Week 6 Running Back Rankings — Half-PPR

By Red Zone Rank engine · Rankings as of Tue, Oct 13, 5:31 AM ET (v1) · injuries as of 6:45 PM ET · lines as of 3:05 PM ET

ScoringPPR Half Standard

Week4 5 6

Bijan Robinson is our RB1 for Week 6 in Half-PPR, ahead of Kyren Williams and Derrick Henry. This is the first published version of this board.

Week 6 boardsQB RB WR TE Flex K DST OverallAlsoRest-of-season Running Back 2026 draft RB

Rankings table

Week 6 RB · Half-PPR · Proj = engine median · Range = 20th–80th percentile · Opp/Total from the market as of 3:05 PM ET · Chg since the previous publish · locked players kept at actual points · bye-week teams (CIN, DET, MIA, MIN) excluded
Rank	Player	Status	Team	Opp	Total	Proj	Chg	Verdict	Note
Tier 1 · Must start
1	Bijan Robinson ATL vs CHI · 52.0	—	ATL	vs CHI	52.0	15.9	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 9.4–24.7.
2	Kyren Williams LA vs ARI · 51.5	—	LA	vs ARI	51.5	15.5	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 8.9–23.9.
3	Derrick Henry BAL @ CLE · 40.0	—	BAL	@ CLE	40.0	15.2	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 8.5–23.8.
4	Jaylen Warren PIT @ TB · 39.5	—	PIT	@ TB	39.5	14.9	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 8.7–23.4.
5	Javonte Williams DAL @ GB · 53.0	—	DAL	@ GB	53.0	13.9	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 7.5–22.0.
6	Jonathan Taylor IND vs TEN · 44.5	—	IND	vs TEN	44.5	13.5	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 7.3–21.5.
7	James Cook BUF @ LV · 53.5	—	BUF	@ LV	53.5	13.5	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 7.3–21.5.
8	Christian McCaffrey SF vs WAS · 51.5	—	SF	vs WAS (Mon)	51.5	13.3	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 7.1–21.5.
Tier 2
9	Bucky Irving TB vs PIT · 39.5	—	TB	vs PIT	39.5	11.7	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 6.5–18.6.
10	D'Andre Swift CHI @ ATL · 52.0	—	CHI	@ ATL	52.0	11.7	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 6.4–18.9.
11	Ashton Jeanty LV vs BUF · 53.5	—	LV	vs BUF	53.5	11.1	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 6.1–18.3.
12	Rhamondre Stevenson NE vs NYJ · 43.5	—	NE	vs NYJ	43.5	10.6	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 5.2–17.7.
13	Bhayshul Tuten JAX vs HOU · 42.5	—	JAX	vs HOU	42.5	9.7	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 5.1–16.2.
14	Emanuel Wilson SEA @ DEN	—	SEA	@ DEN (Thu)	final	8.9	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DEN · 20–80 range 3.9–15.6.
15	Quinshon Judkins CLE vs BAL · 40.0	—	CLE	vs BAL	40.0	8.7	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 4.4–14.9.
16	Cam Skattebo NYG vs NO · 46.0	—	NYG	vs NO	46.0	8.6	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NO · 20–80 range 4.2–15.1.
17	Tony Pollard TEN @ IND · 44.5	—	TEN	@ IND	44.5	8.4	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ IND · 20–80 range 4.6–14.2.
18	Omarion Hampton LAC @ KC · 41.5	—	LAC	@ KC	41.5	8.3	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ KC · 20–80 range 3.6–14.9.
19	Braelon Allen NYJ @ NE · 43.5	—	NYJ	@ NE	43.5	8.2	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 3.7–14.8.
20	J.K. Dobbins DEN vs SEA	—	DEN	vs SEA (Thu)	final	7.7	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SEA · 20–80 range 3.7–14.0.
21	MarShawn Lloyd GB vs DAL · 53.0	—	GB	vs DAL	53.0	7.5	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 2.5–14.1.
22	Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS @ SF · 51.5	—	WAS	@ SF (Mon)	51.5	7.3	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 3.2–13.5.
23	Jeremiyah Love ARI @ LA · 51.5	—	ARI	@ LA	51.5	7.2	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 3.4–13.1.
24	Brian Robinson ATL vs CHI · 52.0	—	ATL	vs CHI	52.0	6.7	—	Start	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 2.0–13.1.
25	TreVeyon Henderson NE vs NYJ · 43.5	—	NE	vs NYJ	43.5	6.6	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 2.8–12.4.
26	Woody Marks HOU @ JAX · 42.5	—	HOU	@ JAX	42.5	6.6	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 2.6–12.8.
27	Blake Corum LA vs ARI · 51.5	—	LA	vs ARI	51.5	6.6	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 2.6–12.8.
28	Alvin Kamara NO @ NYG · 46.0	—	NO	@ NYG	46.0	6.5	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 2.5–12.3.
29	RJ Harvey DEN vs SEA	—	DEN	vs SEA (Thu)	final	6.5	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SEA · 20–80 range 3.0–11.9.
30	Ty Johnson BUF @ LV · 53.5	—	BUF	@ LV	53.5	5.6	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 2.3–11.1.
31	David Montgomery HOU @ JAX · 42.5	—	HOU	@ JAX	42.5	5.4	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 1.9–10.9.
32	Rachaad White WAS @ SF · 51.5	—	WAS	@ SF (Mon)	51.5	5.1	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 2.1–10.4.
33	Keaton Mitchell LAC @ KC · 41.5	—	LAC	@ KC	41.5	5.0	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ KC · 20–80 range 2.1–10.4.
34	Tyler Allgeier ARI @ LA · 51.5	—	ARI	@ LA	51.5	4.8	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 1.8–10.2.
35	Kenny Gainwell TB vs PIT · 39.5	—	TB	vs PIT	39.5	4.8	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 1.8–10.1.
36	Kimani Vidal LAC @ KC · 41.5	—	LAC	@ KC	41.5	4.5	—	Flex	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ KC · 20–80 range 1.6–10.1.
37	Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX vs HOU · 42.5	—	JAX	vs HOU	42.5	4.4	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 1.3–10.1.
38	Tyjae Spears TEN @ IND · 44.5	—	TEN	@ IND	44.5	4.3	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ IND · 20–80 range 1.7–8.9.
39	Kendre Miller NO @ NYG · 46.0	—	NO	@ NYG	46.0	4.3	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 1.4–10.0.
40	Justice Hill BAL @ CLE · 40.0	—	BAL	@ CLE	40.0	4.2	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 1.7–8.9.
41	Pierre Strong GB vs DAL · 53.0	—	GB	vs DAL	53.0	4.1	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 1.5–9.0.
42	Austin Ekeler WAS @ SF · 51.5	—	WAS	@ SF (Mon)	51.5	3.8	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 1.4–8.6.
43	George Holani SEA @ DEN	—	SEA	@ DEN (Thu)	final	3.6	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DEN · 20–80 range 1.2–8.5.
44	Mike Washington Jr. LV vs BUF · 53.5	—	LV	vs BUF	53.5	3.6	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 1.3–9.2.
45	Will Shipley PHI vs CAR · 39.0	—	PHI	vs CAR	39.0	3.6	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CAR · 20–80 range 1.0–9.2.
46	Bam Knight ARI @ LA · 51.5	—	ARI	@ LA	51.5	3.2	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 1.0–8.5.
47	Raheim Sanders CLE vs BAL · 40.0	—	CLE	vs BAL	40.0	3.1	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 1.1–7.8.
48	Najee Harris NYG vs NO · 46.0	—	NYG	vs NO	46.0	3.1	—	Sit	Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NO · 20–80 range 1.2–7.8.

Showing 24 of 48 · tiers 2+ below

Key changes since the previous publish

First published version of this board — no changes to show yet.

The engine's read on Week 6

Engine byline · no human author · Week 5 RB accuracy: MAE 6.3, top-12 hit 7/12

Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Tiers 1–2 in depth

Bijan RobinsonRB1 · ATL vs CHI

Median 15.9 · 20–80 range 9.3–24.7 · game total 52.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 9.4–24.7.

player page

Kyren WilliamsRB2 · LA vs ARI

Median 15.5 · 20–80 range 8.9–23.9 · game total 51.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 8.9–23.9.

player page

Derrick HenryRB3 · BAL @ CLE

Median 15.2 · 20–80 range 8.5–23.8 · game total 40.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 8.5–23.8.

player page

Jaylen WarrenRB4 · PIT @ TB

Median 14.9 · 20–80 range 8.7–23.4 · game total 39.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 8.7–23.4.

player page

Javonte WilliamsRB5 · DAL @ GB

Median 13.9 · 20–80 range 7.5–22.0 · game total 53.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 7.5–22.0.

player page

Jonathan TaylorRB6 · IND vs TEN

Median 13.5 · 20–80 range 7.3–21.5 · game total 44.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 7.3–21.5.

player page

Common questions about Week 6 RB rankings

Who is the best running back to start in Week 6 Half-PPR?

Bijan Robinson, our RB1 with a 15.9-point median; Kyren Williams is RB2.

When do these rankings update?

Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.

How this board is built

Projectionsens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09

Market2026-w06-2026-10-16-19

Simulation10,000 outcomes per player

Week 5 RB accuracyMAE 6.3 · top-12 hit 7/12

Rankings versionv1 · Tue, Oct 13, 5:31 AM ET

Ranks tagseed-2026-w6-20261013T0931

Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits

More rankings

Week 6 · other positionsQuarterback Wide Receiver Tight End Flex Kicker Defense Overall

RB · other formatsWeek 6 RB — PPR Week 6 RB — Standard

RB · other weeksWeek 4 RB Week 5 RB Rest-of-season Running Back 2026 draft RB

This weekWeek 6 hub Ask about this board Waiver wire Injury report

VersionsRankings v0850ba1e· projections ens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09· lines 2026-w06-2026-10-16-19· injuries 2026-10-15T22:45:25Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version