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Week 5 Kicker Rankings & Results — PPR

Brandon Aubrey is our K1 for Week 5 in PPR, ahead of Cairo Santos and Jason Myers. This is the first published version of this board.

Results table

Week 5 K · PPR · Proj = engine median · Range = 20th–80th percentile · Opp/Total from the market as of 4:05 AM ET · Actual from final stats · Finish = actual rank on this board · Δ = actual − proj · Hit = within 6 ranks or inside the range · bye-week teams (CAR, KC) excluded
RankPlayerTeamOppProjRangeActualFinishΔHitNote
Tier 1
1Brandon Aubrey
DAL vs TB
DALvs TB (Thu)9.05.0K22-4.0HitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TB · 20–80 range 4.0–14.0.
2Cairo Santos
CHI @ GB
CHI@ GB8.00.0K30-8.0MissEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
3Jason Myers
SEA vs SF
SEAvs SF8.023.0K1+15.0HitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SF · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
4Ka'imi Fairbairn
HOU @ TEN
HOU@ TEN8.017.0K3+9.0HitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TEN · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
5Eddy Pineiro
SF @ SEA
SF@ SEA8.06.0K19-2.0HitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SEA · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
6Tyler Bass
BUF @ LA
BUF@ LA (Mon)8.013.0K6+5.0HitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
7Evan McPherson
CIN @ MIA
CIN@ MIA8.07.0K15-1.0HitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ MIA · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
8Chad Ryland
ARI vs DET
ARIvs DET8.02.0K27-6.0MissEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DET · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
9Jake Bates
DET @ ARI
DET@ ARI8.010.0K9+2.0HitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ARI · 20–80 range 4.0–14.0.
10Will Reichard
MIN @ NO
MIN@ NO8.016.0K4+8.0HitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NO · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
11Cam Little
JAX vs PHI
JAXvs PHI8.09.0K12+1.0HitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PHI · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
12Harrison Mevis
LA vs BUF
LAvs BUF (Mon)8.02.0K28-6.0MissEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
13Spencer Shrader
IND @ PIT
IND@ PIT8.021.0K2+13.0MissEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PIT · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
14Tyler Loop
BAL @ ATL
BAL@ ATL8.014.0K5+6.0MissEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 4.0–13.0.
15Nick Folk
ATL vs BAL
ATLvs BAL7.012.0K8+5.0HitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
16Chris Boswell
PIT vs IND
PITvs IND7.013.0K7+6.0MissEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs IND · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
17Wil Lutz
DEN @ LAC
DEN@ LAC7.010.0K10+3.0HitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LAC · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
18Jake Elliott
PHI @ JAX
PHI@ JAX7.06.0K20-1.0HitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
19Daniel Carlson
NO vs MIN
NOvs MIN7.01.0K29-6.0MissEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs MIN · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
20Jason Sanders
NYJ vs CLE
NYJvs CLE7.07.0K160.0HitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CLE · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
21Matt Gay
LV @ NE
LV@ NE7.05.0K23-2.0HitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 4.0–12.0.
22Chase McLaughlin
TB @ DAL
TB@ DAL (Thu)7.07.0K170.0HitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DAL · 20–80 range 3.0–13.0.
23Riley Patterson
MIA vs CIN
MIAvs CIN7.04.0K24-3.0HitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CIN · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
24Cameron Dicker
LAC vs DEN
LACvs DEN7.06.0K21-1.0HitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DEN · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
Showing 24 of 30 · tiers 1+ below

What the numbers say

4.7mean abs. error · PPR points, top 24 · Week 4: 4.0
0.19rank correlation · Spearman, top 24
5 / 12ranked top 12 who finished top 12
58%actuals inside the 20–80 range · target 60%
The engine's read on Week 5
Engine byline · no human author · Week 4 K accuracy: MAE 4.0, top-12 hit 6/12

Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Common questions about Week 5 K rankings

Who is the best kicker to start in Week 5 PPR?

Brandon Aubrey, our K1 with a 9.0-point median; Cairo Santos is K2.

When do these rankings update?

Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.

How this board is built
Projectionsens-fit-2026w04-mkt-2026-w5-2026-10-06+mkt-2026-w05-2026-10-06-09
Market2026-w05-2026-10-13-08
Simulation10,000 outcomes per player
Week 4 K accuracyMAE 4.0 · top-12 hit 6/12
Rankings versionv1 · Tue, Oct 6, 5:31 AM ET
Ranks tagseed-2026-w5-20261006T0931
Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits
VersionsRankings v4d5ad6bc· projections ens-fit-2026w04-mkt-2026-w5-2026-10-06+mkt-2026-w05-2026-10-06-09· lines 2026-w05-2026-10-13-08· injuries 2026-10-11T15:35:27Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version