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Week 6 Wide Receiver Rankings — Half-PPR

Puka Nacua is our WR1 for Week 6 in Half-PPR, ahead of Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Christian Watson. This is the first published version of this board.

Rankings table

Week 6 WR · Half-PPR · Proj = engine median · Range = 20th–80th percentile · Opp/Total from the market as of 4:05 PM ET · Chg since the previous publish · locked players kept at actual points · bye-week teams (CIN, DET, MIA, MIN) excluded
RankPlayerStatusTeamOppTotalProjRangeChgVerdictNote
Tier 1 · Must start
1Puka Nacua
LA vs ARI · 51.5
—LAvs ARI51.515.9—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 8.4–26.4.
Tier 2 · Start
2Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA @ DEN
—SEA@ DEN (Thu)final14.6—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DEN · 20–80 range 7.3–24.6.
Tier 3 · Start
3Christian Watson
GB vs DAL · 53.0
—GBvs DAL53.012.9—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 6.0–21.9.
Tier 4 · Start
4Zay Flowers
BAL @ CLE · 39.5
—BAL@ CLE39.511.8—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 6.0–20.3.
5CeeDee Lamb
DAL @ GB · 53.0
—DAL@ GB53.011.6—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 5.9–19.8.
6Chris Olave
NO @ NYG · 46.0
—NO@ NYG46.011.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 5.7–19.3.
7Davante Adams
LA vs ARI · 51.5
—LAvs ARI51.511.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 4.9–19.4.
8Drake London
ATL vs CHI · 52.0
—ATLvs CHI52.010.8—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 5.6–18.9.
9Parker Washington
JAX vs HOU · 42.5
—JAXvs HOU42.510.2—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 4.6–18.0.
10Nico Collins
HOU @ JAX · 42.5
—HOU@ JAX42.510.1—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 4.9–17.9.
11Malik Nabers
NYG vs NO · 46.0
—NYGvs NO46.09.9—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NO · 20–80 range 4.8–17.2.
12Garrett Wilson
NYJ @ NE · 43.5
—NYJ@ NE43.59.9—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 4.8–17.4.
13Mike Evans
SF vs WAS · 51.5
—SFvs WAS (Mon)51.59.8—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 4.6–16.8.
14George Pickens
DAL @ GB · 53.0
—DAL@ GB53.09.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ GB · 20–80 range 4.5–16.1.
15Matthew Golden
GB vs DAL · 53.0
—GBvs DAL53.09.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 4.3–16.2.
Tier 5 · Start
16Denzel Boston
CLE vs BAL · 39.5
—CLEvs BAL39.57.7—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 3.2–15.1.
17Michael Wilson
ARI @ LA · 51.5
—ARI@ LA51.57.3—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LA · 20–80 range 3.3–14.4.
18Wan'Dale Robinson
TEN @ IND · 44.5
—TEN@ IND44.57.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ IND · 20–80 range 3.0–13.5.
19Luther Burden III
CHI @ ATL · 52.0
—CHI@ ATL52.06.8—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 3.1–13.2.
20Terry McLaurin
WAS @ SF · 51.5
—WAS@ SF (Mon)51.56.7—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ SF · 20–80 range 3.0–13.3.
21Devaughn Vele
NO @ NYG · 46.0
—NO@ NYG46.06.5—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 2.8–12.9.
22Carnell Tate
TEN @ IND · 44.5
—TEN@ IND44.56.1—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ IND · 20–80 range 2.8–12.0.
23Deebo Samuel Sr.
SF vs WAS · 51.5
—SFvs WAS (Mon)51.56.1—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 2.2–12.7.
24Keenan Allen
IND vs TEN · 44.5
—INDvs TEN44.56.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 2.7–12.2.
Showing 24 of 48 · tiers 5+ below

Key changes since the previous publish

First published version of this board — no changes to show yet.

The engine's read on Week 6
Engine byline · no human author · Week 5 WR accuracy: MAE 7.0, top-12 hit 4/12

Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Tiers 1–2 in depth

Puka NacuaWR1 · LA vs ARI
Median 15.9 · 20–80 range 8.4–26.4 · game total 51.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 8.4–26.4.
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR2 · SEA @ DEN
Median 14.6 · 20–80 range 7.3–24.6. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DEN · 20–80 range 7.3–24.6.

Common questions about Week 6 WR rankings

Who is the best wide receiver to start in Week 6 Half-PPR?

Puka Nacua, our WR1 with a 15.9-point median; Jaxon Smith-Njigba is WR2.

When do these rankings update?

Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.

How this board is built
Projectionsens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09
Market2026-w06-2026-10-16-20
Simulation10,000 outcomes per player
Week 5 WR accuracyMAE 7.0 · top-12 hit 4/12
Rankings versionv1 · Tue, Oct 13, 5:31 AM ET
Ranks tagseed-2026-w6-20261013T0931
Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits
VersionsRankings v0850ba1e· projections ens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09· lines 2026-w06-2026-10-16-20· injuries 2026-10-15T22:45:25Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version