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Dynasty Rankings — TE, PPR

Dynasty value
value = Σt over 2026–2030 VORP(t) × survival(t) × discountt
VORP(t) = this season’s projection carried forward on the position’s aging curve, minus this season’s replacement level (held: a position is refilled by younger players); future seasons below replacement count 0. survival(t) = the chance his career is still going in year t. One year and a discount of 1 give back this season’s VORP exactly (a test).
Stated constants
Discount
0.85 a yearProposed default · Jon to confirm
Horizon
5 years (2026–2030)Proposed default · Jon to confirm
Curves
by position, fitted on nflverse 2006–2025 (11,984 player-seasons), the survivor curve × survival · fitted Sep 29, 2026QB 25→30 ×0.92 · survival 0.94RB 25→30 ×0.59 · survival 0.75WR 25→30 ×0.70 · survival 0.91TE 25→30 ×0.80 · survival 0.94
Your windowThe window changes the discount and the horizon: contender 2026–2028 at 0.70 a year, balanced 2026–2030 at 0.85 a year, rebuild 2026–2031 at 0.90 a year. The other two windows are columns below, so the effect is visible.Proposed defaults · Jon to confirm

Top 24 · by balanced dynasty value

Tiers: the engine’s rule (a drop more than twice the typical nearby drop and at least 2 points) on the balanced values. 2026 VORP is the 12-team PPR draft board’s, with its rank on that board. Years of value left = seasons in the window with projected VORP above replacement.
#PlayerPosAge2026 VORP5-yr value · 0.85ContenderRebuildYears of value left
Tier 1228.7–258.6
1Trey McBrideARITE26.889.6 #10258.6178.9292.45 yrs
2Brock BowersLVTE23.757.2 #21239.8141.3293.75 yrs
3Harold Fannin Jr.CLETE22.133.5 #34228.7109.1302.15 yrs
Tier 292.2–100.4
4Colston LovelandCHITE22.47.0 #76100.442.1134.05 yrs
5George KittleSFTE32.950.9 #2594.181.697.94 yrs
6Tyler WarrenINDTE24.324.7 #4592.259.7104.75 yrs
Tier 352.8–62.9
7Kyle PittsATLTE25.927.5 #4262.950.866.44 yrs
8Sam LaPortaDETTE25.622.8 #5052.842.855.64 yrs
Tier 4-9.0–24.4
9Tucker KraftGBTE25.813.7 #6624.422.125.23 yrs
10Travis KelceKCTE36.916.2 #5916.216.216.21 yr
11Kenyon SadiqNYJrookieTE21.5-22.5 #14710.1-17.629.23 yrs
12Dallas GoedertPHITE31.74.9 #794.94.94.91 yr
13Juwan JohnsonNOTE30.01.9 #871.91.91.91 yr
14Jake FergusonDALTE27.60.0 #890.00.00.00 yrs
15Dalton SchultzHOUTE30.1-4.5 #100-4.5-4.5-4.50 yrs
16Hunter HenryNETE31.7-5.5 #103-5.5-5.5-5.50 yrs
17Oronde Gadsden IILACTE23.2-11.5 #112-5.7-9.1-4.92 yrs
18Mark AndrewsBALTE31.0-9.0 #107-9.0-9.0-9.00 yrs
Tier 5-19.7–-16.4
19AJ BarnerSEATE24.3-16.4 #127-16.4-16.4-16.40 yrs
20Brenton StrangeJAXTE25.7-18.5 #130-18.5-18.5-18.50 yrs
21Dalton KincaidBUFTE26.9-19.2 #134-19.2-19.2-19.20 yrs
22Cade OttonTBTE27.4-19.7 #137-19.7-19.7-19.70 yrs
Tier 6-26.7–-26.7
23Theo JohnsonNYGTE25.5-26.7 #155-26.7-26.7-26.70 yrs
Tier 7-39.9–-33.7
24Pat FreiermuthPITTE27.9-33.7 #173-33.7-33.7-33.70 yrs
Showing 24 of 146 · the top 146 of 146 with a value are in the page

Read itThe 2027 rookie class joins in item 10. 5 deep players without an age get no value. Rookie picks: what each slot has been worth; keepers on this basis: keeper calculator.

VersionsBoard dynasty · ppr · 12 · balanced 0.85×5· season fit season-fit-2019-2025· table 2026-w01-roster· aging curves survivor · fitted 2026-09-29T08:35:55Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version