Dynasty Rankings — WR, PPR

By Red Zone Rank engine · value over replacement for 2026–2030, discounted, with each position’s aging curve and the chance a player’s career continues · 12-team · 2026 values are the draft-time board’s

ScoringPPR Half Standard

Dynasty value

value = Σ_{t over 2026–2030} VORP(t) × survival(t) × discount^t

VORP(t) = this season’s projection carried forward on the position’s aging curve, minus this season’s replacement level (held: a position is refilled by younger players); future seasons below replacement count 0. survival(t) = the chance his career is still going in year t. One year and a discount of 1 give back this season’s VORP exactly (a test).

Stated constants

Discount: 0.85 a yearProposed default · Jon to confirm
Horizon: 5 years (2026–2030)Proposed default · Jon to confirm
Curves: by position, fitted on nflverse 2006–2025 (11,984 player-seasons), the survivor curve × survival · fitted Sep 29, 2026QB 25→30 ×0.92 · survival 0.94RB 25→30 ×0.59 · survival 0.75WR 25→30 ×0.70 · survival 0.91TE 25→30 ×0.80 · survival 0.94

Your windowThe window changes the discount and the horizon: contender 2026–2028 at 0.70 a year, balanced 2026–2030 at 0.85 a year, rebuild 2026–2031 at 0.90 a year. The other two windows are columns below, so the effect is visible.Proposed defaults · Jon to confirm

Top 24 · by balanced dynasty value

Tiers: the engine’s rule (a drop more than twice the typical nearby drop and at least 2 points) on the balanced values. 2026 VORP is the 12-team PPR draft board’s, with its rank on that board. Years of value left = seasons in the window with projected VORP above replacement.
#	Player	Pos	Age	2026 VORP	5-yr value · 0.85	Contender	Rebuild	Years of value left
Tier 1399.1–407.1
1	Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA	WR	24.5	120.0 #6	407.1	261.7	475.8	5 yrs
2	Puka NacuaLA	WR	25.3	129.7 #2	399.1	269.5	455.5	5 yrs
Tier 2336.2–336.2
3	Ja'Marr ChaseCIN	WR	26.5	126.2 #4	336.2	244.3	368.9	5 yrs
Tier 3283.6–283.6
4	Amon-Ra St. BrownDET	WR	26.9	113.8 #7	283.6	213.8	303.7	5 yrs
Tier 4159.0–189.3
5	Drake LondonATL	WR	25.1	64.9 #13	189.3	134.4	205.1	5 yrs
6	Malik NabersNYG	WR	23.1	38.2 #33	173.0	99.0	208.7	5 yrs
7	George PickensDAL	WR	25.5	61.7 #16	164.0	122.7	175.3	5 yrs
8	Carnell TateTENrookie	WR	21.6	17.2 #58	159.0	70.2	214.6	5 yrs
Tier 5130.7–132.6
9	CeeDee LambDAL	WR	27.4	66.6 #12	132.6	114.0	138.4	4 yrs
10	Chris OlaveNO	WR	26.2	58.0 #19	131.0	107.2	137.9	4 yrs
11	Tetairoa McMillanCAR	WR	23.4	30.2 #37	130.7	77.7	152.6	5 yrs
Tier 6105.7–105.7
12	Zay FlowersBAL	WR	26.0	47.8 #28	105.7	87.9	111.0	4 yrs
Tier 792.5–94.5
13	Justin JeffersonMIN	WR	27.2	51.5 #23	94.5	85.1	97.8	3 yrs
14	Nico CollinsHOU	WR	27.5	51.9 #22	92.5	83.7	95.5	3 yrs
Tier 874.1–74.1
15	Rashee RiceKC	WR	26.4	39.1 #32	74.1	66.4	76.8	3 yrs
Tier 949.5–62.2
16	A.J. BrownNE	WR	29.2	43.6 #30	62.2	58.8	63.4	3 yrs
17	Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN	WR	25.7	29.3 #40	59.0	52.4	61.4	3 yrs
18	Ladd McConkeyLAC	WR	24.8	22.6 #53	58.6	47.0	62.0	4 yrs
19	Garrett WilsonNYJ	WR	26.1	30.3 #36	56.3	50.7	58.3	3 yrs
20	Emeka EgbukaTB	WR	23.9	13.9 #65	53.2	36.7	57.6	5 yrs
21	Brian Thomas Jr.JAX	WR	23.9	12.9 #68	49.5	34.5	53.6	5 yrs
Tier 1032.7–34.1
22	Jameson WilliamsDET	WR	25.4	17.6 #57	34.1	30.6	35.4	3 yrs
23	Tee HigginsCIN	WR	27.6	24.5 #49	32.7	31.2	33.1	2 yrs
Tier 1125.6–25.9
24	Davante AdamsLA	WR	33.7	25.9 #44	25.9	25.9	25.9	1 yr
25	DeVonta SmithPHI	WR	27.8	20.8 #54	25.6	24.7	25.8	2 yrs
Tier 1212.5–18.5
26	Michael WilsonARI	WR	26.5	14.1 #63	18.5	17.7	18.8	2 yrs
27	Jaylen WaddleDEN	WR	27.8	16.0 #61	17.1	16.9	17.2	2 yrs
28	KC ConcepcionCLErookie	WR	21.9	-13.0 #120	16.6	-5.8	28.5	4 yrs
29	Rome OdunzeCHI	WR	24.2	4.0 #81	14.8	12.3	15.7	3 yrs
30	Courtland SuttonDEN	WR	30.9	14.1 #64	14.1	14.1	14.1	1 yr
31	DK MetcalfPIT	WR	28.7	13.5 #67	13.5	13.5	13.5	1 yr
32	Quentin JohnstonLAC	WR	25.0	6.9 #77	12.5	11.5	12.9	3 yrs
Tier 132.8–9.3
33	Deebo Samuel Sr.SF	WR	30.6	9.3 #71	9.3	9.3	9.3	1 yr
34	Makai LemonPHIrookie	WR	22.2	-12.7 #118	6.8	-8.2	12.4	4 yrs
35	Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI	WR	24.1	0.0 #90	5.5	4.2	6.0	2 yrs
36	Jakobi MeyersJAX	WR	29.8	3.5 #82	3.5	3.5	3.5	1 yr
37	Michael PittmanPIT	WR	28.9	2.8 #83	2.8	2.8	2.8	1 yr
Tier 14-5.7–-1.7
38	Alec PierceIND	WR	26.3	-1.7 #94	-1.7	-1.7	-1.7	0 yrs
39	Jordan AddisonMIN	WR	24.6	-3.8 #97	-3.8	-3.8	-3.8	0 yrs
40	Khalil ShakirBUF	WR	26.6	-4.0 #98	-4.0	-4.0	-4.0	0 yrs
41	Mike EvansSF	WR	33.0	-5.7 #104	-5.7	-5.7	-5.7	0 yrs
Tier 15-12.3–-9.8
42	Terry McLaurinWAS	WR	31.0	-9.8 #108	-9.8	-9.8	-9.8	0 yrs
43	Omar Cooper Jr.NYJrookie	WR	22.7	-13.9 #122	-10.7	-13.0	-10.2	2 yrs
44	Christian WatsonGB	WR	27.3	-11.6 #113	-11.6	-11.6	-11.6	0 yrs
45	Keenan AllenIND	WR	34.3	-11.9 #115	-11.9	-11.9	-11.9	0 yrs
46	Parker WashingtonJAX	WR	24.4	-12.3 #116	-12.3	-12.3	-12.3	0 yrs
Tier 16-15.8–-14.6
47	Stefon DiggsWAS	WR	32.8	-14.6 #123	-14.6	-14.6	-14.6	0 yrs
48	DJ MooreBUF	WR	29.4	-15.8 #126	-15.8	-15.8	-15.8	0 yrs
Tier 17-21.8–-18.6
49	Romeo DoubsNE	WR	26.4	-18.6 #131	-18.6	-18.6	-18.6	0 yrs
50	Jauan JenningsMIN	WR	29.1	-19.3 #135	-19.3	-19.3	-19.3	0 yrs
51	Jayden ReedGB	WR	26.3	-19.8 #138	-19.8	-19.8	-19.8	0 yrs
52	Tre TuckerLV	WR	25.5	-20.0 #139	-20.0	-20.0	-20.0	0 yrs
53	Troy FranklinDEN	WR	23.6	-21.6 #141	-21.6	-21.6	-21.6	0 yrs
54	Josh DownsIND	WR	25.1	-21.8 #143	-21.8	-21.8	-21.8	0 yrs
Tier 18-24.6–-24.6
55	Luther Burden IIICHI	WR	22.7	-24.6 #151	-24.6	-24.6	-24.6	0 yrs
Tier 19-28.6–-28.4
56	Xavier WorthyKC	WR	23.3	-28.4 #159	-28.4	-28.4	-28.4	0 yrs
57	Jerry JeudyCLE	WR	27.4	-28.6 #160	-28.6	-28.6	-28.6	0 yrs
Tier 20-33.0–-33.0
58	Keon ColemanBUF	WR	23.3	-33.0 #171	-33.0	-33.0	-33.0	0 yrs
Tier 21-44.0–-39.6
59	Kayshon BoutteHOU	WR	24.3	-39.6 #183	-39.6	-39.6	-39.6	0 yrs
60	Elic AyomanorTEN	WR	23.2	-40.9 #190	-40.9	-40.9	-40.9	0 yrs
61	De'Zhaun StriblingSFrookie	WR	23.7	-42.4 #192	-42.4	-42.4	-42.4	0 yrs
62	Denzel BostonCLErookie	WR	22.7	-42.6 #193	-42.6	-42.6	-42.6	0 yrs
63	Jalen CokerCAR	WR	24.8	-43.3 #197	-43.3	-43.3	-43.3	0 yrs
64	Germie BernardPITrookie	WR	22.7	-43.4 #198	-43.4	-43.4	-43.4	0 yrs
65	Travis HunterJAX	WR	23.3	-44.0 #200	-44.0	-44.0	-44.0	0 yrs
66	Chris Godwin Jr.TB	WR	30.5	-44.0 #201	-44.0	-44.0	-44.0	0 yrs
Tier 22-46.9–-46.9
67	Rashid ShaheedSEA	WR	28.0	-46.9 #206	-46.9	-46.9	-46.9	0 yrs
Tier 23-55.1–-50.1
68	Chimere DikeTEN	WR	24.7	-50.1 #217	-50.1	-50.1	-50.1	0 yrs
69	Jalen McMillanTB	WR	24.7	-52.9 #228	-52.9	-52.9	-52.9	0 yrs
70	Cooper KuppSEA	WR	33.2	-53.0 #230	-53.0	-53.0	-53.0	0 yrs
71	Calvin RidleyTEN	WR	31.7	-55.1 #236	-55.1	-55.1	-55.1	0 yrs
Tier 24-75.5–-60.0
72	Mack HollinsNE	WR	33.0	-60.0 #247	-60.0	-60.0	-60.0	0 yrs
73	Xavier LegetteCAR	WR	25.6	-62.0 #253	-62.0	-62.0	-62.0	0 yrs
74	Darnell MooneyNYG	WR	28.8	-63.2 #256	-63.2	-63.2	-63.2	0 yrs
75	Dontayvion WicksPHI	WR	25.2	-64.2 #262	-64.2	-64.2	-64.2	0 yrs
76	Marvin Mims Jr.DEN	WR	24.5	-64.8 #266	-64.8	-64.8	-64.8	0 yrs
77	Tez JohnsonTB	WR	24.3	-65.5 #268	-65.5	-65.5	-65.5	0 yrs
78	DeMario DouglasNE	WR	25.7	-65.6 #269	-65.6	-65.6	-65.6	0 yrs
79	Devaughn VeleNO	WR	28.7	-65.8 #270	-65.8	-65.8	-65.8	0 yrs
80	Marquise BrownPHI	WR	29.2	-66.2 #271	-66.2	-66.2	-66.2	0 yrs
81	Ryan FlournoyDAL	WR	26.8	-67.0 #274	-67.0	-67.0	-67.0	0 yrs
82	Malik WashingtonMIA	WR	25.9	-67.5 #275	-67.5	-67.5	-67.5	0 yrs
83	Andrei IosivasCIN	WR	26.9	-68.4 #276	-68.4	-68.4	-68.4	0 yrs
84	Olamide ZaccheausATL	WR	29.1	-68.9 #278	-68.9	-68.9	-68.9	0 yrs
85	Kendrick BourneARI	WR	31.1	-69.1 #279	-69.1	-69.1	-69.1	0 yrs
86	Pat BryantDEN	WR	23.7	-69.3 #280	-69.3	-69.3	-69.3	0 yrs
87	Jalen NailorLV	WR	27.5	-69.7 #281	-69.7	-69.7	-69.7	0 yrs
88	Tory HortonSEA	WR	23.8	-70.0 #283	-70.0	-70.0	-70.0	0 yrs
89	Ted Hurst IIITBrookie	WR	22.2	-70.9 #287	-70.9	-70.9	-70.9	0 yrs
90	Antonio WilliamsWASrookie	WR	22.1	-71.9 #294	-71.9	-71.9	-71.9	0 yrs
91	Chris BellMIArookie	WR	22.2	-72.3 #295	-72.3	-72.3	-72.3	0 yrs
92	Ja'Kobi LaneBALrookie	WR	22.1	-72.7 #297	-72.7	-72.7	-72.7	0 yrs
93	Matthew GoldenGB	WR	23.1	-73.4 #304	-73.4	-73.4	-73.4	0 yrs
94	Caleb DouglasMIArookie	WR	23.0	-74.2 #310	-74.2	-74.2	-74.2	0 yrs
95	Brenen ThompsonLACrookie	WR	23.1	-74.7 #312	-74.7	-74.7	-74.7	0 yrs
96	Zachariah BranchATLrookie	WR	22.4	-75.2 #313	-75.2	-75.2	-75.2	0 yrs
97	Zavion ThomasCHIrookie	WR	22.5	-75.2 #314	-75.2	-75.2	-75.2	0 yrs
98	Malachi FieldsNYGrookie	WR	23.0	-75.4 #315	-75.4	-75.4	-75.4	0 yrs
99	Adonai MitchellNYJ	WR	23.9	-75.5 #316	-75.5	-75.5	-75.5	0 yrs
Tier 25-80.1–-80.1
100	Rashod BatemanBAL	WR	26.8	-80.1 #325	-80.1	-80.1	-80.1	0 yrs
Tier 26-83.1–-82.1
101	Josh PalmerBUF	WR	26.9	-82.1 #328	-82.1	-82.1	-82.1	0 yrs
102	John Metchie IIICAR	WR	26.1	-83.1 #330	-83.1	-83.1	-83.1	0 yrs
Tier 27-90.2–-85.5
103	Kevin Austin Jr.NO	WR	26.4	-85.5 #336	-85.5	-85.5	-85.5	0 yrs
104	Tre HarrisLAC	WR	24.5	-86.2 #338	-86.2	-86.2	-86.2	0 yrs
105	Xavier HutchinsonHOU	WR	26.3	-86.4 #339	-86.4	-86.4	-86.4	0 yrs
106	Isaac TeSlaaDET	WR	24.5	-86.9 #342	-86.9	-86.9	-86.9	0 yrs
107	KaVontae TurpinDAL	WR	30.1	-88.5 #347	-88.5	-88.5	-88.5	0 yrs
108	Greg DortchBUF	WR	28.3	-89.0 #348	-89.0	-89.0	-89.0	0 yrs
109	Isaiah BondCLE	WR	22.5	-89.2 #350	-89.2	-89.2	-89.2	0 yrs
110	Tyquan ThorntonKC	WR	26.1	-89.9 #359	-89.9	-89.9	-89.9	0 yrs
111	Jaylin NoelHOU	WR	24.0	-90.2 #360	-90.2	-90.2	-90.2	0 yrs
Tier 28-92.8–-92.4
112	Demarcus RobinsonSF	WR	31.9	-92.4 #369	-92.4	-92.4	-92.4	0 yrs
113	Jalen TolbertMIA	WR	27.5	-92.5 #371	-92.5	-92.5	-92.5	0 yrs
114	Jordyn TysonNOrookie	WR	22.1	-92.8 #372	-92.8	-92.8	-92.8	0 yrs
Tier 29-112.2–-95.7
115	Dyami BrownWAS	WR	26.8	-95.7 #378	-95.7	-95.7	-95.7	0 yrs
116	Luke McCaffreyWAS	WR	25.4	-97.5 #384	-97.5	-97.5	-97.5	0 yrs
117	Tutu AtwellLA	WR	26.9	-97.8 #385	-97.8	-97.8	-97.8	0 yrs
118	Elijah MoorePHI	WR	26.4	-99.5 #389	-99.5	-99.5	-99.5	0 yrs
119	Jahan DotsonATL	WR	26.4	-100.2 #391	-100.2	-100.2	-100.2	0 yrs
120	Reggie VirgilARIrookie	WR	22.3	-100.4 #393	-100.4	-100.4	-100.4	0 yrs
121	Barion BrownNOrookie	WR	22.7	-101.1 #394	-101.1	-101.1	-101.1	0 yrs
122	Josh CameronJAXrookie	WR	23.5	-101.3 #395	-101.3	-101.3	-101.3	0 yrs
123	Colbie YoungCINrookie	WR	24.1	-101.3 #396	-101.3	-101.3	-101.3	0 yrs
124	Jack BechLV	WR	23.7	-101.4 #398	-101.4	-101.4	-101.4	0 yrs
125	Elijah SarrattBALrookie	WR	23.3	-101.6 #400	-101.6	-101.6	-101.6	0 yrs
126	Kyle WilliamsNE	WR	23.8	-101.8 #402	-101.8	-101.8	-101.8	0 yrs
127	Malik BensonLVrookie	WR	23.9	-101.9 #403	-101.9	-101.9	-101.9	0 yrs
128	Kevin Coleman Jr.MIArookie	WR	23.0	-102.0 #405	-102.0	-102.0	-102.0	0 yrs
129	Bryce LanceNOrookie	WR	24.0	-102.1 #407	-102.1	-102.1	-102.1	0 yrs
130	Jahdae WalkerCHI	WR	24.2	-102.4 #408	-102.4	-102.4	-102.4	0 yrs
131	Roman WilsonPIT	WR	25.2	-102.4 #409	-102.4	-102.4	-102.4	0 yrs
132	Deion BurksINDrookie	WR	23.6	-102.5 #410	-102.5	-102.5	-102.5	0 yrs
133	Cyrus AllenKCrookie	WR	23.6	-102.6 #411	-102.6	-102.6	-102.6	0 yrs
134	Kaden WetjenPITrookie	WR	24.5	-102.7 #412	-102.7	-102.7	-102.7	0 yrs
135	Skyler BellBUFrookie	WR	24.2	-103.0 #413	-103.0	-103.0	-103.0	0 yrs
136	C.J. WilliamsJAXrookie	WR	23.9	-103.2 #415	-103.2	-103.2	-103.2	0 yrs
137	CJ DanielsLArookie	WR	24.7	-103.6 #416	-103.6	-103.6	-103.6	0 yrs
138	Kalif RaymondCHI	WR	32.1	-103.7 #420	-103.7	-103.7	-103.7	0 yrs
139	Ricky PearsallSF	WR	26.0	-105.1 #426	-105.1	-105.1	-105.1	0 yrs
140	Tank DellHOU	WR	26.8	-106.1 #432	-106.1	-106.1	-106.1	0 yrs
141	Treylon BurksWAS	WR	26.4	-106.4 #433	-106.4	-106.4	-106.4	0 yrs
142	Jaylin LaneWAS	WR	24.3	-107.0 #437	-107.0	-107.0	-107.0	0 yrs
143	Jimmy Horn Jr.CAR	WR	24.0	-107.8 #439	-107.8	-107.8	-107.8	0 yrs
144	Darius CooperPHI	WR	24.8	-107.9 #440	-107.9	-107.9	-107.9	0 yrs
145	Devontez WalkerBAL	WR	25.2	-107.9 #441	-107.9	-107.9	-107.9	0 yrs
146	Konata MumpfieldLA	WR	23.9	-109.5 #455	-109.5	-109.5	-109.5	0 yrs
147	Jayden HigginsHOU	WR	23.7	-110.1 #458	-110.1	-110.1	-110.1	0 yrs
148	Isaiah WilliamsNYJ	WR	25.6	-110.4 #460	-110.4	-110.4	-110.4	0 yrs
149	Jordan WhittingtonLA	WR	25.9	-111.1 #464	-111.1	-111.1	-111.1	0 yrs
150	Chris MooreBAL	WR	33.2	-112.2 #469	-112.2	-112.2	-112.2	0 yrs

Showing 24 of 150 · the top 150 of 220 with a value are in the page

Read itThe 2027 rookie class joins in item 10. 5 deep players without an age get no value. Rookie picks: what each slot has been worth; keepers on this basis: keeper calculator.

VersionsBoard dynasty · ppr · 12 · balanced 0.85×5· season fit season-fit-2019-2025· table 2026-w01-roster· aging curves survivor · fitted 2026-09-29T08:35:55Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version