Brock Bowers is our TE1 for Week 6 in Standard, ahead of George Kittle and Isaiah Likely. This is the first published version of this board.
Rankings table
| Rank | Player | Status | Team | Opp | Total | Proj | Range | Chg | Verdict | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 · Must start | ||||||||||
| 1 | Brock Bowers LV vs BUF · 53.5 | — | LV | vs BUF | 53.5 | 8.4 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 3.1–15.7. | |
| Tier 2 | ||||||||||
| 2 | George Kittle SF vs WAS · 51.5 | — | SF | vs WAS (Mon) | 51.5 | 6.8 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 2.3–12.7. | |
| 3 | Isaiah Likely NYG vs NO · 46.0 | — | NYG | vs NO | 46.0 | 6.6 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NO · 20–80 range 2.3–12.9. | |
| 4 | Trey McBride ARI @ LA · 51.5 | — | ARI | @ LA | 51.5 | 6.0 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 2.2–11.9. | |
| 5 | Pat Freiermuth PIT @ TB · 39.5 | — | PIT | @ TB | 39.5 | 5.3 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 1.2–11.0. | |
| 6 | Dallas Goedert PHI vs CAR · 39.0 | — | PHI | vs CAR | 39.0 | 5.2 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CAR · 20–80 range 1.2–11.1. | |
| 7 | Tyler Warren IND vs TEN · 44.5 | — | IND | vs TEN | 44.5 | 5.0 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 1.9–10.6. | |
| 8 | Tyler Higbee LA vs ARI · 51.5 | — | LA | vs ARI | 51.5 | 4.8 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 1.9–10.4. | |
| 9 | Juwan Johnson NO @ NYG · 46.0 | — | NO | @ NYG | 46.0 | 4.4 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.8–10.1. | |
| 10 | Brenton Strange JAX vs HOU · 42.5 | — | JAX | vs HOU | 42.5 | 4.2 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 1.8–9.4. | |
| 11 | Tucker Kraft GB vs DAL · 53.0 | — | GB | vs DAL | 53.0 | 4.0 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 1.7–9.4. | |
| 12 | Dalton Kincaid BUF @ LV · 53.5 | — | BUF | @ LV | 53.5 | 3.7 | — | Start | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 1.5–8.6. | |
| 13 | Harold Fannin Jr. CLE vs BAL · 40.0 | — | CLE | vs BAL | 40.0 | 3.5 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 1.0–9.1. | |
| 14 | Cade Otton TB vs PIT · 39.5 | — | TB | vs PIT | 39.5 | 3.3 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 1.5–8.0. | |
| 15 | Hunter Henry NE vs NYJ · 43.5 | — | NE | vs NYJ | 43.5 | 3.2 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 1.0–8.7. | |
| 16 | Kyle Pitts ATL vs CHI · 52.0 | — | ATL | vs CHI | 52.0 | 2.8 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 0.9–8.2. | |
| 17 | Dalton Schultz HOU @ JAX · 42.5 | — | HOU | @ JAX | 42.5 | 2.7 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 0.9–7.5. | |
| 18 | Colston Loveland CHI @ ATL · 52.0 | — | CHI | @ ATL | 52.0 | 2.7 | — | Flex | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 0.9–7.8. | |
| 19 | Mark Andrews BAL @ CLE · 40.0 | — | BAL | @ CLE | 40.0 | 2.5 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 0.8–7.9. | |
| 20 | Chig Okonkwo WAS @ SF · 51.5 | — | WAS | @ SF (Mon) | 51.5 | 2.5 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 0.8–7.3. | |
| 21 | Michael Mayer LV vs BUF · 53.5 | — | LV | vs BUF | 53.5 | 2.5 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 0.8–7.4. | |
| 22 | Jake Ferguson DAL @ GB · 53.0 | — | DAL | @ GB | 53.0 | 2.3 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 0.5–7.8. | |
| 23 | Eli Raridon NE vs NYJ · 43.5 | — | NE | vs NYJ | 43.5 | 2.2 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 0.8–7.2. | |
| 24 | Kenyon Sadiq NYJ @ NE · 43.5 | — | NYJ | @ NE | 43.5 | 2.2 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 0.6–7.2. | |
| 25 | Darnell Washington PIT @ TB · 39.5 | — | PIT | @ TB | 39.5 | 2.2 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 0.7–7.1. | |
| 26 | Evan Engram DEN vs SEA | — | DEN | vs SEA (Thu) | final | 2.1 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SEA · 20–80 range 0.7–6.8. | |
| 27 | AJ Barner SEA @ DEN | — | SEA | @ DEN (Thu) | final | 2.1 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DEN · 20–80 range 0.7–6.6. | |
| 28 | Elijah Higgins ARI @ LA · 51.5 | — | ARI | @ LA | 51.5 | 1.9 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 0.6–6.7. | |
| 29 | Noah Fant NO @ NYG · 46.0 | — | NO | @ NYG | 46.0 | 1.9 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 0.4–7.3. | |
| 30 | Matthew Hibner BAL @ CLE · 40.0 | — | BAL | @ CLE | 40.0 | 1.8 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 0.5–7.0. | |
| 31 | Zach Ertz PHI vs CAR · 39.0 | — | PHI | vs CAR | 39.0 | 1.8 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CAR · 20–80 range 0.6–5.9. | |
| 32 | Mason Taylor NYJ @ NE · 43.5 | — | NYJ | @ NE | 43.5 | 1.8 | — | Sit | Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 0.6–5.7. | |
Showing 24 of 32 · tiers 2+ below
Key changes since the previous publish
First published version of this board — no changes to show yet.
The engine's read on Week 6
Engine byline · no human author · Week 5 TE accuracy: MAE 4.8, top-12 hit 8/12
Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.
Tiers 1–2 in depth
Brock BowersTE1 · LV vs BUF
Median 8.4 · 20–80 range 3.1–15.7 · game total 53.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 3.1–15.7.
George KittleTE2 · SF vs WAS
Median 6.8 · 20–80 range 2.3–12.7 · game total 51.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 2.3–12.7.
Isaiah LikelyTE3 · NYG vs NO
Median 6.6 · 20–80 range 2.3–12.9 · game total 46.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NO · 20–80 range 2.3–12.9.
Trey McBrideTE4 · ARI @ LA
Median 6.0 · 20–80 range 2.2–11.9 · game total 51.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 2.2–11.9.
Pat FreiermuthTE5 · PIT @ TB
Median 5.3 · 20–80 range 1.2–11.1 · game total 39.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 1.2–11.0.
Dallas GoedertTE6 · PHI vs CAR
Median 5.2 · 20–80 range 1.2–11.1 · game total 39.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CAR · 20–80 range 1.2–11.1.
Common questions about Week 6 TE rankings
Who is the best tight end to start in Week 6 Standard?
Brock Bowers, our TE1 with a 8.4-point median; George Kittle is TE2.
When do these rankings update?
Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.
How this board is built
Projectionsens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09
Market2026-w06-2026-10-16-19
Simulation10,000 outcomes per player
Week 5 TE accuracyMAE 4.8 · top-12 hit 8/12
Rankings versionv1 · Tue, Oct 13, 5:32 AM ET
Ranks tagseed-2026-w6-20261013T0931
Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits
More rankings
VersionsRankings v0850ba1e· projections ens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09· lines 2026-w06-2026-10-16-19· injuries 2026-10-15T22:45:25Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version