NYJ · 43.5 | — | NE | vs NYJ | 43.5 | 9.3 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 4.2–16.0. | |
| 15 | Ashton Jeanty RB12 LV vs BUF · 53.5 | — | LV | vs BUF | 53.5 | 9.3 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 4.9–15.9. | |
| 16 | Zay Flowers WR4 BAL @ CLE · 39.5 | — | BAL | @ CLE | 39.5 | 9.1 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 4.1–16.6. | |
| 17 | Davante Adams WR5 LA vs ARI · 51.5 | — | LA | vs ARI | 51.5 | 8.9 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 3.5–16.5. | |
| 18 | Bhayshul Tuten RB13 JAX vs HOU · 42.5 | — | JAX | vs HOU | 42.5 | 8.8 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 4.5–15.1. | |
| 19 | CeeDee Lamb WR6 DAL @ GB · 53.0 | — | DAL | @ GB | 53.0 | 8.7 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 3.8–15.6. | |
| 20 | Brock Bowers TE1 LV vs BUF · 53.5 | — | LV | vs BUF | 53.5 | 8.4 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 3.1–15.7. | |
| 21 | Parker Washington WR7 JAX vs HOU · 42.5 | — | JAX | vs HOU | 42.5 | 8.2 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 3.3–15.3. | |
| 22 | Drake London WR8 ATL vs CHI · 52.0 | — | ATL | vs CHI | 52.0 | 8.2 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 4.1–15.4. | |
| 23 | Emanuel Wilson RB14 SEA @ DEN | — | SEA | @ DEN (Thu) | final | 8.1 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DEN · 20–80 range 3.4–14.7. | |
| 24 | Chris Olave WR9 NO @ NYG · 46.0 | — | NO | @ NYG | 46.0 | 7.9 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 3.8–15.2. | |
| 25 | Nico Collins WR10 HOU @ JAX · 42.5 | — | HOU | @ JAX | 42.5 | 7.8 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 3.4–14.8. | |
| 26 | Cam Skattebo RB15 NYG vs NO · 46.0 | — | NYG | vs NO | 46.0 | 7.6 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NO · 20–80 range 3.5–13.8. | |
| 27 | Tony Pollard RB16 TEN @ IND · 44.5 | — | TEN | @ IND | 44.5 | 7.5 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ IND · 20–80 range 4.0–13.2. | |
| 28 | Mike Evans WR11 SF vs WAS · 51.5 | — | SF | vs WAS (Mon) | 51.5 | 7.5 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 3.2–13.7. | |
| 29 | Braelon Allen RB17 NYJ @ NE · 43.5 | — | NYJ | @ NE | 43.5 | 7.4 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 3.2–13.8. | |
| 30 | Omarion Hampton RB18 LAC @ KC · 41.5 | — | LAC | @ KC | 41.5 | 7.4 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ KC · 20–80 range 3.1–13.8. | |
| 31 | Garrett Wilson WR12 NYJ @ NE · 43.5 | — | NYJ | @ NE | 43.5 | 7.2 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 3.0–14.0. | |
| 32 | Malik Nabers WR13 NYG vs NO · 46.0 | — | NYG | vs NO | 46.0 | 7.1 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NO · 20–80 range 3.1–13.5. | |
| 33 | Quinshon Judkins RB19 CLE vs BAL · 39.5 | — | CLE | vs BAL | 39.5 | 7.1 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 3.3–12.8. | |
| 34 | J.K. Dobbins RB20 DEN vs SEA | — | DEN | vs SEA (Thu) | final | 6.9 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SEA · 20–80 range 3.2–13.1. | |
| 35 | Matthew Golden WR14 GB vs DAL · 53.0 | — | GB | vs DAL | 53.0 | 6.9 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 3.1–13.4. | |
| 36 | George Kittle TE2 SF vs WAS · 51.5 | — | SF | vs WAS (Mon) | 51.5 | 6.8 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 2.3–12.7. | |
| 37 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB21 WAS @ SF · 51.5 | — | WAS | @ SF (Mon) | 51.5 | 6.7 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 2.9–12.7. | |
| 38 | MarShawn Lloyd RB22 GB vs DAL · 53.0 | — | GB | vs DAL | 53.0 | 6.7 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 1.8–12.8. | |
| 39 | Isaiah Likely TE3 NYG vs NO · 46.0 | — | NYG | vs NO | 46.0 | 6.6 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NO · 20–80 range 2.3–12.9. | |
| 40 | George Pickens WR15 DAL @ GB · 53.0 | — | DAL | @ GB | 53.0 | 6.5 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 3.1–12.8. | |
| 41 | Brian Robinson RB23 ATL vs CHI · 52.0 | — | ATL | vs CHI | 52.0 | 6.3 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 1.7–12.6. | |
| 42 | Jeremiyah Love RB24 ARI @ LA · 51.5 | — | ARI | @ LA | 51.5 | 6.2 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 2.9–11.9. | |
| 43 | Denzel Boston WR16 CLE vs BAL · 39.5 | — | CLE | vs BAL | 39.5 | 6.0 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 2.3–12.9. | |
| 44 | TreVeyon Henderson RB25 NE vs NYJ · 43.5 | — | NE | vs NYJ | 43.5 | 6.0 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 2.6–11.8. | |
| 45 | Trey McBride TE4 ARI @ LA · 51.5 | — | ARI | @ LA | 51.5 | 6.0 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 2.2–11.9. | |
| 46 | Blake Corum RB26 LA vs ARI · 51.5 | — | LA | vs ARI | 51.5 | 5.7 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 2.1–11.9. | |
| 47 | Woody Marks RB27 HOU @ JAX · 42.5 | — | HOU | @ JAX | 42.5 | 5.4 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 1.9–11.5. | |
| 48 | Pat Freiermuth TE5 PIT @ TB · 39.0 | — | PIT | @ TB | 39.0 | 5.3 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 1.2–11.0. | |
| 49 | Dallas Goedert TE6 PHI vs CAR · 39.0 | — | PHI | vs CAR | 39.0 | 5.2 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CAR · 20–80 range 1.2–11.1. | |
| 50 | Tyler Warren TE7 IND vs TEN · 44.5 | — | IND | vs TEN | 44.5 | 5.0 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 1.9–10.6. | |
| 51 | Alvin Kamara RB28 NO @ NYG · 46.0 | — | NO | @ NYG | 46.0 | 4.9 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.7–10.7. | |
| 52 | Michael Wilson WR17 ARI @ LA · 51.5 | — | ARI | @ LA | 51.5 | 4.9 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 2.0–11.2. | |
| 53 | Terry McLaurin WR18 WAS @ SF · 51.5 | — | WAS | @ SF (Mon) | 51.5 | 4.9 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 2.0–10.9. | |
| 54 | Tyler Higbee TE8 LA vs ARI · 51.5 | — | LA | vs ARI | 51.5 | 4.8 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 1.9–10.4. | |
| 55 | Luther Burden III WR19 CHI @ ATL · 52.0 | — | CHI | @ ATL | 52.0 | 4.7 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 1.9–10.5. | |
| 56 | David Montgomery RB29 HOU @ JAX · 42.5 | — | HOU | @ JAX | 42.5 | 4.6 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 1.5–10.2. | |
| 57 | Wan'Dale Robinson WR20 TEN @ IND · 44.5 | — | TEN | @ IND | 44.5 | 4.4 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ IND · 20–80 range 1.7–10.4. | |
| 58 | Juwan Johnson TE9 NO @ NYG · 46.0 | — | NO | @ NYG | 46.0 | 4.4 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.8–10.1. | |
| 59 | Keon Coleman WR21 BUF @ LV · 53.5 | — | BUF | @ LV | 53.5 | 4.4 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 1.6–10.5. | |
| 60 | Deebo Samuel Sr. WR22 SF vs WAS · 51.5 | — | SF | vs WAS (Mon) | 51.5 | 4.4 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 1.3–10.6. | |
| 61 | RJ Harvey RB30 DEN vs SEA | — | DEN | vs SEA (Thu) | final | 4.3 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SEA · 20–80 range 1.8–9.6. | |
| 62 | Devaughn Vele WR23 NO @ NYG · 46.0 | — | NO | @ NYG | 46.0 | 4.2 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.7–10.0. | |
| 63 | Brenton Strange TE10 JAX vs HOU · 42.5 | — | JAX | vs HOU | 42.5 | 4.2 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 1.8–9.4. | |
| 64 | Carnell Tate WR24 TEN @ IND · 44.5 | — | TEN | @ IND | 44.5 | 4.1 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ IND · 20–80 range 1.8–9.3. | |
| 65 | Khalil Shakir WR25 BUF @ LV · 53.5 | — | BUF | @ LV | 53.5 | 4.1 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 1.8–9.1. | |
| 66 | Ty Johnson RB31 BUF @ LV · 53.5 | — | BUF | @ LV | 53.5 | 4.1 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 1.5–9.3. | |
| 67 | Romeo Doubs WR26 NE vs NYJ · 43.5 | — | NE | vs NYJ | 43.5 | 4.0 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 1.5–9.9. | |
| 68 | Rome Odunze WR27 CHI @ ATL · 52.0 | — | CHI | @ ATL | 52.0 | 4.0 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 1.7–9.2. | |
| 69 | DK Metcalf WR28 PIT @ TB · 39.0 | — | PIT | @ TB | 39.0 | 4.0 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 1.7–9.4. | |
| 70 | Tucker Kraft TE11 GB vs DAL · 53.0 | — | GB | vs DAL | 53.0 | 4.0 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 1.7–9.4. | |
| 71 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB32 JAX vs HOU · 42.5 | — | JAX | vs HOU | 42.5 | 3.9 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 1.2–9.7. | |
| 72 | Rachaad White RB33 WAS @ SF · 51.5 | — | WAS | @ SF (Mon) | 51.5 | 3.9 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 1.5–9.1. | |
| 73 | Tre Tucker WR29 LV vs BUF · 53.5 | — | LV | vs BUF | 53.5 | 3.9 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 1.6–9.0. | |
| 74 | Josh Downs WR30 IND vs TEN · 44.5 | — | IND | vs TEN | 44.5 | 3.8 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 1.6–8.7. | |
| 75 | Dontayvion Wicks WR31 PHI vs CAR · 39.0 | — | PHI | vs CAR | 39.0 | 3.8 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CAR · 20–80 range 1.5–8.9. | |
| 76 | Keenan Allen WR32 IND vs TEN · 44.5 | — | IND | vs TEN | 44.5 | 3.7 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 1.5–9.3. | |
| 77 | Kimani Vidal RB34 LAC @ KC · 41.5 | — | LAC | @ KC | 41.5 | 3.7 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ KC · 20–80 range 1.2–9.4. | |
| 78 | Dalton Kincaid TE12 BUF @ LV · 53.5 | — | BUF | @ LV | 53.5 | 3.7 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 1.5–8.6. | |
| 79 | Kendre Miller RB35 NO @ NYG · 46.0 | — | NO | @ NYG | 46.0 | 3.7 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.1–9.4. | |
| 80 | Keaton Mitchell RB36 LAC @ KC · 41.5 | — | LAC | @ KC | 41.5 | 3.6 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ KC · 20–80 range 1.4–8.9. | |
| 81 | Darius Cooper WR33 PHI vs CAR · 39.0 | — | PHI | vs CAR | 39.0 | 3.6 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CAR · 20–80 range 0.9–9.7. | |
| 82 | Xavier Hutchinson WR34 HOU @ JAX · 42.5 | — | HOU | @ JAX | 42.5 | 3.6 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 1.6–8.3. | |
| 83 | Tyler Allgeier RB37 ARI @ LA · 51.5 | — | ARI | @ LA | 51.5 | 3.5 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 1.2–8.9. | |
| 84 | Rashod Bateman WR35 BAL @ CLE · 39.5 | — | BAL | @ CLE | 39.5 | 3.5 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 1.5–8.5. | |
| 85 | Harold Fannin Jr. TE13 CLE vs BAL · 39.5 | — | CLE | vs BAL | 39.5 | 3.5 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 1.0–9.1. | |
| 86 | Jaylen Waddle WR36 DEN vs SEA | — | DEN | vs SEA (Thu) | final | 3.5 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SEA · 20–80 range 1.1–9.1. | |
| 87 | Ryan Flournoy WR37 DAL @ GB · 53.0 | — | DAL | @ GB | 53.0 | 3.4 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 1.5–8.0. | |
| 88 | Emeka Egbuka WR38 TB vs PIT · 39.0 | — | TB | vs PIT | 39.0 | 3.4 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 1.0–8.9. | |
| 89 | Cade Otton TE14 TB vs PIT · 39.0 | — | TB | vs PIT | 39.0 | 3.3 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 1.5–8.0. | |
| 90 | Justice Hill RB38 BAL @ CLE · 39.5 | — | BAL | @ CLE | 39.5 | 3.3 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 1.2–8.0. | |
| 91 | Jakobi Meyers WR39 JAX vs HOU · 42.5 | — | JAX | vs HOU | 42.5 | 3.2 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 1.0–8.9. | |
| 92 | Jaylin Noel WR40 HOU @ JAX · 42.5 | — | HOU | @ JAX | 42.5 | 3.2 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 1.0–8.7. | |
| 93 | DeMario Douglas WR41 NE vs NYJ · 43.5 | — | NE | vs NYJ | 43.5 | 3.2 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 0.8–9.3. | |
| 94 | Hunter Henry TE15 NE vs NYJ · 43.5 | — | NE | vs NYJ | 43.5 | 3.2 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 1.0–8.7. | |
| 95 | Kenny Gainwell RB39 TB vs PIT · 39.0 | — | TB | vs PIT | 39.0 | 3.1 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 1.0–8.4. | |
| 96 | Mike Washington Jr. RB40 LV vs BUF · 53.5 | — | LV | vs BUF | 53.5 | 3.1 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 1.1–8.7. | |
Showing 24 of 96 · tiers 2+ below
Key changes since the previous publish
First published version of this board — no changes to show yet.
The engine's read on Week 6
Engine byline · no human author · Week 5 FLEX accuracy: MAE 6.4, top-12 hit 4/12
Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.
Tiers 1–2 in depth
Derrick HenryRB1 · BAL @ CLE
Median 14.5 · 20–80 range 7.8–22.9 · game total 39.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 7.8–22.9.
Bijan RobinsonRB2 · ATL vs CHI
Median 14.4 · 20–80 range 8.2–22.7 · game total 52.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 8.1–22.7.
Kyren WilliamsRB3 · LA vs ARI
Median 13.3 · 20–80 range 7.2–21.3 · game total 51.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 7.2–21.3.
Jaylen WarrenRB4 · PIT @ TB
Median 13.2 · 20–80 range 7.3–21.0 · game total 39.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 7.3–21.0.
James CookRB5 · BUF @ LV
Median 12.7 · 20–80 range 6.7–20.6 · game total 53.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 6.7–20.6.
Javonte WilliamsRB6 · DAL @ GB
Median 12.5 · 20–80 range 6.3–20.5 · game total 53.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 6.3–20.5.
Common questions about Week 6 FLEX rankings
Who is the best flex to start in Week 6 Standard?
Derrick Henry, our FLEX1 with a 14.5-point median; Bijan Robinson is FLEX2.
When do these rankings update?
Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.
How this board is built
Projectionsens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09
Market2026-w06-2026-10-16-20
Simulation10,000 outcomes per player
Week 5 FLEX accuracyMAE 6.4 · top-12 hit 4/12
Rankings versionv1 · Tue, Oct 13, 5:32 AM ET
Ranks tagseed-2026-w6-20261013T0931
Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits
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VersionsRankings v0850ba1e· projections ens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09· lines 2026-w06-2026-10-16-20· injuries 2026-10-15T22:45:25Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version