Week 5 Wide Receiver Rankings & Results — PPR

By Red Zone Rank engine · Final board published Sun, Oct 11, 8:03 AM ET (v2) · results scored Tue, Oct 13, 5:01 AM ET

Week2 3 4 5 6

CeeDee Lamb is our WR1 for Week 5 in PPR, ahead of Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Puka Nacua. The biggest riser since the last publish is Tre Tucker (WR38→WR36); the biggest faller is Stefon Diggs (WR17→WR47).

Week 5 boardsQB RB WR TE Flex K DST OverallAlsoRest-of-season Wide Receiver 2026 draft WR

Results table

Week 5 WR · PPR · Proj = engine median · Range = 20th–80th percentile · Opp/Total from the market as of 4:05 AM ET · Actual from final stats · Finish = actual rank on this board · Δ = actual − proj · Hit = within 6 ranks or inside the range · bye-week teams (CAR, KC) excluded
Rank	Player	Team	Opp	Proj	Actual	Finish	Δ	Hit	Note
Tier 1 · Must start
1	CeeDee Lamb DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	18.3	2.9	WR39	-15.4	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 9.8–29.4.
2	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA vs SF	SEA	vs SF	17.8	22.8	WR8	+5.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 9.3–29.1.
3	Puka Nacua LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	16.8	37.7	WR1	+20.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 9.2–27.5.
4	Chris Olave NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	16.5	8.6	WR25	-7.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 9.1–27.3.
5	Zay Flowers BAL @ ATL · Questionable	BAL	@ ATL	15.3	14.6	WR15	-0.7	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 15.3 if he plays.
6	Amon-Ra St. Brown DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	15.2	12.9	WR17	-2.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 7.9–24.9.
Tier 2 · Start
7	Nico Collins HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	13.9	10.6	WR22	-3.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 7.0–23.5.
8	Tee Higgins CIN @ MIA · Questionable	CIN	@ MIA	13.8	4.2	WR36	-9.6	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 97% — median 13.8 if he plays.
9	Michael Wilson ARI vs DET	ARI	vs DET	13.3	7.3	WR29	-6.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 7.1–22.2.
Tier 3 · Start
10	Davante Adams LA vs BUF	LA	vs BUF (Mon)	12.2	22.1	WR9	+10.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 6.0–21.3.
11	Drake London ATL vs BAL	ATL	vs BAL	12.1	18.8	WR12	+6.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 6.4–20.9.
12	Christian Watson GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	11.6	32.3	WR2	+20.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 5.6–20.1.
13	Ja'Marr Chase CIN @ MIA · Questionable	CIN	@ MIA	11.2	19.7	WR11	+8.5	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 79% — median 11.2 if he plays.
14	Carnell Tate TEN vs HOU · Questionable	TEN	vs HOU	10.9	1.6	WR42	-9.3	Miss	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 10.9 if he plays.
15	Garrett Wilson NYJ vs CLE	NYJ	vs CLE	10.7	23.4	WR7	+12.7	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 5.0–19.2.
16	Luther Burden III CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	10.0	8.9	WR24	-1.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 4.7–18.0.
17	Parker Washington JAX vs PHI	JAX	vs PHI	9.2	30.4	WR3	+21.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 4.2–16.9.
18	DK Metcalf PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	9.1	5.3	WR33	-3.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 4.1–16.7.
19	Devaughn Vele NO vs MIN	NO	vs MIN	9.0	6.6	WR31	-2.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 4.1–16.4.
20	Malik Nabers NYG @ WAS	NYG	@ WAS	8.9	29.1	WR4	+20.2	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ WAS · 20–80 range 4.1–16.3.
21	Romeo Doubs NE vs LV	NE	vs LV	8.7	2.6	WR40	-6.1	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LV · 20–80 range 3.7–16.6.
22	Malik Washington MIA vs CIN	MIA	vs CIN	8.7	12.1	WR18	+3.4	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 4.2–16.0.
23	Denzel Boston CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	8.7	13.6	WR16	+4.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 3.8–16.9.
24	Deebo Samuel Sr. SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	8.5	2.5	WR41	-6.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 3.7–15.5.
25	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN vs HOU	TEN	vs HOU	8.5	11.3	WR19	+2.8	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 3.4–15.9.
26	Matthew Golden GB vs CHI	GB	vs CHI	8.5	20.3	WR10	+11.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 3.7–15.8.
27	Jaylen Waddle DEN @ LAC	DEN	@ LAC	8.3	4.8	WR35	-3.5	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 3.7–15.4.
28	Mike Evans SF @ SEA	SF	@ SEA	8.3	26.3	WR6	+18.0	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 3.6–15.5.
29	George Pickens DAL vs TB · locked	DAL	vs TB (Thu)	8.3	28.0	WR5	+19.8	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 3.9–15.3.
30	Jameson Williams DET @ ARI	DET	@ ARI	8.2	18.7	WR13	+10.5	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 3.9–15.1.
31	Keon Coleman BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	7.8	7.7	WR26	0.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 3.4–14.6.
32	Kalif Raymond CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	7.7	3.4	WR38	-4.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 3.5–14.3.
33	Jakobi Meyers JAX vs PHI	JAX	vs PHI	7.7	5.7	WR32	-2.0	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 3.4–14.1.
34	Josh Downs IND @ PIT	IND	@ PIT	7.6	7.7	WR27	+0.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 3.6–14.2.
35	Rome Odunze CHI @ GB	CHI	@ GB	7.6	5.0	WR34	-2.6	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 3.4–14.2.
36	Tre Tucker LV @ NE	LV	@ NE	7.4	7.5	WR28	+0.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 3.4–13.8.
37	Khalil Shakir BUF @ LA	BUF	@ LA (Mon)	7.3	11.0	WR21	+3.7	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 3.4–13.3.
38	Roman Wilson PIT vs IND	PIT	vs IND	7.1	0.0	WR44	-7.1	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 2.9–13.7.
39	Jordan Addison MIN @ NO · Questionable	MIN	@ NO	7.0	0.0	WR45	-7.0	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 81% — median 7.0 if he plays.
40	Chris Godwin Jr. TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	6.8	7.0	WR30	+0.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 2.9–13.1.
41	KC Concepcion CLE @ NYJ	CLE	@ NYJ	6.7	1.5	WR43	-5.2	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYJ · 20–80 range 2.9–12.8.
42	Tre Harris LAC vs DEN	LAC	vs DEN	6.5	3.6	WR37	-2.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 2.9–12.3.
43	Dontayvion Wicks PHI @ JAX	PHI	@ JAX	6.4	11.3	WR20	+4.9	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 2.8–12.3.
44	Emeka Egbuka TB @ DAL · locked	TB	@ DAL (Thu)	6.3	17.2	WR14	+10.9	Miss	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 2.4–12.8.
45	Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ TEN	HOU	@ TEN	6.2	10.5	WR23	+4.3	Hit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 2.8–11.9.
46	Ladd McConkey LAC vs DEN · Questionable	LAC	vs DEN	6.0	0.0	WR46	-6.0	Hit	Questionable (game-day report, seen Sat 16:30 ET): P(active) 41% — median 6.0 if he plays.
47	Stefon Diggs WAS vs NYG · Out	WAS	vs NYG	0.0	0.0	WR47	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start
48	Mack Hollins NE vs LV · Out	NE	vs LV	0.0	0.0	WR48	0.0	Hit	Out (report seen Sat 16:30 ET) — do not start

Showing 24 of 48 · tiers 3+ below

What the numbers say

7.9mean abs. error · PPR points, top 36 · Week 4: 7.8

0.20rank correlation · Spearman, top 36

5 / 12ranked top 12 who finished top 12

53%actuals inside the 20–80 range · target 60%

This version was published after the week's first kickoff, so it is scored as a retrospective, not a forecast.

The engine's read on Week 5

Engine byline · no human author · Week 4 WR accuracy: MAE 7.8, top-12 hit 5/12

Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Common questions about Week 5 WR rankings

Who is the best wide receiver to start in Week 5 PPR?

CeeDee Lamb, our WR1 with a 18.3-point median; Jaxon Smith-Njigba is WR2.

When do these rankings update?

Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.

How this board is built

Projectionsens-fit-2026w04-mkt-2026-w5-2026-10-06+mkt-2026-w05-2026-10-06-09

Market2026-w05-2026-10-13-08

Simulation10,000 outcomes per player

Week 4 WR accuracyMAE 7.8 · top-12 hit 5/12

Rankings versionv2 · Sun, Oct 11, 8:03 AM ET

Ranks tagsunday-2026-w5-0803

Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits

More rankings

Week 5 · other positionsQuarterback Running Back Tight End Flex Kicker Defense Overall

WR · other formatsWeek 5 WR — Half-PPR Week 5 WR — Standard

WR · other weeksWeek 2 WR Week 3 WR Week 4 WR Week 6 WR Rest-of-season Wide Receiver 2026 draft WR

This weekWeek 5 hub Ask about this board Waiver wire Injury report

VersionsRankings v4d5ad6bc· projections ens-fit-2026w04-mkt-2026-w5-2026-10-06+mkt-2026-w05-2026-10-06-09· lines 2026-w05-2026-10-13-08· injuries 2026-10-11T15:35:27Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version