Week 5 Overall Rankings & Results — Standard

By Red Zone Rank engine · Final board published Sun, Oct 11, 11:35 AM ET (v3) · results scored Tue, Oct 13, 5:01 AM ET

Week4 5 6

Josh Allen is our #1 overall for Week 5 in Standard, ahead of Brock Purdy and Joe Burrow. The biggest riser since the last publish is Sione Vaki (#257→#256); the biggest faller is Josh Palmer (#256→#292).

Week 5 boardsQB RB WR TE Flex K DST OverallAlsoRest-of-season Overall 2026 draft Overall

Results table

Week 5 OVERALL · Standard · Proj = engine median · Range = 20th–80th percentile · Opp/Total from the market as of 4:05 AM ET · Actual from final stats · Finish = actual rank on this board · Δ = actual − proj · Hit = within 6 ranks or inside the range · bye-week teams (CAR, KC) excluded
Rank	Player	Team	Opp	Proj	Actual	Finish	Δ	Hit	Note
Tier 1 · Must start
1	Josh Allen QB1 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	20.5	30.5	OVERALL4	+10.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 12.3–29.0.
Tier 2
2	Brock Purdy QB2 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	18.7	16.2	OVERALL38	-2.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 11.3–26.8.
3	Joe Burrow QB3 CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	18.4	24.6	OVERALL11	+6.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 11.1–25.8.
4	Jared Goff QB4 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	18.1	28.9	OVERALL6	+10.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 11.3–25.3.
5	Dak Prescott QB5 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	17.4	12.6	OVERALL66	-4.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 10.8–24.4.
6	Matthew Stafford QB6 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	16.8	27.3	OVERALL7	+10.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 10.0–23.9.
7	Jahmyr Gibbs RB1 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	16.1	32.7	OVERALL2	+16.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 8.9–25.1.
8	Jacoby Brissett QB7 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	15.9	24.3	OVERALL13	+8.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 9.0–23.0.
9	Trevor Lawrence QB8 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	15.8	21.7	OVERALL17	+6.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 8.9–22.7.
10	Deshaun Watson QB9 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	15.6	12.2	OVERALL68	-3.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 9.2–22.4.
11	C.J. Stroud QB10 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	15.6	20.9	OVERALL20	+5.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 9.4–22.4.
12	Tyler Shough QB11 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	15.6	-0.2	OVERALL297	-15.7	Miss	P(active) 85% from the injury report; median 15.6 if he plays.
13	Bijan Robinson RB2 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	15.4	11.8	OVERALL73	-3.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 8.6–24.2.
14	Drake Maye QB12 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	15.3	39.5	OVERALL1	+24.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 8.8–22.2.
15	Bo Nix QB13 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	15.2	7.9	OVERALL104	-7.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 8.6–22.2.
16	Kirk Cousins QB14 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	15.0	13.7	OVERALL56	-1.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 8.5–22.1.
17	Aaron Rodgers QB15 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	14.9	22.0	OVERALL15	+7.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 8.5–21.6.
18	Derrick Henry RB3 BAL @ ATL	BAL	@ ATL	14.8	20.0	OVERALL22	+5.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 7.8–23.6.
19	Jalen Hurts QB16 PHI @ JAX · locked	PHI	@ JAX	14.4	13.0	OVERALL63	-1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 7.8–21.5.
20	Jordan Love QB17 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	13.9	25.3	OVERALL10	+11.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 7.7–20.2.
21	Kyren Williams RB4 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	13.5	13.6	OVERALL58	+0.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 7.4–21.4.
22	Justin Herbert QB18 LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	13.4	10.2	OVERALL83	-3.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 7.4–20.0.
23	Geno Smith QB19 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	13.4	10.0	OVERALL89	-3.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 7.6–19.5.
24	Jonathan Taylor RB5 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	13.4	8.2	OVERALL101	-5.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 6.9–21.5.
25	Sam Darnold QB20 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	13.3	8.3	OVERALL99	-5.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 7.3–19.8.
26	Cam Ward QB21 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	13.0	5.0	OVERALL147	-8.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 7.0–19.8.
27	Malik Willis QB22 MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	12.5	18.9	OVERALL26	+6.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 6.9–18.4.
28	Kyler Murray QB23 MIN @ NO	MIN	@ NO	12.2	18.3	OVERALL28	+6.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 6.7–18.2.
29	Javonte Williams RB6 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	12.0	12.2	OVERALL69	+0.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 5.8–19.1.
30	Daniel Jones QB24 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	11.8	11.1	OVERALL78	-0.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 6.0–18.2.
31	Jameis Winston QB25 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	11.4	25.7	OVERALL9	+14.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 5.6–17.4.
32	Athan Kaliakmanis QB26 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	11.4	0.0	OVERALL254	-11.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 5.8–17.5.
33	James Cook RB7 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	11.3	21.8	OVERALL16	+10.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 5.9–18.7.
34	Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR1 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	11.2	17.8	OVERALL31	+6.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 4.9–20.0.
35	Michael Penix Jr. QB27 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	11.2	14.4	OVERALL48	+3.2	Hit	P(active) 85% from the injury report; median 11.2 if he plays.
36	Christian McCaffrey RB8 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	11.1	14.3	OVERALL50	+3.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 5.3–18.6.
37	CeeDee Lamb WR2 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	10.9	0.9	OVERALL237	-10.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 4.9–19.5.
38	Jaylen Warren RB9 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	10.5	30.8	OVERALL3	+20.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 6.3–16.8.
39	Zay Flowers WR3 BAL @ ATL · Questionable	BAL	@ ATL	10.2	6.6	OVERALL122	-3.6	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 10.2 if he plays.
40	D'Andre Swift RB10 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	10.2	13.3	OVERALL60	+3.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 5.1–17.0.
41	Chase Brown RB11 CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	10.1	4.0	OVERALL160	-6.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 5.6–16.5.
42	Puka Nacua WR4 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	10.1	20.7	OVERALL21	+10.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 4.7–18.2.
43	Aaron Jones RB12 MIN @ NO	MIN	@ NO	10.0	15.7	OVERALL41	+5.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 5.5–16.3.
44	Ashton Jeanty RB13 LV @ NE · Questionable	LV	@ NE	9.8	7.7	OVERALL107	-2.1	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 57% — median 9.8 if he plays.
45	Chris Olave WR5 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	9.5	4.6	OVERALL156	-4.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 4.5–17.7.
46	Nico Collins WR6 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	9.4	5.6	OVERALL141	-3.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 3.8–17.1.
47	Jalon Daniels QB28 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	9.3	13.9	OVERALL54	+4.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 2.7–17.7.
48	Amon-Ra St. Brown WR7 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	9.0	6.9	OVERALL117	-2.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 3.6–16.5.
49	Brandon Aubrey K1 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	9.0	5.0	OVERALL148	-4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 4.0–14.0.
50	Omarion Hampton RB14 LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	8.8	3.9	OVERALL163	-4.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 3.5–15.7.
51	Rhamondre Stevenson RB15 NE vs LV · Questionable	NE	vs LV	8.8	14.5	OVERALL47	+5.7	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 90% — median 8.8 if he plays.
52	Cam Skattebo RB16 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	8.4	5.1	OVERALL146	-3.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 3.9–14.8.
53	Tee Higgins WR8 CIN @ MIA · Questionable	CIN	@ MIA	8.4	2.2	OVERALL192	-6.2	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 97% — median 8.4 if he plays.
54	Bhayshul Tuten RB17 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	8.4	9.6	OVERALL90	+1.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 3.7–14.9.
55	Cairo Santos K2 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	8.0	0.0	OVERALL255	-8.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
56	Jason Myers K3 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	8.0	23.0	OVERALL14	+15.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
57	Ka'imi Fairbairn K4 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	8.0	17.0	OVERALL34	+9.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
58	Eddy Pineiro K5 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	8.0	6.0	OVERALL130	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
59	Tyler Bass K6 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	8.0	13.0	OVERALL64	+5.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
60	Evan McPherson K7 CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	8.0	7.0	OVERALL110	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
61	Chad Ryland K8 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	8.0	2.0	OVERALL194	-6.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
62	Jake Bates K9 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	8.0	10.0	OVERALL86	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 4.0–14.0.
63	Will Reichard K10 MIN @ NO	MIN	@ NO	8.0	16.0	OVERALL39	+8.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
64	Cam Little K11 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	8.0	9.0	OVERALL91	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
65	Harrison Mevis K12 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	8.0	2.0	OVERALL195	-6.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
66	Spencer Shrader K13 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	8.0	21.0	OVERALL19	+13.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
67	Tyler Loop K14 BAL @ ATL	BAL	@ ATL	8.0	14.0	OVERALL53	+6.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
68	HOU D/ST DST1 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	8.0	15.0	OVERALL43	+7.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
69	MIN D/ST DST2 MIN @ NO	MIN	@ NO	8.0	11.0	OVERALL79	+3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 3.0–13.0.
70	Emanuel Wilson RB18 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	7.9	11.2	OVERALL76	+3.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 3.5–14.1.
71	Jeremiyah Love RB19 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	7.8	2.2	OVERALL193	-5.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 3.5–14.1.
72	Michael Wilson WR9 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	7.7	3.3	OVERALL173	-4.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 3.5–14.5.
73	Brian Robinson RB20 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	7.7	1.6	OVERALL211	-6.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 2.6–13.6.
74	Christian Watson WR10 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	7.6	26.3	OVERALL8	+18.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 3.2–14.6.
75	Davante Adams WR11 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	7.5	17.1	OVERALL33	+9.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 3.3–14.8.
76	Brock Bowers TE1 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	7.5	15.0	OVERALL44	+7.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 2.6–14.0.
77	Quinshon Judkins RB21 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	7.5	5.0	OVERALL149	-2.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 3.5–13.6.
78	Drake London WR12 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	7.4	11.8	OVERALL74	+4.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 3.6–14.2.
79	Tony Pollard RB22 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	7.3	5.2	OVERALL145	-2.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 3.5–13.5.
80	Bucky Irving RB23 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	7.3	29.5	OVERALL5	+22.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 3.7–13.4.
81	George Kittle TE2 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	7.1	2.4	OVERALL189	-4.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 2.4–13.7.
82	Nick Folk K15 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	7.0	12.0	OVERALL70	+5.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
83	Chris Boswell K16 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	7.0	13.0	OVERALL65	+6.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
84	Wil Lutz K17 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	7.0	10.0	OVERALL87	+3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
85	Jake Elliott K18 PHI @ JAX · locked	PHI	@ JAX	7.0	6.0	OVERALL131	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
86	Daniel Carlson K19 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	7.0	1.0	OVERALL230	-6.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
87	Jason Sanders K20 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	7.0	7.0	OVERALL111	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
88	Matt Gay K21 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	7.0	5.0	OVERALL150	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 4.0–12.0.
89	Chase McLaughlin K22 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	7.0	7.0	OVERALL112	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 3.0–13.0.
90	Riley Patterson K23 MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	7.0	4.0	OVERALL161	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
91	Cameron Dicker K24 LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	7.0	6.0	OVERALL132	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
92	Andre Szmyt K25 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	7.0	7.0	OVERALL113	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
93	Andy Borregales K26 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	7.0	9.0	OVERALL92	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
94	Trey Smack K27 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	7.0	3.0	OVERALL176	-4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
95	Dominic Zvada K28 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	7.0	10.0	OVERALL88	+3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 3.0–13.0.
96	Drew Stevens K29 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	7.0	8.0	OVERALL102	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
97	CIN D/ST DST3 CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	7.0	9.0	OVERALL93	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 3.0–13.0.
98	DEN D/ST DST4 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	7.0	12.0	OVERALL71	+5.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
99	JAX D/ST DST5 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	7.0	2.0	OVERALL196	-5.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 3.0–13.0.
100	TreVeyon Henderson RB24 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	6.8	3.8	OVERALL165	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 2.9–12.7.
101	Tyson Bagent QB29 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	6.8	1.2	OVERALL224	-5.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 4.0–10.7.
102	Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB25 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	6.8	14.2	OVERALL52	+7.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 2.7–12.9.
103	Trey McBride TE3 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	6.6	12.6	OVERALL67	+6.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 2.6–12.9.
104	RJ Harvey RB26 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	6.4	0.7	OVERALL242	-5.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 2.6–12.3.
105	Sam LaPorta TE4 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	6.2	14.8	OVERALL45	+8.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 2.4–12.8.
106	Ja'Marr Chase WR13 CIN @ MIA · Questionable	CIN	@ MIA	6.2	13.7	OVERALL57	+7.5	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 79% — median 6.2 if he plays.
107	Alvin Kamara RB27 NO vs MIN · Questionable	NO	vs MIN	6.0	0.6	OVERALL244	-5.4	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 79% — median 6.0 if he plays.
108	David Montgomery RB28 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	6.0	1.1	OVERALL225	-4.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 2.0–12.1.
109	Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB29 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	6.0	1.1	OVERALL226	-4.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 1.6–12.1.
110	Joey Slye K30 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	6.0	3.0	OVERALL177	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
111	CHI D/ST DST6 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	6.0	1.0	OVERALL231	-5.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
112	CLE D/ST DST7 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	6.0	9.0	OVERALL94	+3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
113	LAC D/ST DST8 LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	6.0	3.0	OVERALL178	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
114	LV D/ST DST9 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	6.0	-1.0	OVERALL298	-7.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0.
115	PIT D/ST DST10 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	6.0	1.0	OVERALL232	-5.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
116	SEA D/ST DST11 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	6.0	6.0	OVERALL133	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
117	WAS D/ST DST12 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	6.0	6.0	OVERALL134	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
118	Carnell Tate WR14 TEN vs HOU · Questionable	TEN	vs HOU	5.9	0.6	OVERALL245	-5.3	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 5.9 if he plays.
119	Ollie Gordon II RB30 MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	5.8	14.8	OVERALL46	+9.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 2.3–11.5.
120	Garrett Wilson WR15 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	5.8	16.4	OVERALL37	+10.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 2.1–12.4.
121	Denzel Boston WR16 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	5.6	10.6	OVERALL81	+5.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 2.2–12.4.
122	J.K. Dobbins RB31 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	5.6	13.4	OVERALL59	+7.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 2.8–10.8.
123	Luther Burden III WR17 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	5.5	4.9	OVERALL154	-0.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 2.2–12.0.
124	Juwan Johnson TE5 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	5.4	1.6	OVERALL212	-3.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 2.0–11.3.
125	Parker Washington WR18 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	5.3	24.4	OVERALL12	+19.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 2.1–11.7.
126	Romeo Doubs WR19 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	5.3	1.6	OVERALL213	-3.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 1.9–11.9.
127	Deebo Samuel Sr. WR20 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	5.1	0.5	OVERALL247	-4.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 1.9–11.2.
128	Woody Marks RB32 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	5.1	8.5	OVERALL97	+3.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 1.6–11.0.
129	DK Metcalf WR21 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	5.1	2.3	OVERALL190	-2.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 2.0–11.3.
130	ATL D/ST DST13 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	5.0	11.0	OVERALL80	+6.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
131	BAL D/ST DST14 BAL @ ATL	BAL	@ ATL	5.0	5.0	OVERALL151	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0.
132	DET D/ST DST15 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	5.0	7.0	OVERALL114	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0.
133	GB D/ST DST16 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	5.0	18.0	OVERALL30	+13.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
134	NE D/ST DST17 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	5.0	6.0	OVERALL135	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
135	NO D/ST DST18 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	5.0	12.0	OVERALL72	+7.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0.
136	NYG D/ST DST19 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	5.0	5.0	OVERALL152	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0.
137	NYJ D/ST DST20 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	5.0	16.0	OVERALL40	+11.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0.
138	Harold Fannin Jr. TE6 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	5.0	0.4	OVERALL249	-4.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 1.2–10.8.
139	Matthew Golden WR22 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	4.8	14.3	OVERALL51	+9.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 1.9–11.0.
140	Mike Gesicki TE7 CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	4.7	6.4	OVERALL125	+1.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 1.7–10.2.
141	Braelon Allen RB33 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	4.7	17.6	OVERALL32	+12.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 1.6–10.7.
142	Malik Nabers WR23 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	4.7	18.1	OVERALL29	+13.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 1.9–10.8.
143	Devaughn Vele WR24 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	4.6	2.6	OVERALL184	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 1.8–10.7.
144	Jameson Williams WR25 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	4.5	16.7	OVERALL35	+12.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 2.0–9.9.
145	George Pickens WR26 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	4.5	19.0	OVERALL25	+14.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 1.9–10.0.
146	Jaylen Waddle WR27 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	4.5	2.8	OVERALL181	-1.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 1.8–10.4.
147	Malik Washington WR28 MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	4.5	6.1	OVERALL129	+1.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 1.9–10.1.
148	Blake Corum RB34 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	4.5	13.2	OVERALL61	+8.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 2.1–9.4.
149	Tyler Warren TE8 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	4.4	14.4	OVERALL49	+10.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 1.6–10.1.
150	Keon Coleman WR29 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	4.4	6.7	OVERALL120	+2.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 1.8–10.2.
151	Tyler Allgeier RB35 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	4.4	1.6	OVERALL214	-2.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 1.5–10.3.
152	Mike Evans WR30 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	4.4	19.3	OVERALL24	+14.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 1.7–10.3.
153	T.J. Hockenson TE9 MIN @ NO	MIN	@ NO	4.4	0.7	OVERALL243	-3.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 1.9–9.9.
154	Tucker Kraft TE10 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	4.4	6.6	OVERALL123	+2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 1.6–9.9.
155	Rome Odunze WR31 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	4.2	2.0	OVERALL197	-2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 1.8–9.6.
156	Tyler Higbee TE11 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	4.2	8.3	OVERALL100	+4.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 1.6–9.6.
157	Mike Washington Jr. RB36 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	4.2	1.0	OVERALL233	-3.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 1.3–10.0.
158	Isaiah Likely TE12 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	4.1	21.4	OVERALL18	+17.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 1.7–9.6.
159	Jordan Addison WR32 MIN @ NO · Questionable	MIN	@ NO	4.1	0.0	OVERALL256	-4.1	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 4.1 if he plays.
160	ARI D/ST DST21 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	4.0	-1.0	OVERALL299	-5.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 0.0–8.0.
161	BUF D/ST DST22 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	4.0	2.0	OVERALL198	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 0.0–8.0.
162	DAL D/ST DST23 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	4.0	1.0	OVERALL234	-3.0	Hit	Played: 0.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
163	IND D/ST DST24 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	4.0	0.0	OVERALL257	-4.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
164	LA D/ST DST25 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	4.0	1.0	OVERALL235	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
165	MIA D/ST DST26 MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	4.0	1.0	OVERALL236	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 1.0–8.0.
166	PHI D/ST DST27 PHI @ JAX · locked	PHI	@ JAX	4.0	5.0	OVERALL153	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 1.0–8.0.
167	TB D/ST DST28 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	4.0	7.0	OVERALL115	+3.0	Hit	Played: 1.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
168	TEN D/ST DST29 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	4.0	2.0	OVERALL199	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
169	Roman Wilson WR33 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	4.0	0.0	OVERALL258	-4.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 1.5–9.9.
170	Keaton Mitchell RB37 LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	4.0	2.9	OVERALL180	-1.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 1.5–9.2.
171	Tre Tucker WR34 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	3.9	3.5	OVERALL168	-0.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 1.7–9.2.
172	Brenton Strange TE13 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	3.9	6.8	OVERALL119	+2.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 1.7–9.2.
173	Wan'Dale Robinson WR35 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	3.9	5.3	OVERALL144	+1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 1.1–10.2.
174	Josh Downs WR36 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	3.9	4.7	OVERALL155	+0.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 1.7–8.9.
175	Jakobi Meyers WR37 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	3.8	3.7	OVERALL167	-0.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 1.5–9.2.
176	Dalton Kincaid TE14 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	3.8	2.7	OVERALL183	-1.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 1.6–9.0.
177	MarShawn Lloyd RB38 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	3.8	15.7	OVERALL42	+11.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 1.5–8.9.
178	Kalif Raymond WR38 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	3.8	0.4	OVERALL250	-3.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 1.5–9.2.
179	Austin Ekeler RB39 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	3.7	1.4	OVERALL218	-2.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 1.6–8.4.
180	Tank Bigsby RB40 PHI @ JAX · locked	PHI	@ JAX	3.7	0.0	OVERALL259	-3.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 1.2–9.4.
181	Isaac TeSlaa WR39 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	3.7	0.0	OVERALL260	-3.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 1.5–8.8.
182	Ty Johnson RB41 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	3.6	7.2	OVERALL109	+3.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 1.2–9.0.
183	Tre Harris WR40 LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	3.6	1.6	OVERALL215	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 1.6–8.0.
184	Michael Mayer TE15 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	3.6	0.2	OVERALL251	-3.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 1.5–8.7.
185	Cade Otton TE16 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	3.6	2.5	OVERALL188	-1.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 1.6–8.2.
186	Dontayvion Wicks WR41 PHI @ JAX · locked	PHI	@ JAX	3.5	6.3	OVERALL127	+2.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 1.4–8.4.
187	Khalil Shakir WR42 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	3.4	8.0	OVERALL103	+4.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 1.4–7.9.
188	Kenyon Sadiq TE17 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	3.4	-1.7	OVERALL300	-5.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 1.1–8.9.
189	Xavier Hutchinson WR43 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	3.4	6.5	OVERALL124	+3.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 1.4–7.8.
190	Dalton Schultz TE18 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	3.4	3.0	OVERALL179	-0.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 1.5–7.8.
191	Kenny Gainwell RB42 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	3.3	2.8	OVERALL182	-0.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 1.1–8.7.
192	Ladd McConkey WR44 LAC vs DEN · Questionable	LAC	vs DEN	3.2	0.0	OVERALL261	-3.2	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 41% — median 3.2 if he plays.
193	Pat Freiermuth TE19 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	3.2	16.5	OVERALL36	+13.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 1.0–8.6.
194	Jaylin Noel WR45 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	3.1	10.2	OVERALL84	+7.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 1.0–7.9.
195	Greg Dulcich TE20 MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	3.1	5.7	OVERALL138	+2.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 1.2–7.7.
196	Bam Knight RB43 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	3.1	0.8	OVERALL239	-2.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 0.7–8.7.
197	Isaiah Williams WR46 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	3.1	1.9	OVERALL203	-1.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 1.0–8.7.
198	Colston Loveland TE21 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	3.0	1.9	OVERALL204	-1.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 1.0–8.5.
199	Jaleel McLaughlin RB44 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	3.0	0.0	OVERALL262	-3.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 1.0–8.5.
200	SF D/ST DST30 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	3.0	20.0	OVERALL23	+17.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 0.0–7.0.
201	Pat Bryant WR47 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	3.0	0.0	OVERALL263	-3.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 0.9–8.5.
202	Chris Godwin Jr. WR48 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	3.0	4.0	OVERALL162	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 1.0–8.0.
203	Emeka Egbuka WR49 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	3.0	11.2	OVERALL77	+8.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 0.9–8.3.
204	Najee Harris RB45 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	3.0	1.4	OVERALL219	-1.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 1.0–7.6.
205	Malachi Fields WR50 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	2.9	2.0	OVERALL200	-0.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 0.9–8.4.
206	Kendre Miller RB46 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	2.9	9.0	OVERALL95	+6.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 0.9–8.1.
207	DJ Moore WR51 BUF @ LA · Questionable	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	2.9	0.0	OVERALL264	-2.9	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen 11:30 ET): P(active) 70% — median 2.9 if he plays.
208	Jake Ferguson TE22 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	2.9	1.9	OVERALL205	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 0.6–8.5.
209	KC Concepcion WR52 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	2.9	0.5	OVERALL248	-2.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 0.9–7.6.
210	Trey Lance QB30 LAC vs DEN · Doubtful	LAC	vs DEN	2.8	0.0	OVERALL265	-2.8	Hit	Doubtful (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 0% — median 2.8 if he plays.
211	Mark Andrews TE23 BAL @ ATL	BAL	@ ATL	2.8	0.8	OVERALL240	-2.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 0.9–8.2.
212	Kaelon Black RB47 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	2.8	1.6	OVERALL216	-1.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 1.0–7.5.
213	George Holani RB48 SEA vs SF · Questionable	SEA	vs SF	2.7	1.1	OVERALL227	-1.6	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 66% — median 2.7 if he plays.
214	Rashod Bateman WR53 BAL @ ATL	BAL	@ ATL	2.7	6.2	OVERALL128	+3.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 0.8–8.0.
215	Dohnte Meyers WR54 CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	2.7	1.2	OVERALL222	-1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 0.9–7.3.
216	Sean Tucker RB49 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	2.7	1.8	OVERALL208	-0.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 0.4–8.5.
217	Kimani Vidal RB50 LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	2.7	11.6	OVERALL75	+8.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 0.8–7.8.
218	Ted Hurst III WR55 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	2.7	0.0	OVERALL266	-2.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 0.8–8.2.
219	Hunter Henry TE24 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	2.6	10.4	OVERALL82	+7.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 0.9–7.6.
220	Raheim Sanders RB51 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	2.5	1.3	OVERALL221	-1.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 0.9–7.1.
221	Antonio Williams WR56 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	2.5	3.1	OVERALL174	+0.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 0.8–7.5.
222	Darnell Washington TE25 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	2.5	1.2	OVERALL223	-1.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 0.8–7.8.
223	Samaje Perine RB52 CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	2.5	13.8	OVERALL55	+11.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 0.7–7.5.
224	Ryan Flournoy WR57 DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	2.5	9.0	OVERALL96	+6.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 0.8–7.4.
225	Brian Thomas Jr. WR58 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	2.4	0.0	OVERALL267	-2.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 0.8–7.7.
226	Darius Cooper WR59 PHI @ JAX · locked	PHI	@ JAX	2.4	13.1	OVERALL62	+10.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 0.2–8.4.
227	Oronde Gadsden II TE26 LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	2.4	0.0	OVERALL268	-2.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 0.7–7.5.
228	Ray Davis RB53 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	2.4	3.3	OVERALL171	+0.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 0.6–7.0.
229	Zach Ertz TE27 PHI @ JAX · locked	PHI	@ JAX	2.4	0.0	OVERALL269	-2.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 0.8–7.0.
230	Tory Horton WR60 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	2.4	0.0	OVERALL270	-2.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 0.1–8.4.
231	Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB54 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	2.3	3.1	OVERALL175	+0.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 0.6–7.1.
232	Elic Ayomanor WR61 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	2.3	1.7	OVERALL209	-0.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 0.7–7.5.
233	Kaleb Johnson RB55 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	2.3	2.6	OVERALL185	+0.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 0.8–6.8.
234	Jahan Dotson WR62 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	2.3	5.4	OVERALL143	+3.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 0.7–7.8.
235	AJ Barner TE28 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	2.3	2.0	OVERALL201	-0.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 0.8–7.2.
236	Tyjae Spears RB56 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	2.2	0.8	OVERALL241	-1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 0.7–6.8.
237	Kayshon Boutte WR63 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	2.2	3.8	OVERALL166	+1.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 0.7–6.5.
238	Justice Hill RB57 BAL @ ATL	BAL	@ ATL	2.2	7.8	OVERALL105	+5.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 0.6–6.9.
239	Courtland Sutton WR64 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	2.2	7.8	OVERALL106	+5.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 0.7–6.4.
240	Marvin Harrison Jr. WR65 HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	2.1	0.0	OVERALL271	-2.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 0.6–7.5.
241	Cooper Kupp WR66 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	2.1	1.5	OVERALL217	-0.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 0.6–7.1.
242	Matthew Hibner TE29 BAL @ ATL	BAL	@ ATL	2.1	0.0	OVERALL272	-2.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 0.7–7.3.
243	Jaylen Wright RB58 MIA vs CIN · Questionable	MIA	vs CIN	2.1	1.1	OVERALL228	-1.0	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 66% — median 2.1 if he plays.
244	Treylon Burks WR67 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	2.1	2.6	OVERALL186	+0.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 0.0–7.9.
245	Chig Okonkwo TE30 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	2.1	6.0	OVERALL136	+3.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 0.7–7.1.
246	Laquon Treadwell WR68 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	2.0	3.4	OVERALL170	+1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 0.7–5.8.
247	Kyle Pitts TE31 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	2.0	10.2	OVERALL85	+8.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 0.7–6.4.
248	Chris Bell WR69 MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	2.0	2.6	OVERALL187	+0.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 0.6–5.8.
249	Kendrick Bourne WR70 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	2.0	7.0	OVERALL116	+5.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 0.4–5.8.
250	Seth McGowan RB59 IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	2.0	1.9	OVERALL206	-0.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 0.5–6.5.
251	Mitchell Tinsley WR71 CIN @ MIA	CIN	@ MIA	2.0	0.0	OVERALL273	-2.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 0.6–6.7.
252	Tyler Badie RB60 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	2.0	0.1	OVERALL253	-1.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 0.5–6.0.
253	Makai Lemon WR72 PHI @ JAX · locked	PHI	@ JAX	1.9	4.3	OVERALL158	+2.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 0.6–5.7.
254	Elijah Higgins TE32 ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	1.9	5.7	OVERALL139	+3.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 0.4–7.0.
255	Jerry Jeudy WR73 CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	1.9	1.9	OVERALL207	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 0.6–5.5.
256	Sione Vaki RB61 DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	1.8	1.1	OVERALL229	-0.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 0.5–6.0.
257	Jordan Watkins WR74 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	1.8	0.0	OVERALL274	-1.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 0.4–5.0.
258	Rashid Shaheed WR75 SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	1.8	2.3	OVERALL191	+0.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 0.3–6.0.
259	Calvin Ridley WR76 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	1.8	3.3	OVERALL172	+1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 0.6–4.8.
260	Mark Redman TE33 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	1.8	0.0	OVERALL275	-1.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 0.6–5.6.
261	Will Shipley RB62 PHI @ JAX · locked	PHI	@ JAX	1.8	7.3	OVERALL108	+5.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 0.5–6.0.
262	Cody White WR77 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	1.8	4.4	OVERALL157	+2.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 0.1–7.3.
263	Josh Cameron WR78 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	1.7	4.3	OVERALL159	+2.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 0.0–7.1.
264	Jauan Jennings WR79 MIN @ NO	MIN	@ NO	1.7	0.0	OVERALL276	-1.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 0.0–7.1.
265	Theo Johnson TE34 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	1.7	3.5	OVERALL169	+1.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 0.4–6.9.
266	Kaytron Allen RB63 MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	1.7	0.0	OVERALL277	-1.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 0.4–6.3.
267	Konata Mumpfield WR80 LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	1.7	0.0	OVERALL278	-1.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 0.0–6.7.
268	Isaiah Davis RB64 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	1.7	1.7	OVERALL210	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 0.4–6.4.
269	Evan Engram TE35 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	1.6	5.5	OVERALL142	+3.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 0.4–6.4.
270	CJ Donaldson RB65 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	1.6	2.0	OVERALL202	+0.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 0.4–6.0.
271	Efton Chism III WR81 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	1.6	5.9	OVERALL137	+4.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 0.0–7.0.
272	Dyami Brown WR82 WAS vs NYG	WAS	vs NYG	1.6	0.2	OVERALL252	-1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYG · 20–80 range 0.0–5.4.
273	Darnell Mooney WR83 NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	1.6	1.4	OVERALL220	-0.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 0.0–5.4.
274	Jonnu Smith TE36 GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	1.6	0.0	OVERALL279	-1.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 0.4–5.2.
275	Ian Thomas TE37 LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	1.6	0.9	OVERALL238	-0.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 0.3–6.4.
276	Jahdae Walker WR84 CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	1.5	0.0	OVERALL280	-1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 0.0–7.4.
277	Tez Johnson WR85 TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	1.5	6.4	OVERALL126	+4.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 0.1–5.1.
278	DeMario Douglas WR86 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	1.5	18.5	OVERALL27	+17.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 0.0–5.2.
279	Austin Hooper TE38 ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	1.5	0.0	OVERALL281	-1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 0.3–6.7.
280	Kevin Austin Jr. WR87 NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	1.5	0.0	OVERALL282	-1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 0.0–6.3.
281	Nicholas Singleton RB66 TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	1.5	0.0	OVERALL283	-1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 0.4–6.0.
282	Eli Raridon TE39 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	1.5	5.7	OVERALL140	+4.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 0.3–6.4.
283	Jeremy Ruckert TE40 NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	1.4	0.0	OVERALL284	-1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 0.2–6.5.
284	Brandin Cooks WR88 SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	1.4	6.7	OVERALL121	+5.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 0.0–4.9.
285	Germie Bernard WR89 PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	1.4	8.4	OVERALL98	+7.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 0.0–5.2.
286	Devontez Walker WR90 BAL @ ATL	BAL	@ ATL	1.4	6.9	OVERALL118	+5.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 0.0–6.0.
287	Corey Kiner RB67 NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	1.4	3.9	OVERALL164	+2.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 0.4–5.1.
288	Ryan Miller WR91 MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	1.4	0.0	OVERALL285	-1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 0.0–6.3.
289	Nate Adkins TE41 DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	1.4	0.0	OVERALL286	-1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 0.2–6.8.
290	Dawson Knox TE42 BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	1.4	0.6	OVERALL246	-0.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 0.3–6.4.
291	Ameer Abdullah RB68 JAX vs PHI · locked	JAX	vs PHI	1.3	0.0	OVERALL287	-1.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 0.3–4.8.
292	Josh Palmer WR92 BUF @ LA · Out	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	0.0	0.0	OVERALL288	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen 11:30 ET) — do not start
293	Lamar Jackson QB31 BAL @ ATL · Out	BAL	@ ATL	0.0	0.0	OVERALL289	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
294	Kyle Monangai RB69 CHI @ GB · Out	CHI	@ GB	0.0	0.0	OVERALL290	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
295	Stefon Diggs WR93 WAS vs NYG · Out	WAS	vs NYG	0.0	0.0	OVERALL291	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
296	Saquon Barkley RB70 PHI @ JAX · locked	PHI	@ JAX	0.0	0.0	OVERALL292	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
297	Mack Hollins WR94 NE vs LV · Out	NE	vs LV	0.0	0.0	OVERALL293	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
298	Quentin Johnston WR95 LAC vs DEN · Out	LAC	vs DEN	0.0	0.0	OVERALL294	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
299	Chris Brooks RB71 GB vs CHI · Out	GB	vs CHI	0.0	0.0	OVERALL295	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
300	Michael Pittman WR96 PIT vs IND · Out	PIT	vs IND	0.0	0.0	OVERALL296	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start

Showing 24 of 300 · tiers 2+ below

What the numbers say

6.9mean abs. error · Standard points, top 36 · Week 4: 5.2

0.36rank correlation · Spearman, top 36

5 / 12ranked top 12 who finished top 12

56%actuals inside the 20–80 range · target 60%

This version was published after the week's first kickoff, so it is scored as a retrospective, not a forecast.

The engine's read on Week 5

Engine byline · no human author · Week 4 OVERALL accuracy: MAE 5.2, top-12 hit 1/12

Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Common questions about Week 5 OVERALL rankings

Who is the best overall to start in Week 5 Standard?

Josh Allen, our OVERALL1 with a 20.5-point median; Brock Purdy is OVERALL2.

When do these rankings update?

Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.

Why is DAL D/ST still ranked after playing?

Locked players stay on the board at their actual points so ranks and flex comparisons stay complete.

How this board is built

Projectionsens-fit-2026w04-mkt-2026-w5-2026-10-06+mkt-2026-w05-2026-10-06-09

Market2026-w05-2026-10-13-08

Simulation10,000 outcomes per player

Week 4 OVERALL accuracyMAE 5.2 · top-12 hit 1/12

Rankings versionv3 · Sun, Oct 11, 11:35 AM ET

Ranks tagsunday-2026-w5-1135

Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits

More rankings

Week 5 · other positionsQuarterback Running Back Wide Receiver Tight End Flex Kicker Defense

OVERALL · other formatsWeek 5 OVERALL — PPR Week 5 OVERALL — Half-PPR

OVERALL · other weeksWeek 4 OVERALL Week 6 OVERALL Rest-of-season Overall 2026 draft Overall

This weekWeek 5 hub Ask about this board Waiver wire Injury report

VersionsRankings v4d5ad6bc· projections ens-fit-2026w04-mkt-2026-w5-2026-10-06+mkt-2026-w05-2026-10-06-09· lines 2026-w05-2026-10-13-08· injuries 2026-10-11T15:35:27Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version