Rest-of-Season Quarterback Rankings — Standard

By Red Zone Rank engine · Rankings as of Tue, Oct 13, 5:32 AM ET (v6)

Josh Allen is our QB1 for the rest of the season in Standard, ahead of Jared Goff and Joe Burrow. The biggest riser since the last publish is Jayden Daniels (QB29→QB7); the biggest faller is Case Keenum (QB8→QB32).

Rest of season boardsQB RB WR TE Flex K DST OverallAlsoWeek 6 Quarterback (live)

Rankings table

Rest of season (Weeks 6–17) QB · Standard · Proj = expected points over the horizon (each week's mean line scored × P(active), byes at zero) · Range = 20th–80th percentile of the summed weekly outcomes · each future week uses that week's opponent; an injured player's return is priced by P(active)
Rank	Player	Team	Proj	Verdict	Note
Tier 1 · Must start
1	Josh Allen BUF	BUF	256.2	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 7; expected 256 points, P(active) dips to 85% · 20–80 range 225–284.
Tier 2
2	Jared Goff DET · up 3 5→2	DET	221.6	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 6; expected 222 points · 20–80 range 198–247.
3	Joe Burrow CIN	CIN	217.7	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 6; expected 218 points · 20–80 range 193–241.
4	Brock Purdy SF · down 2 2→4	SF	215.9	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 8; expected 216 points · 20–80 range 191–242.
5	Matthew Stafford LA · up 4 9→5	LA	213.4	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 213 points, P(active) dips to 85% · 20–80 range 189–237.
6	Drake Maye NE · up 9 15→6	NE	210.4	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 210 points · 20–80 range 185–234.
7	Jayden Daniels WAS · up 22 29→7	WAS	197.4	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 7; expected 197 points · 20–80 range 173–221.
8	Trevor Lawrence JAX · up 3 11→8	JAX	190.0	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 7; expected 190 points · 20–80 range 168–213.
9	C.J. Stroud HOU · up 4 13→9	HOU	186.2	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 8; expected 186 points · 20–80 range 164–209.
10	Dak Prescott DAL · down 3 7→10	DAL	183.9	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 14; expected 184 points · 20–80 range 163–205.
11	Caleb Williams CHI · up 1 12→11	CHI	183.3	Start	Weeks 6–17: 10 games, bye Week 10; expected 183 points · 20–80 range 161–205.
12	Jacoby Brissett ARI · up 4 16→12	ARI	182.1	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 14; expected 182 points · 20–80 range 160–205.
13	Jordan Love GB · up 9 22→13	GB	176.5	Flex	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 177 points · 20–80 range 154–197.
14	Jalen Hurts PHI · up 6 20→14	PHI	176.4	Flex	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 10; expected 176 points · 20–80 range 154–199.
15	Kirk Cousins LV · down 1 14→15	LV	174.2	Flex	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 13; expected 174 points · 20–80 range 153–195.
16	Tyler Shough NO · down 10 6→16	NO	173.7	Flex	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 8; expected 174 points · 20–80 range 153–198.
17	Aaron Rodgers PIT · up 4 21→17	PIT	172.7	Flex	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 9; expected 173 points · 20–80 range 150–194.
18	Deshaun Watson CLE	CLE	168.5	Flex	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 169 points · 20–80 range 148–190.
19	Lamar Jackson BAL	BAL	164.6	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 10 games, bye Week 13; expected 165 points · 20–80 range 144–183.
20	Malik Willis MIA · up 8 28→20	MIA	157.3	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 6; expected 157 points · 20–80 range 134–177.
21	Bo Nix DEN · down 4 17→21	DEN	155.1	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 10; expected 155 points · 20–80 range 135–175.
22	Jameis Winston NYG · new	NYG	152.2	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 8; expected 152 points · 20–80 range 133–172.
23	Tyler Huntley BAL · new	BAL	148.2	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 13; expected 148 points · 20–80 range 129–167.
24	Daniel Jones IND · new	IND	147.2	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 13; expected 147 points · 20–80 range 128–168.
25	Kyler Murray MIN · up 5 30→25	MIN	146.8	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 6; expected 147 points · 20–80 range 129–165.
26	Carson Wentz MIN · new	MIN	145.3	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 6; expected 145 points · 20–80 range 126–165.
27	Geno Smith NYJ	NYJ	145.1	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 13; expected 145 points · 20–80 range 126–164.
28	Sam Darnold SEA · down 4 24→28	SEA	144.3	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 144 points · 20–80 range 124–163.
29	Justin Herbert LAC · down 4 25→29	LAC	144.2	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 7; expected 144 points · 20–80 range 124–164.
30	Cam Ward TEN · down 4 26→30	TEN	144.1	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 9; expected 144 points · 20–80 range 124–164.
31	Baker Mayfield TB · up 1 32→31	TB	141.1	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 10 games, bye Week 10; expected 141 points · 20–80 range 122–160.
32	Case Keenum CHI · down 24 8→32	CHI	140.0	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 10; expected 140 points, P(active) dips to 40% · 20–80 range 119–161.

Showing 24 of 32 · tiers 2+ below

Key changes since the previous publish

Jayden Daniels up 22 to QB7
Jordan Love up 9 to QB13
Drake Maye up 9 to QB6
Malik Willis up 8 to QB20
Jalen Hurts up 6 to QB14
Kirk Cousins down 1 to QB15
Brock Purdy down 2 to QB4
Dak Prescott down 3 to QB10
Bo Nix down 4 to QB21
Sam Darnold down 4 to QB28
4 new to the board.

Generated from the diff between published versions; reasons are the engine's.

The engine's read on the rest of the season

Engine byline · no human author

Engine-generated rest-of-season board: the same projection sources as the weekly boards, rolled forward week by week with each week's opponent, byes at zero and P(active) from the injury report, summed to the fantasy playoffs' end. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Tiers 1–2 in depth

Josh AllenQB1 · BUF

Median 256.2 · 20–80 range 224.9–284.4. Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 7; expected 256 points, P(active) dips to 85% · 20–80 range 225–284.

player page

Jared GoffQB2 · DET

Median 221.6 · 20–80 range 198.2–246.9. Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 6; expected 222 points · 20–80 range 198–247.

player page

Joe BurrowQB3 · CIN

Median 217.7 · 20–80 range 192.6–241.1. Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 6; expected 218 points · 20–80 range 193–241.

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Brock PurdyQB4 · SF

Median 215.9 · 20–80 range 191.3–242.5. Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 8; expected 216 points · 20–80 range 191–242.

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Matthew StaffordQB5 · LA

Median 213.4 · 20–80 range 189.2–236.7. Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 213 points, P(active) dips to 85% · 20–80 range 189–237.

player page

Drake MayeQB6 · NE

Median 210.4 · 20–80 range 185.4–234.5. Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 210 points · 20–80 range 185–234.

player page

Common questions about rest-of-season QB rankings

Who is the top quarterback in Standard?

Josh Allen, our QB1 with a 256.2-point median; Jared Goff is QB2.

How this board is built

Projectionsens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09+ros-w6-17

Marketmasked

Simulation10,000 outcomes per player

Accuracyscored after the week flips

Rankings versionv6 · Tue, Oct 13, 5:32 AM ET

Ranks tagseed-ros-2026-w6-20261013T0932

Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits

More rankings

Rest of season · other positionsRunning Back Wide Receiver Tight End Flex Kicker Defense Overall

QB · other formatsRest of season QB — PPR Rest of season QB — Half-PPR

QB · other weeksWeek 6 Quarterback (live)

This weekAsk about this board Waiver wire Injury report

VersionsRankings v0850ba1e· projections ens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09+ros-w6-17· lines 2026-w06-2026-10-16-20· injuries 2026-10-15T22:45:25Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version