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Rest-of-Season Overall Rankings — Standard

Josh Allen is our #1 overall for the rest of the season in Standard, ahead of Jared Goff and Joe Burrow. The biggest riser since the last publish is Ty Simpson (#275→#145); the biggest faller is T.J. Hockenson (#179→#263).

Rankings table

Rest of season (Weeks 6–17) OVERALL · Standard · Proj = expected points over the horizon (each week's mean line scored × P(active), byes at zero) · Range = 20th–80th percentile of the summed weekly outcomes · each future week uses that week's opponent; an injured player's return is priced by P(active)
RankPlayerTeamProjRangeVerdictNote
Tier 1 · Must start
1Josh Allen QB1
BUF
BUF256.2StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 7; expected 256 points, P(active) dips to 85% · 20–80 range 225–284.
Tier 2
2Jared Goff QB2
DET · up 3 5→2
DET221.6StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 6; expected 222 points · 20–80 range 198–247.
3Joe Burrow QB3
CIN
CIN217.7StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 6; expected 218 points · 20–80 range 193–241.
4Brock Purdy QB4
SF · down 2 2→4
SF215.9StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 8; expected 216 points · 20–80 range 191–242.
5Matthew Stafford QB5
LA · up 4 9→5
LA213.4StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 213 points, P(active) dips to 85% · 20–80 range 189–237.
6Jahmyr Gibbs RB1
DET · up 4 10→6
DET212.2StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 6; expected 212 points · 20–80 range 181–240.
7Drake Maye QB6
NE · up 12 19→7
NE210.4StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 210 points · 20–80 range 185–234.
8Jayden Daniels QB7
WAS · up 30 38→8
WAS197.4StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 7; expected 197 points · 20–80 range 173–221.
9Trevor Lawrence QB8
JAX · up 5 14→9
JAX190.0StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 7; expected 190 points · 20–80 range 168–213.
10C.J. Stroud QB9
HOU · up 7 17→10
HOU186.2StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 8; expected 186 points · 20–80 range 164–209.
11Dak Prescott QB10
DAL · down 4 7→11
DAL183.9StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 14; expected 184 points · 20–80 range 163–205.
12Caleb Williams QB11
CHI · up 3 15→12
CHI183.3StartWeeks 6–17: 10 games, bye Week 10; expected 183 points · 20–80 range 161–205.
13Jacoby Brissett QB12
ARI · up 7 20→13
ARI182.1StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 14; expected 182 points · 20–80 range 160–205.
14Jordan Love QB13
GB · up 13 27→14
GB176.5StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 177 points · 20–80 range 154–197.
15Jalen Hurts QB14
PHI · up 9 24→15
PHI176.4StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 10; expected 176 points · 20–80 range 154–199.
16Bijan Robinson RB2
ATL · down 4 12→16
ATL176.0StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 176 points · 20–80 range 151–198.
17Kirk Cousins QB15
LV · up 1 18→17
LV174.2StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 13; expected 174 points · 20–80 range 153–195.
18Tyler Shough QB16
NO · down 12 6→18
NO173.7StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 8; expected 174 points · 20–80 range 153–198.
19Aaron Rodgers QB17
PIT · up 6 25→19
PIT172.7StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 9; expected 173 points · 20–80 range 150–194.
20Derrick Henry RB3
BAL · down 4 16→20
BAL170.7StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 13; expected 171 points · 20–80 range 146–195.
21Deshaun Watson QB18
CLE · up 1 22→21
CLE168.5StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 169 points · 20–80 range 148–190.
22Lamar Jackson QB19
BAL · up 1 23→22
BAL164.6StartWeeks 6–17: 10 games, bye Week 13; expected 165 points · 20–80 range 144–183.
23Jaylen Warren RB4
PIT · up 27 50→23
PIT161.8StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 9; expected 162 points · 20–80 range 137–186.
24Kyren Williams RB5
LA · up 4 28→24
LA159.1StartWeeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 159 points · 20–80 range 134–182.
Showing 24 of 300 · tiers 2+ below

Key changes since the previous publish

Generated from the diff between published versions; reasons are the engine's.
The engine's read on the rest of the season
Engine byline · no human author

Engine-generated rest-of-season board: the same projection sources as the weekly boards, rolled forward week by week with each week's opponent, byes at zero and P(active) from the injury report, summed to the fantasy playoffs' end. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Tiers 1–2 in depth

Josh AllenQB1 · BUF
Median 256.2 · 20–80 range 224.9–284.4. Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 7; expected 256 points, P(active) dips to 85% · 20–80 range 225–284.
Jared GoffQB2 · DET
Median 221.6 · 20–80 range 198.2–246.9. Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 6; expected 222 points · 20–80 range 198–247.
Joe BurrowQB3 · CIN
Median 217.7 · 20–80 range 192.6–241.1. Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 6; expected 218 points · 20–80 range 193–241.
Brock PurdyQB4 · SF
Median 215.9 · 20–80 range 191.3–242.5. Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 8; expected 216 points · 20–80 range 191–242.
Median 213.4 · 20–80 range 189.2–236.7. Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 213 points, P(active) dips to 85% · 20–80 range 189–237.
Jahmyr GibbsRB1 · DET
Median 212.2 · 20–80 range 180.6–239.9. Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 6; expected 212 points · 20–80 range 181–240.

Common questions about rest-of-season OVERALL rankings

Who is the top overall in Standard?

Josh Allen, our OVERALL1 with a 256.2-point median; Jared Goff is OVERALL2.

How this board is built
Projectionsens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09+ros-w6-17
Marketmasked
Simulation10,000 outcomes per player
Accuracyscored after the week flips
Rankings versionv6 · Tue, Oct 13, 5:32 AM ET
Ranks tagseed-ros-2026-w6-20261013T0932
Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits
VersionsRankings v0850ba1e· projections ens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09+ros-w6-17· lines 2026-w06-2026-10-16-20· injuries 2026-10-15T22:45:25Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version