Rest-of-Season Running Back Rankings — Half-PPR

By Red Zone Rank engine · Rankings as of Tue, Oct 13, 5:32 AM ET (v6)

Jahmyr Gibbs is our RB1 for the rest of the season in Half-PPR, ahead of Bijan Robinson and Kyren Williams. The biggest riser since the last publish is Braelon Allen (RB41→RB24); the biggest faller is RJ Harvey (RB22→RB34).

Rest of season boardsQB RB WR TE Flex K DST OverallAlsoWeek 6 Running Back (live)

Rankings table

Rest of season (Weeks 6–17) RB · Half-PPR · Proj = expected points over the horizon (each week's mean line scored × P(active), byes at zero) · Range = 20th–80th percentile of the summed weekly outcomes · each future week uses that week's opponent; an injured player's return is priced by P(active)
Rank	Player	Team	Proj	Verdict	Note
Tier 1 · Must start
1	Jahmyr Gibbs DET	DET	235.9	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 6; expected 236 points · 20–80 range 203–265.
Tier 2 · Start
2	Bijan Robinson ATL	ATL	193.3	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 193 points · 20–80 range 167–216.
3	Kyren Williams LA · up 2 5→3	LA	183.6	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 184 points · 20–80 range 157–209.
4	Jaylen Warren PIT · up 7 11→4	PIT	181.3	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 9; expected 181 points · 20–80 range 155–206.
5	Derrick Henry BAL · down 1 4→5	BAL	178.8	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 13; expected 179 points · 20–80 range 153–203.
6	James Cook BUF · up 3 9→6	BUF	165.1	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 7; expected 165 points · 20–80 range 140–190.
7	Jonathan Taylor IND · down 1 6→7	IND	163.7	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 13; expected 164 points · 20–80 range 140–186.
8	Javonte Williams DAL · down 1 7→8	DAL	162.3	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 14; expected 162 points · 20–80 range 139–187.
9	Christian McCaffrey SF · down 1 8→9	SF	161.0	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 8; expected 161 points · 20–80 range 136–186.
Tier 3
10	Aaron Jones MIN · up 4 14→10	MIN	145.3	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 6; expected 145 points · 20–80 range 123–165.
11	D'Andre Swift CHI · up 4 15→11	CHI	145.0	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 10; expected 145 points · 20–80 range 123–167.
12	Bucky Irving TB · up 14 26→12	TB	143.5	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 10; expected 144 points · 20–80 range 122–163.
13	Ashton Jeanty LV · down 1 12→13	LV	138.5	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 13; expected 138 points · 20–80 range 117–158.
14	Rhamondre Stevenson NE · up 3 17→14	NE	128.6	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 129 points · 20–80 range 108–149.
15	Chase Brown CIN · down 5 10→15	CIN	124.2	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 6; expected 124 points · 20–80 range 104–144.
16	Bhayshul Tuten JAX · up 5 21→16	JAX	121.9	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 7; expected 122 points · 20–80 range 103–141.
17	Kyle Monangai CHI · down 1 16→17	CHI	121.6	Start	Weeks 6–17: 10 games, bye Week 10; expected 122 points · 20–80 range 102–142.
18	Breece Hall NYJ · up 2 20→18	NYJ	116.2	Start	Weeks 6–17: 10 games, bye Week 13; expected 116 points · 20–80 range 96–136.
19	Emanuel Wilson SEA · up 8 27→19	SEA	115.3	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 115 points · 20–80 range 94–136.
20	Quinshon Judkins CLE · up 4 24→20	CLE	110.6	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 111 points · 20–80 range 92–130.
21	Cam Skattebo NYG · down 2 19→21	NYG	110.1	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 8; expected 110 points · 20–80 range 91–128.
22	Audric Estimé CLE · up 7 29→22	CLE	108.9	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 6; expected 109 points · 20–80 range 90–127.
23	Omarion Hampton LAC · down 5 18→23	LAC	108.3	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 7; expected 108 points · 20–80 range 89–127.
24	Braelon Allen NYJ · up 17 41→24	NYJ	107.3	Start	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 13; expected 107 points · 20–80 range 87–126.
25	Tony Pollard TEN	TEN	106.6	Flex	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 9; expected 107 points · 20–80 range 88–124.
26	Ollie Gordon II MIA · up 8 34→26	MIA	105.3	Flex	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 6; expected 105 points · 20–80 range 86–125.
27	J.K. Dobbins DEN · up 9 36→27	DEN	102.8	Flex	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 10; expected 103 points · 20–80 range 83–120.
28	MarShawn Lloyd GB · new	GB	96.1	Flex	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 96 points · 20–80 range 77–116.
29	Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS · up 2 31→29	WAS	95.0	Flex	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 7; expected 95 points · 20–80 range 77–112.
30	Jeremiyah Love ARI · down 7 23→30	ARI	93.8	Flex	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 14; expected 94 points · 20–80 range 77–111.
31	Woody Marks HOU · up 8 39→31	HOU	91.0	Flex	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 8; expected 91 points · 20–80 range 73–107.
32	Blake Corum LA · up 16 48→32	LA	90.2	Flex	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 90 points · 20–80 range 71–109.
33	Alvin Kamara NO · down 5 28→33	NO	88.9	Flex	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 8; expected 89 points · 20–80 range 71–108.
34	RJ Harvey DEN · down 12 22→34	DEN	88.3	Flex	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 10; expected 88 points · 20–80 range 72–105.
35	TreVeyon Henderson NE · down 3 32→35	NE	88.0	Flex	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 88 points · 20–80 range 70–105.
36	Brian Robinson ATL · down 6 30→36	ATL	87.7	Flex	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 88 points · 20–80 range 68–108.
37	Phil Mafah NYG · down 2 35→37	NYG	84.7	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 10 games, bye Week 8; expected 85 points · 20–80 range 65–100.
38	Ty Johnson BUF · new	BUF	78.1	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 7; expected 78 points · 20–80 range 61–94.
39	Saquon Barkley PHI · down 1 38→39	PHI	78.1	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 10 games, bye Week 10; expected 78 points · 20–80 range 62–94.
40	David Montgomery HOU · down 7 33→40	HOU	77.4	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 8; expected 77 points · 20–80 range 60–94.
41	Rico Dowdle PIT · up 2 43→41	PIT	74.7	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 10 games, bye Week 9; expected 75 points · 20–80 range 58–91.
42	Michael Carter TEN · up 4 46→42	TEN	73.4	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 10 games, bye Week 9; expected 73 points · 20–80 range 57–88.
43	Rachaad White WAS · up 1 44→43	WAS	72.3	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 7; expected 72 points · 20–80 range 56–87.
44	Keaton Mitchell LAC · up 1 45→44	LAC	71.5	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 7; expected 72 points · 20–80 range 55–85.
45	Kimani Vidal LAC · new	LAC	69.8	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 7; expected 70 points · 20–80 range 53–84.
46	Tyler Allgeier ARI · down 4 42→46	ARI	69.7	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 14; expected 70 points · 20–80 range 54–84.
47	Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX · down 7 40→47	JAX	69.5	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 7; expected 70 points · 20–80 range 53–86.
48	Jawhar Jordan HOU · new	HOU	69.0	Sit	Weeks 6–17: 10 games, bye Week 8; expected 69 points · 20–80 range 54–81.

Showing 24 of 48 · tiers 3+ below

Key changes since the previous publish

Braelon Allen up 17 to RB24
Blake Corum up 16 to RB32
Bucky Irving up 14 to RB12
J.K. Dobbins up 9 to RB27
Ollie Gordon II up 8 to RB26
Javonte Williams down 1 to RB8
Kyle Monangai down 1 to RB17
Derrick Henry down 1 to RB5
Saquon Barkley down 1 to RB39
Christian McCaffrey down 1 to RB9
4 new to the board.

Generated from the diff between published versions; reasons are the engine's.

The engine's read on the rest of the season

Engine byline · no human author

Engine-generated rest-of-season board: the same projection sources as the weekly boards, rolled forward week by week with each week's opponent, byes at zero and P(active) from the injury report, summed to the fantasy playoffs' end. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Tiers 1–2 in depth

Jahmyr GibbsRB1 · DET

Median 235.9 · 20–80 range 202.7–265.0. Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 6; expected 236 points · 20–80 range 203–265.

player page

Bijan RobinsonRB2 · ATL

Median 193.3 · 20–80 range 167.3–216.5. Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 193 points · 20–80 range 167–216.

player page

Kyren WilliamsRB3 · LA

Median 183.6 · 20–80 range 156.8–208.8. Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 11; expected 184 points · 20–80 range 157–209.

player page

Jaylen WarrenRB4 · PIT

Median 181.3 · 20–80 range 155.2–206.5. Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 9; expected 181 points · 20–80 range 155–206.

player page

Derrick HenryRB5 · BAL

Median 178.8 · 20–80 range 153.0–203.3. Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 13; expected 179 points · 20–80 range 153–203.

player page

James CookRB6 · BUF

Median 165.1 · 20–80 range 140.3–189.8. Weeks 6–17: 11 games, bye Week 7; expected 165 points · 20–80 range 140–190.

player page

Common questions about rest-of-season RB rankings

Who is the top running back in Half-PPR?

Jahmyr Gibbs, our RB1 with a 235.9-point median; Bijan Robinson is RB2.

How this board is built

Projectionsens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09+ros-w6-17

Marketmasked

Simulation10,000 outcomes per player

Accuracyscored after the week flips

Rankings versionv6 · Tue, Oct 13, 5:32 AM ET

Ranks tagseed-ros-2026-w6-20261013T0932

Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits

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