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Week 6 Wide Receiver Rankings — Standard

Puka Nacua is our WR1 for Week 6 in Standard, ahead of Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Christian Watson. This is the first published version of this board.

Rankings table

Week 6 WR · Standard · Proj = engine median · Range = 20th–80th percentile · Opp/Total from the market as of 4:05 PM ET · Chg since the previous publish · locked players kept at actual points · bye-week teams (CIN, DET, MIA, MIN) excluded
RankPlayerStatusTeamOppTotalProjRangeChgVerdictNote
Tier 1 · Must start
1Puka Nacua
LA vs ARI · 51.5
—LAvs ARI51.511.7—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 5.3–20.7.
2Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA @ DEN
—SEA@ DEN (Thu)final11.6—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DEN · 20–80 range 5.1–20.5.
3Christian Watson
GB vs DAL · 53.0
—GBvs DAL53.010.8—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 4.4–18.9.
Tier 2 · Start
4Zay Flowers
BAL @ CLE · 39.5
—BAL@ CLE39.59.1—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 4.1–16.6.
5Davante Adams
LA vs ARI · 51.5
—LAvs ARI51.58.9—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 3.5–16.5.
6CeeDee Lamb
DAL @ GB · 53.0
—DAL@ GB53.08.7—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 3.8–15.6.
7Parker Washington
JAX vs HOU · 42.5
—JAXvs HOU42.58.2—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 3.3–15.3.
8Drake London
ATL vs CHI · 52.0
—ATLvs CHI52.08.2—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 4.1–15.4.
9Chris Olave
NO @ NYG · 46.0
—NO@ NYG46.07.9—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 3.8–15.2.
10Nico Collins
HOU @ JAX · 42.5
—HOU@ JAX42.57.8—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 3.4–14.8.
11Mike Evans
SF vs WAS · 51.5
—SFvs WAS (Mon)51.57.5—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 3.2–13.7.
12Garrett Wilson
NYJ @ NE · 43.5
—NYJ@ NE43.57.2—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 3.0–14.0.
13Malik Nabers
NYG vs NO · 46.0
—NYGvs NO46.07.1—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NO · 20–80 range 3.1–13.5.
14Matthew Golden
GB vs DAL · 53.0
—GBvs DAL53.06.9—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 3.1–13.4.
15George Pickens
DAL @ GB · 53.0
—DAL@ GB53.06.5—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 3.1–12.8.
16Denzel Boston
CLE vs BAL · 39.5
—CLEvs BAL39.56.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 2.3–12.9.
Tier 3 · Start
17Michael Wilson
ARI @ LA · 51.5
—ARI@ LA51.54.9—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 2.0–11.2.
18Terry McLaurin
WAS @ SF · 51.5
—WAS@ SF (Mon)51.54.9—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 2.0–10.9.
19Luther Burden III
CHI @ ATL · 52.0
—CHI@ ATL52.04.7—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 1.9–10.5.
20Wan'Dale Robinson
TEN @ IND · 44.5
—TEN@ IND44.54.4—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ IND · 20–80 range 1.7–10.4.
21Keon Coleman
BUF @ LV · 53.5
—BUF@ LV53.54.4—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 1.6–10.5.
22Deebo Samuel Sr.
SF vs WAS · 51.5
—SFvs WAS (Mon)51.54.4—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 1.3–10.6.
23Devaughn Vele
NO @ NYG · 46.0
—NO@ NYG46.04.2—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.7–10.0.
24Carnell Tate
TEN @ IND · 44.5
—TEN@ IND44.54.1—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ IND · 20–80 range 1.8–9.3.
Showing 24 of 48 · tiers 3+ below

Key changes since the previous publish

First published version of this board — no changes to show yet.

The engine's read on Week 6
Engine byline · no human author · Week 5 WR accuracy: MAE 6.4, top-12 hit 4/12

Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Tiers 1–2 in depth

Puka NacuaWR1 · LA vs ARI
Median 11.7 · 20–80 range 5.3–20.7 · game total 51.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 5.3–20.7.
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR2 · SEA @ DEN
Median 11.6 · 20–80 range 5.2–20.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DEN · 20–80 range 5.1–20.5.
Christian WatsonWR3 · GB vs DAL
Median 10.8 · 20–80 range 4.4–18.9 · game total 53.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 4.4–18.9.
Zay FlowersWR4 · BAL @ CLE
Median 9.1 · 20–80 range 4.1–16.6 · game total 39.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 4.1–16.6.
Davante AdamsWR5 · LA vs ARI
Median 8.9 · 20–80 range 3.5–16.5 · game total 51.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 3.5–16.5.
CeeDee LambWR6 · DAL @ GB
Median 8.7 · 20–80 range 3.8–15.6 · game total 53.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 3.8–15.6.

Common questions about Week 6 WR rankings

Who is the best wide receiver to start in Week 6 Standard?

Puka Nacua, our WR1 with a 11.7-point median; Jaxon Smith-Njigba is WR2.

When do these rankings update?

Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.

How this board is built
Projectionsens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09
Market2026-w06-2026-10-16-20
Simulation10,000 outcomes per player
Week 5 WR accuracyMAE 6.4 · top-12 hit 4/12
Rankings versionv1 · Tue, Oct 13, 5:32 AM ET
Ranks tagseed-2026-w6-20261013T0931
Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits
VersionsRankings v0850ba1e· projections ens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09· lines 2026-w06-2026-10-16-20· injuries 2026-10-15T22:45:25Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version