Week 4 Overall Rankings & Results — Half-PPR

By Red Zone Rank engine · Final board published Sun, Oct 4, 11:35 AM ET (v7) · results scored Tue, Oct 6, 5:01 AM ET

Week4 5 6

Josh Allen is our #1 overall for Week 4 in Half-PPR, ahead of Brock Purdy and Jahmyr Gibbs. No rank moved since the last publish.

Week 4 boardsQB RB WR TE Flex K DST OverallAlsoRest-of-season Overall 2026 draft Overall

Results table

Week 4 OVERALL · Half-PPR · Proj = engine median · Range = 20th–80th percentile · Opp/Total from the market as of 4:05 AM ET · Actual from final stats · Finish = actual rank on this board · Δ = actual − proj · Hit = within 6 ranks or inside the range
Rank	Player	Team	Opp	Proj	Actual	Finish	Δ	Hit	Note
Tier 1 · Must start
1	Josh Allen QB1 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	21.8	18.5	OVERALL30	-3.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 13.4–30.6.
2	Brock Purdy QB2 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	20.3	19.6	OVERALL26	-0.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 12.5–28.4.
3	Jahmyr Gibbs RB1 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	19.5	15.7	OVERALL45	-3.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 11.7–29.4.
4	Tyler Shough QB3 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	19.4	15.9	OVERALL44	-3.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 11.5–27.5.
Tier 2
5	Bijan Robinson RB2 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	17.7	27.2	OVERALL7	+9.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 10.7–26.8.
6	Patrick Mahomes QB4 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	17.7	17.0	OVERALL37	-0.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 10.6–25.4.
7	Bryce Young QB5 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	17.6	21.5	OVERALL19	+3.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 10.5–25.0.
8	Trevor Lawrence QB6 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	17.5	13.1	OVERALL70	-4.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 10.3–25.0.
9	Case Keenum QB7 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	17.4	0.0	OVERALL266	-17.4	Miss	P(active) 85% from the injury report; median 17.4 if he plays.
10	Jared Goff QB8 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	17.2	20.5	OVERALL23	+3.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 10.3–24.4.
11	Matthew Stafford QB9 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	17.1	9.7	OVERALL108	-7.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 10.0–24.6.
12	Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR1 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	17.0	10.1	OVERALL99	-6.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 8.7–28.5.
13	Joe Burrow QB10 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	17.0	23.7	OVERALL13	+6.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 10.1–24.0.
14	Derrick Henry RB3 BAL vs TEN	BAL	vs TEN	16.9	14.9	OVERALL52	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 9.4–26.1.
15	Lamar Jackson QB11 BAL vs TEN	BAL	vs TEN	16.6	18.9	OVERALL28	+2.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 10.2–23.4.
16	Dak Prescott QB12 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	16.6	18.1	OVERALL33	+1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 9.9–23.4.
17	Jacoby Brissett QB13 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	15.6	10.4	OVERALL94	-5.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 8.7–22.7.
18	Bo Nix QB14 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	15.4	13.6	OVERALL65	-1.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 8.8–22.5.
19	Kenneth Walker III RB4 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	15.2	30.4	OVERALL4	+15.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 8.8–23.5.
20	Deshaun Watson QB15 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	15.2	12.9	OVERALL74	-2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 8.9–21.7.
21	C.J. Stroud QB16 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	14.9	23.1	OVERALL14	+8.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 8.8–21.3.
22	Jordan Love QB17 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	14.8	13.1	OVERALL71	-1.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 8.6–21.5.
23	Jonathan Taylor RB5 IND @ WAS · locked	IND	@ WAS	14.7	22.2	OVERALL16	+7.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 8.0–23.0.
24	Kirk Cousins QB18 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	14.4	22.6	OVERALL15	+8.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 7.9–21.1.
25	Chris Olave WR2 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	14.2	15.6	OVERALL46	+1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 7.3–24.2.
26	Geno Smith QB19 NYJ @ CHI	NYJ	@ CHI	14.0	8.8	OVERALL125	-5.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 7.9–20.3.
27	Jalen Hurts QB20 PHI vs LA	PHI	vs LA	13.9	13.5	OVERALL66	-0.3	Hit	P(active) 85% from the injury report; median 13.9 if he plays.
28	Christian McCaffrey RB6 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	13.7	14.5	OVERALL55	+0.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 7.5–22.2.
29	Sam Darnold QB21 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	13.7	13.3	OVERALL68	-0.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 7.5–20.0.
30	Justin Herbert QB22 LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	13.3	9.6	OVERALL109	-3.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 7.4–19.7.
31	Aaron Rodgers QB23 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	13.3	22.0	OVERALL17	+8.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 7.5–19.4.
32	Malik Willis QB24 MIA @ MIN	MIA	@ MIN	13.2	2.5	OVERALL225	-10.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 7.3–19.7.
33	Drake Maye QB25 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	13.1	26.2	OVERALL8	+13.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 7.2–19.4.
34	Marcus Mariota QB26 WAS vs IND · locked	WAS	vs IND	13.1	5.3	OVERALL179	-7.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 7.0–19.7.
35	Daniel Jones QB27 IND @ WAS · locked	IND	@ WAS	13.0	7.9	OVERALL137	-5.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 7.2–19.4.
36	Michael Penix Jr. QB28 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	12.9	12.7	OVERALL75	-0.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 7.4–18.9.
37	Cam Ward QB29 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	12.8	15.6	OVERALL48	+2.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 6.7–19.8.
38	Kyler Murray QB30 MIN vs MIA	MIN	vs MIA	12.8	11.5	OVERALL89	-1.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 6.7–19.2.
39	James Cook RB7 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	12.8	15.3	OVERALL50	+2.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 6.9–20.6.
40	Kyren Williams RB8 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	12.5	31.7	OVERALL3	+19.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 7.0–19.8.
41	Jaylen Warren RB9 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	12.4	14.1	OVERALL59	+1.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 7.3–19.7.
42	Amon-Ra St. Brown WR3 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	12.4	11.5	OVERALL86	-0.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 5.9–21.1.
43	D'Andre Swift RB10 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	12.1	6.4	OVERALL154	-5.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 6.4–19.7.
44	Chase Brown RB11 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	11.9	13.6	OVERALL64	+1.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 6.6–19.0.
45	Ashton Jeanty RB12 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	11.7	15.6	OVERALL47	+3.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 6.8–18.3.
46	Zay Flowers WR4 BAL vs TEN · Questionable	BAL	vs TEN	11.6	21.8	OVERALL18	+10.2	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 70% — median 11.6 if he plays.
47	Ja'Marr Chase WR5 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	11.5	4.2	OVERALL198	-7.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 5.5–19.7.
48	Davante Adams WR6 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	11.3	5.2	OVERALL180	-6.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 5.4–19.7.
49	Christian Watson WR7 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	11.1	6.2	OVERALL157	-4.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 5.1–19.7.
50	Javonte Williams RB13 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	11.0	28.8	OVERALL5	+17.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 5.8–17.8.
51	MIN D/ST DST1 MIN vs MIA	MIN	vs MIA	11.0	8.0	OVERALL131	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 6.0–17.0.
52	Cam Skattebo RB14 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	10.9	7.1	OVERALL143	-3.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 5.4–18.6.
53	CeeDee Lamb WR8 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	10.8	32.8	OVERALL2	+22.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 5.2–19.1.
54	Aaron Jones RB15 MIN vs MIA	MIN	vs MIA	10.5	14.8	OVERALL54	+4.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 5.8–17.0.
55	Trey McBride TE1 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	10.3	6.6	OVERALL152	-3.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 5.0–17.9.
56	Jeremiyah Love RB16 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	10.2	6.0	OVERALL164	-4.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 5.2–17.1.
57	Jameis Winston QB31 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	10.2	18.0	OVERALL34	+7.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 5.4–15.6.
58	Parker Washington WR9 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	10.1	1.5	OVERALL246	-8.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 4.8–17.9.
59	Brock Bowers TE2 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	9.9	17.6	OVERALL36	+7.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 4.6–17.4.
60	George Kittle TE3 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	9.8	15.0	OVERALL51	+5.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 4.2–17.2.
61	Garrett Wilson WR10 NYJ @ CHI	NYJ	@ CHI	9.7	4.2	OVERALL199	-5.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 4.6–17.0.
62	Chuba Hubbard RB17 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	9.6	25.4	OVERALL11	+15.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 4.8–16.2.
63	Bucky Irving RB18 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	9.6	6.1	OVERALL161	-3.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 5.1–16.3.
64	Michael Wilson WR11 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	9.4	13.0	OVERALL72	+3.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 4.5–16.7.
65	Omarion Hampton RB19 LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	9.4	12.3	OVERALL77	+2.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 4.3–16.6.
66	Tee Higgins WR12 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	9.4	21.2	OVERALL20	+11.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 4.5–16.7.
67	Drake London WR13 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	9.2	12.1	OVERALL80	+2.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 4.7–16.6.
68	Rhamondre Stevenson RB20 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	9.2	16.9	OVERALL40	+7.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 4.4–15.9.
69	Juwan Johnson TE4 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	8.7	8.9	OVERALL120	+0.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 3.7–15.6.
70	De'Von Achane RB21 MIA @ MIN	MIA	@ MIN	8.5	0.0	OVERALL267	-8.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 4.5–14.6.
71	TreVeyon Henderson RB22 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	8.4	4.2	OVERALL200	-4.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 3.6–15.2.
72	Stefon Diggs WR14 WAS vs IND · locked	WAS	vs IND	8.4	6.0	OVERALL165	-2.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 3.4–15.9.
73	Tony Pollard RB23 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	8.3	12.0	OVERALL81	+3.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 4.8–13.7.
74	Bhayshul Tuten RB24 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	8.3	10.1	OVERALL100	+1.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 3.5–14.7.
75	Rashee Rice WR15 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	8.2	0.0	OVERALL268	-8.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 3.6–15.4.
76	David Montgomery RB25 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	8.1	4.3	OVERALL197	-3.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 3.5–14.3.
77	Saquon Barkley RB26 PHI vs LA	PHI	vs LA	8.1	1.5	OVERALL247	-6.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 4.5–13.8.
78	Harold Fannin Jr. TE5 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	8.1	10.2	OVERALL96	+2.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 3.3–14.6.
79	RJ Harvey RB27 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	8.0	14.3	OVERALL57	+6.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 3.6–14.4.
80	Jason Myers K1 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	8.0	6.0	OVERALL166	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
81	Ka'imi Fairbairn K2 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	8.0	16.0	OVERALL41	+8.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
82	Harrison Butker K3 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	8.0	6.0	OVERALL167	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
83	Eddy Pineiro K4 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	8.0	5.0	OVERALL184	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
84	Matt Gay K5 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	8.0	16.0	OVERALL42	+8.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
85	Tyler Bass K6 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	8.0	8.0	OVERALL132	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
86	Evan McPherson K7 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	8.0	5.0	OVERALL185	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
87	Brandon Aubrey K8 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	8.0	10.0	OVERALL103	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 4.0–14.0.
88	Jake Bates K9 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	8.0	18.0	OVERALL35	+10.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
89	Will Reichard K10 MIN vs MIA	MIN	vs MIA	8.0	19.0	OVERALL27	+11.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
90	Cam Little K11 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	8.0	14.0	OVERALL60	+6.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
91	Harrison Mevis K12 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	8.0	6.0	OVERALL168	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 4.0–12.0.
92	Spencer Shrader K13 IND @ WAS · locked	IND	@ WAS	8.0	16.0	OVERALL43	+8.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
93	Tyler Loop K14 BAL vs TEN	BAL	vs TEN	8.0	7.0	OVERALL146	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
94	Luther Burden III WR16 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	7.9	9.4	OVERALL113	+1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 3.5–15.1.
95	Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB28 WAS vs IND · locked	WAS	vs IND	7.8	6.0	OVERALL169	-1.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 3.3–14.2.
96	Travis Etienne RB29 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	7.6	0.0	OVERALL269	-7.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 3.9–13.3.
97	Travis Kelce TE6 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	7.5	2.5	OVERALL226	-5.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 3.2–14.1.
98	Jalen Coker WR17 CAR vs DET · Questionable	CAR	vs DET	7.5	0.0	OVERALL270	-7.5	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 70% — median 7.5 if he plays.
99	Kalif Raymond WR18 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	7.4	1.6	OVERALL245	-5.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 3.2–14.1.
100	Quinshon Judkins RB30 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	7.3	18.6	OVERALL29	+11.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 3.7–12.8.
101	George Pickens WR19 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	7.2	8.5	OVERALL129	+1.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 3.3–13.7.
102	Dalton Schultz TE7 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	7.2	1.9	OVERALL241	-5.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 3.5–13.3.
103	Wan'Dale Robinson WR20 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	7.0	9.5	OVERALL110	+2.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 3.1–13.3.
104	Nick Folk K15 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	7.0	9.0	OVERALL116	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
105	Chris Boswell K16 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	7.0	3.0	OVERALL217	-4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
106	Cairo Santos K17 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	7.0	11.0	OVERALL91	+4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
107	Wil Lutz K18 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	7.0	8.0	OVERALL133	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
108	Daniel Carlson K19 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	7.0	5.0	OVERALL186	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
109	Jason Sanders K20 NYJ @ CHI	NYJ	@ CHI	7.0	6.0	OVERALL170	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
110	Chase McLaughlin K21 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	7.0	2.0	OVERALL238	-5.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 3.0–13.0.
111	Andre Szmyt K22 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	7.0	12.0	OVERALL82	+5.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
112	Chad Ryland K23 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	7.0	8.0	OVERALL134	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
113	Andy Borregales K24 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	7.0	3.0	OVERALL218	-4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
114	Ryan Fitzgerald K25 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	7.0	9.0	OVERALL117	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 4.0–12.0.
115	Trey Smack K26 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	7.0	7.0	OVERALL147	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
116	Dominic Zvada K27 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	7.0	14.0	OVERALL61	+7.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
117	Drew Stevens K28 WAS vs IND · locked	WAS	vs IND	7.0	7.0	OVERALL148	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
118	BAL D/ST DST2 BAL vs TEN	BAL	vs TEN	7.0	6.0	OVERALL171	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
119	PIT D/ST DST3 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	7.0	6.0	OVERALL172	-1.0	Hit	Played: 0.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
120	SEA D/ST DST4 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	7.0	10.0	OVERALL104	+3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
121	Josh Downs WR21 IND @ WAS · locked	IND	@ WAS	7.0	3.1	OVERALL216	-3.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 3.2–13.4.
122	Kyle Monangai RB31 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	6.9	27.5	OVERALL6	+20.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 3.4–12.7.
123	Denzel Boston WR22 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	6.9	10.9	OVERALL92	+4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 2.8–13.9.
124	Tyler Warren TE8 IND @ WAS · locked	IND	@ WAS	6.9	6.6	OVERALL153	-0.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 2.8–13.3.
125	Dalton Kincaid TE9 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	6.9	1.2	OVERALL252	-5.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 3.0–13.2.
126	Terry McLaurin WR23 WAS vs IND · locked	WAS	vs IND	6.8	0.0	OVERALL271	-6.8	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 6.8 if he plays.
127	Kenyon Sadiq TE10 NYJ @ CHI · Questionable	NYJ	@ CHI	6.7	0.0	OVERALL272	-6.7	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 86% — median 6.7 if he plays.
128	Devaughn Vele WR24 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	6.7	14.4	OVERALL56	+7.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 3.0–13.1.
129	Sam LaPorta TE11 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	6.6	18.4	OVERALL31	+11.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 3.0–12.6.
130	Matthew Golden WR25 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	6.6	10.2	OVERALL97	+3.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 2.9–13.1.
131	J.K. Dobbins RB32 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	6.6	6.2	OVERALL158	-0.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 3.3–12.0.
132	Darren Waller TE12 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	6.5	5.1	OVERALL182	-1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 2.2–12.6.
133	Tucker Kraft TE13 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	6.5	13.5	OVERALL67	+7.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 2.7–12.3.
134	Tetairoa McMillan WR26 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	6.5	38.2	OVERALL1	+31.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 2.9–12.8.
135	Jakobi Meyers WR27 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	6.2	4.8	OVERALL194	-1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 2.7–12.5.
136	DK Metcalf WR28 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	6.1	14.0	OVERALL62	+7.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 2.5–12.3.
137	Deebo Samuel Sr. WR29 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	6.0	15.5	OVERALL49	+9.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 2.5–12.3.
138	Ty Johnson RB33 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	6.0	2.2	OVERALL234	-3.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 2.0–11.9.
139	Woody Marks RB34 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	6.0	8.2	OVERALL130	+2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 2.3–11.9.
140	Jake Elliott K29 PHI vs LA	PHI	vs LA	6.0	10.0	OVERALL105	+4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 3.0–11.0.
141	Joey Slye K30 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	6.0	4.0	OVERALL202	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
142	Riley Patterson K31 MIA @ MIN	MIA	@ MIN	6.0	4.0	OVERALL203	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
143	Cameron Dicker K32 LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	6.0	12.0	OVERALL83	+6.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 3.0–11.0.
144	CHI D/ST DST5 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	6.0	7.0	OVERALL149	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
145	CIN D/ST DST6 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	6.0	4.0	OVERALL204	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
146	CLE D/ST DST7 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	6.0	9.0	OVERALL118	+3.0	Hit	Played: 0.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
147	DEN D/ST DST8 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	6.0	4.0	OVERALL205	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
148	DET D/ST DST9 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	6.0	2.0	OVERALL239	-4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
149	GB D/ST DST10 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	6.0	8.0	OVERALL135	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
150	HOU D/ST DST11 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	6.0	4.0	OVERALL206	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
151	LA D/ST DST12 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	6.0	5.0	OVERALL187	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0.
152	LV D/ST DST13 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	6.0	1.0	OVERALL257	-5.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
153	NO D/ST DST14 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	6.0	-3.0	OVERALL300	-9.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0.
154	Keenan Allen WR30 IND @ WAS · locked	IND	@ WAS	5.9	0.0	OVERALL273	-5.9	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 64% — median 5.9 if he plays.
155	Tre Tucker WR31 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	5.9	6.4	OVERALL155	+0.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 2.6–12.1.
156	Blake Corum RB35 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	5.9	2.6	OVERALL222	-3.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 2.8–11.6.
157	Mack Hollins WR32 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	5.9	6.8	OVERALL151	+0.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 2.7–11.4.
158	Ladd McConkey WR33 LAC @ SEA · Questionable	LAC	@ SEA	5.8	0.0	OVERALL274	-5.8	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 5.8 if he plays.
159	Mike Evans WR34 SF vs DEN · Questionable	SF	vs DEN	5.8	10.1	OVERALL101	+4.3	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 70% — median 5.8 if he plays.
160	Malik Nabers WR35 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	5.7	20.2	OVERALL25	+14.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 2.6–11.7.
161	DJ Moore WR36 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	5.7	2.2	OVERALL235	-3.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 2.4–11.6.
162	Jameson Williams WR37 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	5.6	13.2	OVERALL69	+7.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 2.5–11.1.
163	Isaiah Likely TE14 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	5.6	10.1	OVERALL102	+4.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 2.1–11.5.
164	Tyler Higbee TE15 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	5.6	9.2	OVERALL114	+3.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 2.0–11.7.
165	Jaylen Waddle WR38 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	5.5	12.0	OVERALL84	+6.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 2.5–10.8.
166	Carnell Tate WR39 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	5.4	17.0	OVERALL38	+11.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 2.5–10.7.
167	Kenny Gainwell RB36 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	5.3	9.7	OVERALL106	+4.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 2.0–10.7.
168	Cade Otton TE16 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	5.2	5.7	OVERALL175	+0.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 2.4–10.2.
169	Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB37 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	5.2	9.5	OVERALL111	+4.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 1.7–11.3.
170	Jake Ferguson TE17 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	5.2	2.6	OVERALL223	-2.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 1.6–10.9.
171	Romeo Doubs WR40 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	5.2	20.8	OVERALL21	+15.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 2.3–10.8.
172	Mike Gesicki TE18 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	5.1	11.5	OVERALL87	+6.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 1.7–10.9.
173	ATL D/ST DST15 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	5.0	4.0	OVERALL207	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
174	BUF D/ST DST16 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	5.0	4.0	OVERALL208	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0.
175	CAR D/ST DST17 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	5.0	1.0	OVERALL258	-4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0.
176	JAX D/ST DST18 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	5.0	7.0	OVERALL150	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0.
177	KC D/ST DST19 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	5.0	4.0	OVERALL209	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0.
178	LAC D/ST DST20 LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	5.0	6.0	OVERALL173	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0.
179	TB D/ST DST21 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	5.0	5.0	OVERALL188	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0.
180	Malik Washington WR41 MIA @ MIN	MIA	@ MIN	5.0	9.5	OVERALL112	+4.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 2.0–10.6.
181	Emeka Egbuka WR42 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	4.9	2.3	OVERALL231	-2.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 1.8–11.0.
182	Alvin Kamara RB38 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	4.9	20.3	OVERALL24	+15.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 2.1–10.0.
183	Xavier Hutchinson WR43 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	4.8	6.1	OVERALL162	+1.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 2.2–9.5.
184	Brenton Strange TE19 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	4.8	13.0	OVERALL73	+8.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 1.8–10.6.
185	Brian Robinson RB39 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	4.7	25.2	OVERALL12	+20.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 1.6–10.5.
186	Mike Washington Jr. RB40 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	4.7	2.2	OVERALL236	-2.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 1.5–10.9.
187	Jordan Addison WR44 MIN vs MIA	MIN	vs MIA	4.7	7.1	OVERALL144	+2.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 1.6–10.8.
188	Quentin Johnston WR45 LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	4.6	4.5	OVERALL195	-0.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 1.6–10.3.
189	Michael Mayer TE20 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	4.6	12.2	OVERALL78	+7.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 1.8–10.0.
190	Tyjae Spears RB41 TEN @ BAL · Questionable	TEN	@ BAL	4.5	1.1	OVERALL255	-3.4	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 4.5 if he plays.
191	Colston Loveland TE21 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	4.5	8.7	OVERALL126	+4.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 1.7–10.1.
192	Pat Freiermuth TE22 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	4.5	9.2	OVERALL115	+4.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 1.8–10.2.
193	Emanuel Wilson RB42 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	4.5	25.5	OVERALL10	+21.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 2.2–9.4.
194	AJ Barner TE23 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	4.5	1.7	OVERALL244	-2.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 1.7–10.1.
195	Dontayvion Wicks WR46 PHI vs LA	PHI	vs LA	4.4	3.3	OVERALL214	-1.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 1.5–10.4.
196	Tre Harris WR47 LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	4.4	7.5	OVERALL141	+3.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 1.6–9.6.
197	Tyler Allgeier RB43 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	4.4	11.9	OVERALL85	+7.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.8–9.3.
198	Chris Godwin Jr. WR48 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	4.4	6.1	OVERALL163	+1.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 1.6–9.8.
199	MarShawn Lloyd RB44 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	4.3	7.4	OVERALL142	+3.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 1.7–9.5.
200	Courtland Sutton WR49 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	4.3	0.9	OVERALL261	-3.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 1.5–9.8.
201	Noah Fant TE24 NO vs ATL · Questionable	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	4.3	0.0	OVERALL275	-4.3	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen 11:30 ET): P(active) 86% — median 4.3 if he plays.
202	Greg Dulcich TE25 MIA @ MIN	MIA	@ MIN	4.2	0.0	OVERALL276	-4.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 1.7–9.5.
203	Mark Andrews TE26 BAL vs TEN	BAL	vs TEN	4.2	11.2	OVERALL90	+7.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 1.7–9.2.
204	Rome Odunze WR50 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	4.2	12.4	OVERALL76	+8.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 1.5–9.7.
205	Zach Ertz TE27 PHI vs LA	PHI	vs LA	4.2	2.3	OVERALL232	-1.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 1.6–9.3.
206	Ted Hurst III WR51 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	4.2	3.5	OVERALL212	-0.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 1.3–10.3.
207	Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB45 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	4.2	-0.1	OVERALL299	-4.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 1.6–9.3.
208	Tank Bigsby RB46 PHI vs LA	PHI	vs LA	4.1	5.5	OVERALL178	+1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 1.3–9.6.
209	Samaje Perine RB47 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	4.1	0.7	OVERALL264	-3.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 1.3–9.4.
210	Pat Bryant WR52 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	4.0	6.2	OVERALL159	+2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 1.4–9.5.
211	T.J. Hockenson TE28 MIN vs MIA	MIN	vs MIA	4.0	18.4	OVERALL32	+14.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 1.5–9.4.
212	Raheim Sanders RB48 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	4.0	2.6	OVERALL224	-1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 1.6–8.9.
213	Kendre Miller RB49 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	4.0	0.9	OVERALL262	-3.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 1.4–9.7.
214	Khalil Shakir WR53 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	4.0	9.7	OVERALL107	+5.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 1.5–8.7.
215	ARI D/ST DST22 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	4.0	6.0	OVERALL174	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
216	IND D/ST DST23 IND @ WAS · locked	IND	@ WAS	4.0	8.0	OVERALL136	+4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
217	NE D/ST DST24 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	4.0	5.0	OVERALL189	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
218	NYG D/ST DST25 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	4.0	14.0	OVERALL63	+10.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
219	NYJ D/ST DST26 NYJ @ CHI	NYJ	@ CHI	4.0	5.0	OVERALL190	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
220	PHI D/ST DST27 PHI vs LA	PHI	vs LA	4.0	5.0	OVERALL191	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 1.0–8.0.
221	SF D/ST DST28 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	4.0	1.0	OVERALL259	-3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
222	WAS D/ST DST29 WAS vs IND · locked	WAS	vs IND	4.0	5.0	OVERALL192	+1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
223	Keaton Mitchell RB50 LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	4.0	8.8	OVERALL123	+4.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 1.5–9.1.
224	Cooper Kupp WR54 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	4.0	1.8	OVERALL242	-2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 1.4–9.4.
225	KC Concepcion WR55 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	4.0	8.9	OVERALL121	+5.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 1.6–8.7.
226	Emmett Johnson RB51 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	3.9	1.5	OVERALL248	-2.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 1.6–8.6.
227	Tory Horton WR56 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	3.9	7.1	OVERALL145	+3.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 1.2–9.9.
228	Bam Knight RB52 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	3.9	0.0	OVERALL277	-3.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.1–9.5.
229	Ryan Flournoy WR57 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	3.9	5.7	OVERALL176	+1.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 1.5–9.1.
230	Antonio Williams WR58 WAS vs IND · locked	WAS	vs IND	3.9	3.6	OVERALL211	-0.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 1.4–9.5.
231	Hunter Henry TE29 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	3.9	8.7	OVERALL127	+4.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 1.5–9.5.
232	Elic Ayomanor WR59 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	3.9	2.7	OVERALL221	-1.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 1.2–9.5.
233	Roman Wilson WR60 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	3.9	14.9	OVERALL53	+11.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 1.3–9.4.
234	Rashod Bateman WR61 BAL vs TEN	BAL	vs TEN	3.8	5.6	OVERALL177	+1.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 1.3–9.3.
235	Braelon Allen RB53 NYJ @ CHI	NYJ	@ CHI	3.7	7.7	OVERALL138	+4.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 1.3–9.1.
236	Jauan Jennings WR62 MIN vs MIA	MIN	vs MIA	3.6	1.3	OVERALL250	-2.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 1.2–9.3.
237	Keon Coleman WR63 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	3.6	20.6	OVERALL22	+17.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 1.3–8.5.
238	Kaelon Black RB54 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	3.6	1.3	OVERALL251	-2.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 1.4–8.7.
239	George Holani RB55 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	3.5	2.5	OVERALL227	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 1.1–8.7.
240	Brian Thomas Jr. WR64 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	3.5	8.7	OVERALL128	+5.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 1.2–8.0.
241	Michael Pittman WR65 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	3.5	2.5	OVERALL228	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 1.3–8.0.
242	Chris Bell WR66 MIA @ MIN	MIA	@ MIN	3.4	0.0	OVERALL278	-3.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 1.1–8.0.
243	Isaac TeSlaa WR67 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	3.4	11.5	OVERALL88	+8.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 1.1–8.6.
244	Kendrick Bourne WR68 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	3.3	0.0	OVERALL279	-3.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.2–7.5.
245	Darnell Mooney WR69 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	3.3	0.0	OVERALL280	-3.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 1.2–7.7.
246	Najee Harris RB56 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	3.3	3.0	OVERALL219	-0.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 1.3–8.1.
247	Konata Mumpfield WR70 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	3.3	1.2	OVERALL253	-2.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 1.0–8.7.
248	Ollie Gordon II RB57 MIA @ MIN	MIA	@ MIN	3.3	17.0	OVERALL39	+13.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 0.9–8.7.
249	Kyle Pitts TE30 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	3.2	6.2	OVERALL160	+3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 1.2–7.9.
250	Jaylin Noel WR71 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	3.2	10.4	OVERALL95	+7.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 1.1–7.9.
251	Darnell Washington TE31 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	3.2	10.2	OVERALL98	+7.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 1.2–7.8.
252	Xavier Worthy WR72 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	3.2	9.0	OVERALL119	+5.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 0.8–8.3.
253	Tyquan Thornton WR73 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	3.1	25.6	OVERALL9	+22.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 1.0–7.5.
254	Evan Engram TE32 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	3.1	1.1	OVERALL256	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 1.1–8.2.
255	Kayshon Boutte WR74 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	3.1	5.1	OVERALL183	+1.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 1.1–7.8.
256	Austin Hooper TE33 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	3.1	1.4	OVERALL249	-1.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 0.9–8.6.
257	Matthew Hibner TE34 BAL vs TEN	BAL	vs TEN	3.1	4.4	OVERALL196	+1.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 0.9–8.5.
258	Malachi Fields WR75 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	3.1	12.2	OVERALL79	+9.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 1.1–7.3.
259	Jalen McMillan WR76 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	3.1	0.0	OVERALL281	-3.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 1.1–7.2.
260	Tommy Tremble TE35 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	3.0	3.2	OVERALL215	+0.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 1.1–7.8.
261	DAL D/ST DST30 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	3.0	1.0	OVERALL260	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 0.0–7.0.
262	MIA D/ST DST31 MIA @ MIN	MIA	@ MIN	3.0	5.0	OVERALL193	+2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 0.0–8.0.
263	TEN D/ST DST32 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	3.0	2.0	OVERALL240	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 0.0–8.0.
264	Kimani Vidal RB58 LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	3.0	10.6	OVERALL93	+7.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 0.9–7.7.
265	Ray Davis RB59 BUF vs NE · Questionable	BUF	vs NE	2.9	1.2	OVERALL254	-1.7	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 49% — median 2.9 if he plays.
266	DeMario Douglas WR77 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	2.9	2.5	OVERALL229	-0.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 1.0–7.2.
267	Jonnu Smith TE36 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	2.9	2.4	OVERALL230	-0.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 0.9–7.5.
268	Kevin Austin Jr. WR78 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	2.9	0.0	OVERALL282	-2.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 0.8–7.7.
269	Andy Dalton QB32 PHI vs LA	PHI	vs LA	2.9	0.0	OVERALL283	-2.9	Hit	P(active) 85% from the injury report; median 2.9 if he plays.
270	Trey Lance QB33 LAC @ SEA · Questionable	LAC	@ SEA	2.9	0.0	OVERALL284	-2.9	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 29% — median 2.9 if he plays.
271	Justice Hill RB60 BAL vs TEN	BAL	vs TEN	2.9	3.5	OVERALL213	+0.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 0.9–7.7.
272	Marvin Harrison Jr. WR79 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	2.8	7.7	OVERALL139	+4.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.0–7.1.
273	Oronde Gadsden II TE37 LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	2.8	6.3	OVERALL156	+3.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 0.8–8.0.
274	Isaiah Williams WR80 NYJ @ CHI	NYJ	@ CHI	2.8	14.3	OVERALL58	+11.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 0.8–7.0.
275	Jeremy Ruckert TE38 NYJ @ CHI	NYJ	@ CHI	2.8	0.0	OVERALL285	-2.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 0.9–7.7.
276	Calvin Ridley WR81 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	2.7	1.8	OVERALL243	-0.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 0.9–6.5.
277	Foster Moreau TE39 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	2.7	0.6	OVERALL265	-2.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 0.8–7.9.
278	Colby Parkinson TE40 LA @ PHI · Questionable	LA	@ PHI	2.7	0.0	OVERALL286	-2.7	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 39% — median 2.7 if he plays.
279	Gunnar Helm TE41 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	2.7	3.0	OVERALL220	+0.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 0.9–7.0.
280	Chris Brooks RB61 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	2.6	4.0	OVERALL210	+1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 0.7–7.0.
281	Jordan Watkins WR82 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	2.6	0.0	OVERALL287	-2.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 0.8–6.4.
282	Germie Bernard WR83 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	2.6	2.1	OVERALL237	-0.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 0.5–7.0.
283	Theo Johnson TE42 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	2.6	7.6	OVERALL140	+5.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 0.7–7.0.
284	John Metchie III WR84 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	2.5	5.2	OVERALL181	+2.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 0.5–7.8.
285	Brycen Tremayne WR85 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	2.5	4.2	OVERALL201	+1.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 0.8–6.1.
286	Jaleel McLaughlin RB62 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	2.5	8.8	OVERALL124	+6.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 0.7–6.9.
287	Isaiah Davis RB63 NYJ @ CHI	NYJ	@ CHI	2.5	0.0	OVERALL288	-2.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 0.7–7.2.
288	Elijah Higgins TE43 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	2.4	8.9	OVERALL122	+6.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 0.8–6.4.
289	Dawson Knox TE44 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	2.4	2.3	OVERALL233	-0.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 0.7–7.6.
290	Mo Alie-Cox TE45 IND @ WAS · locked	IND	@ WAS	2.4	0.0	OVERALL289	-2.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 0.6–7.2.
291	Josh Palmer WR86 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	2.4	0.8	OVERALL263	-1.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 0.0–8.4.
292	Nate Adkins TE46 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	2.4	0.0	OVERALL290	-2.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 0.6–7.9.
293	Jared Wayne WR87 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	2.4	0.0	OVERALL291	-2.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 0.5–6.5.
294	Baker Mayfield QB34 TB vs GB · Out	TB	vs GB	0.0	0.0	OVERALL292	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
295	Breece Hall RB64 NYJ @ CHI · Out	NYJ	@ CHI	0.0	0.0	OVERALL293	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
296	DeVonta Smith WR88 PHI vs LA · Out	PHI	vs LA	0.0	0.0	OVERALL294	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
297	Justin Jefferson WR89 MIN vs MIA · Out	MIN	vs MIA	0.0	0.0	OVERALL295	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
298	Rachaad White RB65 WAS vs IND · locked	WAS	vs IND	0.0	0.0	OVERALL296	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
299	Jadarian Price RB66 SEA vs LAC · Out	SEA	vs LAC	0.0	0.0	OVERALL297	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
300	Terrance Ferguson TE47 LA @ PHI · Out	LA	@ PHI	0.0	0.0	OVERALL298	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start

Showing 24 of 300 · tiers 2+ below

What the numbers say

5.1mean abs. error · Half-PPR points, top 36

0.29rank correlation · Spearman, top 36

1 / 12ranked top 12 who finished top 12

72%actuals inside the 20–80 range · target 60%

This version was published after the week's first kickoff, so it is scored as a retrospective, not a forecast.

The engine's read on Week 4

Engine byline · no human author

Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Common questions about Week 4 OVERALL rankings

Who is the best overall to start in Week 4 Half-PPR?

Josh Allen, our OVERALL1 with a 21.8-point median; Brock Purdy is OVERALL2.

When do these rankings update?

Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.

Why is PIT D/ST still ranked after playing?

Locked players stay on the board at their actual points so ranks and flex comparisons stay complete.

How this board is built

Projectionsens-fit-2026w03-mkt-20260929-2026-w4-2026-09-29+mkt-2026-w04-2026-09-29-18

Market2026-w04-2026-10-06-08

Simulation10,000 outcomes per player

Accuracyscored after the week flips

Rankings versionv7 · Sun, Oct 4, 11:35 AM ET

Ranks tagsunday-2026-w4-1135

Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits

More rankings

Week 4 · other positionsQuarterback Running Back Wide Receiver Tight End Flex Kicker Defense

OVERALL · other formatsWeek 4 OVERALL — PPR Week 4 OVERALL — Standard

OVERALL · other weeksWeek 5 OVERALL Week 6 OVERALL Rest-of-season Overall 2026 draft Overall

This weekWeek 4 hub Ask about this board Waiver wire Injury report

VersionsRankings vf6aae813· projections ens-fit-2026w03-mkt-20260929-2026-w4-2026-09-29+mkt-2026-w04-2026-09-29-18· lines 2026-w04-2026-10-06-08· injuries 2026-10-04T15:35:34Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version