Week 6 Running Back Rankings — Standard

By Red Zone Rank engine · Rankings as of Tue, Oct 13, 5:32 AM ET (v1) · injuries as of 6:45 PM ET · lines as of 3:05 PM ET

ScoringPPR Half Standard

Week4 5 6

Derrick Henry is our RB1 for Week 6 in Standard, ahead of Bijan Robinson and Kyren Williams. This is the first published version of this board.

Week 6 boardsQB RB WR TE Flex K DST OverallAlsoRest-of-season Running Back 2026 draft RB

Rankings table

Week 6 RB · Standard · Proj = engine median · Range = 20th–80th percentile · Opp/Total from the market as of 3:05 PM ET · Chg since the previous publish · locked players kept at actual points · bye-week teams (CIN, DET, MIA, MIN) excluded
Rank	Player	Status	Team	Opp	Total	Proj	Chg	Verdict	Note
Tier 1 · Must start
1	Derrick Henry BAL @ CLE · 40.0	—	BAL	@ CLE	40.0	14.5	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 7.8–22.9.
2	Bijan Robinson ATL vs CHI · 52.0	—	ATL	vs CHI	52.0	14.4	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 8.1–22.7.
3	Kyren Williams LA vs ARI · 51.5	—	LA	vs ARI	51.5	13.3	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 7.2–21.3.
4	Jaylen Warren PIT @ TB · 39.5	—	PIT	@ TB	39.5	13.2	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 7.3–21.0.
5	James Cook BUF @ LV · 53.5	—	BUF	@ LV	53.5	12.7	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 6.7–20.6.
6	Javonte Williams DAL @ GB · 53.0	—	DAL	@ GB	53.0	12.5	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 6.3–20.5.
7	Jonathan Taylor IND vs TEN · 44.5	—	IND	vs TEN	44.5	12.4	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 6.3–20.1.
8	Christian McCaffrey SF vs WAS · 51.5	—	SF	vs WAS (Mon)	51.5	11.5	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 5.6–19.3.
Tier 2 · Start
9	D'Andre Swift CHI @ ATL · 52.0	—	CHI	@ ATL	52.0	10.5	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 5.4–17.3.
10	Bucky Irving TB vs PIT · 39.5	—	TB	vs PIT	39.5	10.5	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 5.6–17.1.
Tier 3
11	Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs NYJ · 43.5	—	NE	vs NYJ	43.5	9.3	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 4.2–16.0.
12	Ashton Jeanty LV vs BUF · 53.5	—	LV	vs BUF	53.5	9.3	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 4.9–15.9.
13	Bhayshul Tuten JAX vs HOU · 42.5	—	JAX	vs HOU	42.5	8.8	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 4.5–15.1.
14	Emanuel Wilson SEA @ DEN	—	SEA	@ DEN (Thu)	final	8.1	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DEN · 20–80 range 3.4–14.7.
15	Cam Skattebo NYG vs NO · 46.0	—	NYG	vs NO	46.0	7.6	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NO · 20–80 range 3.5–13.8.
16	Tony Pollard TEN @ IND · 44.5	—	TEN	@ IND	44.5	7.5	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ IND · 20–80 range 4.0–13.2.
17	Braelon Allen NYJ @ NE · 43.5	—	NYJ	@ NE	43.5	7.4	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 3.2–13.8.
18	Omarion Hampton LAC @ KC · 41.5	—	LAC	@ KC	41.5	7.4	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ KC · 20–80 range 3.1–13.8.
19	Quinshon Judkins CLE vs BAL · 40.0	—	CLE	vs BAL	40.0	7.1	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 3.3–12.8.
20	J.K. Dobbins DEN vs SEA	—	DEN	vs SEA (Thu)	final	6.9	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SEA · 20–80 range 3.2–13.1.
21	Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS @ SF · 51.5	—	WAS	@ SF (Mon)	51.5	6.7	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 2.9–12.7.
22	MarShawn Lloyd GB vs DAL · 53.0	—	GB	vs DAL	53.0	6.7	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 1.8–12.8.
23	Brian Robinson ATL vs CHI · 52.0	—	ATL	vs CHI	52.0	6.3	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 1.7–12.6.
24	Jeremiyah Love ARI @ LA · 51.5	—	ARI	@ LA	51.5	6.2	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 2.9–11.9.
25	TreVeyon Henderson NE vs NYJ · 43.5	—	NE	vs NYJ	43.5	6.0	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 2.6–11.8.
26	Blake Corum LA vs ARI · 51.5	—	LA	vs ARI	51.5	5.7	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 2.1–11.9.
27	Woody Marks HOU @ JAX · 42.5	—	HOU	@ JAX	42.5	5.4	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 1.9–11.5.
28	Alvin Kamara NO @ NYG · 46.0	—	NO	@ NYG	46.0	4.9	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.7–10.7.
29	David Montgomery HOU @ JAX · 42.5	—	HOU	@ JAX	42.5	4.6	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 1.5–10.2.
30	RJ Harvey DEN vs SEA	—	DEN	vs SEA (Thu)	final	4.3	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SEA · 20–80 range 1.8–9.6.
31	Ty Johnson BUF @ LV · 53.5	—	BUF	@ LV	53.5	4.1	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 1.5–9.3.
32	Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX vs HOU · 42.5	—	JAX	vs HOU	42.5	3.9	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 1.2–9.7.
33	Rachaad White WAS @ SF · 51.5	—	WAS	@ SF (Mon)	51.5	3.9	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 1.5–9.1.
34	Kimani Vidal LAC @ KC · 41.5	—	LAC	@ KC	41.5	3.7	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ KC · 20–80 range 1.2–9.4.
35	Kendre Miller NO @ NYG · 46.0	—	NO	@ NYG	46.0	3.7	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.1–9.4.
36	Keaton Mitchell LAC @ KC · 41.5	—	LAC	@ KC	41.5	3.6	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ KC · 20–80 range 1.4–8.9.
37	Tyler Allgeier ARI @ LA · 51.5	—	ARI	@ LA	51.5	3.5	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 1.2–8.9.
38	Justice Hill BAL @ CLE · 40.0	—	BAL	@ CLE	40.0	3.3	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 1.2–8.0.
39	Kenny Gainwell TB vs PIT · 39.5	—	TB	vs PIT	39.5	3.1	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 1.0–8.4.
40	Mike Washington Jr. LV vs BUF · 53.5	—	LV	vs BUF	53.5	3.1	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 1.1–8.7.
41	Austin Ekeler WAS @ SF · 51.5	—	WAS	@ SF (Mon)	51.5	2.9	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 1.0–7.6.
42	Will Shipley PHI vs CAR · 39.0	—	PHI	vs CAR	39.0	2.8	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CAR · 20–80 range 0.7–8.5.
43	Najee Harris NYG vs NO · 46.0	—	NYG	vs NO	46.0	2.7	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NO · 20–80 range 1.0–7.4.
44	Pierre Strong GB vs DAL · 53.0	—	GB	vs DAL	53.0	2.7	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 0.8–7.5.
45	Tyjae Spears TEN @ IND · 44.5	—	TEN	@ IND	44.5	2.7	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ IND · 20–80 range 0.8–7.1.
46	Kaelon Black SF vs WAS · 51.5	—	SF	vs WAS (Mon)	51.5	2.6	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 1.0–7.3.
47	Kaleb Johnson GB vs DAL · 53.0	—	GB	vs DAL	53.0	2.5	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 0.9–7.1.
48	Bam Knight ARI @ LA · 51.5	—	ARI	@ LA	51.5	2.5	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 0.7–7.8.

Showing 24 of 48 · tiers 3+ below

Key changes since the previous publish

First published version of this board — no changes to show yet.

The engine's read on Week 6

Engine byline · no human author · Week 5 RB accuracy: MAE 6.1, top-12 hit 6/12

Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Tiers 1–2 in depth

Derrick HenryRB1 · BAL @ CLE

Median 14.5 · 20–80 range 7.8–22.9 · game total 40.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 7.8–22.9.

player page

Bijan RobinsonRB2 · ATL vs CHI

Median 14.4 · 20–80 range 8.2–22.7 · game total 52.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 8.1–22.7.

player page

Kyren WilliamsRB3 · LA vs ARI

Median 13.3 · 20–80 range 7.2–21.3 · game total 51.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 7.2–21.3.

player page

Jaylen WarrenRB4 · PIT @ TB

Median 13.2 · 20–80 range 7.3–21.0 · game total 39.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 7.3–21.0.

player page

James CookRB5 · BUF @ LV

Median 12.7 · 20–80 range 6.7–20.6 · game total 53.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 6.7–20.6.

player page

Javonte WilliamsRB6 · DAL @ GB

Median 12.5 · 20–80 range 6.3–20.5 · game total 53.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 6.3–20.5.

player page

Common questions about Week 6 RB rankings

Who is the best running back to start in Week 6 Standard?

Derrick Henry, our RB1 with a 14.5-point median; Bijan Robinson is RB2.

When do these rankings update?

Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.

How this board is built

Projectionsens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09

Market2026-w06-2026-10-16-19

Simulation10,000 outcomes per player

Week 5 RB accuracyMAE 6.1 · top-12 hit 6/12

Rankings versionv1 · Tue, Oct 13, 5:32 AM ET

Ranks tagseed-2026-w6-20261013T0931

Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits

More rankings

Week 6 · other positionsQuarterback Wide Receiver Tight End Flex Kicker Defense Overall

RB · other formatsWeek 6 RB — PPR Week 6 RB — Half-PPR

RB · other weeksWeek 4 RB Week 5 RB Rest-of-season Running Back 2026 draft RB

This weekWeek 6 hub Ask about this board Waiver wire Injury report

VersionsRankings v0850ba1e· projections ens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09· lines 2026-w06-2026-10-16-19· injuries 2026-10-15T22:45:25Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version