Jahmyr Gibbs is our #1 overall for Week 4 in PPR, ahead of Josh Allen and Jaxon Smith-Njigba. No rank moved since the last publish.
Results table
| Rank | Player | Team | Opp | Proj | Range | Actual | Finish | Δ | Hit | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 · Must start | ||||||||||
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs RB1 DET @ CAR | DET | @ CAR | 21.8 | 17.7 | OVERALL45 | -4.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 13.3–32.1. | |
| 2 | Josh Allen QB1 BUF vs NE | BUF | vs NE | 21.8 | 18.5 | OVERALL38 | -3.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 13.4–30.6. | |
| 3 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR1 SEA vs LAC | SEA | vs LAC | 20.7 | 12.6 | OVERALL91 | -8.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 11.2–33.7. | |
| 4 | Brock Purdy QB2 SF vs DEN | SF | vs DEN | 20.3 | 19.6 | OVERALL31 | -0.7 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 12.5–28.4. | |
| 5 | Bijan Robinson RB2 ATL @ NO | ATL | @ NO (Mon) | 19.6 | 27.7 | OVERALL8 | +8.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 12.0–29.1. | |
| 6 | Tyler Shough QB3 NO vs ATL | NO | vs ATL (Mon) | 19.4 | 15.9 | OVERALL62 | -3.4 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 11.5–27.5. | |
| Tier 2 | ||||||||||
| 7 | Chris Olave WR2 NO vs ATL | NO | vs ATL (Mon) | 17.8 | 19.6 | OVERALL32 | +1.8 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 9.7–29.1. | |
| 8 | Patrick Mahomes QB4 KC @ LV | KC | @ LV | 17.7 | 17.0 | OVERALL47 | -0.7 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 10.6–25.4. | |
| 9 | Bryce Young QB5 CAR vs DET | CAR | vs DET | 17.6 | 21.5 | OVERALL28 | +3.8 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 10.5–25.0. | |
| 10 | Trevor Lawrence QB6 JAX @ CIN | JAX | @ CIN | 17.5 | 13.1 | OVERALL83 | -4.4 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 10.3–25.0. | |
| 11 | Derrick Henry RB3 BAL vs TEN | BAL | vs TEN | 17.5 | 15.9 | OVERALL63 | -1.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 9.9–26.9. | |
| 12 | Case Keenum QB7 CHI vs NYJ | CHI | vs NYJ | 17.4 | 0.0 | OVERALL267 | -17.4 | Miss | P(active) 85% from the injury report; median 17.4 if he plays. | |
| 13 | Jared Goff QB8 DET @ CAR | DET | @ CAR | 17.2 | 20.5 | OVERALL30 | +3.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 10.3–24.4. | |
| 14 | Matthew Stafford QB9 LA @ PHI | LA | @ PHI | 17.1 | 9.7 | OVERALL124 | -7.4 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 10.0–24.6. | |
| 15 | Joe Burrow QB10 CIN vs JAX | CIN | vs JAX | 17.0 | 23.7 | OVERALL17 | +6.8 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 10.1–24.0. | |
| 16 | Kenneth Walker III RB4 KC @ LV | KC | @ LV | 16.8 | 30.9 | OVERALL5 | +14.1 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 9.9–25.5. | |
| 17 | Lamar Jackson QB11 BAL vs TEN | BAL | vs TEN | 16.6 | 18.9 | OVERALL36 | +2.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 10.2–23.4. | |
| 18 | Dak Prescott QB12 DAL @ HOU | DAL | @ HOU | 16.6 | 18.1 | OVERALL40 | +1.5 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 9.9–23.4. | |
| 19 | Jonathan Taylor RB5 IND @ WAS · locked | IND | @ WAS | 16.0 | 22.7 | OVERALL22 | +6.7 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 9.0–24.6. | |
| 20 | Christian McCaffrey RB6 SF vs DEN | SF | vs DEN | 15.8 | 16.0 | OVERALL58 | +0.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 9.0–24.9. | |
| 21 | Jacoby Brissett QB13 ARI @ NYG | ARI | @ NYG | 15.6 | 10.4 | OVERALL116 | -5.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 8.7–22.7. | |
| 22 | Amon-Ra St. Brown WR3 DET @ CAR | DET | @ CAR | 15.5 | 15.5 | OVERALL66 | 0.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 8.0–25.4. | |
| 23 | Bo Nix QB14 DEN @ SF | DEN | @ SF | 15.4 | 13.6 | OVERALL76 | -1.8 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 8.8–22.5. | |
| 24 | Deshaun Watson QB15 CLE vs PIT · locked | CLE | vs PIT (Thu) | 15.2 | 12.9 | OVERALL87 | -2.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 8.9–21.7. | |
| 25 | C.J. Stroud QB16 HOU vs DAL | HOU | vs DAL | 14.9 | 23.1 | OVERALL20 | +8.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 8.8–21.3. | |
| 26 | Jordan Love QB17 GB @ TB | GB | @ TB | 14.8 | 13.1 | OVERALL84 | -1.7 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 8.6–21.5. | |
| 27 | Ja'Marr Chase WR4 CIN vs JAX | CIN | vs JAX | 14.4 | 5.7 | OVERALL184 | -8.7 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 7.5–23.8. | |
| 28 | Kirk Cousins QB18 LV vs KC | LV | vs KC | 14.4 | 22.6 | OVERALL23 | +8.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 7.9–21.1. | |
| 29 | Geno Smith QB19 NYJ @ CHI | NYJ | @ CHI | 14.0 | 8.8 | OVERALL136 | -5.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 7.9–20.3. | |
| 30 | Kyren Williams RB7 LA @ PHI | LA | @ PHI | 13.9 | 36.7 | OVERALL3 | +22.8 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 8.1–21.8. | |
| 31 | Jalen Hurts QB20 PHI vs LA | PHI | vs LA | 13.9 | 13.5 | OVERALL77 | -0.3 | Hit | P(active) 85% from the injury report; median 13.9 if he plays. | |
| 32 | Jaylen Warren RB8 PIT @ CLE · locked | PIT | @ CLE (Thu) | 13.8 | 15.6 | OVERALL64 | +1.8 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 8.1–21.6. | |
| 33 | Zay Flowers WR5 BAL vs TEN · Questionable | BAL | vs TEN | 13.7 | 25.8 | OVERALL13 | +12.1 | Miss | Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 70% — median 13.7 if he plays. | |
| 34 | Sam Darnold QB21 SEA vs LAC | SEA | vs LAC | 13.7 | 13.3 | OVERALL79 | -0.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 7.5–20.0. | |
| 35 | Trey McBride TE1 ARI @ NYG | ARI | @ NYG | 13.7 | 10.1 | OVERALL117 | -3.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 7.1–22.7. | |
| 36 | Davante Adams WR6 LA @ PHI | LA | @ PHI | 13.5 | 7.2 | OVERALL160 | -6.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 6.8–23.1. | |
| 37 | James Cook RB9 BUF vs NE | BUF | vs NE | 13.5 | 16.3 | OVERALL55 | +2.8 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 7.3–21.5. | |
| 38 | Chase Brown RB10 CIN vs JAX | CIN | vs JAX | 13.4 | 19.1 | OVERALL34 | +5.7 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 7.7–20.8. | |
| 39 | CeeDee Lamb WR7 DAL @ HOU | DAL | @ HOU | 13.4 | 41.3 | OVERALL2 | +27.9 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 6.8–22.5. | |
| 40 | Justin Herbert QB22 LAC @ SEA | LAC | @ SEA | 13.3 | 9.6 | OVERALL125 | -3.7 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 7.4–19.7. | |
| 41 | Aaron Rodgers QB23 PIT @ CLE · locked | PIT | @ CLE (Thu) | 13.3 | 22.0 | OVERALL25 | +8.7 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 7.5–19.4. | |
| 42 | Christian Watson WR8 GB @ TB | GB | @ TB | 13.3 | 7.7 | OVERALL151 | -5.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 6.4–22.7. | |
| 43 | Ashton Jeanty RB11 LV vs KC | LV | vs KC | 13.2 | 18.6 | OVERALL37 | +5.4 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 7.8–20.4. | |
| 44 | Malik Willis QB24 MIA @ MIN | MIA | @ MIN | 13.2 | 2.5 | OVERALL240 | -10.7 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 7.3–19.7. | |
| 45 | D'Andre Swift RB12 CHI vs NYJ | CHI | vs NYJ | 13.2 | 7.4 | OVERALL159 | -5.8 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 7.1–21.0. | |
| 46 | Drake Maye QB25 NE @ BUF | NE | @ BUF | 13.1 | 26.2 | OVERALL11 | +13.1 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 7.2–19.4. | |
| 47 | Marcus Mariota QB26 WAS vs IND · locked | WAS | vs IND | 13.1 | 5.3 | OVERALL189 | -7.8 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 7.0–19.7. | |
| 48 | Daniel Jones QB27 IND @ WAS · locked | IND | @ WAS | 13.0 | 7.9 | OVERALL150 | -5.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 7.2–19.4. | |
| 49 | Michael Penix Jr. QB28 ATL @ NO | ATL | @ NO (Mon) | 12.9 | 12.7 | OVERALL90 | -0.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 7.4–18.9. | |
| 50 | Cam Ward QB29 TEN @ BAL | TEN | @ BAL | 12.8 | 15.6 | OVERALL65 | +2.7 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 6.7–19.8. | |
| 51 | Kyler Murray QB30 MIN vs MIA | MIN | vs MIA | 12.8 | 11.5 | OVERALL105 | -1.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 6.7–19.2. | |
| 52 | Brock Bowers TE2 LV vs KC | LV | vs KC | 12.7 | 20.6 | OVERALL29 | +7.9 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 6.5–21.3. | |
| 53 | Parker Washington WR9 JAX @ CIN | JAX | @ CIN | 12.3 | 2.0 | OVERALL245 | -10.3 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 6.2–21.1. | |
| 54 | Javonte Williams RB13 DAL @ HOU | DAL | @ HOU | 12.1 | 31.3 | OVERALL4 | +19.2 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 6.6–19.3. | |
| 55 | Garrett Wilson WR10 NYJ @ CHI | NYJ | @ CHI | 12.1 | 5.7 | OVERALL185 | -6.4 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 6.2–20.4. | |
| 56 | Cam Skattebo RB14 NYG vs ARI | NYG | vs ARI | 12.1 | 7.6 | OVERALL156 | -4.5 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 6.3–20.1. | |
| 57 | George Kittle TE3 SF vs DEN | SF | vs DEN | 11.9 | 17.0 | OVERALL48 | +5.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 5.7–20.4. | |
| 58 | Michael Wilson WR11 ARI @ NYG | ARI | @ NYG | 11.9 | 16.5 | OVERALL50 | +4.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 5.9–20.1. | |
| 59 | Aaron Jones RB15 MIN vs MIA | MIN | vs MIA | 11.7 | 16.8 | OVERALL49 | +5.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 6.5–18.5. | |
| 60 | Jeremiyah Love RB16 ARI @ NYG | ARI | @ NYG | 11.6 | 6.5 | OVERALL173 | -5.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 6.2–18.9. | |
| 61 | Tee Higgins WR12 CIN vs JAX | CIN | vs JAX | 11.4 | 26.7 | OVERALL10 | +15.3 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 5.7–19.7. | |
| 62 | Drake London WR13 ATL @ NO | ATL | @ NO (Mon) | 11.3 | 14.6 | OVERALL69 | +3.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 6.0–19.7. | |
| 63 | Bucky Irving RB17 TB vs GB | TB | vs GB | 11.0 | 6.1 | OVERALL175 | -4.9 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 6.0–18.2. | |
| 64 | MIN D/ST DST1 MIN vs MIA | MIN | vs MIA | 11.0 | 8.0 | OVERALL144 | -3.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 6.0–17.0. | |
| 65 | Juwan Johnson TE4 NO vs ATL | NO | vs ATL (Mon) | 10.8 | 11.9 | OVERALL97 | +1.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 5.2–18.8. | |
| 66 | Chuba Hubbard RB18 CAR vs DET | CAR | vs DET | 10.8 | 25.9 | OVERALL12 | +15.1 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 5.6–17.7. | |
| 67 | Rashee Rice WR14 KC @ LV | KC | @ LV | 10.6 | 0.0 | OVERALL268 | -10.6 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 5.0–18.7. | |
| 68 | Stefon Diggs WR15 WAS vs IND · locked | WAS | vs IND | 10.5 | 8.5 | OVERALL138 | -2.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 4.6–18.9. | |
| 69 | Rhamondre Stevenson RB19 NE @ BUF | NE | @ BUF | 10.5 | 18.4 | OVERALL39 | +7.9 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 5.3–17.5. | |
| 70 | Omarion Hampton RB20 LAC @ SEA | LAC | @ SEA | 10.3 | 13.3 | OVERALL80 | +3.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 4.9–17.8. | |
| 71 | Jameis Winston QB31 NYG vs ARI | NYG | vs ARI | 10.2 | 18.0 | OVERALL41 | +7.8 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 5.4–15.6. | |
| 72 | Luther Burden III WR16 CHI vs NYJ | CHI | vs NYJ | 10.2 | 11.4 | OVERALL106 | +1.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 4.8–18.3. | |
| 73 | Harold Fannin Jr. TE5 CLE vs PIT · locked | CLE | vs PIT (Thu) | 10.1 | 11.7 | OVERALL99 | +1.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 4.7–17.5. | |
| 74 | RJ Harvey RB21 DEN @ SF | DEN | @ SF | 9.8 | 19.3 | OVERALL33 | +9.5 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 4.7–16.7. | |
| 75 | De'Von Achane RB22 MIA @ MIN | MIA | @ MIN | 9.8 | 0.0 | OVERALL269 | -9.8 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 5.2–16.2. | |
| 76 | Jalen Coker WR17 CAR vs DET · Questionable | CAR | vs DET | 9.7 | 0.0 | OVERALL270 | -9.7 | Miss | Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 70% — median 9.7 if he plays. | |
| 77 | Dalton Schultz TE6 HOU vs DAL | HOU | vs DAL | 9.6 | 2.9 | OVERALL235 | -6.7 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 4.9–16.8. | |
| 78 | Kalif Raymond WR18 CHI vs NYJ | CHI | vs NYJ | 9.5 | 2.6 | OVERALL239 | -6.9 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 4.4–17.2. | |
| 79 | Wan'Dale Robinson WR19 TEN @ BAL | TEN | @ BAL | 9.5 | 11.0 | OVERALL111 | +1.5 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 4.5–16.6. | |
| 80 | George Pickens WR20 DAL @ HOU | DAL | @ HOU | 9.5 | 9.5 | OVERALL126 | 0.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 4.6–17.0. | |
| 81 | Tony Pollard RB23 TEN @ BAL | TEN | @ BAL | 9.4 | 13.0 | OVERALL85 | +3.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 5.4–15.1. | |
| 82 | Travis Kelce TE7 KC @ LV | KC | @ LV | 9.4 | 3.5 | OVERALL220 | -5.9 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 4.3–16.8. | |
| 83 | Tyler Warren TE8 IND @ WAS · locked | IND | @ WAS | 9.3 | 9.1 | OVERALL128 | -0.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 4.3–16.7. | |
| 84 | Josh Downs WR21 IND @ WAS · locked | IND | @ WAS | 9.1 | 4.6 | OVERALL204 | -4.5 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 4.3–16.3. | |
| 85 | David Montgomery RB24 HOU vs DAL | HOU | vs DAL | 9.1 | 4.3 | OVERALL208 | -4.8 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 4.1–15.5. | |
| 86 | Bhayshul Tuten RB25 JAX @ CIN | JAX | @ CIN | 8.9 | 11.1 | OVERALL110 | +2.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 3.9–15.5. | |
| 87 | Travis Etienne RB26 NO vs ATL | NO | vs ATL (Mon) | 8.9 | 0.0 | OVERALL271 | -8.9 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 4.6–14.9. | |
| 88 | Saquon Barkley RB27 PHI vs LA | PHI | vs LA | 8.8 | 2.0 | OVERALL246 | -6.8 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 4.9–14.6. | |
| 89 | TreVeyon Henderson RB28 NE @ BUF | NE | @ BUF | 8.8 | 4.2 | OVERALL209 | -4.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 3.9–15.8. | |
| 90 | Devaughn Vele WR22 NO vs ATL | NO | vs ATL (Mon) | 8.7 | 17.4 | OVERALL46 | +8.7 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 4.0–16.0. | |
| 91 | Quinshon Judkins RB29 CLE vs PIT · locked | CLE | vs PIT (Thu) | 8.7 | 21.6 | OVERALL26 | +12.9 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 4.5–14.7. | |
| 92 | Sam LaPorta TE9 DET @ CAR | DET | @ CAR | 8.7 | 22.4 | OVERALL24 | +13.7 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 4.2–15.5. | |
| 93 | Terry McLaurin WR23 WAS vs IND · locked | WAS | vs IND | 8.6 | 0.0 | OVERALL272 | -8.6 | Miss | Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 8.6 if he plays. | |
| 94 | Dalton Kincaid TE10 BUF vs NE | BUF | vs NE | 8.6 | 1.7 | OVERALL254 | -6.9 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 3.9–15.7. | |
| 95 | Kenyon Sadiq TE11 NYJ @ CHI · Questionable | NYJ | @ CHI | 8.5 | 0.0 | OVERALL273 | -8.5 | Miss | Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 86% — median 8.5 if he plays. | |
| 96 | Matthew Golden WR24 GB @ TB | GB | @ TB | 8.3 | 11.7 | OVERALL100 | +3.4 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 3.8–15.6. | |
| 97 | Denzel Boston WR25 CLE vs PIT · locked | CLE | vs PIT (Thu) | 8.3 | 12.9 | OVERALL88 | +4.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 3.5–15.9. | |
| 98 | Tucker Kraft TE12 GB @ TB | GB | @ TB | 8.3 | 16.5 | OVERALL51 | +8.2 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 3.7–14.8. | |
| 99 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB30 WAS vs IND · locked | WAS | vs IND | 8.2 | 7.0 | OVERALL162 | -1.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 3.6–14.7. | |
| 100 | Tetairoa McMillan WR26 CAR vs DET | CAR | vs DET | 8.2 | 45.2 | OVERALL1 | +37.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 3.8–15.3. | |
| 101 | Jakobi Meyers WR27 JAX @ CIN | JAX | @ CIN | 8.1 | 6.3 | OVERALL174 | -1.8 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 3.7–15.0. | |
| 102 | Keenan Allen WR28 IND @ WAS · locked | IND | @ WAS | 8.1 | 0.0 | OVERALL274 | -8.1 | Miss | Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 64% — median 8.1 if he plays. | |
| 103 | DK Metcalf WR29 PIT @ CLE · locked | PIT | @ CLE (Thu) | 8.0 | 16.5 | OVERALL52 | +8.5 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 3.4–14.8. | |
| 104 | Jason Myers K1 SEA vs LAC | SEA | vs LAC | 8.0 | 6.0 | OVERALL176 | -2.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0. | |
| 105 | Ka'imi Fairbairn K2 HOU vs DAL | HOU | vs DAL | 8.0 | 16.0 | OVERALL59 | +8.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0. | |
| 106 | Harrison Butker K3 KC @ LV | KC | @ LV | 8.0 | 6.0 | OVERALL177 | -2.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0. | |
| 107 | Eddy Pineiro K4 SF vs DEN | SF | vs DEN | 8.0 | 5.0 | OVERALL193 | -3.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0. | |
| 108 | Matt Gay K5 LV vs KC | LV | vs KC | 8.0 | 16.0 | OVERALL60 | +8.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0. | |
| 109 | Tyler Bass K6 BUF vs NE | BUF | vs NE | 8.0 | 8.0 | OVERALL145 | 0.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0. | |
| 110 | Evan McPherson K7 CIN vs JAX | CIN | vs JAX | 8.0 | 5.0 | OVERALL194 | -3.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0. | |
| 111 | Brandon Aubrey K8 DAL @ HOU | DAL | @ HOU | 8.0 | 10.0 | OVERALL118 | +2.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 4.0–14.0. | |
| 112 | Jake Bates K9 DET @ CAR | DET | @ CAR | 8.0 | 18.0 | OVERALL42 | +10.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0. | |
| 113 | Will Reichard K10 MIN vs MIA | MIN | vs MIA | 8.0 | 19.0 | OVERALL35 | +11.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0. | |
| 114 | Cam Little K11 JAX @ CIN | JAX | @ CIN | 8.0 | 14.0 | OVERALL71 | +6.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0. | |
| 115 | Harrison Mevis K12 LA @ PHI | LA | @ PHI | 8.0 | 6.0 | OVERALL178 | -2.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 4.0–12.0. | |
| 116 | Spencer Shrader K13 IND @ WAS · locked | IND | @ WAS | 8.0 | 16.0 | OVERALL61 | +8.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0. | |
| 117 | Tyler Loop K14 BAL vs TEN | BAL | vs TEN | 8.0 | 7.0 | OVERALL163 | -1.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0. | |
| 118 | Darren Waller TE13 CAR vs DET | CAR | vs DET | 7.9 | 6.6 | OVERALL169 | -1.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 3.1–15.0. | |
| 119 | Mack Hollins WR30 NE @ BUF | NE | @ BUF | 7.9 | 8.3 | OVERALL140 | +0.4 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 3.7–14.4. | |
| 120 | Malik Nabers WR31 NYG vs ARI | NYG | vs ARI | 7.7 | 23.2 | OVERALL19 | +15.5 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 3.5–14.4. | |
| 121 | Kyle Monangai RB31 CHI vs NYJ | CHI | vs NYJ | 7.7 | 28.0 | OVERALL7 | +20.3 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 3.7–13.7. | |
| 122 | Tre Tucker WR32 LV vs KC | LV | vs KC | 7.5 | 8.4 | OVERALL139 | +0.9 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 3.4–14.5. | |
| 123 | Isaiah Likely TE14 NYG vs ARI | NYG | vs ARI | 7.5 | 13.6 | OVERALL75 | +6.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 3.1–14.2. | |
| 124 | Mike Evans WR33 SF vs DEN · Questionable | SF | vs DEN | 7.5 | 12.6 | OVERALL92 | +5.1 | Hit | Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 70% — median 7.5 if he plays. | |
| 125 | Ladd McConkey WR34 LAC @ SEA · Questionable | LAC | @ SEA | 7.5 | 0.0 | OVERALL275 | -7.5 | Miss | Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 7.5 if he plays. | |
| 126 | Tyler Higbee TE15 LA @ PHI | LA | @ PHI | 7.4 | 11.7 | OVERALL101 | +4.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 3.0–14.2. | |
| 127 | Deebo Samuel Sr. WR35 SF vs DEN | SF | vs DEN | 7.4 | 18.0 | OVERALL43 | +10.6 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 3.1–14.1. | |
| 128 | Carnell Tate WR36 TEN @ BAL | TEN | @ BAL | 7.4 | 21.5 | OVERALL27 | +14.1 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 3.6–13.6. | |
| 129 | Jameson Williams WR37 DET @ CAR | DET | @ CAR | 7.3 | 16.2 | OVERALL56 | +8.8 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 3.3–13.5. | |
| 130 | DJ Moore WR38 BUF vs NE | BUF | vs NE | 7.3 | 2.7 | OVERALL237 | -4.6 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 3.2–13.8. | |
| 131 | J.K. Dobbins RB32 DEN @ SF | DEN | @ SF | 7.1 | 7.2 | OVERALL161 | +0.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 3.6–12.6. | |
| 132 | Ty Johnson RB33 BUF vs NE | BUF | vs NE | 7.1 | 3.2 | OVERALL227 | -3.9 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 2.6–13.5. | |
| 133 | Woody Marks RB34 HOU vs DAL | HOU | vs DAL | 7.1 | 8.2 | OVERALL141 | +1.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 2.9–13.2. | |
| 134 | Jaylen Waddle WR39 DEN @ SF | DEN | @ SF | 7.1 | 14.5 | OVERALL70 | +7.4 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 3.3–13.2. | |
| 135 | Cade Otton TE16 TB vs GB | TB | vs GB | 7.0 | 7.7 | OVERALL152 | +0.7 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 3.3–12.8. | |
| 136 | Nick Folk K15 ATL @ NO | ATL | @ NO (Mon) | 7.0 | 9.0 | OVERALL131 | +2.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0. | |
| 137 | Chris Boswell K16 PIT @ CLE · locked | PIT | @ CLE (Thu) | 7.0 | 3.0 | OVERALL231 | -4.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0. | |
| 138 | Cairo Santos K17 CHI vs NYJ | CHI | vs NYJ | 7.0 | 11.0 | OVERALL112 | +4.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0. | |
| 139 | Wil Lutz K18 DEN @ SF | DEN | @ SF | 7.0 | 8.0 | OVERALL146 | +1.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0. | |
| 140 | Daniel Carlson K19 NO vs ATL | NO | vs ATL (Mon) | 7.0 | 5.0 | OVERALL195 | -2.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0. | |
| 141 | Jason Sanders K20 NYJ @ CHI | NYJ | @ CHI | 7.0 | 6.0 | OVERALL179 | -1.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0. | |
| 142 | Chase McLaughlin K21 TB vs GB | TB | vs GB | 7.0 | 2.0 | OVERALL247 | -5.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 3.0–13.0. | |
| 143 | Andre Szmyt K22 CLE vs PIT · locked | CLE | vs PIT (Thu) | 7.0 | 12.0 | OVERALL94 | +5.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0. | |
| 144 | Chad Ryland K23 ARI @ NYG | ARI | @ NYG | 7.0 | 8.0 | OVERALL147 | +1.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0. | |
| 145 | Andy Borregales K24 NE @ BUF | NE | @ BUF | 7.0 | 3.0 | OVERALL232 | -4.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0. | |
| 146 | Ryan Fitzgerald K25 CAR vs DET | CAR | vs DET | 7.0 | 9.0 | OVERALL132 | +2.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 4.0–12.0. | |
| 147 | Trey Smack K26 GB @ TB | GB | @ TB | 7.0 | 7.0 | OVERALL164 | 0.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0. | |
| 148 | Dominic Zvada K27 NYG vs ARI | NYG | vs ARI | 7.0 | 14.0 | OVERALL72 | +7.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0. | |
| 149 | Drew Stevens K28 WAS vs IND · locked | WAS | vs IND | 7.0 | 7.0 | OVERALL165 | 0.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0. | |
| 150 | BAL D/ST DST2 BAL vs TEN | BAL | vs TEN | 7.0 | 6.0 | OVERALL180 | -1.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0. | |
| 151 | PIT D/ST DST3 PIT @ CLE · locked | PIT | @ CLE (Thu) | 7.0 | 6.0 | OVERALL181 | -1.0 | Hit | Played: 0.0 actual — kept on the board at his score. | |
| 152 | SEA D/ST DST4 SEA vs LAC | SEA | vs LAC | 7.0 | 10.0 | OVERALL119 | +3.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0. | |
| 153 | Kenny Gainwell RB35 TB vs GB | TB | vs GB | 6.8 | 10.7 | OVERALL114 | +3.9 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 2.8–12.6. | |
| 154 | Malik Washington WR40 MIA @ MIN | MIA | @ MIN | 6.8 | 12.0 | OVERALL95 | +5.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 2.8–13.1. | |
| 155 | Jake Ferguson TE17 DAL @ HOU | DAL | @ HOU | 6.7 | 4.1 | OVERALL210 | -2.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 2.4–13.0. | |
| 156 | Emeka Egbuka WR41 TB vs GB | TB | vs GB | 6.6 | 3.3 | OVERALL224 | -3.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 2.5–13.3. | |
| 157 | Blake Corum RB36 LA @ PHI | LA | @ PHI | 6.5 | 3.1 | OVERALL229 | -3.4 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 3.1–12.3. | |
| 158 | Mike Gesicki TE18 CIN vs JAX | CIN | vs JAX | 6.5 | 13.0 | OVERALL86 | +6.5 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 2.3–12.8. | |
| 159 | Romeo Doubs WR42 NE @ BUF | NE | @ BUF | 6.5 | 23.8 | OVERALL16 | +17.3 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 2.8–12.7. | |
| 160 | Michael Mayer TE19 LV vs KC | LV | vs KC | 6.5 | 16.2 | OVERALL57 | +9.7 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 2.7–12.5. | |
| 161 | Brenton Strange TE20 JAX @ CIN | JAX | @ CIN | 6.4 | 16.5 | OVERALL53 | +10.1 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 2.6–12.9. | |
| 162 | Pat Freiermuth TE21 PIT @ CLE · locked | PIT | @ CLE (Thu) | 6.2 | 10.7 | OVERALL115 | +4.5 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 2.6–12.4. | |
| 163 | Xavier Hutchinson WR43 HOU vs DAL | HOU | vs DAL | 6.2 | 7.6 | OVERALL157 | +1.4 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 2.9–11.6. | |
| 164 | Colston Loveland TE22 CHI vs NYJ | CHI | vs NYJ | 6.2 | 11.7 | OVERALL102 | +5.5 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 2.5–12.2. | |
| 165 | Alvin Kamara RB37 NO vs ATL | NO | vs ATL (Mon) | 6.1 | 22.8 | OVERALL21 | +16.7 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 2.6–11.5. | |
| 166 | Mark Andrews TE23 BAL vs TEN | BAL | vs TEN | 6.0 | 13.7 | OVERALL74 | +7.7 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 2.6–11.7. | |
| 167 | AJ Barner TE24 SEA vs LAC | SEA | vs LAC | 6.0 | 2.2 | OVERALL244 | -3.8 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 2.4–12.2. | |
| 168 | Quentin Johnston WR44 LAC @ SEA | LAC | @ SEA | 6.0 | 5.0 | OVERALL196 | -1.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 2.2–12.2. | |
| 169 | Jordan Addison WR45 MIN vs MIA | MIN | vs MIA | 6.0 | 9.1 | OVERALL129 | +3.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 2.2–12.5. | |
| 170 | Jake Elliott K29 PHI vs LA | PHI | vs LA | 6.0 | 10.0 | OVERALL120 | +4.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 3.0–11.0. | |
| 171 | Joey Slye K30 TEN @ BAL | TEN | @ BAL | 6.0 | 4.0 | OVERALL211 | -2.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0. | |
| 172 | Riley Patterson K31 MIA @ MIN | MIA | @ MIN | 6.0 | 4.0 | OVERALL212 | -2.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0. | |
| 173 | Cameron Dicker K32 LAC @ SEA | LAC | @ SEA | 6.0 | 12.0 | OVERALL96 | +6.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 3.0–11.0. | |
| 174 | CHI D/ST DST5 CHI vs NYJ | CHI | vs NYJ | 6.0 | 7.0 | OVERALL166 | +1.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0. | |
| 175 | CIN D/ST DST6 CIN vs JAX | CIN | vs JAX | 6.0 | 4.0 | OVERALL213 | -2.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0. | |
| 176 | CLE D/ST DST7 CLE vs PIT · locked | CLE | vs PIT (Thu) | 6.0 | 9.0 | OVERALL133 | +3.0 | Hit | Played: 0.0 actual — kept on the board at his score. | |
| 177 | DEN D/ST DST8 DEN @ SF | DEN | @ SF | 6.0 | 4.0 | OVERALL214 | -2.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0. | |
| 178 | DET D/ST DST9 DET @ CAR | DET | @ CAR | 6.0 | 2.0 | OVERALL248 | -4.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0. | |
| 179 | GB D/ST DST10 GB @ TB | GB | @ TB | 6.0 | 8.0 | OVERALL148 | +2.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0. | |
| 180 | HOU D/ST DST11 HOU vs DAL | HOU | vs DAL | 6.0 | 4.0 | OVERALL215 | -2.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0. | |
| 181 | LA D/ST DST12 LA @ PHI | LA | @ PHI | 6.0 | 5.0 | OVERALL197 | -1.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0. | |
| 182 | LV D/ST DST13 LV vs KC | LV | vs KC | 6.0 | 1.0 | OVERALL263 | -5.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0. | |
| 183 | NO D/ST DST14 NO vs ATL | NO | vs ATL (Mon) | 6.0 | -3.0 | OVERALL300 | -9.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0. | |
| 184 | Chris Godwin Jr. WR46 TB vs GB | TB | vs GB | 6.0 | 9.1 | OVERALL130 | +3.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 2.4–12.0. | |
| 185 | Greg Dulcich TE25 MIA @ MIN | MIA | @ MIN | 5.9 | 0.0 | OVERALL276 | -5.9 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 2.4–11.6. | |
| 186 | Tre Harris WR47 LAC @ SEA | LAC | @ SEA | 5.9 | 9.0 | OVERALL134 | +3.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 2.2–11.8. | |
| 187 | Zach Ertz TE26 PHI vs LA | PHI | vs LA | 5.9 | 3.3 | OVERALL225 | -2.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 2.4–11.5. | |
| 188 | Noah Fant TE27 NO vs ATL · Questionable | NO | vs ATL (Mon) | 5.8 | 0.0 | OVERALL277 | -5.8 | Miss | Questionable (game-day report, seen 11:30 ET): P(active) 86% — median 5.8 if he plays. | |
| 189 | Courtland Sutton WR48 DEN @ SF | DEN | @ SF | 5.8 | 1.4 | OVERALL259 | -4.4 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 2.1–11.9. | |
| 190 | Tyjae Spears RB38 TEN @ BAL · Questionable | TEN | @ BAL | 5.8 | 1.6 | OVERALL257 | -4.2 | Miss | Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 5.8 if he plays. | |
| 191 | Dontayvion Wicks WR49 PHI vs LA | PHI | vs LA | 5.8 | 4.8 | OVERALL203 | -1.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 2.0–12.1. | |
| 192 | KC Concepcion WR50 CLE vs PIT · locked | CLE | vs PIT (Thu) | 5.7 | 11.4 | OVERALL107 | +5.7 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 2.5–11.3. | |
| 193 | T.J. Hockenson TE28 MIN vs MIA | MIN | vs MIA | 5.7 | 24.9 | OVERALL15 | +19.2 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 2.3–11.5. | |
| 194 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB39 JAX @ CIN | JAX | @ CIN | 5.6 | 9.5 | OVERALL127 | +3.9 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 1.8–11.6. | |
| 195 | Khalil Shakir WR51 BUF vs NE | BUF | vs NE | 5.6 | 13.2 | OVERALL81 | +7.6 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 2.3–11.0. | |
| 196 | Tyler Allgeier RB40 ARI @ NYG | ARI | @ NYG | 5.5 | 12.9 | OVERALL89 | +7.4 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 2.3–10.7. | |
| 197 | Rome Odunze WR52 CHI vs NYJ | CHI | vs NYJ | 5.5 | 15.4 | OVERALL67 | +9.9 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 2.0–11.6. | |
| 198 | Ryan Flournoy WR53 DAL @ HOU | DAL | @ HOU | 5.5 | 7.7 | OVERALL153 | +2.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 2.1–11.1. | |
| 199 | Hunter Henry TE29 NE @ BUF | NE | @ BUF | 5.4 | 11.2 | OVERALL109 | +5.8 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 2.1–11.5. | |
| 200 | Pat Bryant WR54 DEN @ SF | DEN | @ SF | 5.4 | 7.7 | OVERALL154 | +2.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 2.0–11.2. | |
| 201 | Ted Hurst III WR55 TB vs GB | TB | vs GB | 5.3 | 4.5 | OVERALL205 | -0.8 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 1.7–11.8. | |
| 202 | Antonio Williams WR56 WAS vs IND · locked | WAS | vs IND | 5.3 | 5.1 | OVERALL192 | -0.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 2.0–11.3. | |
| 203 | Cooper Kupp WR57 SEA vs LAC | SEA | vs LAC | 5.3 | 2.3 | OVERALL241 | -3.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 1.9–11.2. | |
| 204 | MarShawn Lloyd RB41 GB @ TB | GB | @ TB | 5.3 | 9.9 | OVERALL121 | +4.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 2.1–10.6. | |
| 205 | Roman Wilson WR58 PIT @ CLE · locked | PIT | @ CLE (Thu) | 5.3 | 16.4 | OVERALL54 | +11.1 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 1.8–11.3. | |
| 206 | Brian Robinson RB42 ATL @ NO | ATL | @ NO (Mon) | 5.2 | 25.7 | OVERALL14 | +20.5 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 1.8–11.1. | |
| 207 | Raheim Sanders RB43 CLE vs PIT · locked | CLE | vs PIT (Thu) | 5.2 | 3.6 | OVERALL219 | -1.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 2.0–10.3. | |
| 208 | Tory Horton WR59 SEA vs LAC | SEA | vs LAC | 5.1 | 7.6 | OVERALL158 | +2.5 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 1.7–11.4. | |
| 209 | Mike Washington Jr. RB44 LV vs KC | LV | vs KC | 5.1 | 2.7 | OVERALL238 | -2.4 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 1.6–11.3. | |
| 210 | Samaje Perine RB45 CIN vs JAX | CIN | vs JAX | 5.1 | 0.7 | OVERALL266 | -4.4 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 1.7–10.6. | |
| 211 | Rashod Bateman WR60 BAL vs TEN | BAL | vs TEN | 5.0 | 6.6 | OVERALL170 | +1.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 1.8–11.0. | |
| 212 | ATL D/ST DST15 ATL @ NO | ATL | @ NO (Mon) | 5.0 | 4.0 | OVERALL216 | -1.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0. | |
| 213 | BUF D/ST DST16 BUF vs NE | BUF | vs NE | 5.0 | 4.0 | OVERALL217 | -1.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0. | |
| 214 | CAR D/ST DST17 CAR vs DET | CAR | vs DET | 5.0 | 1.0 | OVERALL264 | -4.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0. | |
| 215 | JAX D/ST DST18 JAX @ CIN | JAX | @ CIN | 5.0 | 7.0 | OVERALL167 | +2.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0. | |
| 216 | KC D/ST DST19 KC @ LV | KC | @ LV | 5.0 | 4.0 | OVERALL218 | -1.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0. | |
| 217 | LAC D/ST DST20 LAC @ SEA | LAC | @ SEA | 5.0 | 6.0 | OVERALL182 | +1.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0. | |
| 218 | TB D/ST DST21 TB vs GB | TB | vs GB | 5.0 | 5.0 | OVERALL198 | 0.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0. | |
| 219 | Elic Ayomanor WR61 TEN @ BAL | TEN | @ BAL | 4.9 | 3.2 | OVERALL228 | -1.7 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 1.6–10.9. | |
| 220 | Jauan Jennings WR62 MIN vs MIA | MIN | vs MIA | 4.9 | 1.8 | OVERALL252 | -3.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 1.7–10.8. | |
| 221 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB46 NYG vs ARI | NYG | vs ARI | 4.9 | -0.1 | OVERALL299 | -5.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 1.9–10.2. | |
| 222 | Keon Coleman WR63 BUF vs NE | BUF | vs NE | 4.9 | 23.6 | OVERALL18 | +18.7 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 1.8–10.3. | |
| 223 | Michael Pittman WR64 PIT @ CLE · locked | PIT | @ CLE (Thu) | 4.8 | 3.5 | OVERALL221 | -1.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 1.8–10.0. | |
| 224 | Keaton Mitchell RB47 LAC @ SEA | LAC | @ SEA | 4.8 | 11.3 | OVERALL108 | +6.5 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 1.9–10.1. | |
| 225 | Tank Bigsby RB48 PHI vs LA | PHI | vs LA | 4.8 | 5.5 | OVERALL187 | +0.7 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 1.5–10.3. | |
| 226 | Emanuel Wilson RB49 SEA vs LAC | SEA | vs LAC | 4.8 | 27.0 | OVERALL9 | +22.2 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 2.3–9.7. | |
| 227 | Bam Knight RB50 ARI @ NYG | ARI | @ NYG | 4.8 | 0.0 | OVERALL278 | -4.8 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.3–10.5. | |
| 228 | Kendre Miller RB51 NO vs ATL | NO | vs ATL (Mon) | 4.7 | 1.9 | OVERALL250 | -2.8 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 1.6–10.3. | |
| 229 | Brian Thomas Jr. WR65 JAX @ CIN | JAX | @ CIN | 4.7 | 9.7 | OVERALL123 | +5.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 1.7–9.8. | |
| 230 | Emmett Johnson RB52 KC @ LV | KC | @ LV | 4.6 | 2.0 | OVERALL249 | -2.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 1.8–9.5. | |
| 231 | Kendrick Bourne WR66 ARI @ NYG | ARI | @ NYG | 4.6 | 0.0 | OVERALL279 | -4.6 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.8–9.5. | |
| 232 | Braelon Allen RB53 NYJ @ CHI | NYJ | @ CHI | 4.6 | 8.7 | OVERALL137 | +4.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 1.6–9.9. | |
| 233 | Kyle Pitts TE30 ATL @ NO | ATL | @ NO (Mon) | 4.5 | 7.7 | OVERALL155 | +3.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 1.7–9.5. | |
| 234 | Xavier Worthy WR67 KC @ LV | KC | @ LV | 4.5 | 11.0 | OVERALL113 | +6.5 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 1.3–10.1. | |
| 235 | Chris Bell WR68 MIA @ MIN | MIA | @ MIN | 4.5 | 0.0 | OVERALL280 | -4.5 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 1.5–9.6. | |
| 236 | George Holani RB54 SEA vs LAC | SEA | vs LAC | 4.4 | 3.0 | OVERALL233 | -1.4 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 1.4–9.7. | |
| 237 | Darnell Washington TE31 PIT @ CLE · locked | PIT | @ CLE (Thu) | 4.4 | 11.7 | OVERALL103 | +7.3 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 1.7–9.4. | |
| 238 | Isaac TeSlaa WR69 DET @ CAR | DET | @ CAR | 4.4 | 13.5 | OVERALL78 | +9.1 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 1.4–9.9. | |
| 239 | Darnell Mooney WR70 NYG vs ARI | NYG | vs ARI | 4.4 | 0.0 | OVERALL281 | -4.4 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 1.6–9.2. | |
| 240 | Evan Engram TE32 DEN @ SF | DEN | @ SF | 4.3 | 1.6 | OVERALL258 | -2.7 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 1.6–9.6. | |
| 241 | Austin Hooper TE33 ATL @ NO | ATL | @ NO (Mon) | 4.3 | 1.9 | OVERALL251 | -2.4 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 1.4–10.0. | |
| 242 | Tommy Tremble TE34 CAR vs DET | CAR | vs DET | 4.3 | 5.2 | OVERALL190 | +1.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 1.6–9.4. | |
| 243 | Konata Mumpfield WR71 LA @ PHI | LA | @ PHI | 4.2 | 1.7 | OVERALL255 | -2.5 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 1.4–9.9. | |
| 244 | Matthew Hibner TE35 BAL vs TEN | BAL | vs TEN | 4.2 | 5.4 | OVERALL188 | +1.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 1.3–9.7. | |
| 245 | Kayshon Boutte WR72 HOU vs DAL | HOU | vs DAL | 4.2 | 6.6 | OVERALL171 | +2.4 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 1.5–9.3. | |
| 246 | Malachi Fields WR73 NYG vs ARI | NYG | vs ARI | 4.1 | 13.2 | OVERALL82 | +9.1 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 1.6–8.9. | |
| 247 | Isaiah Williams WR74 NYJ @ CHI | NYJ | @ CHI | 4.1 | 15.3 | OVERALL68 | +11.2 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 1.3–8.9. | |
| 248 | Jeremy Ruckert TE36 NYJ @ CHI | NYJ | @ CHI | 4.1 | 0.0 | OVERALL282 | -4.1 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 1.4–9.2. | |
| 249 | Jaylin Noel WR75 HOU vs DAL | HOU | vs DAL | 4.1 | 11.9 | OVERALL98 | +7.8 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 1.4–9.1. | |
| 250 | Jonnu Smith TE37 GB @ TB | GB | @ TB | 4.0 | 2.9 | OVERALL236 | -1.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 1.4–9.0. | |
| 251 | Tyquan Thornton WR76 KC @ LV | KC | @ LV | 4.0 | 28.1 | OVERALL6 | +24.1 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 1.3–8.9. | |
| 252 | Ollie Gordon II RB55 MIA @ MIN | MIA | @ MIN | 4.0 | 18.0 | OVERALL44 | +14.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 1.2–9.4. | |
| 253 | Kaelon Black RB56 SF vs DEN | SF | vs DEN | 4.0 | 1.3 | OVERALL260 | -2.7 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 1.5–9.2. | |
| 254 | Jalen McMillan WR77 TB vs GB | TB | vs GB | 4.0 | 0.0 | OVERALL283 | -4.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 1.5–8.7. | |
| 255 | Kevin Austin Jr. WR78 NO vs ATL | NO | vs ATL (Mon) | 4.0 | 0.0 | OVERALL284 | -4.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 1.1–9.3. | |
| 256 | ARI D/ST DST22 ARI @ NYG | ARI | @ NYG | 4.0 | 6.0 | OVERALL183 | +2.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0. | |
| 257 | IND D/ST DST23 IND @ WAS · locked | IND | @ WAS | 4.0 | 8.0 | OVERALL149 | +4.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0. | |
| 258 | NE D/ST DST24 NE @ BUF | NE | @ BUF | 4.0 | 5.0 | OVERALL199 | +1.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0. | |
| 259 | NYG D/ST DST25 NYG vs ARI | NYG | vs ARI | 4.0 | 14.0 | OVERALL73 | +10.0 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0. | |
| 260 | NYJ D/ST DST26 NYJ @ CHI | NYJ | @ CHI | 4.0 | 5.0 | OVERALL200 | +1.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0. | |
| 261 | PHI D/ST DST27 PHI vs LA | PHI | vs LA | 4.0 | 5.0 | OVERALL201 | +1.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 1.0–8.0. | |
| 262 | SF D/ST DST28 SF vs DEN | SF | vs DEN | 4.0 | 1.0 | OVERALL265 | -3.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0. | |
| 263 | WAS D/ST DST29 WAS vs IND · locked | WAS | vs IND | 4.0 | 5.0 | OVERALL202 | +1.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0. | |
| 264 | DeMario Douglas WR79 NE @ BUF | NE | @ BUF | 3.9 | 3.5 | OVERALL222 | -0.4 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 1.5–8.7. | |
| 265 | Gunnar Helm TE38 TEN @ BAL | TEN | @ BAL | 3.9 | 3.5 | OVERALL223 | -0.4 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 1.4–8.7. | |
| 266 | Oronde Gadsden II TE39 LAC @ SEA | LAC | @ SEA | 3.8 | 8.8 | OVERALL135 | +5.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 1.1–9.3. | |
| 267 | Colby Parkinson TE40 LA @ PHI · Questionable | LA | @ PHI | 3.8 | 0.0 | OVERALL285 | -3.8 | Miss | Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 39% — median 3.8 if he plays. | |
| 268 | Foster Moreau TE41 HOU vs DAL | HOU | vs DAL | 3.8 | 1.1 | OVERALL262 | -2.7 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 1.2–9.1. | |
| 269 | Marvin Harrison Jr. WR80 HOU vs DAL | HOU | vs DAL | 3.7 | 8.2 | OVERALL142 | +4.5 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.3–8.5. | |
| 270 | Germie Bernard WR81 PIT @ CLE · locked | PIT | @ CLE (Thu) | 3.7 | 3.1 | OVERALL230 | -0.6 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 1.0–8.6. | |
| 271 | Najee Harris RB57 NYG vs ARI | NYG | vs ARI | 3.7 | 3.0 | OVERALL234 | -0.7 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 1.4–8.5. | |
| 272 | John Metchie III WR82 CAR vs DET | CAR | vs DET | 3.6 | 6.7 | OVERALL168 | +3.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0. | |
| 273 | Justice Hill RB58 BAL vs TEN | BAL | vs TEN | 3.5 | 4.5 | OVERALL206 | +1.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 1.1–8.4. | |
| 274 | Kimani Vidal RB59 LAC @ SEA | LAC | @ SEA | 3.5 | 11.6 | OVERALL104 | +8.1 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 1.0–8.3. | |
| 275 | Calvin Ridley WR83 TEN @ BAL | TEN | @ BAL | 3.5 | 2.3 | OVERALL242 | -1.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 1.0–7.8. | |
| 276 | Makai Lemon WR84 PHI vs LA | PHI | vs LA | 3.4 | 5.7 | OVERALL186 | +2.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 1.0–7.9. | |
| 277 | Dawson Knox TE42 BUF vs NE | BUF | vs NE | 3.4 | 3.3 | OVERALL226 | -0.1 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 1.1–8.8. | |
| 278 | Theo Johnson TE43 NYG vs ARI | NYG | vs ARI | 3.4 | 8.1 | OVERALL143 | +4.7 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 0.8–8.1. | |
| 279 | Elijah Higgins TE44 ARI @ NYG | ARI | @ NYG | 3.4 | 9.9 | OVERALL122 | +6.5 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.2–7.8. | |
| 280 | Ray Davis RB60 BUF vs NE · Questionable | BUF | vs NE | 3.4 | 1.7 | OVERALL256 | -1.7 | Hit | Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 49% — median 3.4 if he plays. | |
| 281 | Mo Alie-Cox TE45 IND @ WAS · locked | IND | @ WAS | 3.3 | 0.0 | OVERALL286 | -3.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 1.0–8.3. | |
| 282 | Nate Adkins TE46 DEN @ SF | DEN | @ SF | 3.3 | 0.0 | OVERALL287 | -3.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 0.9–8.9. | |
| 283 | Jordan Watkins WR85 SF vs DEN | SF | vs DEN | 3.3 | 0.0 | OVERALL288 | -3.3 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 1.0–7.5. | |
| 284 | Brycen Tremayne WR86 CAR vs DET | CAR | vs DET | 3.3 | 5.2 | OVERALL191 | +2.0 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 0.9–7.3. | |
| 285 | Adam Trautman TE47 DEN @ SF | DEN | @ SF | 3.2 | 0.0 | OVERALL289 | -3.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 1.0–7.7. | |
| 286 | Jack Bech WR87 LV vs KC | LV | vs KC | 3.2 | 0.0 | OVERALL290 | -3.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 0.7–8.5. | |
| 287 | Mitchell Evans TE48 CAR vs DET | CAR | vs DET | 3.2 | 1.8 | OVERALL253 | -1.4 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 1.0–7.6. | |
| 288 | Rashid Shaheed WR88 SEA vs LAC | SEA | vs LAC | 3.2 | 12.3 | OVERALL93 | +9.1 | Miss | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 1.0–7.4. | |
| 289 | Jared Wayne WR89 HOU vs DAL | HOU | vs DAL | 3.2 | 0.0 | OVERALL291 | -3.2 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 1.0–7.8. | |
| 290 | Chris Brooks RB61 GB @ TB | GB | @ TB | 3.1 | 4.5 | OVERALL207 | +1.4 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 0.9–7.6. | |
| 291 | Jerry Jeudy WR90 CLE vs PIT · locked | CLE | vs PIT (Thu) | 3.1 | 6.6 | OVERALL172 | +3.5 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 0.6–7.7. | |
| 292 | Josh Palmer WR91 BUF vs NE | BUF | vs NE | 3.1 | 1.3 | OVERALL261 | -1.8 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 0.0–9.2. | |
| 293 | Will Shipley RB62 PHI vs LA | PHI | vs LA | 3.0 | 2.3 | OVERALL243 | -0.8 | Hit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 1.0–7.1. | |
| 294 | Baker Mayfield QB32 TB vs GB · Out | TB | vs GB | 0.0 | 0.0 | OVERALL292 | 0.0 | Hit | Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start | |
| 295 | DeVonta Smith WR92 PHI vs LA · Out | PHI | vs LA | 0.0 | 0.0 | OVERALL293 | 0.0 | Hit | Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start | |
| 296 | Breece Hall RB63 NYJ @ CHI · Out | NYJ | @ CHI | 0.0 | 0.0 | OVERALL294 | 0.0 | Hit | Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start | |
| 297 | Justin Jefferson WR93 MIN vs MIA · Out | MIN | vs MIA | 0.0 | 0.0 | OVERALL295 | 0.0 | Hit | Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start | |
| 298 | Rachaad White RB64 WAS vs IND · locked | WAS | vs IND | 0.0 | 0.0 | OVERALL296 | 0.0 | Hit | Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start | |
| 299 | Jadarian Price RB65 SEA vs LAC · Out | SEA | vs LAC | 0.0 | 0.0 | OVERALL297 | 0.0 | Hit | Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start | |
| 300 | Terrance Ferguson TE49 LA @ PHI · Out | LA | @ PHI | 0.0 | 0.0 | OVERALL298 | 0.0 | Hit | Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start | |
Showing 24 of 300 · tiers 2+ below
What the numbers say
5.2mean abs. error · PPR points, top 36 · Week 3: 6.6
0.23rank correlation · Spearman, top 36
1 / 12ranked top 12 who finished top 12
78%actuals inside the 20–80 range · target 60%
This version was published after the week's first kickoff, so it is scored as a retrospective, not a forecast.
The engine's read on Week 4
Engine byline · no human author · Week 3 OVERALL accuracy: MAE 6.6, top-12 hit 4/12
Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.
Common questions about Week 4 OVERALL rankings
Who is the best overall to start in Week 4 PPR?
Jahmyr Gibbs, our OVERALL1 with a 21.8-point median; Josh Allen is OVERALL2.
When do these rankings update?
Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.
Why is PIT D/ST still ranked after playing?
Locked players stay on the board at their actual points so ranks and flex comparisons stay complete.
How this board is built
Projectionsens-fit-2026w03-mkt-20260929-2026-w4-2026-09-29+mkt-2026-w04-2026-09-29-18
Market2026-w04-2026-10-06-08
Simulation10,000 outcomes per player
Week 3 OVERALL accuracyMAE 6.6 · top-12 hit 4/12
Rankings versionv7 · Sun, Oct 4, 11:35 AM ET
Ranks tagsunday-2026-w4-1135
Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits
More rankings
VersionsRankings vf6aae813· projections ens-fit-2026w03-mkt-20260929-2026-w4-2026-09-29+mkt-2026-w04-2026-09-29-18· lines 2026-w04-2026-10-06-08· injuries 2026-10-04T15:35:34Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version