Week 4 Overall Rankings & Results — Standard

By Red Zone Rank engine · Final board published Sun, Oct 4, 11:35 AM ET (v7) · results scored Tue, Oct 6, 5:01 AM ET

Week4 5 6

Josh Allen is our #1 overall for Week 4 in Standard, ahead of Brock Purdy and Tyler Shough. No rank moved since the last publish.

Week 4 boardsQB RB WR TE Flex K DST OverallAlsoRest-of-season Overall 2026 draft Overall

Results table

Week 4 OVERALL · Standard · Proj = engine median · Range = 20th–80th percentile · Opp/Total from the market as of 4:05 AM ET · Actual from final stats · Finish = actual rank on this board · Δ = actual − proj · Hit = within 6 ranks or inside the range
Rank	Player	Team	Opp	Proj	Actual	Finish	Δ	Hit	Note
Tier 1 · Must start
1	Josh Allen QB1 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	21.8	18.5	OVERALL23	-3.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 13.4–30.6.
2	Brock Purdy QB2 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	20.3	19.6	OVERALL20	-0.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 12.5–28.4.
3	Tyler Shough QB3 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	19.4	15.9	OVERALL37	-3.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 11.5–27.5.
Tier 2
4	Patrick Mahomes QB4 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	17.7	17.0	OVERALL32	-0.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 10.6–25.4.
5	Bryce Young QB5 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	17.6	21.5	OVERALL18	+3.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 10.5–25.0.
6	Trevor Lawrence QB6 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	17.5	13.1	OVERALL55	-4.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 10.3–25.0.
7	Case Keenum QB7 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	17.4	0.0	OVERALL265	-17.4	Miss	P(active) 85% from the injury report; median 17.4 if he plays.
8	Jahmyr Gibbs RB1 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	17.3	13.7	OVERALL49	-3.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 9.9–26.7.
9	Jared Goff QB8 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	17.2	20.5	OVERALL19	+3.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 10.3–24.4.
10	Matthew Stafford QB9 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	17.1	9.7	OVERALL85	-7.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 10.0–24.6.
11	Joe Burrow QB10 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	17.0	23.7	OVERALL12	+6.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 10.1–24.0.
12	Lamar Jackson QB11 BAL vs TEN	BAL	vs TEN	16.6	18.9	OVERALL22	+2.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 10.2–23.4.
13	Dak Prescott QB12 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	16.6	18.1	OVERALL24	+1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 9.9–23.4.
14	Derrick Henry RB2 BAL vs TEN	BAL	vs TEN	16.2	13.9	OVERALL48	-2.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 8.8–25.5.
15	Bijan Robinson RB3 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	15.8	26.7	OVERALL4	+10.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 9.2–24.5.
16	Jacoby Brissett QB13 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	15.6	10.4	OVERALL79	-5.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 8.7–22.7.
17	Bo Nix QB14 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	15.4	13.6	OVERALL50	-1.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 8.8–22.5.
18	Deshaun Watson QB15 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	15.2	12.9	OVERALL60	-2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 8.9–21.7.
19	C.J. Stroud QB16 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	14.9	23.1	OVERALL14	+8.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 8.8–21.3.
20	Jordan Love QB17 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	14.8	13.1	OVERALL56	-1.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 8.6–21.5.
21	Kirk Cousins QB18 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	14.4	22.6	OVERALL15	+8.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 7.9–21.1.
22	Geno Smith QB19 NYJ @ CHI	NYJ	@ CHI	14.0	8.8	OVERALL104	-5.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 7.9–20.3.
23	Jalen Hurts QB20 PHI vs LA	PHI	vs LA	13.9	13.5	OVERALL51	-0.3	Hit	P(active) 85% from the injury report; median 13.9 if he plays.
24	Sam Darnold QB21 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	13.7	13.3	OVERALL53	-0.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 7.5–20.0.
25	Kenneth Walker III RB4 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	13.6	29.9	OVERALL2	+16.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 7.6–21.6.
26	Jonathan Taylor RB5 IND @ WAS · locked	IND	@ WAS	13.5	21.7	OVERALL17	+8.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 7.0–21.5.
27	Justin Herbert QB22 LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	13.3	9.6	OVERALL88	-3.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 7.4–19.7.
28	Aaron Rodgers QB23 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	13.3	22.0	OVERALL16	+8.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 7.5–19.4.
29	Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR1 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	13.3	7.6	OVERALL123	-5.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 6.0–23.4.
30	Malik Willis QB24 MIA @ MIN	MIA	@ MIN	13.2	2.5	OVERALL213	-10.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 7.3–19.7.
31	Drake Maye QB25 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	13.1	26.2	OVERALL7	+13.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 7.2–19.4.
32	Marcus Mariota QB26 WAS vs IND · locked	WAS	vs IND	13.1	5.3	OVERALL161	-7.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 7.0–19.7.
33	Daniel Jones QB27 IND @ WAS · locked	IND	@ WAS	13.0	7.9	OVERALL120	-5.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 7.2–19.4.
34	Michael Penix Jr. QB28 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	12.9	12.7	OVERALL62	-0.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 7.4–18.9.
35	Cam Ward QB29 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	12.8	15.6	OVERALL40	+2.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 6.7–19.8.
36	Kyler Murray QB30 MIN vs MIA	MIN	vs MIA	12.8	11.5	OVERALL71	-1.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 6.7–19.2.
37	James Cook RB6 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	12.1	14.3	OVERALL44	+2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 6.4–19.7.
38	Christian McCaffrey RB7 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	11.6	13.0	OVERALL57	+1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 5.8–19.5.
39	Jaylen Warren RB8 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	11.1	12.6	OVERALL63	+1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 6.2–18.0.
40	MIN D/ST DST1 MIN vs MIA	MIN	vs MIA	11.0	8.0	OVERALL113	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 6.0–17.0.
41	Kyren Williams RB9 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	11.0	26.7	OVERALL5	+15.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 5.9–18.0.
42	D'Andre Swift RB10 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	11.0	5.4	OVERALL160	-5.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 5.6–18.4.
43	Chris Olave WR2 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	10.7	11.6	OVERALL69	+0.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 4.9–19.4.
44	Chase Brown RB11 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	10.5	8.1	OVERALL112	-2.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 5.4–17.2.
45	Jameis Winston QB31 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	10.2	18.0	OVERALL25	+7.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 5.4–15.6.
46	Ashton Jeanty RB12 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	10.1	12.6	OVERALL64	+2.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 5.7–16.3.
47	Javonte Williams RB13 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	10.0	26.3	OVERALL6	+16.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 4.9–16.5.
48	Cam Skattebo RB14 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	9.9	6.6	OVERALL139	-3.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 4.5–17.1.
49	Zay Flowers WR3 BAL vs TEN · Questionable	BAL	vs TEN	9.4	17.8	OVERALL27	+8.4	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 70% — median 9.4 if he plays.
50	Amon-Ra St. Brown WR4 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	9.4	7.5	OVERALL125	-1.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 3.7–17.0.
51	Aaron Jones RB15 MIN vs MIA	MIN	vs MIA	9.3	12.8	OVERALL61	+3.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 5.0–15.6.
52	Christian Watson WR5 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	9.0	4.7	OVERALL177	-4.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 3.6–16.7.
53	Davante Adams WR6 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	8.9	3.2	OVERALL204	-5.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 3.9–16.6.
54	Jeremiyah Love RB16 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	8.9	5.5	OVERALL158	-3.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 4.1–15.4.
55	Ja'Marr Chase WR7 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	8.6	2.7	OVERALL211	-5.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 3.4–15.8.
56	Omarion Hampton RB17 LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	8.5	11.3	OVERALL73	+2.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 3.6–15.4.
57	Chuba Hubbard RB18 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	8.3	24.9	OVERALL8	+16.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 3.9–14.7.
58	CeeDee Lamb WR8 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	8.3	24.3	OVERALL10	+16.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 3.6–15.7.
59	Bucky Irving RB19 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	8.0	6.1	OVERALL146	-1.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 4.0–14.4.
60	Jason Myers K1 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	8.0	6.0	OVERALL147	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
61	Ka'imi Fairbairn K2 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	8.0	16.0	OVERALL33	+8.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
62	Harrison Butker K3 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	8.0	6.0	OVERALL148	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
63	Eddy Pineiro K4 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	8.0	5.0	OVERALL165	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
64	Matt Gay K5 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	8.0	16.0	OVERALL34	+8.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
65	Tyler Bass K6 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	8.0	8.0	OVERALL114	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
66	Evan McPherson K7 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	8.0	5.0	OVERALL166	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
67	Brandon Aubrey K8 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	8.0	10.0	OVERALL81	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 4.0–14.0.
68	Jake Bates K9 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	8.0	18.0	OVERALL26	+10.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
69	Will Reichard K10 MIN vs MIA	MIN	vs MIA	8.0	19.0	OVERALL21	+11.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
70	Cam Little K11 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	8.0	14.0	OVERALL45	+6.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
71	Harrison Mevis K12 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	8.0	6.0	OVERALL149	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 4.0–12.0.
72	Spencer Shrader K13 IND @ WAS · locked	IND	@ WAS	8.0	16.0	OVERALL35	+8.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
73	Tyler Loop K14 BAL vs TEN	BAL	vs TEN	8.0	7.0	OVERALL130	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
74	TreVeyon Henderson RB20 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	7.9	4.2	OVERALL184	-3.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 3.2–14.6.
75	Parker Washington WR9 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	7.9	1.0	OVERALL244	-6.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 3.4–14.8.
76	Rhamondre Stevenson RB21 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	7.8	15.4	OVERALL41	+7.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 3.5–14.2.
77	Bhayshul Tuten RB22 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	7.6	9.1	OVERALL96	+1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 3.1–13.9.
78	George Kittle TE1 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	7.6	13.0	OVERALL58	+5.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 2.6–14.2.
79	Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB23 WAS vs IND · locked	WAS	vs IND	7.4	5.0	OVERALL167	-2.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 2.9–13.7.
80	Saquon Barkley RB24 PHI vs LA	PHI	vs LA	7.4	1.0	OVERALL245	-6.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 4.1–13.0.
81	Tony Pollard RB25 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	7.3	11.0	OVERALL75	+3.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 4.2–12.5.
82	Brock Bowers TE2 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	7.3	14.6	OVERALL42	+7.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 2.6–13.6.
83	Tee Higgins WR10 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	7.3	15.7	OVERALL38	+8.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 3.2–13.7.
84	David Montgomery RB26 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	7.3	4.3	OVERALL183	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 2.9–13.1.
85	De'Von Achane RB27 MIA @ MIN	MIA	@ MIN	7.1	0.0	OVERALL266	-7.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 3.6–13.1.
86	Trey McBride TE3 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	7.0	3.1	OVERALL206	-3.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 2.6–13.5.
87	Nick Folk K15 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	7.0	9.0	OVERALL97	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
88	Chris Boswell K16 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	7.0	3.0	OVERALL208	-4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
89	Cairo Santos K17 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	7.0	11.0	OVERALL76	+4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
90	Wil Lutz K18 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	7.0	8.0	OVERALL115	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
91	Daniel Carlson K19 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	7.0	5.0	OVERALL168	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
92	Jason Sanders K20 NYJ @ CHI	NYJ	@ CHI	7.0	6.0	OVERALL150	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
93	Chase McLaughlin K21 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	7.0	2.0	OVERALL221	-5.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 3.0–13.0.
94	Andre Szmyt K22 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	7.0	12.0	OVERALL66	+5.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
95	Chad Ryland K23 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	7.0	8.0	OVERALL116	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
96	Andy Borregales K24 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	7.0	3.0	OVERALL209	-4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
97	Ryan Fitzgerald K25 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	7.0	9.0	OVERALL98	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 4.0–12.0.
98	Trey Smack K26 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	7.0	7.0	OVERALL131	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
99	Dominic Zvada K27 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	7.0	14.0	OVERALL46	+7.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
100	Drew Stevens K28 WAS vs IND · locked	WAS	vs IND	7.0	7.0	OVERALL132	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
101	BAL D/ST DST2 BAL vs TEN	BAL	vs TEN	7.0	6.0	OVERALL151	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
102	PIT D/ST DST3 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	7.0	6.0	OVERALL152	-1.0	Hit	Played: 0.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
103	SEA D/ST DST4 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	7.0	10.0	OVERALL82	+3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
104	Garrett Wilson WR11 NYJ @ CHI	NYJ	@ CHI	7.0	2.7	OVERALL212	-4.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 3.0–13.6.
105	Drake London WR12 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	6.9	9.6	OVERALL86	+2.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 3.4–13.5.
106	Michael Wilson WR13 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	6.9	9.5	OVERALL89	+2.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 2.9–13.3.
107	Juwan Johnson TE4 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	6.5	5.9	OVERALL156	-0.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 2.3–12.9.
108	Travis Etienne RB28 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	6.3	0.0	OVERALL267	-6.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 3.1–11.7.
109	Kyle Monangai RB29 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	6.1	27.0	OVERALL3	+20.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 2.9–11.8.
110	RJ Harvey RB30 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	6.1	9.3	OVERALL95	+3.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 2.4–12.0.
111	J.K. Dobbins RB31 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	6.0	5.2	OVERALL163	-0.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 3.0–11.5.
112	Stefon Diggs WR14 WAS vs IND · locked	WAS	vs IND	6.0	3.5	OVERALL200	-2.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 2.1–12.9.
113	Harold Fannin Jr. TE5 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	6.0	8.7	OVERALL105	+2.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 1.9–11.7.
114	Jake Elliott K29 PHI vs LA	PHI	vs LA	6.0	10.0	OVERALL83	+4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 3.0–11.0.
115	Joey Slye K30 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	6.0	4.0	OVERALL186	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
116	Riley Patterson K31 MIA @ MIN	MIA	@ MIN	6.0	4.0	OVERALL187	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
117	Cameron Dicker K32 LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	6.0	12.0	OVERALL67	+6.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 3.0–11.0.
118	CHI D/ST DST5 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	6.0	7.0	OVERALL133	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
119	CIN D/ST DST6 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	6.0	4.0	OVERALL188	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
120	CLE D/ST DST7 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	6.0	9.0	OVERALL99	+3.0	Hit	Played: 0.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
121	DEN D/ST DST8 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	6.0	4.0	OVERALL189	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
122	DET D/ST DST9 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	6.0	2.0	OVERALL222	-4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
123	GB D/ST DST10 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	6.0	8.0	OVERALL117	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
124	HOU D/ST DST11 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	6.0	4.0	OVERALL190	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
125	LA D/ST DST12 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	6.0	5.0	OVERALL169	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0.
126	LV D/ST DST13 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	6.0	1.0	OVERALL246	-5.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
127	NO D/ST DST14 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	6.0	-3.0	OVERALL300	-9.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0.
128	Quinshon Judkins RB32 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	5.8	15.6	OVERALL39	+9.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 2.9–11.1.
129	Rashee Rice WR15 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	5.7	0.0	OVERALL268	-5.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 2.2–12.2.
130	Travis Kelce TE6 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	5.5	1.5	OVERALL232	-4.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 2.1–11.3.
131	Luther Burden III WR16 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	5.5	7.4	OVERALL127	+1.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 2.1–12.1.
132	Denzel Boston WR17 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	5.4	8.9	OVERALL100	+3.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 2.1–11.9.
133	Blake Corum RB33 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	5.2	2.1	OVERALL219	-3.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 2.5–10.9.
134	Jalen Coker WR18 CAR vs DET · Questionable	CAR	vs DET	5.1	0.0	OVERALL269	-5.1	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 70% — median 5.1 if he plays.
135	Dalton Kincaid TE7 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	5.1	0.7	OVERALL254	-4.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 2.0–10.8.
136	Kalif Raymond WR19 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	5.0	0.6	OVERALL258	-4.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 2.0–11.1.
137	ATL D/ST DST15 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	5.0	4.0	OVERALL191	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
138	BUF D/ST DST16 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	5.0	4.0	OVERALL192	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0.
139	CAR D/ST DST17 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	5.0	1.0	OVERALL247	-4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0.
140	JAX D/ST DST18 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	5.0	7.0	OVERALL134	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0.
141	KC D/ST DST19 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	5.0	4.0	OVERALL193	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0.
142	LAC D/ST DST20 LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	5.0	6.0	OVERALL153	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0.
143	TB D/ST DST21 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	5.0	5.0	OVERALL170	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0.
144	Terry McLaurin WR20 WAS vs IND · locked	WAS	vs IND	4.8	0.0	OVERALL270	-4.8	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 4.8 if he plays.
145	Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB34 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	4.8	9.5	OVERALL90	+4.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 1.5–11.0.
146	Josh Downs WR21 IND @ WAS · locked	IND	@ WAS	4.8	1.6	OVERALL230	-3.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 2.1–10.4.
147	George Pickens WR22 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	4.8	7.5	OVERALL126	+2.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 2.0–10.6.
148	Matthew Golden WR23 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	4.8	8.7	OVERALL106	+3.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 2.0–10.7.
149	Woody Marks RB35 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	4.8	8.2	OVERALL110	+3.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 1.7–10.6.
150	Dalton Schultz TE8 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	4.7	0.9	OVERALL251	-3.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 2.0–10.1.
151	Kenyon Sadiq TE9 NYJ @ CHI · Questionable	NYJ	@ CHI	4.7	0.0	OVERALL271	-4.7	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 86% — median 4.7 if he plays.
152	Deebo Samuel Sr. WR24 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	4.6	13.0	OVERALL59	+8.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 1.8–10.5.
153	Tetairoa McMillan WR25 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	4.6	31.2	OVERALL1	+26.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 2.0–10.3.
154	Ty Johnson RB36 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	4.5	1.2	OVERALL240	-3.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 1.4–10.2.
155	Devaughn Vele WR26 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	4.5	11.4	OVERALL72	+6.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 1.8–10.4.
156	Darren Waller TE10 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	4.5	3.6	OVERALL198	-0.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 1.2–10.2.
157	Wan'Dale Robinson WR27 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	4.4	8.0	OVERALL118	+3.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 1.7–10.1.
158	Tucker Kraft TE11 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	4.4	10.5	OVERALL78	+6.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 1.8–9.9.
159	Sam LaPorta TE12 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	4.4	14.4	OVERALL43	+10.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 1.8–9.9.
160	Mike Washington Jr. RB37 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	4.3	1.7	OVERALL227	-2.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 1.3–10.6.
161	Brian Robinson RB38 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	4.2	24.7	OVERALL9	+20.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 1.4–10.0.
162	Tre Tucker WR28 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	4.2	4.4	OVERALL182	+0.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 1.7–9.8.
163	Emanuel Wilson RB39 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	4.2	24.0	OVERALL11	+19.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 2.0–9.0.
164	Jakobi Meyers WR29 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	4.2	3.3	OVERALL203	-0.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 1.6–10.0.
165	Ladd McConkey WR30 LAC @ SEA · Questionable	LAC	@ SEA	4.0	0.0	OVERALL272	-4.0	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 4.0 if he plays.
166	DK Metcalf WR31 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	4.0	11.5	OVERALL70	+7.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 1.5–9.9.
167	Tyler Warren TE13 IND @ WAS · locked	IND	@ WAS	4.0	4.1	OVERALL185	+0.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 1.2–9.8.
168	DJ Moore WR32 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	4.0	1.7	OVERALL228	-2.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 1.6–9.6.
169	ARI D/ST DST22 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	4.0	6.0	OVERALL154	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
170	IND D/ST DST23 IND @ WAS · locked	IND	@ WAS	4.0	8.0	OVERALL119	+4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
171	NE D/ST DST24 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	4.0	5.0	OVERALL171	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
172	NYG D/ST DST25 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	4.0	14.0	OVERALL47	+10.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
173	NYJ D/ST DST26 NYJ @ CHI	NYJ	@ CHI	4.0	5.0	OVERALL172	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
174	PHI D/ST DST27 PHI vs LA	PHI	vs LA	4.0	5.0	OVERALL173	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 1.0–8.0.
175	SF D/ST DST28 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	4.0	1.0	OVERALL248	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
176	WAS D/ST DST29 WAS vs IND · locked	WAS	vs IND	4.0	5.0	OVERALL174	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
177	Jameson Williams WR33 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	3.9	10.2	OVERALL80	+6.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 1.7–8.9.
178	Jaylen Waddle WR34 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	3.9	9.5	OVERALL91	+5.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 1.7–8.6.
179	Romeo Doubs WR35 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	3.9	17.8	OVERALL28	+13.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 1.7–9.1.
180	Mack Hollins WR36 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	3.8	5.3	OVERALL162	+1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 1.7–8.6.
181	Mike Evans WR37 SF vs DEN · Questionable	SF	vs DEN	3.8	7.6	OVERALL124	+3.8	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 70% — median 3.8 if he plays.
182	Alvin Kamara RB40 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	3.7	17.8	OVERALL29	+14.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 1.4–8.6.
183	Malik Nabers WR38 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	3.7	17.2	OVERALL31	+13.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 1.5–9.2.
184	Kenny Gainwell RB41 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	3.6	8.7	OVERALL107	+5.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 1.2–8.9.
185	Keenan Allen WR39 IND @ WAS · locked	IND	@ WAS	3.5	0.0	OVERALL273	-3.5	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 64% — median 3.5 if he plays.
186	Tyler Higbee TE14 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	3.5	6.7	OVERALL137	+3.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 1.0–9.1.
187	Isaiah Likely TE15 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	3.5	6.6	OVERALL140	+3.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
188	Mike Gesicki TE16 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	3.5	10.0	OVERALL84	+6.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 1.0–9.1.
189	MarShawn Lloyd RB42 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	3.4	4.9	OVERALL176	+1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 1.2–8.6.
190	Carnell Tate WR40 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	3.4	12.5	OVERALL65	+9.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 1.5–7.9.
191	Tank Bigsby RB43 PHI vs LA	PHI	vs LA	3.4	5.5	OVERALL159	+2.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 1.0–8.9.
192	Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB44 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	3.4	-0.1	OVERALL298	-3.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 1.2–8.5.
193	Kendre Miller RB45 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	3.4	-0.1	OVERALL299	-3.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 1.1–9.0.
194	Jordan Addison WR41 MIN vs MIA	MIN	vs MIA	3.4	5.1	OVERALL164	+1.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 1.0–9.1.
195	Xavier Hutchinson WR42 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	3.3	4.6	OVERALL180	+1.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 1.5–7.5.
196	Tyjae Spears RB46 TEN @ BAL · Questionable	TEN	@ BAL	3.3	0.6	OVERALL259	-2.7	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 3.3 if he plays.
197	Tyler Allgeier RB47 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	3.3	10.9	OVERALL77	+7.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.3–8.3.
198	Jake Ferguson TE17 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	3.3	1.1	OVERALL243	-2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 0.7–8.8.
199	Cade Otton TE18 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	3.3	3.7	OVERALL196	+0.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 1.5–7.9.
200	Emmett Johnson RB48 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	3.3	1.0	OVERALL249	-2.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 1.3–7.9.
201	Kaelon Black RB49 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	3.3	1.3	OVERALL235	-1.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 1.2–8.3.
202	Keaton Mitchell RB50 LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	3.2	6.3	OVERALL143	+3.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 1.1–8.3.
203	Malik Washington WR43 MIA @ MIN	MIA	@ MIN	3.2	7.0	OVERALL135	+3.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 1.0–8.4.
204	Emeka Egbuka WR44 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	3.2	1.3	OVERALL236	-1.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 1.0–8.8.
205	Dontayvion Wicks WR45 PHI vs LA	PHI	vs LA	3.1	1.8	OVERALL226	-1.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 0.9–8.7.
206	Quentin Johnston WR46 LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	3.1	4.0	OVERALL194	+0.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 1.0–8.4.
207	Bam Knight RB51 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	3.1	0.0	OVERALL274	-3.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 0.8–8.6.
208	Samaje Perine RB52 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	3.1	0.7	OVERALL255	-2.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 0.9–8.4.
209	Ted Hurst III WR47 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	3.0	2.5	OVERALL214	-0.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 0.9–9.0.
210	DAL D/ST DST30 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	3.0	1.0	OVERALL250	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 0.0–7.0.
211	MIA D/ST DST31 MIA @ MIN	MIA	@ MIN	3.0	5.0	OVERALL175	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 0.0–8.0.
212	TEN D/ST DST32 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	3.0	2.0	OVERALL223	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 0.0–8.0.
213	Braelon Allen RB53 NYJ @ CHI	NYJ	@ CHI	3.0	6.7	OVERALL138	+3.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 1.0–8.3.
214	Brenton Strange TE19 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	3.0	9.5	OVERALL92	+6.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 0.9–8.5.
215	Tre Harris WR48 LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	3.0	6.0	OVERALL155	+3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 0.9–7.5.
216	Najee Harris RB54 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	2.9	3.0	OVERALL210	+0.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 1.1–7.7.
217	Andy Dalton QB32 PHI vs LA	PHI	vs LA	2.9	0.0	OVERALL275	-2.9	Hit	P(active) 85% from the injury report; median 2.9 if he plays.
218	Rome Odunze WR49 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	2.9	9.4	OVERALL94	+6.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 0.9–7.9.
219	Raheim Sanders RB55 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	2.9	1.6	OVERALL231	-1.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 1.0–7.6.
220	Trey Lance QB33 LAC @ SEA · Questionable	LAC	@ SEA	2.9	0.0	OVERALL276	-2.9	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 29% — median 2.9 if he plays.
221	Chris Godwin Jr. WR50 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	2.9	3.1	OVERALL207	+0.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 0.9–7.7.
222	AJ Barner TE20 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	2.9	1.2	OVERALL241	-1.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 0.9–8.2.
223	Pat Freiermuth TE21 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	2.8	7.7	OVERALL121	+4.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 1.0–8.1.
224	Elic Ayomanor WR51 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	2.8	2.2	OVERALL217	-0.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 0.8–8.1.
225	Pat Bryant WR52 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	2.8	4.7	OVERALL178	+1.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 0.9–8.0.
226	Colston Loveland TE22 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	2.8	5.7	OVERALL157	+2.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 0.9–8.0.
227	Courtland Sutton WR53 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	2.8	0.4	OVERALL261	-2.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 0.9–7.8.
228	Noah Fant TE23 NO vs ATL · Questionable	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	2.7	0.0	OVERALL277	-2.7	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen 11:30 ET): P(active) 86% — median 2.7 if he plays.
229	Tory Horton WR54 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	2.7	6.6	OVERALL141	+3.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 0.7–8.5.
230	George Holani RB56 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	2.7	2.0	OVERALL224	-0.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 0.8–7.8.
231	Cooper Kupp WR55 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	2.6	1.3	OVERALL237	-1.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 0.8–7.8.
232	Michael Mayer TE24 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	2.6	8.2	OVERALL111	+5.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 0.8–7.8.
233	Greg Dulcich TE25 MIA @ MIN	MIA	@ MIN	2.6	0.0	OVERALL278	-2.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 0.9–7.4.
234	Zach Ertz TE26 PHI vs LA	PHI	vs LA	2.5	1.3	OVERALL238	-1.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 0.9–7.3.
235	Rashod Bateman WR56 BAL vs TEN	BAL	vs TEN	2.5	4.6	OVERALL181	+2.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 0.8–7.8.
236	Ollie Gordon II RB57 MIA @ MIN	MIA	@ MIN	2.5	16.0	OVERALL36	+13.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 0.6–8.0.
237	Ray Davis RB58 BUF vs NE · Questionable	BUF	vs NE	2.5	0.7	OVERALL256	-1.8	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 49% — median 2.5 if he plays.
238	Antonio Williams WR57 WAS vs IND · locked	WAS	vs IND	2.5	2.1	OVERALL220	-0.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 0.8–7.8.
239	Roman Wilson WR58 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	2.5	13.4	OVERALL52	+10.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 0.7–7.9.
240	Chris Bell WR59 MIA @ MIN	MIA	@ MIN	2.4	0.0	OVERALL279	-2.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 0.7–6.5.
241	Isaac TeSlaa WR60 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	2.4	9.5	OVERALL93	+7.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 0.7–7.4.
242	Hunter Henry TE27 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	2.4	6.2	OVERALL144	+3.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 0.8–7.7.
243	T.J. Hockenson TE28 MIN vs MIA	MIN	vs MIA	2.4	11.9	OVERALL68	+9.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 0.8–7.6.
244	Kimani Vidal RB59 LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	2.4	9.6	OVERALL87	+7.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 0.7–7.1.
245	Keon Coleman WR61 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	2.4	17.6	OVERALL30	+15.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 0.7–6.9.
246	Khalil Shakir WR62 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	2.4	6.2	OVERALL145	+3.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 0.7–6.5.
247	Mark Andrews TE29 BAL vs TEN	BAL	vs TEN	2.4	8.7	OVERALL108	+6.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 0.8–7.0.
248	Jauan Jennings WR63 MIN vs MIA	MIN	vs MIA	2.4	0.8	OVERALL253	-1.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 0.7–7.9.
249	Jaylin Noel WR64 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	2.4	8.9	OVERALL101	+6.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 0.8–6.7.
250	Ryan Flournoy WR65 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	2.4	3.7	OVERALL197	+1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 0.8–7.2.
251	Konata Mumpfield WR66 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	2.3	0.7	OVERALL257	-1.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 0.7–7.6.
252	Brian Thomas Jr. WR67 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	2.3	7.7	OVERALL122	+5.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 0.7–6.3.
253	Darnell Mooney WR68 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	2.3	0.0	OVERALL280	-2.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 0.7–6.1.
254	Tyquan Thornton WR69 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	2.3	23.1	OVERALL13	+20.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 0.7–6.1.
255	Justice Hill RB60 BAL vs TEN	BAL	vs TEN	2.2	2.5	OVERALL215	+0.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 0.6–7.1.
256	KC Concepcion WR70 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	2.2	6.4	OVERALL142	+4.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 0.7–6.4.
257	Jaleel McLaughlin RB61 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	2.2	8.8	OVERALL103	+6.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 0.6–6.5.
258	Kayshon Boutte WR71 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	2.1	3.6	OVERALL199	+1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 0.7–6.4.
259	Chris Brooks RB62 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	2.1	3.5	OVERALL201	+1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 0.6–6.6.
260	Michael Pittman WR72 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	2.1	1.5	OVERALL233	-0.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 0.7–6.2.
261	Jalen McMillan WR73 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	2.1	0.0	OVERALL281	-2.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 0.7–5.6.
262	Kaytron Allen RB63 MIA @ MIN · locked	MIA	@ MIN	2.1	0.1	OVERALL263	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 0.5–6.5.
263	Darnell Washington TE30 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	2.1	8.7	OVERALL109	+6.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 0.7–6.2.
264	Kendrick Bourne WR74 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	2.1	0.0	OVERALL282	-2.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 0.7–5.6.
265	Malachi Fields WR75 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	2.0	11.2	OVERALL74	+9.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 0.7–5.6.
266	Matthew Hibner TE31 BAL vs TEN	BAL	vs TEN	2.0	3.4	OVERALL202	+1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 0.5–7.4.
267	Evan Engram TE32 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	2.0	0.6	OVERALL260	-1.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 0.6–6.9.
268	Marvin Harrison Jr. WR76 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	2.0	7.2	OVERALL128	+5.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 0.6–5.8.
269	Isaiah Davis RB64 NYJ @ CHI	NYJ	@ CHI	2.0	0.0	OVERALL283	-2.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 0.6–6.8.
270	Calvin Ridley WR77 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	2.0	1.3	OVERALL239	-0.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 0.6–5.2.
271	Kyle Pitts TE33 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	2.0	4.7	OVERALL179	+2.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 0.6–6.5.
272	Jordan Watkins WR78 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	2.0	0.0	OVERALL284	-2.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 0.6–5.1.
273	DeMario Douglas WR79 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	1.9	1.5	OVERALL234	-0.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 0.6–5.5.
274	Austin Hooper TE34 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	1.9	0.9	OVERALL252	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 0.4–7.3.
275	Tommy Tremble TE35 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	1.9	1.2	OVERALL242	-0.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 0.6–6.5.
276	Xavier Worthy WR80 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	1.8	7.0	OVERALL136	+5.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 0.0–6.8.
277	Kevin Austin Jr. WR81 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	1.8	0.0	OVERALL285	-1.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 0.4–6.2.
278	Brycen Tremayne WR82 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	1.8	3.2	OVERALL205	+1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 0.6–4.8.
279	Oronde Gadsden II TE36 LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	1.8	3.8	OVERALL195	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 0.4–6.9.
280	Sione Vaki RB65 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	1.8	1.7	OVERALL229	-0.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 0.5–6.0.
281	Jonnu Smith TE37 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	1.8	1.9	OVERALL225	+0.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 0.4–6.3.
282	Tyson Bagent QB34 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	1.8	8.8	OVERALL102	+7.1	Miss	P(active) 69% from the injury report; median 1.7 if he plays.
283	Josh Palmer WR83 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	1.8	0.3	OVERALL262	-1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 0.0–7.5.
284	Corey Kiner RB66 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	1.7	0.0	OVERALL286	-1.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 0.5–6.0.
285	Theo Johnson TE38 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	1.7	7.1	OVERALL129	+5.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 0.5–5.8.
286	Jordan James RB67 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	1.7	0.0	OVERALL287	-1.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 0.1–6.3.
287	Kaleb Johnson RB68 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	1.6	2.2	OVERALL218	+0.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 0.4–6.0.
288	Foster Moreau TE39 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	1.6	0.1	OVERALL264	-1.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 0.4–6.9.
289	Will Shipley RB69 PHI vs LA	PHI	vs LA	1.6	2.3	OVERALL216	+0.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 0.5–5.2.
290	Colby Parkinson TE40 LA @ PHI · Questionable	LA	@ PHI	1.6	0.0	OVERALL288	-1.6	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 39% — median 1.6 if he plays.
291	Brashard Smith RB70 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	1.6	0.0	OVERALL289	-1.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 0.4–6.1.
292	Isaiah Williams WR84 NYJ @ CHI	NYJ	@ CHI	1.6	13.3	OVERALL54	+11.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 0.0–5.0.
293	Nate Adkins TE41 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	1.5	0.0	OVERALL290	-1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 0.4–7.0.
294	Baker Mayfield QB35 TB vs GB · Out	TB	vs GB	0.0	0.0	OVERALL291	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
295	Breece Hall RB71 NYJ @ CHI · Out	NYJ	@ CHI	0.0	0.0	OVERALL292	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
296	DeVonta Smith WR85 PHI vs LA · Out	PHI	vs LA	0.0	0.0	OVERALL293	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
297	Justin Jefferson WR86 MIN vs MIA · Out	MIN	vs MIA	0.0	0.0	OVERALL294	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
298	Rachaad White RB72 WAS vs IND · locked	WAS	vs IND	0.0	0.0	OVERALL295	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
299	Jadarian Price RB73 SEA vs LAC · Out	SEA	vs LAC	0.0	0.0	OVERALL296	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
300	Terrance Ferguson TE42 LA @ PHI · Out	LA	@ PHI	0.0	0.0	OVERALL297	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start

Showing 24 of 300 · tiers 2+ below

What the numbers say

5.2mean abs. error · Standard points, top 36

0.26rank correlation · Spearman, top 36

1 / 12ranked top 12 who finished top 12

69%actuals inside the 20–80 range · target 60%

This version was published after the week's first kickoff, so it is scored as a retrospective, not a forecast.

The engine's read on Week 4

Engine byline · no human author

Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Common questions about Week 4 OVERALL rankings

Who is the best overall to start in Week 4 Standard?

Josh Allen, our OVERALL1 with a 21.8-point median; Brock Purdy is OVERALL2.

When do these rankings update?

Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.

Why is PIT D/ST still ranked after playing?

Locked players stay on the board at their actual points so ranks and flex comparisons stay complete.

How this board is built

Projectionsens-fit-2026w03-mkt-20260929-2026-w4-2026-09-29+mkt-2026-w04-2026-09-29-18

Market2026-w04-2026-10-06-08

Simulation10,000 outcomes per player

Accuracyscored after the week flips

Rankings versionv7 · Sun, Oct 4, 11:35 AM ET

Ranks tagsunday-2026-w4-1135

Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits

More rankings

Week 4 · other positionsQuarterback Running Back Wide Receiver Tight End Flex Kicker Defense

OVERALL · other formatsWeek 4 OVERALL — PPR Week 4 OVERALL — Half-PPR

OVERALL · other weeksWeek 5 OVERALL Week 6 OVERALL Rest-of-season Overall 2026 draft Overall

This weekWeek 4 hub Ask about this board Waiver wire Injury report

VersionsRankings vf6aae813· projections ens-fit-2026w03-mkt-20260929-2026-w4-2026-09-29+mkt-2026-w04-2026-09-29-18· lines 2026-w04-2026-10-06-08· injuries 2026-10-04T15:35:34Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version