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Week 6 Defense Rankings — Half-PPR

By Red Zone Rank engine · Rankings as of (v1) · injuries as of 6:45 PM ET · lines as of 4:05 PM ET · noindex

ScoringPPRHalfStandard
Week456

SEA D/ST is our DST1 for Week 6 in Half-PPR, ahead of BAL D/ST and CAR D/ST. This is the first published version of this board.

Week 6 boardsQBRBWRTEFlexKDSTOverallAlsoRest-of-season Defense2026 draft DST

Rankings table

Week 6 DST · Half-PPR · Proj = engine median · Range = 20th–80th percentile · Opp/Total from the market as of 4:05 PM ET · Chg since the previous publish · locked players kept at actual points · bye-week teams (CIN, DET, MIA, MIN) excluded
RankPlayerStatusTeamOppTotalProjRangeChgVerdictNote
Tier 1
1SEA D/ST
SEA @ DEN
—SEA@ DEN (Thu)final7.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DEN · 20–80 range 3.0–13.0.
2BAL D/ST
BAL @ CLE · 39.5
—BAL@ CLE39.56.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
3CAR D/ST
CAR @ PHI · 39.0
—CAR@ PHI39.06.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
4CLE D/ST
CLE vs BAL · 39.5
—CLEvs BAL39.56.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
5DEN D/ST
DEN vs SEA
—DENvs SEA (Thu)final6.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SEA · 20–80 range 2.0–12.0.
6HOU D/ST
HOU @ JAX · 42.5
—HOU@ JAX42.56.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
7JAX D/ST
JAX vs HOU · 42.5
—JAXvs HOU42.56.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs HOU · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
8KC D/ST
KC vs LAC · 41.5
—KCvs LAC41.56.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs LAC · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
9LA D/ST
LA vs ARI · 51.5
—LAvs ARI51.56.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs ARI · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
10NE D/ST
NE vs NYJ · 43.5
—NEvs NYJ43.56.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NYJ · 20–80 range 3.0–12.0.
11PIT D/ST
PIT @ TB · 39.0
—PIT@ TB39.06.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ TB · 20–80 range 2.0–12.0.
12SF D/ST
SF vs WAS · 51.5
—SFvs WAS (Mon)51.56.0—StartEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs WAS · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
13ATL D/ST
ATL vs CHI · 52.0
—ATLvs CHI52.05.0—FlexEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CHI · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
14CHI D/ST
CHI @ ATL · 52.0
—CHI@ ATL52.05.0—FlexEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ ATL · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0.
15GB D/ST
GB vs DAL · 53.0
—GBvs DAL53.05.0—FlexEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs DAL · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0.
16IND D/ST
IND vs TEN · 44.5
—INDvs TEN44.55.0—FlexEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs TEN · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0.
17LAC D/ST
LAC @ KC · 41.5
—LAC@ KC41.55.0—FlexEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ KC · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0.
18NO D/ST
NO @ NYG · 46.0
—NO@ NYG46.05.0—FlexEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NYG · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0.
19NYG D/ST
NYG vs NO · 46.0
—NYGvs NO46.05.0—SitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs NO · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0.
20NYJ D/ST
NYJ @ NE · 43.5
—NYJ@ NE43.55.0—SitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ NE · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0.
21PHI D/ST
PHI vs CAR · 39.0
—PHIvs CAR39.05.0—SitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs CAR · 20–80 range 2.0–10.0.
22TB D/ST
TB vs PIT · 39.0
—TBvs PIT39.05.0—SitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs PIT · 20–80 range 1.0–10.0.
23BUF D/ST
BUF @ LV · 53.5
—BUF@ LV53.54.0—SitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ LV · 20–80 range 1.0–9.0.
24LV D/ST
LV vs BUF · 53.5
—LVvs BUF53.54.0—SitEnsemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BUF · 20–80 range 0.0–9.0.
Showing 24 of 28 · tiers 1+ below

Key changes since the previous publish

First published version of this board — no changes to show yet.

The engine's read on Week 6
Engine byline · no human author · Week 5 DST accuracy: MAE 4.1, top-12 hit 5/12

Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Tiers 1–2 in depth

SEA D/STDST1 · SEA @ DEN
Median 7.0 · 20–80 range 3.0–13.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ DEN · 20–80 range 3.0–13.0.
BAL D/STDST2 · BAL @ CLE
Median 6.0 · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0 · game total 39.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ CLE · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
CAR D/STDST3 · CAR @ PHI
Median 6.0 · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0 · game total 39.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ PHI · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
CLE D/STDST4 · CLE vs BAL
Median 6.0 · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0 · game total 39.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs BAL · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.
DEN D/STDST5 · DEN vs SEA
Median 6.0 · 20–80 range 2.0–12.0. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; vs SEA · 20–80 range 2.0–12.0.
HOU D/STDST6 · HOU @ JAX
Median 6.0 · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0 · game total 42.5. Ensemble: recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency and opponent blended by fitted weights; @ JAX · 20–80 range 2.0–11.0.

Common questions about Week 6 DST rankings

Who is the best defense to start in Week 6 Half-PPR?

SEA D/ST, our DST1 with a 7.0-point median; BAL D/ST is DST2.

When do these rankings update?

Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.

How this board is built
Projectionsens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09
Market2026-w06-2026-10-16-20
Simulation10,000 outcomes per player
Week 5 DST accuracyMAE 4.1 · top-12 hit 5/12
Rankings versionv1 · Tue, Oct 13, 5:32 AM ET
Ranks tagseed-2026-w6-20261013T0931
Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits

More rankings

Week 6 · other positionsQuarterbackRunning BackWide ReceiverTight EndFlexKickerOverall
DST · other formatsWeek 6 DST — PPRWeek 6 DST — Standard
DST · other weeksWeek 4 DSTWeek 5 DSTRest-of-season Defense2026 draft DST
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VersionsRankings v0850ba1e· projections ens-fit-2026w05-mkt-2026-w6-2026-10-13+mkt-2026-w06-2026-10-13-09· lines 2026-w06-2026-10-16-20· injuries 2026-10-15T22:45:25Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version
Week 6 Defense Rankings — Half-PPR · Red Zone Rank