Puka Nacua is our WR1 for Week 6 in Standard, ahead of Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Christian Watson. This is the first published version of this board.
Rankings table
| Rank | Player | Status | Team | Opp | Total | Proj | Range | Chg | Verdict | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 · Must start | ||||||||||
| 1 | Puka Nacua LA vs ARI · 51.5 | — | LA | vs ARI | 51.5 | 11.7 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 5.3–20.7. | |
| 2 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @ DEN | — | SEA | @ DEN (Thu) | final | 11.6 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DEN · 20–80 range 5.1–20.5. | |
| 3 | Christian Watson GB vs DAL · 53.0 | — | GB | vs DAL | 53.0 | 10.8 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 4.4–18.9. | |
| Tier 2 · Start | ||||||||||
| 4 | Zay Flowers BAL @ CLE · 40.0 | — | BAL | @ CLE | 40.0 | 9.1 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 4.1–16.6. | |
| 5 | Davante Adams LA vs ARI · 51.5 | — | LA | vs ARI | 51.5 | 8.9 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 3.5–16.5. | |
| 6 | CeeDee Lamb DAL @ GB · 53.0 | — | DAL | @ GB | 53.0 | 8.7 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 3.8–15.6. | |
| 7 | Parker Washington JAX vs HOU · 42.5 | — | JAX | vs HOU | 42.5 | 8.2 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 3.3–15.3. | |
| 8 | Drake London ATL vs CHI · 52.0 | — | ATL | vs CHI | 52.0 | 8.2 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 4.1–15.4. | |
| 9 | Chris Olave NO @ NYG · 46.0 | — | NO | @ NYG | 46.0 | 7.9 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 3.8–15.2. | |
| 10 | Nico Collins HOU @ JAX · 42.5 | — | HOU | @ JAX | 42.5 | 7.8 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 3.4–14.8. | |
| 11 | Mike Evans SF vs WAS · 51.5 | — | SF | vs WAS (Mon) | 51.5 | 7.5 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 3.2–13.7. | |
| 12 | Garrett Wilson NYJ @ NE · 43.5 | — | NYJ | @ NE | 43.5 | 7.2 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 3.0–14.0. | |
| 13 | Malik Nabers NYG vs NO · 46.0 | — | NYG | vs NO | 46.0 | 7.1 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NO · 20–80 range 3.1–13.5. | |
| 14 | Matthew Golden GB vs DAL · 53.0 | — | GB | vs DAL | 53.0 | 6.9 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 3.1–13.4. | |
| 15 | George Pickens DAL @ GB · 53.0 | — | DAL | @ GB | 53.0 | 6.5 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 3.1–12.8. | |
| 16 | Denzel Boston CLE vs BAL · 40.0 | — | CLE | vs BAL | 40.0 | 6.0 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 2.3–12.9. | |
| Tier 3 · Start | ||||||||||
| 17 | Michael Wilson ARI @ LA · 51.5 | — | ARI | @ LA | 51.5 | 4.9 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 2.0–11.2. | |
| 18 | Terry McLaurin WAS @ SF · 51.5 | — | WAS | @ SF (Mon) | 51.5 | 4.9 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 2.0–10.9. | |
| 19 | Luther Burden III CHI @ ATL · 52.0 | — | CHI | @ ATL | 52.0 | 4.7 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 1.9–10.5. | |
| 20 | Wan'Dale Robinson TEN @ IND · 44.5 | — | TEN | @ IND | 44.5 | 4.4 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ IND · 20–80 range 1.7–10.4. | |
| 21 | Keon Coleman BUF @ LV · 53.5 | — | BUF | @ LV | 53.5 | 4.4 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 1.6–10.5. | |
| 22 | Deebo Samuel Sr. SF vs WAS · 51.5 | — | SF | vs WAS (Mon) | 51.5 | 4.4 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 1.3–10.6. | |
| 23 | Devaughn Vele NO @ NYG · 46.0 | — | NO | @ NYG | 46.0 | 4.2 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.7–10.0. | |
| 24 | Carnell Tate TEN @ IND · 44.5 | — | TEN | @ IND | 44.5 | 4.1 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ IND · 20–80 range 1.8–9.3. | |
| 25 | Khalil Shakir BUF @ LV · 53.5 | — | BUF | @ LV | 53.5 | 4.1 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 1.8–9.1. | |
| 26 | Romeo Doubs NE vs NYJ · 43.5 | — | NE | vs NYJ | 43.5 | 4.0 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 1.5–9.9. | |
| 27 | Rome Odunze CHI @ ATL · 52.0 | — | CHI | @ ATL | 52.0 | 4.0 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 1.7–9.2. | |
| 28 | DK Metcalf PIT @ TB · 39.5 | — | PIT | @ TB | 39.5 | 4.0 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 1.7–9.4. | |
| 29 | Tre Tucker LV vs BUF · 53.5 | — | LV | vs BUF | 53.5 | 3.9 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 1.6–9.0. | |
| 30 | Josh Downs IND vs TEN · 44.5 | — | IND | vs TEN | 44.5 | 3.8 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 1.6–8.7. | |
| 31 | Dontayvion Wicks PHI vs CAR · 39.0 | — | PHI | vs CAR | 39.0 | 3.8 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CAR · 20–80 range 1.5–8.9. | |
| 32 | Keenan Allen IND vs TEN · 44.5 | — | IND | vs TEN | 44.5 | 3.7 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 1.5–9.3. | |
| 33 | Darius Cooper PHI vs CAR · 39.0 | — | PHI | vs CAR | 39.0 | 3.6 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CAR · 20–80 range 0.9–9.7. | |
| 34 | Xavier Hutchinson HOU @ JAX · 42.5 | — | HOU | @ JAX | 42.5 | 3.6 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 1.6–8.3. | |
| 35 | Rashod Bateman BAL @ CLE · 40.0 | — | BAL | @ CLE | 40.0 | 3.5 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 1.5–8.5. | |
| 36 | Jaylen Waddle DEN vs SEA | — | DEN | vs SEA (Thu) | final | 3.5 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SEA · 20–80 range 1.1–9.1. | |
| 37 | Ryan Flournoy DAL @ GB · 53.0 | — | DAL | @ GB | 53.0 | 3.4 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 1.5–8.0. | |
| 38 | Emeka Egbuka TB vs PIT · 39.5 | — | TB | vs PIT | 39.5 | 3.4 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 1.0–8.9. | |
| 39 | Jakobi Meyers JAX vs HOU · 42.5 | — | JAX | vs HOU | 42.5 | 3.2 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 1.0–8.9. | |
| 40 | Jaylin Noel HOU @ JAX · 42.5 | — | HOU | @ JAX | 42.5 | 3.2 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 1.0–8.7. | |
| 41 | DeMario Douglas NE vs NYJ · 43.5 | — | NE | vs NYJ | 43.5 | 3.2 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 0.8–9.3. | |
| 42 | Kalif Raymond CHI @ ATL · 52.0 | — | CHI | @ ATL | 52.0 | 3.0 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 1.0–8.4. | |
| 43 | Germie Bernard PIT @ TB · 39.5 | — | PIT | @ TB | 39.5 | 2.9 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 1.0–7.7. | |
| 44 | Tre Harris LAC @ KC · 41.5 | — | LAC | @ KC | 41.5 | 2.9 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ KC · 20–80 range 0.9–7.5. | |
| 45 | Roman Wilson PIT @ TB · 39.5 | — | PIT | @ TB | 39.5 | 2.8 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 0.8–8.5. | |
| 46 | Jahan Dotson ATL vs CHI · 52.0 | — | ATL | vs CHI | 52.0 | 2.8 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 0.8–8.1. | |
| 47 | Theo Wease Jr. LAC @ KC · 41.5 | — | LAC | @ KC | 41.5 | 2.7 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ KC · 20–80 range 0.8–8.0. | |
| 48 | Chris Godwin Jr. TB vs PIT · 39.5 | — | TB | vs PIT | 39.5 | 2.7 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 0.9–7.3. | |
Showing 24 of 48 · tiers 3+ below
Key changes since the previous publish
First published version of this board — no changes to show yet.
The engine's read on Week 6
Engine byline · no human author · Week 5 WR accuracy: MAE 6.4, top-12 hit 4/12
Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.
Tiers 1–2 in depth
Puka NacuaWR1 · LA vs ARI
Median 11.7 · 20–80 range 5.3–20.7 · game total 51.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 5.3–20.7.
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR2 · SEA @ DEN
Median 11.6 · 20–80 range 5.2–20.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DEN · 20–80 range 5.1–20.5.
Christian WatsonWR3 · GB vs DAL
Median 10.8 · 20–80 range 4.4–18.9 · game total 53.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 4.4–18.9.
Zay FlowersWR4 · BAL @ CLE
Median 9.1 · 20–80 range 4.1–16.6 · game total 40.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 4.1–16.6.
Davante AdamsWR5 · LA vs ARI
Median 8.9 · 20–80 range 3.5–16.5 · game total 51.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 3.5–16.5.
CeeDee LambWR6 · DAL @ GB
Median 8.7 · 20–80 range 3.8–15.6 · game total 53.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 3.8–15.6.
Common questions about Week 6 WR rankings
Who is the best wide receiver to start in Week 6 Standard?
Puka Nacua, our WR1 with a 11.7-point median; Jaxon Smith-Njigba is WR2.
When do these rankings update?
Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.
How this board is built
Projectionsens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09
Market2026-w06-2026-10-16-19
Simulation10,000 outcomes per player
Week 5 WR accuracyMAE 6.4 · top-12 hit 4/12
Rankings versionv1 · Tue, Oct 13, 5:32 AM ET
Ranks tagseed-2026-w6-20261013T0931
Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits
More rankings
VersionsRankings v0850ba1e· projections ens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09· lines 2026-w06-2026-10-16-19· injuries 2026-10-15T22:45:25Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version