Week 4 Wide Receiver Rankings & Results — PPR

By Red Zone Rank engine · Final board published Sun, Oct 4, 8:01 AM ET (v6) · results scored Tue, Oct 6, 5:01 AM ET

Week2 3 4 5 6

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is our WR1 for Week 4 in PPR, ahead of Chris Olave and Amon-Ra St. Brown. The biggest riser since the last publish is Jalen Coker (WR19→WR17); the biggest faller is DeVonta Smith (WR14→WR47).

Week 4 boardsQB RB WR TE Flex K DST OverallAlsoRest-of-season Wide Receiver 2026 draft WR

Results table

Week 4 WR · PPR · Proj = engine median · Range = 20th–80th percentile · Opp/Total from the market as of 4:05 AM ET · Actual from final stats · Finish = actual rank on this board · Δ = actual − proj · Hit = within 6 ranks or inside the range
Rank	Player	Team	Opp	Proj	Actual	Finish	Δ	Hit	Note
Tier 1 · Must start
1	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs LAC	SEA	vs LAC	20.7	12.6	WR18	-8.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 11.2–33.7.
Tier 2 · Start
2	Chris Olave NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	17.8	19.6	WR8	+1.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 9.7–29.1.
Tier 3 · Start
3	Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	15.5	15.5	WR14	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 8.0–25.4.
4	Ja'Marr Chase CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	14.4	5.7	WR34	-8.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 7.5–23.8.
5	Zay Flowers BAL vs TEN · Questionable	BAL	vs TEN	13.7	25.8	WR4	+12.1	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 70% — median 13.7 if he plays.
6	Davante Adams LA @ PHI	LA	@ PHI	13.5	7.2	WR32	-6.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 6.8–23.1.
7	CeeDee Lamb DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	13.4	41.3	WR2	+27.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 6.8–22.5.
8	Christian Watson GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	13.3	7.7	WR30	-5.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 6.4–22.7.
9	Parker Washington JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	12.3	2.0	WR41	-10.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 6.2–21.1.
10	Garrett Wilson NYJ @ CHI	NYJ	@ CHI	12.1	5.7	WR35	-6.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CHI · 20–80 range 6.2–20.4.
11	Michael Wilson ARI @ NYG	ARI	@ NYG	11.9	16.5	WR11	+4.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 5.9–20.1.
12	Tee Higgins CIN vs JAX	CIN	vs JAX	11.4	26.7	WR3	+15.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs JAX · 20–80 range 5.7–19.7.
13	Drake London ATL @ NO	ATL	@ NO (Mon)	11.3	14.6	WR15	+3.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 6.0–19.7.
14	Rashee Rice KC @ LV	KC	@ LV	10.6	0.0	WR42	-10.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 5.0–18.7.
15	Stefon Diggs WAS vs IND	WAS	vs IND	10.5	8.5	WR27	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 4.6–18.9.
16	Luther Burden III CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	10.2	11.4	WR22	+1.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 4.8–18.3.
17	Jalen Coker CAR vs DET · Questionable	CAR	vs DET	9.7	0.0	WR43	-9.7	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 70% — median 9.7 if he plays.
18	Kalif Raymond CHI vs NYJ	CHI	vs NYJ	9.5	2.6	WR40	-6.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 4.4–17.2.
19	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	9.5	11.0	WR23	+1.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 4.5–16.6.
20	George Pickens DAL @ HOU	DAL	@ HOU	9.5	9.5	WR24	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ HOU · 20–80 range 4.6–17.0.
21	Josh Downs IND @ WAS	IND	@ WAS	9.1	4.6	WR37	-4.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 4.3–16.3.
22	Devaughn Vele NO vs ATL	NO	vs ATL (Mon)	8.7	17.4	WR10	+8.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ATL · 20–80 range 4.0–16.0.
23	Terry McLaurin WAS vs IND · Questionable	WAS	vs IND	8.6	0.0	WR44	-8.6	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 8.6 if he plays.
24	Matthew Golden GB @ TB	GB	@ TB	8.3	11.7	WR21	+3.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 3.8–15.6.
25	Denzel Boston CLE vs PIT · locked	CLE	vs PIT (Thu)	8.3	12.9	WR17	+4.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 3.5–15.9.
26	Tetairoa McMillan CAR vs DET	CAR	vs DET	8.2	45.2	WR1	+37.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 3.8–15.3.
27	Jakobi Meyers JAX @ CIN	JAX	@ CIN	8.1	6.3	WR33	-1.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CIN · 20–80 range 3.7–15.0.
28	Keenan Allen IND @ WAS · Questionable	IND	@ WAS	8.1	0.0	WR45	-8.1	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 64% — median 8.1 if he plays.
29	DK Metcalf PIT @ CLE · locked	PIT	@ CLE (Thu)	8.0	16.5	WR12	+8.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 3.4–14.8.
30	Mack Hollins NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	7.9	8.3	WR29	+0.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 3.7–14.4.
31	Malik Nabers NYG vs ARI	NYG	vs ARI	7.7	23.2	WR6	+15.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 3.5–14.4.
32	Tre Tucker LV vs KC	LV	vs KC	7.5	8.4	WR28	+0.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs KC · 20–80 range 3.4–14.5.
33	Mike Evans SF vs DEN · Questionable	SF	vs DEN	7.5	12.6	WR19	+5.1	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 70% — median 7.5 if he plays.
34	Ladd McConkey LAC @ SEA · Questionable	LAC	@ SEA	7.5	0.0	WR46	-7.5	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 7.5 if he plays.
35	Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs DEN	SF	vs DEN	7.4	18.0	WR9	+10.6	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 3.1–14.1.
36	Carnell Tate TEN @ BAL	TEN	@ BAL	7.4	21.5	WR7	+14.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BAL · 20–80 range 3.6–13.6.
37	Jameson Williams DET @ CAR	DET	@ CAR	7.3	16.2	WR13	+8.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CAR · 20–80 range 3.3–13.5.
38	DJ Moore BUF vs NE	BUF	vs NE	7.3	2.7	WR39	-4.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NE · 20–80 range 3.2–13.8.
39	Jaylen Waddle DEN @ SF	DEN	@ SF	7.1	14.5	WR16	+7.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 3.3–13.2.
40	Malik Washington MIA @ MIN	MIA	@ MIN	6.8	12.0	WR20	+5.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIN · 20–80 range 2.8–13.1.
41	Emeka Egbuka TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	6.6	3.3	WR38	-3.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 2.5–13.3.
42	Romeo Doubs NE @ BUF	NE	@ BUF	6.5	23.8	WR5	+17.3	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ BUF · 20–80 range 2.8–12.7.
43	Xavier Hutchinson HOU vs DAL	HOU	vs DAL	6.2	7.6	WR31	+1.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 2.9–11.6.
44	Quentin Johnston LAC @ SEA	LAC	@ SEA	6.0	5.0	WR36	-1.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 2.2–12.2.
45	Jordan Addison MIN vs MIA	MIN	vs MIA	6.0	9.1	WR25	+3.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIA · 20–80 range 2.2–12.5.
46	Chris Godwin Jr. TB vs GB	TB	vs GB	6.0	9.1	WR26	+3.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs GB · 20–80 range 2.4–12.0.
47	DeVonta Smith PHI vs LA · Out	PHI	vs LA	0.0	0.0	WR47	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
48	Justin Jefferson MIN vs MIA · Out	MIN	vs MIA	0.0	0.0	WR48	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start

Showing 24 of 48 · tiers 3+ below

What the numbers say

7.8mean abs. error · PPR points, top 36 · Week 3: 8.0

0.04rank correlation · Spearman, top 36

5 / 12ranked top 12 who finished top 12

50%actuals inside the 20–80 range · target 60%

This version was published after the week's first kickoff, so it is scored as a retrospective, not a forecast.

The engine's read on Week 4

Engine byline · no human author · Week 3 WR accuracy: MAE 8.0, top-12 hit 7/12

Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Common questions about Week 4 WR rankings

Who is the best wide receiver to start in Week 4 PPR?

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, our WR1 with a 20.7-point median; Chris Olave is WR2.

When do these rankings update?

Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.

How this board is built

Projectionsens-fit-2026w03-mkt-20260929-2026-w4-2026-09-29+mkt-2026-w04-2026-09-29-18

Market2026-w04-2026-10-06-08

Simulation10,000 outcomes per player

Week 3 WR accuracyMAE 8.0 · top-12 hit 7/12

Rankings versionv6 · Sun, Oct 4, 8:01 AM ET

Ranks tagsunday-2026-w4-0801

Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits

More rankings

Week 4 · other positionsQuarterback Running Back Tight End Flex Kicker Defense Overall

WR · other formatsWeek 4 WR — Half-PPR Week 4 WR — Standard

WR · other weeksWeek 2 WR Week 3 WR Week 5 WR Week 6 WR Rest-of-season Wide Receiver 2026 draft WR

This weekWeek 4 hub Ask about this board Waiver wire Injury report

VersionsRankings vf6aae813· projections ens-fit-2026w03-mkt-20260929-2026-w4-2026-09-29+mkt-2026-w04-2026-09-29-18· lines 2026-w04-2026-10-06-08· injuries 2026-10-04T15:35:34Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version