Dynasty Rankings — TE, Standard

By Red Zone Rank engine · value over replacement for 2026–2030, discounted, with each position’s aging curve and the chance a player’s career continues · 12-team · 2026 values are the draft-time board’s

ScoringPPR Half Standard

Dynasty value

value = Σ_{t over 2026–2030} VORP(t) × survival(t) × discount^t

VORP(t) = this season’s projection carried forward on the position’s aging curve, minus this season’s replacement level (held: a position is refilled by younger players); future seasons below replacement count 0. survival(t) = the chance his career is still going in year t. One year and a discount of 1 give back this season’s VORP exactly (a test).

Stated constants

Discount: 0.85 a yearProposed default · Jon to confirm
Horizon: 5 years (2026–2030)Proposed default · Jon to confirm
Curves: by position, fitted on nflverse 2006–2025 (11,984 player-seasons), the survivor curve × survival · fitted Sep 29, 2026QB 25→30 ×0.92 · survival 0.94RB 25→30 ×0.59 · survival 0.75WR 25→30 ×0.70 · survival 0.91TE 25→30 ×0.80 · survival 0.94

Your windowThe window changes the discount and the horizon: contender 2026–2028 at 0.70 a year, balanced 2026–2030 at 0.85 a year, rebuild 2026–2031 at 0.90 a year. The other two windows are columns below, so the effect is visible.Proposed defaults · Jon to confirm

Top 24 · by balanced dynasty value

Tiers: the engine’s rule (a drop more than twice the typical nearby drop and at least 2 points) on the balanced values. 2026 VORP is the 12-team Standard draft board’s, with its rank on that board. Years of value left = seasons in the window with projected VORP above replacement.
#	Player	Pos	Age	2026 VORP	5-yr value · 0.85	Contender	Rebuild	Years of value left
Tier 1139.5–148.0
1	Harold Fannin Jr.CLE	TE	22.1	22.6 #41	148.0	71.5	195.0	5 yrs
2	Brock BowersLV	TE	23.7	35.1 #28	146.8	86.5	179.8	5 yrs
3	Trey McBrideARI	TE	26.8	49.0 #19	139.5	97.4	156.9	5 yrs
Tier 276.4–77.7
4	Colston LovelandCHI	TE	22.4	8.3 #64	77.7	35.1	102.6	5 yrs
5	George KittleSF	TE	32.9	38.8 #25	76.4	64.3	80.0	4 yrs
Tier 358.3–58.3
6	Tyler WarrenIND	TE	24.3	15.7 #53	58.3	37.6	66.5	5 yrs
Tier 443.4–46.3
7	Tucker KraftGB	TE	25.8	18.8 #49	46.3	35.7	49.2	5 yrs
8	Sam LaPortaDET	TE	25.6	17.3 #51	43.4	33.4	46.1	5 yrs
Tier 535.6–35.6
9	Kyle PittsATL	TE	25.9	15.7 #52	35.6	28.9	37.5	4 yrs
Tier 65.9–9.6
10	Kenyon SadiqNYJrookie	TE	21.5	-12.4 #122	9.6	-8.9	22.3	3 yrs
11	Travis KelceKC	TE	36.9	6.7 #67	6.7	6.7	6.7	1 yr
12	Oronde Gadsden IILAC	TE	23.2	-4.4 #101	5.9	0.1	7.4	4 yrs
13	Dallas GoedertPHI	TE	31.7	5.9 #70	5.9	5.9	5.9	1 yr
Tier 7-0.5–1.3
14	Mark AndrewsBAL	TE	31.0	1.3 #86	1.3	1.3	1.3	1 yr
15	Hunter HenryNE	TE	31.7	0.0 #88	0.0	0.0	0.0	0 yrs
16	Juwan JohnsonNO	TE	30.0	-0.5 #92	-0.5	-0.5	-0.5	0 yrs
Tier 8-18.7–-5.6
17	Jake FergusonDAL	TE	27.6	-5.6 #105	-5.6	-5.6	-5.6	0 yrs
18	AJ BarnerSEA	TE	24.3	-6.3 #107	-6.3	-6.3	-6.3	0 yrs
19	Dalton SchultzHOU	TE	30.1	-7.8 #112	-7.8	-7.8	-7.8	0 yrs
20	Dalton KincaidBUF	TE	26.9	-9.4 #116	-9.4	-9.4	-9.4	0 yrs
21	Brenton StrangeJAX	TE	25.7	-11.4 #120	-11.4	-11.4	-11.4	0 yrs
22	Theo JohnsonNYG	TE	25.5	-14.2 #129	-14.2	-14.2	-14.2	0 yrs
23	Cade OttonTB	TE	27.4	-16.1 #133	-16.1	-16.1	-16.1	0 yrs
24	Pat FreiermuthPIT	TE	27.9	-18.7 #139	-18.7	-18.7	-18.7	0 yrs
Tier 9-43.1–-21.9
25	Colby ParkinsonLA	TE	27.6	-21.9 #153	-21.9	-21.9	-21.9	0 yrs
26	David NjokuLAC	TE	30.1	-23.4 #157	-23.4	-23.4	-23.4	0 yrs
27	T.J. HockensonMIN	TE	29.2	-24.2 #159	-24.2	-24.2	-24.2	0 yrs
28	Darren WallerCAR	TE	34.0	-25.3 #163	-25.3	-25.3	-25.3	0 yrs
29	Mason TaylorNYJ	TE	22.3	-26.4 #169	-26.4	-26.4	-26.4	0 yrs
30	Isaiah LikelyNYG	TE	26.4	-26.6 #170	-26.6	-26.6	-26.6	0 yrs
31	Chig OkonkwoWAS	TE	27.0	-28.0 #174	-28.0	-28.0	-28.0	0 yrs
32	Jonnu SmithGB	TE	31.0	-28.8 #176	-28.8	-28.8	-28.8	0 yrs
33	Jake TongesSF	TE	27.2	-30.1 #182	-30.1	-30.1	-30.1	0 yrs
34	Cole KmetCHI	TE	27.5	-30.5 #184	-30.5	-30.5	-30.5	0 yrs
35	Evan EngramDEN	TE	32.0	-32.3 #189	-32.3	-32.3	-32.3	0 yrs
36	Marlin KleinHOUrookie	TE	24.0	-33.2 #193	-33.2	-33.2	-33.2	0 yrs
37	Max KlareLArookie	TE	23.2	-34.4 #194	-34.4	-34.4	-34.4	0 yrs
38	Nate BoerkircherJAXrookie	TE	25.0	-34.8 #196	-34.8	-34.8	-34.8	0 yrs
39	Gunnar HelmTEN	TE	24.0	-35.3 #202	-35.3	-35.3	-35.3	0 yrs
40	Dawson KnoxBUF	TE	29.8	-36.4 #205	-36.4	-36.4	-36.4	0 yrs
41	Mike GesickiCIN	TE	30.9	-37.7 #207	-37.7	-37.7	-37.7	0 yrs
42	Greg DulcichMIA	TE	26.4	-38.5 #208	-38.5	-38.5	-38.5	0 yrs
43	Terrance FergusonLA	TE	23.5	-40.0 #219	-40.0	-40.0	-40.0	0 yrs
44	Darnell WashingtonPIT	TE	25.0	-40.9 #221	-40.9	-40.9	-40.9	0 yrs
45	Tyler HigbeeLA	TE	33.7	-41.1 #223	-41.1	-41.1	-41.1	0 yrs
46	Michael MayerLV	TE	25.2	-41.4 #225	-41.4	-41.4	-41.4	0 yrs
47	Eli RaridonNErookie	TE	22.6	-42.0 #228	-42.0	-42.0	-42.0	0 yrs
48	Oscar DelpNOrookie	TE	23.1	-42.3 #229	-42.3	-42.3	-42.3	0 yrs
49	Noah FantNO	TE	28.8	-42.3 #230	-42.3	-42.3	-42.3	0 yrs
50	Will KacmarekMIArookie	TE	23.6	-42.7 #231	-42.7	-42.7	-42.7	0 yrs
51	Sam RoushCHIrookie	TE	23.0	-43.1 #235	-43.1	-43.1	-43.1	0 yrs
Tier 10-46.7–-46.7
52	Ja'Tavion SandersCAR	TE	23.4	-46.7 #249	-46.7	-46.7	-46.7	0 yrs
Tier 11-73.3–-49.1
53	Austin HooperATL	TE	31.8	-49.1 #264	-49.1	-49.1	-49.1	0 yrs
54	Tommy TrembleCAR	TE	26.2	-50.0 #270	-50.0	-50.0	-50.0	0 yrs
55	Daniel BellingerTEN	TE	25.9	-50.7 #276	-50.7	-50.7	-50.7	0 yrs
56	Noah GrayKC	TE	27.3	-50.9 #279	-50.9	-50.9	-50.9	0 yrs
57	Jackson HawesBUF	TE	25.7	-51.1 #280	-51.1	-51.1	-51.1	0 yrs
58	Brock WrightDET	TE	27.8	-51.2 #281	-51.2	-51.2	-51.2	0 yrs
59	Josh OliverMIN	TE	29.4	-51.9 #288	-51.9	-51.9	-51.9	0 yrs
60	Tanner KoziolJAXrookie	TE	22.6	-53.4 #299	-53.4	-53.4	-53.4	0 yrs
61	Cade StoverHOU	TE	26.2	-53.5 #301	-53.5	-53.5	-53.5	0 yrs
62	Carsen RyanCLErookie	TE	23.0	-53.5 #302	-53.5	-53.5	-53.5	0 yrs
63	Justin JolyMIArookie	TE	22.1	-53.6 #303	-53.6	-53.6	-53.6	0 yrs
64	Josh CuevasBALrookie	TE	23.9	-53.6 #304	-53.6	-53.6	-53.6	0 yrs
65	Matthew HibnerBALrookie	TE	24.5	-53.7 #305	-53.7	-53.7	-53.7	0 yrs
66	Jack EndriesCINrookie	TE	22.4	-53.7 #306	-53.7	-53.7	-53.7	0 yrs
67	Erick AllCIN	TE	26.0	-54.3 #310	-54.3	-54.3	-54.3	0 yrs
68	Riley NowakowskiPITrookie	TE	24.2	-54.5 #312	-54.5	-54.5	-54.5	0 yrs
69	Tanner HudsonCIN	TE	31.8	-54.7 #314	-54.7	-54.7	-54.7	0 yrs
70	Bauer SharpTBrookie	TE	23.3	-54.7 #315	-54.7	-54.7	-54.7	0 yrs
71	Brevin JordanHOU	TE	26.1	-54.8 #316	-54.8	-54.8	-54.8	0 yrs
72	Seydou TraoreMIArookie	TE	24.1	-55.1 #318	-55.1	-55.1	-55.1	0 yrs
73	Mitchell EvansCAR	TE	23.3	-55.1 #319	-55.1	-55.1	-55.1	0 yrs
74	Dallen BentleyDENrookie	TE	25.7	-55.1 #320	-55.1	-55.1	-55.1	0 yrs
75	Tyler ConklinDET	TE	31.1	-55.7 #323	-55.7	-55.7	-55.7	0 yrs
76	Elijah HigginsARI	TE	25.8	-55.8 #324	-55.8	-55.8	-55.8	0 yrs
77	Elijah ArroyoSEA	TE	23.4	-56.1 #329	-56.1	-56.1	-56.1	0 yrs
78	Davis AllenLA	TE	25.6	-57.0 #337	-57.0	-57.0	-57.0	0 yrs
79	Hunter LongARI	TE	28.0	-57.6 #341	-57.6	-57.6	-57.6	0 yrs
80	Adam TrautmanDEN	TE	29.6	-58.6 #346	-58.6	-58.6	-58.6	0 yrs
81	Jeremy RuckertNYJ	TE	26.1	-59.1 #349	-59.1	-59.1	-59.1	0 yrs
82	Charlie KolarLAC	TE	27.6	-59.5 #351	-59.5	-59.5	-59.5	0 yrs
83	Foster MoreauHOU	TE	29.3	-60.8 #354	-60.8	-60.8	-60.8	0 yrs
84	Ben SinnottWAS	TE	24.2	-60.8 #355	-60.8	-60.8	-60.8	0 yrs
85	Nate AdkinsDEN	TE	27.1	-61.0 #356	-61.0	-61.0	-61.0	0 yrs
86	Josh WhyleGB	TE	27.0	-61.8 #359	-61.8	-61.8	-61.8	0 yrs
87	Tanner ArkinNErookie	TE	23.2	-61.9 #360	-61.9	-61.9	-61.9	0 yrs
88	Mo Alie-CoxIND	TE	33.0	-62.1 #362	-62.1	-62.1	-62.1	0 yrs
89	Eli StowersPHIrookie	TE	23.4	-63.0 #367	-63.0	-63.0	-63.0	0 yrs
90	Luke SchoonmakerDAL	TE	27.9	-63.0 #368	-63.0	-63.0	-63.0	0 yrs
91	Johnny MundtPHI	TE	31.8	-63.3 #372	-63.3	-63.3	-63.3	0 yrs
92	John BatesWAS	TE	28.8	-63.7 #373	-63.7	-63.7	-63.7	0 yrs
93	Drew SampleCIN	TE	30.4	-63.7 #374	-63.7	-63.7	-63.7	0 yrs
94	Gavin BartholomewMIN	TE	23.3	-63.9 #375	-63.9	-63.9	-63.9	0 yrs
95	Luke FarrellSF	TE	28.9	-64.5 #379	-64.5	-64.5	-64.5	0 yrs
96	Nick MuseATL	TE	27.8	-64.8 #381	-64.8	-64.8	-64.8	0 yrs
97	Brevyn Spann-FordDAL	TE	26.7	-65.1 #385	-65.1	-65.1	-65.1	0 yrs
98	Jared WileyKC	TE	25.8	-65.2 #386	-65.2	-65.2	-65.2	0 yrs
99	Thomas Fidone IINYG	TE	23.9	-65.2 #387	-65.2	-65.2	-65.2	0 yrs
100	Quintin MorrisJAX	TE	27.6	-65.6 #388	-65.6	-65.6	-65.6	0 yrs
101	Andrew OgletreeIND	TE	28.1	-65.7 #389	-65.7	-65.7	-65.7	0 yrs
102	Kylen GransonTEN	TE	28.4	-65.9 #390	-65.9	-65.9	-65.9	0 yrs
103	Keleki LatuBUF	TE	24.1	-67.0 #394	-67.0	-67.0	-67.0	0 yrs
104	Eric SaubertSEA	TE	32.3	-67.1 #395	-67.1	-67.1	-67.1	0 yrs
105	Ian ThomasLV	TE	30.2	-67.2 #397	-67.2	-67.2	-67.2	0 yrs
106	Durham SmytheBAL	TE	31.1	-67.4 #398	-67.4	-67.4	-67.4	0 yrs
107	Charlie WoernerATL	TE	28.9	-67.5 #399	-67.5	-67.5	-67.5	0 yrs
108	Payne DurhamTB	TE	26.2	-67.7 #400	-67.7	-67.7	-67.7	0 yrs
109	Jelani WoodsNYJ	TE	27.9	-67.8 #401	-67.8	-67.8	-67.8	0 yrs
110	Jackson MeeksDET	TE	23.4	-68.1 #403	-68.1	-68.1	-68.1	0 yrs
111	Nick KallerupSEA	TE	25.4	-68.1 #404	-68.1	-68.1	-68.1	0 yrs
112	David Martin-RobinsonTEN	TE	26.7	-68.2 #405	-68.2	-68.2	-68.2	0 yrs
113	Jaren KanakTENrookie	TE	22.6	-68.2 #407	-68.2	-68.2	-68.2	0 yrs
114	Blake WhiteheartCLE	TE	26.4	-68.2 #408	-68.2	-68.2	-68.2	0 yrs
115	Jake BriningstoolKC	TE	23.7	-68.5 #410	-68.5	-68.5	-68.5	0 yrs
116	Chris ManhertzNYG	TE	34.4	-68.5 #412	-68.5	-68.5	-68.5	0 yrs
117	Mark RedmanGB	TE	24.6	-68.9 #413	-68.9	-68.9	-68.9	0 yrs
118	E.J. JenkinsPHI	TE	27.8	-69.0 #414	-69.0	-69.0	-69.0	0 yrs
119	Luke MusgraveGB	TE	26.0	-69.0 #415	-69.0	-69.0	-69.0	0 yrs
120	Treyton WelchNO	TE	25.6	-69.0 #416	-69.0	-69.0	-69.0	0 yrs
121	Robert TonyanPIT	TE	32.3	-69.6 #418	-69.6	-69.6	-69.6	0 yrs
122	Joe RoyerCLErookie	TE	24.5	-69.7 #419	-69.7	-69.7	-69.7	0 yrs
123	Colson YankoffWAS	TE	26.5	-69.8 #420	-69.8	-69.8	-69.8	0 yrs
124	Ko KieftTB	TE	28.6	-69.8 #422	-69.8	-69.8	-69.8	0 yrs
125	Cole TurnerMIA	TE	26.5	-70.3 #424	-70.3	-70.3	-70.3	0 yrs
126	Feleipe FranksCAR	TE	28.7	-70.4 #425	-70.4	-70.4	-70.4	0 yrs
127	Julian HillNE	TE	26.1	-70.8 #426	-70.8	-70.8	-70.8	0 yrs
128	Moliki MatavaoNO	TE	23.5	-70.8 #427	-70.8	-70.8	-70.8	0 yrs
129	Cameron LatuNE	TE	26.5	-71.0 #428	-71.0	-71.0	-71.0	0 yrs
130	Carson TowtINDrookie	TE	25.3	-71.0 #429	-71.0	-71.0	-71.0	0 yrs
131	Grant CalcaterraPHI	TE	27.7	-71.0 #430	-71.0	-71.0	-71.0	0 yrs
132	DJ RogersDALrookie	TE	24.8	-71.0 #431	-71.0	-71.0	-71.0	0 yrs
133	Hayden LargeCHIrookie	TE	24.4	-71.0 #432	-71.0	-71.0	-71.0	0 yrs
134	Jameson GeersARIrookie	TE	23.7	-71.1 #433	-71.1	-71.1	-71.1	0 yrs
135	John Michael GyllenborgKCrookie	TE	24.1	-71.1 #434	-71.1	-71.1	-71.1	0 yrs
136	Caleb LohnerDEN	TE	24.9	-71.5 #437	-71.5	-71.5	-71.5	0 yrs
137	Thomas OdukoyaKC	TE	29.3	-71.6 #439	-71.6	-71.6	-71.6	0 yrs
138	Tip ReimanARI	TE	25.0	-71.6 #440	-71.6	-71.6	-71.6	0 yrs
139	Will MalloryIND	TE	27.2	-72.1 #441	-72.1	-72.1	-72.1	0 yrs
140	Ben YurosekMIN	TE	24.5	-72.5 #444	-72.5	-72.5	-72.5	0 yrs
141	Carter RunyonLV	TE	25.1	-72.6 #446	-72.6	-72.6	-72.6	0 yrs
142	Bryson NesbitMIN	TE	23.9	-72.8 #447	-72.8	-72.8	-72.8	0 yrs
143	Nikola KalinicCHI	TE	29.6	-73.0 #450	-73.0	-73.0	-73.0	0 yrs
144	Princeton FantDAL	TE	27.5	-73.0 #451	-73.0	-73.0	-73.0	0 yrs
145	McCallan CastlesGB	TE	26.7	-73.0 #452	-73.0	-73.0	-73.0	0 yrs
146	Thomas YassminGB	TE	26.9	-73.3 #455	-73.3	-73.3	-73.3	0 yrs

Showing 24 of 146 · the top 146 of 146 with a value are in the page

Read itThe 2027 rookie class joins in item 10. 5 deep players without an age get no value. Rookie picks: what each slot has been worth; keepers on this basis: keeper calculator.

VersionsBoard dynasty · standard · 12 · balanced 0.85×5· season fit season-fit-2019-2025· table 2026-w01-roster· aging curves survivor · fitted 2026-09-29T08:35:55Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version