Week 4 Flex Rankings & Results — Standard

By Red Zone Rank engine · Final board published Sun, Oct 4, 8:01 AM ET (v6) · results scored Tue, Oct 6, 5:01 AM ET

Week4 5 6

Jahmyr Gibbs is our Flex #1 for Week 4 in Standard, ahead of Derrick Henry and Bijan Robinson. The biggest riser since the last publish is Mack Hollins (#93→#88); the biggest faller is Breece Hall (#24→#92).

Week 4 boardsQB RB WR TE Flex K DST OverallAlsoRest-of-season Flex 2026 draft Flex

Results table

Week 4 FLEX · Standard · Proj = engine median · Range = 20th–80th percentile · Opp/Total from the market as of 4:05 AM ET · Actual from final stats · Finish = actual rank on this board · Δ = actual − proj · Hit = within 6 ranks or inside the range
Rank	Player	Team	Opp	Proj	Actual	Finish	Δ	Hit	Note
Tier 1 · Must start
1	Jahmyr Gibbs RB1 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	17.3	13.7	FLEX23	-3.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 9.9–26.7.
2	Derrick Henry RB2 BAL vs TEN	BAL	vs TEN	16.2	13.9	FLEX22	-2.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 8.8–25.5.
3	Bijan Robinson RB3 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	15.8	26.7	FLEX4	+10.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 9.2–24.5.
Tier 2 · Start
4	Kenneth Walker III RB4 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	13.6	29.9	FLEX2	+16.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 7.6–21.6.
5	Jonathan Taylor RB5 IND @ WAS	IND	@ WAS	13.5	21.7	FLEX11	+8.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 7.0–21.5.
6	Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR1 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	13.3	7.6	FLEX49	-5.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 6.0–23.4.
Tier 3
7	James Cook RB6 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	12.1	14.3	FLEX21	+2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 6.4–19.7.
8	Christian McCaffrey RB7 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	11.6	13.0	FLEX24	+1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 5.8–19.5.
9	Jaylen Warren RB8 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	11.1	12.6	FLEX28	+1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 6.2–18.0.
10	Kyren Williams RB9 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	11.0	26.7	FLEX5	+15.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 5.9–18.0.
11	D'Andre Swift RB10 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	11.0	5.4	FLEX58	-5.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 5.6–18.4.
12	Chris Olave WR2 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	10.7	11.6	FLEX30	+0.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 4.9–19.4.
13	Chase Brown RB11 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	10.5	8.1	FLEX47	-2.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 5.4–17.2.
14	Ashton Jeanty RB12 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	10.1	12.6	FLEX29	+2.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 5.7–16.3.
15	Javonte Williams RB13 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	10.0	26.3	FLEX6	+16.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 4.9–16.5.
16	Cam Skattebo RB14 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	9.9	6.6	FLEX54	-3.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 4.5–17.1.
17	Zay Flowers WR3 BAL vs TEN · Questionable	BAL	vs TEN	9.4	17.8	FLEX12	+8.4	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 70% — median 9.4 if he plays.
18	Amon-Ra St. Brown WR4 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	9.4	7.5	FLEX51	-1.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 3.7–17.0.
19	Aaron Jones RB15 MIN vs MIA	MIN	vs MIA	9.3	12.8	FLEX27	+3.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 5.0–15.6.
20	Christian Watson WR5 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	9.0	4.7	FLEX62	-4.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 3.6–16.7.
21	Davante Adams WR6 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	8.9	3.2	FLEX70	-5.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 3.9–16.6.
22	Jeremiyah Love RB16 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	8.9	5.5	FLEX57	-3.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 4.1–15.4.
23	Ja'Marr Chase WR7 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	8.6	2.7	FLEX72	-5.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 3.4–15.8.
24	Omarion Hampton RB17 LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	8.5	11.3	FLEX33	+2.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 3.6–15.4.
25	Chuba Hubbard RB18 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	8.3	24.9	FLEX7	+16.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 3.9–14.7.
26	CeeDee Lamb WR8 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	8.3	24.3	FLEX9	+16.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 3.6–15.7.
27	Bucky Irving RB19 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	8.0	6.1	FLEX55	-1.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 4.0–14.4.
28	TreVeyon Henderson RB20 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	7.9	4.2	FLEX65	-3.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 3.2–14.6.
29	Parker Washington WR9 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	7.9	1.0	FLEX80	-6.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 3.4–14.8.
30	Rhamondre Stevenson RB21 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	7.8	15.4	FLEX18	+7.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 3.5–14.2.
31	Bhayshul Tuten RB22 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	7.6	9.1	FLEX42	+1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 3.1–13.9.
32	George Kittle TE1 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	7.6	13.0	FLEX25	+5.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 2.6–14.2.
33	Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB23 WAS vs IND	WAS	vs IND	7.4	5.0	FLEX61	-2.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 2.9–13.7.
34	Saquon Barkley RB24 PHI vs LA	PHI	vs LA	7.4	1.0	FLEX81	-6.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 4.1–13.0.
35	Tony Pollard RB25 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	7.3	11.0	FLEX34	+3.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 4.2–12.5.
36	Brock Bowers TE2 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	7.3	14.6	FLEX19	+7.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 2.6–13.6.
37	Tee Higgins WR10 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	7.3	15.7	FLEX16	+8.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 3.2–13.7.
38	David Montgomery RB26 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	7.3	4.3	FLEX64	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 2.9–13.1.
39	De'Von Achane RB27 MIA @ MIN	MIA	@ MIN	7.1	0.0	FLEX85	-7.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 3.6–13.1.
40	Trey McBride TE3 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	7.0	3.1	FLEX71	-3.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 2.6–13.5.
41	Garrett Wilson WR11 NYJ @ CHI	NYJ	@ CHI	7.0	2.7	FLEX73	-4.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 3.0–13.6.
42	Drake London WR12 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	6.9	9.6	FLEX37	+2.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 3.4–13.5.
43	Michael Wilson WR13 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	6.9	9.5	FLEX38	+2.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 2.9–13.3.
44	Juwan Johnson TE4 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	6.5	5.9	FLEX56	-0.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 2.3–12.9.
45	Travis Etienne RB28 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	6.3	0.0	FLEX86	-6.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 3.1–11.7.
46	Kyle Monangai RB29 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	6.1	27.0	FLEX3	+20.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 2.9–11.8.
47	RJ Harvey RB30 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	6.1	9.3	FLEX41	+3.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 2.4–12.0.
48	J.K. Dobbins RB31 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	6.0	5.2	FLEX60	-0.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 3.0–11.5.
49	Stefon Diggs WR14 WAS vs IND	WAS	vs IND	6.0	3.5	FLEX68	-2.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 2.1–12.9.
50	Harold Fannin Jr. TE5 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	6.0	8.7	FLEX44	+2.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 1.9–11.7.
51	Quinshon Judkins RB32 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	5.8	15.6	FLEX17	+9.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 2.9–11.1.
52	Rashee Rice WR15 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	5.7	0.0	FLEX87	-5.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 2.2–12.2.
53	Travis Kelce TE6 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	5.5	1.5	FLEX78	-4.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 2.1–11.3.
54	Luther Burden III WR16 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	5.5	7.4	FLEX53	+1.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 2.1–12.1.
55	Denzel Boston WR17 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	5.4	8.9	FLEX43	+3.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 2.1–11.9.
56	Blake Corum RB33 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	5.2	2.1	FLEX74	-3.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 2.5–10.9.
57	Jalen Coker WR18 CAR vs DET · Questionable	CAR	vs DET	5.1	0.0	FLEX88	-5.1	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 70% — median 5.1 if he plays.
58	Dalton Kincaid TE7 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	5.1	0.7	FLEX83	-4.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 2.0–10.8.
59	Kalif Raymond WR19 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	5.0	0.6	FLEX84	-4.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 2.0–11.1.
60	Terry McLaurin WR20 WAS vs IND · Questionable	WAS	vs IND	4.8	0.0	FLEX89	-4.8	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 4.8 if he plays.
61	Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB34 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	4.8	9.5	FLEX39	+4.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 1.5–11.0.
62	Josh Downs WR21 IND @ WAS	IND	@ WAS	4.8	1.6	FLEX77	-3.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 2.1–10.4.
63	George Pickens WR22 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	4.8	7.5	FLEX52	+2.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 2.0–10.6.
64	Matthew Golden WR23 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	4.8	8.7	FLEX45	+3.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 2.0–10.7.
65	Woody Marks RB35 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	4.8	8.2	FLEX46	+3.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 1.7–10.6.
66	Dalton Schultz TE8 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	4.7	0.9	FLEX82	-3.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 2.0–10.1.
67	Kenyon Sadiq TE9 NYJ @ CHI · Questionable	NYJ	@ CHI	4.7	0.0	FLEX90	-4.7	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 86% — median 4.7 if he plays.
68	Deebo Samuel Sr. WR24 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	4.6	13.0	FLEX26	+8.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 1.8–10.5.
69	Tetairoa McMillan WR25 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	4.6	31.2	FLEX1	+26.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 2.0–10.3.
70	Ty Johnson RB36 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	4.5	1.2	FLEX79	-3.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 1.4–10.2.
71	Devaughn Vele WR26 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	4.5	11.4	FLEX32	+6.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 1.8–10.4.
72	Darren Waller TE10 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	4.5	3.6	FLEX67	-0.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 1.2–10.2.
73	Wan'Dale Robinson WR27 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	4.4	8.0	FLEX48	+3.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 1.7–10.1.
74	Tucker Kraft TE11 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	4.4	10.5	FLEX35	+6.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 1.8–9.9.
75	Sam LaPorta TE12 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	4.4	14.4	FLEX20	+10.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 1.8–9.9.
76	Mike Washington Jr. RB37 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	4.3	1.7	FLEX75	-2.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 1.3–10.6.
77	Brian Robinson RB38 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	4.2	24.7	FLEX8	+20.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 1.4–10.0.
78	Tre Tucker WR28 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	4.2	4.4	FLEX63	+0.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 1.7–9.8.
79	Emanuel Wilson RB39 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	4.2	24.0	FLEX10	+19.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 2.0–9.0.
80	Jakobi Meyers WR29 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	4.2	3.3	FLEX69	-0.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 1.6–10.0.
81	Ladd McConkey WR30 LAC @ SEA · Questionable	LAC	@ SEA	4.0	0.0	FLEX91	-4.0	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 4.0 if he plays.
82	DK Metcalf WR31 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	4.0	11.5	FLEX31	+7.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 1.5–9.9.
83	Tyler Warren TE13 IND @ WAS	IND	@ WAS	4.0	4.1	FLEX66	+0.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 1.2–9.8.
84	DJ Moore WR32 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	4.0	1.7	FLEX76	-2.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 1.6–9.6.
85	Jameson Williams WR33 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	3.9	10.2	FLEX36	+6.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 1.7–8.9.
86	Jaylen Waddle WR34 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	3.9	9.5	FLEX40	+5.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 1.7–8.6.
87	Romeo Doubs WR35 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	3.9	17.8	FLEX13	+13.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 1.7–9.1.
88	Mack Hollins WR36 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	3.8	5.3	FLEX59	+1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 1.7–8.6.
89	Mike Evans WR37 SF vs DEN · Questionable	SF	vs DEN	3.8	7.6	FLEX50	+3.8	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 70% — median 3.8 if he plays.
90	Alvin Kamara RB40 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	3.7	17.8	FLEX14	+14.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 1.4–8.6.
91	Malik Nabers WR38 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	3.7	17.2	FLEX15	+13.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 1.5–9.2.
92	Breece Hall RB41 NYJ @ CHI · Out	NYJ	@ CHI	0.0	0.0	FLEX92	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
93	DeVonta Smith WR39 PHI vs LA · Out	PHI	vs LA	0.0	0.0	FLEX93	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
94	Justin Jefferson WR40 MIN vs MIA · Out	MIN	vs MIA	0.0	0.0	FLEX94	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
95	Rachaad White RB42 WAS vs IND · Out	WAS	vs IND	0.0	0.0	FLEX95	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
96	Jadarian Price RB43 SEA vs LAC · Out	SEA	vs LAC	0.0	0.0	FLEX96	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start

Showing 24 of 96 · tiers 3+ below

What the numbers say

6.0mean abs. error · Standard points, top 36

0.41rank correlation · Spearman, top 36

4 / 12ranked top 12 who finished top 12

58%actuals inside the 20–80 range · target 60%

This version was published after the week's first kickoff, so it is scored as a retrospective, not a forecast.

The engine's read on Week 4

Engine byline · no human author

Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Common questions about Week 4 FLEX rankings

Who is the best flex to start in Week 4 Standard?

Jahmyr Gibbs, our FLEX1 with a 17.3-point median; Derrick Henry is FLEX2.

When do these rankings update?

Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.

How this board is built

Projectionsens-fit-2026w03-mkt-20260929-2026-w4-2026-09-29+mkt-2026-w04-2026-09-29-18

Market2026-w04-2026-10-06-08

Simulation10,000 outcomes per player

Accuracyscored after the week flips

Rankings versionv6 · Sun, Oct 4, 8:01 AM ET

Ranks tagsunday-2026-w4-0801

Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits

More rankings

Week 4 · other positionsQuarterback Running Back Wide Receiver Tight End Kicker Defense Overall

FLEX · other formatsWeek 4 FLEX — PPR Week 4 FLEX — Half-PPR

FLEX · other weeksWeek 5 FLEX Week 6 FLEX Rest-of-season Flex 2026 draft Flex

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VersionsRankings vf6aae813· projections ens-fit-2026w03-mkt-20260929-2026-w4-2026-09-29+mkt-2026-w04-2026-09-29-18· lines 2026-w04-2026-10-06-08· injuries 2026-10-04T15:35:34Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version