Dynasty Rankings — Overall, PPR

By Red Zone Rank engine · value over replacement for 2026–2030, discounted, with each position’s aging curve and the chance a player’s career continues · 12-team · 2026 values are the draft-time board’s

ScoringPPR Half Standard

Dynasty value

value = Σ_{t over 2026–2030} VORP(t) × survival(t) × discount^t

VORP(t) = this season’s projection carried forward on the position’s aging curve, minus this season’s replacement level (held: a position is refilled by younger players); future seasons below replacement count 0. survival(t) = the chance his career is still going in year t. One year and a discount of 1 give back this season’s VORP exactly (a test).

Stated constants

Discount: 0.85 a yearProposed default · Jon to confirm
Horizon: 5 years (2026–2030)Proposed default · Jon to confirm
Curves: by position, fitted on nflverse 2006–2025 (11,984 player-seasons), the survivor curve × survival · fitted Sep 29, 2026QB 25→30 ×0.92 · survival 0.94RB 25→30 ×0.59 · survival 0.75WR 25→30 ×0.70 · survival 0.91TE 25→30 ×0.80 · survival 0.94

Your windowThe window changes the discount and the horizon: contender 2026–2028 at 0.70 a year, balanced 2026–2030 at 0.85 a year, rebuild 2026–2031 at 0.90 a year. The other two windows are columns below, so the effect is visible.Proposed defaults · Jon to confirm

Top 24 · by balanced dynasty value

Tiers: the engine’s rule (a drop more than twice the typical nearby drop and at least 2 points) on the balanced values. 2026 VORP is the 12-team PPR draft board’s, with its rank on that board. Years of value left = seasons in the window with projected VORP above replacement.
#	Player	Pos	Age	2026 VORP	5-yr value · 0.85	Contender	Rebuild	Years of value left
Tier 1336.2–407.1
1	Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA	WR	24.5	120.0 #6	407.1	261.7	475.8	5 yrs
2	Puka NacuaLA	WR	25.3	129.7 #2	399.1	269.5	455.5	5 yrs
3	Jahmyr GibbsDET	RB	24.5	131.2 #1	392.8	268.7	442.5	5 yrs
4	Bijan RobinsonATL	RB	24.6	129.5 #3	383.5	264.2	430.2	5 yrs
5	De'Von AchaneMIA	RB	24.9	125.3 #5	358.0	252.2	396.6	5 yrs
6	Ja'Marr ChaseCIN	WR	26.5	126.2 #4	336.2	244.3	368.9	5 yrs
Tier 2226.9–283.6
7	Amon-Ra St. BrownDET	WR	26.9	113.8 #7	283.6	213.8	303.7	5 yrs
8	Jeremiyah LoveARIrookie	RB	21.3	57.7 #20	279.1	152.9	351.9	5 yrs
9	Trey McBrideARI	TE	26.8	89.6 #10	258.6	178.9	292.4	5 yrs
10	Brock BowersLV	TE	23.7	57.2 #21	239.8	141.3	293.7	5 yrs
11	Harold Fannin Jr.CLE	TE	22.1	33.5 #34	228.7	109.1	302.1	5 yrs
12	Ashton JeantyLV	RB	22.7	62.1 #15	226.9	141.4	266.7	5 yrs
Tier 3157.4–189.3
13	Drake LondonATL	WR	25.1	64.9 #13	189.3	134.4	205.1	5 yrs
14	Jonathan TaylorIND	RB	27.6	95.8 #9	180.3	156.9	187.6	4 yrs
15	Christian McCaffreySF	RB	30.2	107.5 #8	176.8	162.0	182.0	3 yrs
16	Malik NabersNYG	WR	23.1	38.2 #33	173.0	99.0	208.7	5 yrs
17	Josh AllenBUF	QB	30.3	59.1 #18	165.6	116.3	186.6	5 yrs
18	George PickensDAL	WR	25.5	61.7 #16	164.0	122.7	175.3	5 yrs
19	Carnell TateTENrookie	WR	21.6	17.2 #58	159.0	70.2	214.6	5 yrs
20	Drake MayeNE	QB	24.0	49.8 #26	157.4	101.8	188.3	5 yrs
Tier 4148.0–148.0
21	James CookBUF	RB	26.9	77.3 #11	148.0	129.4	153.9	4 yrs
Tier 5117.7–132.6
22	CeeDee LambDAL	WR	27.4	66.6 #12	132.6	114.0	138.4	4 yrs
23	Kyren WilliamsLA	RB	26.0	62.9 #14	131.3	111.8	137.3	4 yrs
24	Chris OlaveNO	WR	26.2	58.0 #19	131.0	107.2	137.9	4 yrs
25	Tetairoa McMillanCAR	WR	23.4	30.2 #37	130.7	77.7	152.6	5 yrs
26	Bucky IrvingTB	RB	24.0	44.7 #29	122.5	90.2	131.2	5 yrs
27	Chase BrownCIN	RB	26.4	61.3 #17	117.7	103.9	122.3	4 yrs
Tier 6100.4–105.7
28	Zay FlowersBAL	WR	26.0	47.8 #28	105.7	87.9	111.0	4 yrs
29	Colston LovelandCHI	TE	22.4	7.0 #76	100.4	42.1	134.0	5 yrs
Tier 783.5–94.5
30	Justin JeffersonMIN	WR	27.2	51.5 #23	94.5	85.1	97.8	3 yrs
31	George KittleSF	TE	32.9	50.9 #25	94.1	81.6	97.9	4 yrs
32	Nico CollinsHOU	WR	27.5	51.9 #22	92.5	83.7	95.5	3 yrs
33	Tyler WarrenIND	TE	24.3	24.7 #45	92.2	59.7	104.7	5 yrs
34	Breece HallNYJ	RB	25.3	42.3 #31	88.4	75.9	92.4	4 yrs
35	Quinshon JudkinsCLE	RB	22.8	24.5 #48	86.9	57.4	94.6	5 yrs
36	Omarion HamptonLAC	RB	23.5	29.3 #39	83.5	61.4	89.5	5 yrs
Tier 874.1–74.1
37	Rashee RiceKC	WR	26.4	39.1 #32	74.1	66.4	76.8	3 yrs
Tier 958.6–68.8
38	Jalen HurtsPHI	QB	28.1	26.0 #43	68.8	50.1	73.8	5 yrs
39	Saquon BarkleyPHI	RB	29.6	51.2 #24	68.7	65.6	69.8	2 yrs
40	Brock PurdySF	QB	26.7	24.7 #47	66.6	47.2	73.6	5 yrs
41	Kyle PittsATL	TE	25.9	27.5 #42	62.9	50.8	66.4	4 yrs
42	A.J. BrownNE	WR	29.2	43.6 #30	62.2	58.8	63.4	3 yrs
43	Bo NixDEN	QB	26.5	22.6 #52	59.5	42.8	65.1	5 yrs
44	Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN	WR	25.7	29.3 #40	59.0	52.4	61.4	3 yrs
45	Ladd McConkeyLAC	WR	24.8	22.6 #53	58.6	47.0	62.0	4 yrs
Tier 1056.3–56.3
46	Garrett WilsonNYJ	WR	26.1	30.3 #36	56.3	50.7	58.3	3 yrs
Tier 1149.5–53.2
47	Emeka EgbukaTB	WR	23.9	13.9 #65	53.2	36.7	57.6	5 yrs
48	Sam LaPortaDET	TE	25.6	22.8 #50	52.8	42.8	55.6	4 yrs
49	Caleb WilliamsCHI	QB	24.8	20.5 #55	52.5	38.5	57.6	5 yrs
50	Derrick HenryBAL	RB	32.7	47.9 #27	51.6	50.9	51.8	2 yrs
51	Brian Thomas Jr.JAX	WR	23.9	12.9 #68	49.5	34.5	53.6	5 yrs
Tier 1244.9–45.8
52	Javonte WilliamsDAL	RB	26.4	30.7 #35	45.8	43.1	46.8	3 yrs
53	Cam SkatteboNYG	RB	24.6	22.7 #51	44.9	40.0	46.7	3 yrs
Tier 1328.9–40.7
54	TreVeyon HendersonNE	RB	23.9	18.2 #56	40.7	34.5	42.6	4 yrs
55	Travis EtienneNO	RB	27.6	29.6 #38	37.6	36.2	38.0	2 yrs
56	D'Andre SwiftCHI	RB	27.6	28.8 #41	36.2	34.9	36.6	2 yrs
57	Jameson WilliamsDET	WR	25.4	17.6 #57	34.1	30.6	35.4	3 yrs
58	Tee HigginsCIN	WR	27.6	24.5 #49	32.7	31.2	33.1	2 yrs
59	Trevor LawrenceJAX	QB	26.9	14.6 #62	31.3	25.8	32.9	4 yrs
60	Matthew StaffordLA	QB	38.6	24.7 #46	28.9	28.1	29.1	2 yrs
Tier 1424.4–25.9
61	Davante AdamsLA	WR	33.7	25.9 #44	25.9	25.9	25.9	1 yr
62	DeVonta SmithPHI	WR	27.8	20.8 #54	25.6	24.7	25.8	2 yrs
63	Tucker KraftGB	TE	25.8	13.7 #66	24.4	22.1	25.2	3 yrs
Tier 1512.5–19.0
64	Jadarian PriceSEArookie	RB	22.9	5.7 #78	19.0	15.0	20.2	4 yrs
65	Michael WilsonARI	WR	26.5	14.1 #63	18.5	17.7	18.8	2 yrs
66	Jaylen WaddleDEN	WR	27.8	16.0 #61	17.1	16.9	17.2	2 yrs
67	KC ConcepcionCLErookie	WR	21.9	-13.0 #120	16.6	-5.8	28.5	4 yrs
68	Patrick MahomesKC	QB	31.0	11.9 #69	16.5	15.7	16.8	2 yrs
69	Travis KelceKC	TE	36.9	16.2 #59	16.2	16.2	16.2	1 yr
70	Jaylen WarrenPIT	RB	27.8	16.1 #60	16.1	16.1	16.1	1 yr
71	Rome OdunzeCHI	WR	24.2	4.0 #81	14.8	12.3	15.7	3 yrs
72	Courtland SuttonDEN	WR	30.9	14.1 #64	14.1	14.1	14.1	1 yr
73	DK MetcalfPIT	WR	28.7	13.5 #67	13.5	13.5	13.5	1 yr
74	Quentin JohnstonLAC	WR	25.0	6.9 #77	12.5	11.5	12.9	3 yrs
Tier 16-6.0–10.4
75	Jayden DanielsWAS	QB	25.7	7.2 #75	10.4	9.8	10.6	3 yrs
76	Kenneth Walker IIIKC	RB	25.9	9.5 #70	10.2	10.1	10.2	2 yrs
77	Kenyon SadiqNYJrookie	TE	21.5	-22.5 #147	10.1	-17.6	29.2	3 yrs
78	Deebo Samuel Sr.SF	WR	30.6	9.3 #71	9.3	9.3	9.3	1 yr
79	RJ HarveyDEN	RB	25.6	7.5 #73	7.6	7.6	7.7	2 yrs
80	Rico DowdlePIT	RB	28.2	7.3 #74	7.3	7.3	7.3	1 yr
81	Makai LemonPHIrookie	WR	22.2	-12.7 #118	6.8	-8.2	12.4	4 yrs
82	Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI	WR	24.1	0.0 #90	5.5	4.2	6.0	2 yrs
83	Justin HerbertLAC	QB	28.5	4.6 #80	5.5	5.3	5.5	2 yrs
84	Dallas GoedertPHI	TE	31.7	4.9 #79	4.9	4.9	4.9	1 yr
85	Jakobi MeyersJAX	WR	29.8	3.5 #82	3.5	3.5	3.5	1 yr
86	Michael PittmanPIT	WR	28.9	2.8 #83	2.8	2.8	2.8	1 yr
87	Jared GoffDET	QB	31.9	2.1 #86	2.1	2.1	2.1	1 yr
88	Juwan JohnsonNO	TE	30.0	1.9 #87	1.9	1.9	1.9	1 yr
89	J.K. DobbinsDEN	RB	27.7	0.0 #88	0.0	0.0	0.0	0 yrs
90	Jake FergusonDAL	TE	27.6	0.0 #89	0.0	0.0	0.0	0 yrs
91	Jaxson DartNYG	QB	23.3	0.0 #91	0.0	0.0	0.0	0 yrs
92	Tony PollardTEN	RB	29.3	-0.8 #92	-0.8	-0.8	-0.8	0 yrs
93	Kenny GainwellTB	RB	27.5	-0.9 #93	-0.9	-0.9	-0.9	0 yrs
94	Alec PierceIND	WR	26.3	-1.7 #94	-1.7	-1.7	-1.7	0 yrs
95	Dak PrescottDAL	QB	33.1	-1.7 #95	-1.7	-1.7	-1.7	0 yrs
96	Lamar JacksonBAL	QB	29.6	-2.8 #96	-2.8	-2.8	-2.8	0 yrs
97	Jordan AddisonMIN	WR	24.6	-3.8 #97	-3.8	-3.8	-3.8	0 yrs
98	Khalil ShakirBUF	WR	26.6	-4.0 #98	-4.0	-4.0	-4.0	0 yrs
99	Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYG	RB	26.8	-4.4 #99	-4.4	-4.4	-4.4	0 yrs
100	Dalton SchultzHOU	TE	30.1	-4.5 #100	-4.5	-4.5	-4.5	0 yrs
101	Baker MayfieldTB	QB	31.4	-4.9 #101	-4.9	-4.9	-4.9	0 yrs
102	Hunter HenryNE	TE	31.7	-5.5 #103	-5.5	-5.5	-5.5	0 yrs
103	Mike EvansSF	WR	33.0	-5.7 #104	-5.7	-5.7	-5.7	0 yrs
104	Oronde Gadsden IILAC	TE	23.2	-11.5 #112	-5.7	-9.1	-4.9	2 yrs
105	Rhamondre StevensonNE	RB	28.5	-6.0 #105	-6.0	-6.0	-6.0	0 yrs
Tier 17-12.4–-9.0
106	Mark AndrewsBAL	TE	31.0	-9.0 #107	-9.0	-9.0	-9.0	0 yrs
107	Terry McLaurinWAS	WR	31.0	-9.8 #108	-9.8	-9.8	-9.8	0 yrs
108	Omar Cooper Jr.NYJrookie	WR	22.7	-13.9 #122	-10.7	-13.0	-10.2	2 yrs
109	Christian WatsonGB	WR	27.3	-11.6 #113	-11.6	-11.6	-11.6	0 yrs
110	Aaron JonesMIN	RB	31.7	-11.8 #114	-11.8	-11.8	-11.8	0 yrs
111	Keenan AllenIND	WR	34.3	-11.9 #115	-11.9	-11.9	-11.9	0 yrs
112	Parker WashingtonJAX	WR	24.4	-12.3 #116	-12.3	-12.3	-12.3	0 yrs
113	C.J. StroudHOU	QB	24.9	-12.4 #117	-12.4	-12.4	-12.4	0 yrs
Tier 18-30.3–-14.6
114	Stefon DiggsWAS	WR	32.8	-14.6 #123	-14.6	-14.6	-14.6	0 yrs
115	David MontgomeryHOU	RB	29.2	-15.5 #124	-15.5	-15.5	-15.5	0 yrs
116	Alvin KamaraNO	RB	31.1	-15.6 #125	-15.6	-15.6	-15.6	0 yrs
117	DJ MooreBUF	WR	29.4	-15.8 #126	-15.8	-15.8	-15.8	0 yrs
118	AJ BarnerSEA	TE	24.3	-16.4 #127	-16.4	-16.4	-16.4	0 yrs
119	Kyle MonangaiCHI	RB	24.2	-17.5 #129	-17.5	-17.5	-17.5	0 yrs
120	Brenton StrangeJAX	TE	25.7	-18.5 #130	-18.5	-18.5	-18.5	0 yrs
121	Romeo DoubsNE	WR	26.4	-18.6 #131	-18.6	-18.6	-18.6	0 yrs
122	Chuba HubbardCAR	RB	27.2	-19.0 #133	-19.0	-19.0	-19.0	0 yrs
123	Dalton KincaidBUF	TE	26.9	-19.2 #134	-19.2	-19.2	-19.2	0 yrs
124	Jauan JenningsMIN	WR	29.1	-19.3 #135	-19.3	-19.3	-19.3	0 yrs
125	Cade OttonTB	TE	27.4	-19.7 #137	-19.7	-19.7	-19.7	0 yrs
126	Jayden ReedGB	WR	26.3	-19.8 #138	-19.8	-19.8	-19.8	0 yrs
127	Tre TuckerLV	WR	25.5	-20.0 #139	-20.0	-20.0	-20.0	0 yrs
128	Troy FranklinDEN	WR	23.6	-21.6 #141	-21.6	-21.6	-21.6	0 yrs
129	Woody MarksHOU	RB	25.7	-21.8 #142	-21.8	-21.8	-21.8	0 yrs
130	Josh DownsIND	WR	25.1	-21.8 #143	-21.8	-21.8	-21.8	0 yrs
131	Rachaad WhiteWAS	RB	27.6	-22.7 #148	-22.7	-22.7	-22.7	0 yrs
132	Luther Burden IIICHI	WR	22.7	-24.6 #151	-24.6	-24.6	-24.6	0 yrs
133	Jordan LoveGB	QB	27.8	-25.9 #154	-25.9	-25.9	-25.9	0 yrs
134	Theo JohnsonNYG	TE	25.5	-26.7 #155	-26.7	-26.7	-26.7	0 yrs
135	Josh JacobsGB	RB	28.6	-27.6 #158	-27.6	-27.6	-27.6	0 yrs
136	Xavier WorthyKC	WR	23.3	-28.4 #159	-28.4	-28.4	-28.4	0 yrs
137	Jerry JeudyCLE	WR	27.4	-28.6 #160	-28.6	-28.6	-28.6	0 yrs
138	Aaron RodgersPIT	QB	42.7	-29.0 #161	-29.0	-29.0	-29.0	0 yrs
139	Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS	RB	25.4	-29.4 #162	-29.4	-29.4	-29.4	0 yrs
140	Tyjae SpearsTEN	RB	25.2	-29.7 #163	-29.7	-29.7	-29.7	0 yrs
141	Joe BurrowCIN	QB	29.7	-30.3 #165	-30.3	-30.3	-30.3	0 yrs
Tier 19-34.7–-33.0
142	Keon ColemanBUF	WR	23.3	-33.0 #171	-33.0	-33.0	-33.0	0 yrs
143	Pat FreiermuthPIT	TE	27.9	-33.7 #173	-33.7	-33.7	-33.7	0 yrs
144	T.J. HockensonMIN	TE	29.2	-33.8 #174	-33.8	-33.8	-33.8	0 yrs
145	Mason TaylorNYJ	TE	22.3	-34.7 #175	-34.7	-34.7	-34.7	0 yrs
Tier 20-39.7–-37.3
146	Kimani VidalLAC	RB	25.0	-37.3 #177	-37.3	-37.3	-37.3	0 yrs
147	David NjokuLAC	TE	30.1	-37.6 #178	-37.6	-37.6	-37.6	0 yrs
148	Kyler MurrayMIN	QB	29.1	-38.5 #179	-38.5	-38.5	-38.5	0 yrs
149	Kayshon BoutteHOU	WR	24.3	-39.6 #183	-39.6	-39.6	-39.6	0 yrs
150	Kaelon BlackSFrookie	RB	24.9	-39.7 #184	-39.7	-39.7	-39.7	0 yrs

Showing 24 of 150 · the top 150 of 599 with a value are in the page

Read itDerrick Henry (RB, 32.7) is #27 on this season’s board and #50 here; Harold Fannin Jr. (TE, 22.1) goes the other way, #34 → #11. The same 2026 VORP buys different futures, and the dynasty column is where they part. The 2027 rookie class joins in item 10. 5 deep players without an age get no value. Rookie picks: what each slot has been worth; keepers on this basis: keeper calculator.

VersionsBoard dynasty · ppr · 12 · balanced 0.85×5· season fit season-fit-2019-2025· table 2026-w01-roster· aging curves survivor · fitted 2026-09-29T08:35:55Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version