Week 4 Flex Rankings & Results — PPR

By Red Zone Rank engine · Final board published Sun, Oct 4, 8:01 AM ET (v6) · results scored Tue, Oct 6, 5:01 AM ET

Week2 3 4 5 6

Jahmyr Gibbs is our Flex #1 for Week 4 in PPR, ahead of Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Bijan Robinson. The biggest riser since the last publish is J.K. Dobbins (#89→#85); the biggest faller is DeVonta Smith (#33→#93).

Week 4 boardsQB RB WR TE Flex K DST OverallAlsoRest-of-season Flex 2026 draft Flex

Results table

Week 4 FLEX · PPR · Proj = engine median · Range = 20th–80th percentile · Opp/Total from the market as of 4:05 AM ET · Actual from final stats · Finish = actual rank on this board · Δ = actual − proj · Hit = within 6 ranks or inside the range
Rank	Player	Team	Opp	Proj	Actual	Finish	Δ	Hit	Note
Tier 1 · Must start
1	Jahmyr Gibbs RB1 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	21.8	17.7	FLEX23	-4.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 13.3–32.1.
2	Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR1 SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	20.7	12.6	FLEX42	-8.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 11.2–33.7.
3	Bijan Robinson RB2 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	19.6	27.7	FLEX7	+8.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 12.0–29.1.
Tier 2
4	Chris Olave WR2 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	17.8	19.6	FLEX17	+1.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 9.7–29.1.
5	Derrick Henry RB3 BAL vs TEN	BAL	vs TEN	17.5	15.9	FLEX33	-1.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 9.9–26.9.
6	Kenneth Walker III RB4 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	16.8	30.9	FLEX5	+14.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 9.9–25.5.
7	Jonathan Taylor RB5 IND @ WAS	IND	@ WAS	16.0	22.7	FLEX12	+6.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 9.0–24.6.
8	Christian McCaffrey RB6 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	15.8	16.0	FLEX32	+0.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 9.0–24.9.
9	Amon-Ra St. Brown WR3 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	15.5	15.5	FLEX35	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 8.0–25.4.
10	Ja'Marr Chase WR4 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	14.4	5.7	FLEX71	-8.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 7.5–23.8.
11	Kyren Williams RB7 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	13.9	36.7	FLEX3	+22.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 8.1–21.8.
12	Jaylen Warren RB8 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	13.8	15.6	FLEX34	+1.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 8.1–21.6.
13	Zay Flowers WR5 BAL vs TEN · Questionable	BAL	vs TEN	13.7	25.8	FLEX10	+12.1	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 70% — median 13.7 if he plays.
14	Trey McBride TE1 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	13.7	10.1	FLEX53	-3.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 7.1–22.7.
15	Davante Adams WR6 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	13.5	7.2	FLEX64	-6.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 6.8–23.1.
16	James Cook RB9 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	13.5	16.3	FLEX30	+2.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 7.3–21.5.
17	Chase Brown RB10 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	13.4	19.1	FLEX19	+5.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 7.7–20.8.
18	CeeDee Lamb WR7 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	13.4	41.3	FLEX2	+27.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 6.8–22.5.
19	Christian Watson WR8 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	13.3	7.7	FLEX60	-5.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 6.4–22.7.
20	Ashton Jeanty RB11 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	13.2	18.6	FLEX20	+5.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 7.8–20.4.
21	D'Andre Swift RB12 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	13.2	7.4	FLEX63	-5.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 7.1–21.0.
22	Brock Bowers TE2 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	12.7	20.6	FLEX16	+7.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 6.5–21.3.
23	Parker Washington WR9 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	12.3	2.0	FLEX82	-10.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 6.2–21.1.
24	Javonte Williams RB13 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	12.1	31.3	FLEX4	+19.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 6.6–19.3.
25	Garrett Wilson WR10 NYJ @ CHI	NYJ	@ CHI	12.1	5.7	FLEX72	-6.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 6.2–20.4.
26	Cam Skattebo RB14 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	12.1	7.6	FLEX62	-4.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 6.3–20.1.
27	George Kittle TE3 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	11.9	17.0	FLEX25	+5.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 5.7–20.4.
28	Michael Wilson WR11 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	11.9	16.5	FLEX27	+4.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 5.9–20.1.
29	Aaron Jones RB15 MIN vs MIA	MIN	vs MIA	11.7	16.8	FLEX26	+5.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 6.5–18.5.
30	Jeremiyah Love RB16 ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	11.6	6.5	FLEX68	-5.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 6.2–18.9.
31	Tee Higgins WR12 CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	11.4	26.7	FLEX8	+15.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 5.7–19.7.
32	Drake London WR13 ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	11.3	14.6	FLEX36	+3.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 6.0–19.7.
33	Bucky Irving RB17 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	11.0	6.1	FLEX70	-4.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 6.0–18.2.
34	Juwan Johnson TE4 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	10.8	11.9	FLEX45	+1.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 5.2–18.8.
35	Chuba Hubbard RB18 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	10.8	25.9	FLEX9	+15.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 5.6–17.7.
36	Rashee Rice WR14 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	10.6	0.0	FLEX85	-10.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 5.0–18.7.
37	Stefon Diggs WR15 WAS vs IND	WAS	vs IND	10.5	8.5	FLEX56	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 4.6–18.9.
38	Rhamondre Stevenson RB19 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	10.5	18.4	FLEX21	+7.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 5.3–17.5.
39	Omarion Hampton RB20 LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	10.3	13.3	FLEX39	+3.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 4.9–17.8.
40	Luther Burden III WR16 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	10.2	11.4	FLEX49	+1.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 4.8–18.3.
41	Harold Fannin Jr. TE5 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	10.1	11.7	FLEX46	+1.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 4.7–17.5.
42	RJ Harvey RB21 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	9.8	19.3	FLEX18	+9.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 4.7–16.7.
43	De'Von Achane RB22 MIA @ MIN	MIA	@ MIN	9.8	0.0	FLEX86	-9.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 5.2–16.2.
44	Jalen Coker WR17 CAR vs DET · Questionable	CAR	vs DET	9.7	0.0	FLEX87	-9.7	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 70% — median 9.7 if he plays.
45	Dalton Schultz TE6 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	9.6	2.9	FLEX79	-6.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 4.9–16.8.
46	Kalif Raymond WR18 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	9.5	2.6	FLEX81	-6.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 4.4–17.2.
47	Wan'Dale Robinson WR19 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	9.5	11.0	FLEX51	+1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 4.5–16.6.
48	George Pickens WR20 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	9.5	9.5	FLEX54	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 4.6–17.0.
49	Tony Pollard RB23 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	9.4	13.0	FLEX40	+3.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 5.4–15.1.
50	Travis Kelce TE7 KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	9.4	3.5	FLEX77	-5.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 4.3–16.8.
51	Tyler Warren TE8 IND @ WAS	IND	@ WAS	9.3	9.1	FLEX55	-0.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 4.3–16.7.
52	Josh Downs WR21 IND @ WAS	IND	@ WAS	9.1	4.6	FLEX73	-4.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 4.3–16.3.
53	David Montgomery RB24 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	9.1	4.3	FLEX74	-4.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 4.1–15.5.
54	Bhayshul Tuten RB25 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	8.9	11.1	FLEX50	+2.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 3.9–15.5.
55	Travis Etienne RB26 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	8.9	0.0	FLEX88	-8.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 4.6–14.9.
56	Saquon Barkley RB27 PHI vs LA	PHI	vs LA	8.8	2.0	FLEX83	-6.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LA · 20–80 range 4.9–14.6.
57	TreVeyon Henderson RB28 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	8.8	4.2	FLEX75	-4.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 3.9–15.8.
58	Devaughn Vele WR22 NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	8.7	17.4	FLEX24	+8.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 4.0–16.0.
59	Quinshon Judkins RB29 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	8.7	21.6	FLEX14	+12.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 4.5–14.7.
60	Sam LaPorta TE9 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	8.7	22.4	FLEX13	+13.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 4.2–15.5.
61	Terry McLaurin WR23 WAS vs IND · Questionable	WAS	vs IND	8.6	0.0	FLEX89	-8.6	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 8.6 if he plays.
62	Dalton Kincaid TE10 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	8.6	1.7	FLEX84	-6.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 3.9–15.7.
63	Kenyon Sadiq TE11 NYJ @ CHI · Questionable	NYJ	@ CHI	8.5	0.0	FLEX90	-8.5	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 86% — median 8.5 if he plays.
64	Matthew Golden WR24 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	8.3	11.7	FLEX47	+3.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 3.8–15.6.
65	Denzel Boston WR25 CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	8.3	12.9	FLEX41	+4.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 3.5–15.9.
66	Tucker Kraft TE12 GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	8.3	16.5	FLEX28	+8.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 3.7–14.8.
67	Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB30 WAS vs IND	WAS	vs IND	8.2	7.0	FLEX66	-1.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 3.6–14.7.
68	Tetairoa McMillan WR26 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	8.2	45.2	FLEX1	+37.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 3.8–15.3.
69	Jakobi Meyers WR27 JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	8.1	6.3	FLEX69	-1.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 3.7–15.0.
70	Keenan Allen WR28 IND @ WAS · Questionable	IND	@ WAS	8.1	0.0	FLEX91	-8.1	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 64% — median 8.1 if he plays.
71	DK Metcalf WR29 PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	8.0	16.5	FLEX29	+8.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 3.4–14.8.
72	Darren Waller TE13 CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	7.9	6.6	FLEX67	-1.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 3.1–15.0.
73	Mack Hollins WR30 NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	7.9	8.3	FLEX58	+0.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 3.7–14.4.
74	Malik Nabers WR31 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	7.7	23.2	FLEX11	+15.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 3.5–14.4.
75	Kyle Monangai RB31 CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	7.7	28.0	FLEX6	+20.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 3.7–13.7.
76	Tre Tucker WR32 LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	7.5	8.4	FLEX57	+0.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 3.4–14.5.
77	Isaiah Likely TE14 NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	7.5	13.6	FLEX38	+6.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 3.1–14.2.
78	Mike Evans WR33 SF vs DEN · Questionable	SF	vs DEN	7.5	12.6	FLEX43	+5.1	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 70% — median 7.5 if he plays.
79	Ladd McConkey WR34 LAC @ SEA · Questionable	LAC	@ SEA	7.5	0.0	FLEX92	-7.5	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 7.5 if he plays.
80	Tyler Higbee TE15 LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	7.4	11.7	FLEX48	+4.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 3.0–14.2.
81	Deebo Samuel Sr. WR35 SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	7.4	18.0	FLEX22	+10.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 3.1–14.1.
82	Carnell Tate WR36 TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	7.4	21.5	FLEX15	+14.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 3.6–13.6.
83	Jameson Williams WR37 DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	7.3	16.2	FLEX31	+8.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 3.3–13.5.
84	DJ Moore WR38 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	7.3	2.7	FLEX80	-4.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 3.2–13.8.
85	J.K. Dobbins RB32 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	7.1	7.2	FLEX65	+0.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 3.6–12.6.
86	Ty Johnson RB33 BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	7.1	3.2	FLEX78	-3.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 2.6–13.5.
87	Woody Marks RB34 HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	7.1	8.2	FLEX59	+1.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 2.9–13.2.
88	Jaylen Waddle WR39 DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	7.1	14.5	FLEX37	+7.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 3.3–13.2.
89	Cade Otton TE16 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	7.0	7.7	FLEX61	+0.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 3.3–12.8.
90	Kenny Gainwell RB35 TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	6.8	10.7	FLEX52	+3.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 2.8–12.6.
91	Malik Washington WR40 MIA @ MIN	MIA	@ MIN	6.8	12.0	FLEX44	+5.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 2.8–13.1.
92	Jake Ferguson TE17 DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	6.7	4.1	FLEX76	-2.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 2.4–13.0.
93	DeVonta Smith WR41 PHI vs LA · Out	PHI	vs LA	0.0	0.0	FLEX93	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
94	Breece Hall RB36 NYJ @ CHI · Out	NYJ	@ CHI	0.0	0.0	FLEX94	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
95	Justin Jefferson WR42 MIN vs MIA · Out	MIN	vs MIA	0.0	0.0	FLEX95	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
96	Rachaad White RB37 WAS vs IND · Out	WAS	vs IND	0.0	0.0	FLEX96	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start

Showing 24 of 96 · tiers 2+ below

What the numbers say

7.5mean abs. error · PPR points, top 36 · Week 3: 6.9

0.28rank correlation · Spearman, top 36

4 / 12ranked top 12 who finished top 12

69%actuals inside the 20–80 range · target 60%

This version was published after the week's first kickoff, so it is scored as a retrospective, not a forecast.

The engine's read on Week 4

Engine byline · no human author · Week 3 FLEX accuracy: MAE 6.9, top-12 hit 3/12

Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Common questions about Week 4 FLEX rankings

Who is the best flex to start in Week 4 PPR?

Jahmyr Gibbs, our FLEX1 with a 21.8-point median; Jaxon Smith-Njigba is FLEX2.

When do these rankings update?

Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.

How this board is built

Projectionsens-fit-2026w03-mkt-20260929-2026-w4-2026-09-29+mkt-2026-w04-2026-09-29-18

Market2026-w04-2026-10-06-08

Simulation10,000 outcomes per player

Week 3 FLEX accuracyMAE 6.9 · top-12 hit 3/12

Rankings versionv6 · Sun, Oct 4, 8:01 AM ET

Ranks tagsunday-2026-w4-0801

Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits

More rankings

Week 4 · other positionsQuarterback Running Back Wide Receiver Tight End Kicker Defense Overall

FLEX · other formatsWeek 4 FLEX — Half-PPR Week 4 FLEX — Standard

FLEX · other weeksWeek 2 FLEX Week 3 FLEX Week 5 FLEX Week 6 FLEX Rest-of-season Flex 2026 draft Flex

This weekWeek 4 hub Ask about this board Waiver wire Injury report

VersionsRankings vf6aae813· projections ens-fit-2026w03-mkt-20260929-2026-w4-2026-09-29+mkt-2026-w04-2026-09-29-18· lines 2026-w04-2026-10-06-08· injuries 2026-10-04T15:35:34Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version