Dynasty Rankings — TE, Half-PPR

By Red Zone Rank engine · value over replacement for 2026–2030, discounted, with each position’s aging curve and the chance a player’s career continues · 12-team · 2026 values are the draft-time board’s

ScoringPPR Half Standard

Dynasty value

value = Σ_{t over 2026–2030} VORP(t) × survival(t) × discount^t

VORP(t) = this season’s projection carried forward on the position’s aging curve, minus this season’s replacement level (held: a position is refilled by younger players); future seasons below replacement count 0. survival(t) = the chance his career is still going in year t. One year and a discount of 1 give back this season’s VORP exactly (a test).

Stated constants

Discount: 0.85 a yearProposed default · Jon to confirm
Horizon: 5 years (2026–2030)Proposed default · Jon to confirm
Curves: by position, fitted on nflverse 2006–2025 (11,984 player-seasons), the survivor curve × survival · fitted Sep 29, 2026QB 25→30 ×0.92 · survival 0.94RB 25→30 ×0.59 · survival 0.75WR 25→30 ×0.70 · survival 0.91TE 25→30 ×0.80 · survival 0.94

Your windowThe window changes the discount and the horizon: contender 2026–2028 at 0.70 a year, balanced 2026–2030 at 0.85 a year, rebuild 2026–2031 at 0.90 a year. The other two windows are columns below, so the effect is visible.Proposed defaults · Jon to confirm

Top 24 · by balanced dynasty value

Tiers: the engine’s rule (a drop more than twice the typical nearby drop and at least 2 points) on the balanced values. 2026 VORP is the 12-team Half-PPR draft board’s, with its rank on that board. Years of value left = seasons in the window with projected VORP above replacement.
#	Player	Pos	Age	2026 VORP	5-yr value · 0.85	Contender	Rebuild	Years of value left
Tier 1198.4–208.9
1	Trey McBrideARI	TE	26.8	72.1 #11	208.9	144.2	236.8	5 yrs
2	Brock BowersLV	TE	23.7	48.9 #20	203.4	119.9	249.5	5 yrs
3	Harold Fannin Jr.CLE	TE	22.1	30.8 #35	198.4	96.3	261.2	5 yrs
Tier 285.3–99.2
4	Colston LovelandCHI	TE	22.4	10.4 #67	99.2	44.6	131.0	5 yrs
5	George KittleSF	TE	32.9	47.6 #24	92.5	78.4	96.7	4 yrs
6	Tyler WarrenIND	TE	24.3	22.9 #45	85.3	54.6	98.3	5 yrs
Tier 357.6–58.6
7	Kyle PittsATL	TE	25.9	24.4 #44	58.6	45.8	62.1	5 yrs
8	Sam LaPortaDET	TE	25.6	22.8 #47	57.6	44.1	61.3	5 yrs
Tier 442.8–42.8
9	Tucker KraftGB	TE	25.8	19.0 #54	42.8	34.9	45.0	4 yrs
Tier 5-17.7–17.6
10	Kenyon SadiqNYJrookie	TE	21.5	-14.7 #127	17.6	-9.2	36.0	3 yrs
11	Travis KelceKC	TE	36.9	14.2 #59	14.2	14.2	14.2	1 yr
12	Oronde Gadsden IILAC	TE	23.2	-5.2 #102	9.7	1.4	11.9	4 yrs
13	Dallas GoedertPHI	TE	31.7	8.1 #74	8.1	8.1	8.1	1 yr
14	Juwan JohnsonNO	TE	30.0	3.5 #82	3.5	3.5	3.5	1 yr
15	Hunter HenryNE	TE	31.7	0.0 #88	0.0	0.0	0.0	0 yrs
16	Jake FergusonDAL	TE	27.6	-0.1 #92	-0.1	-0.1	-0.1	0 yrs
17	Mark AndrewsBAL	TE	31.0	-1.1 #94	-1.1	-1.1	-1.1	0 yrs
18	Dalton SchultzHOU	TE	30.1	-3.4 #98	-3.4	-3.4	-3.4	0 yrs
19	AJ BarnerSEA	TE	24.3	-8.6 #110	-8.6	-8.6	-8.6	0 yrs
20	Dalton KincaidBUF	TE	26.9	-11.6 #117	-11.6	-11.6	-11.6	0 yrs
21	Brenton StrangeJAX	TE	25.7	-12.2 #119	-12.2	-12.2	-12.2	0 yrs
22	Cade OttonTB	TE	27.4	-15.1 #129	-15.1	-15.1	-15.1	0 yrs
23	Theo JohnsonNYG	TE	25.5	-17.7 #135	-17.7	-17.7	-17.7	0 yrs
Tier 6-28.1–-23.5
24	Pat FreiermuthPIT	TE	27.9	-23.5 #151	-23.5	-23.5	-23.5	0 yrs
25	T.J. HockensonMIN	TE	29.2	-26.3 #160	-26.3	-26.3	-26.3	0 yrs
26	David NjokuLAC	TE	30.1	-27.8 #163	-27.8	-27.8	-27.8	0 yrs
27	Mason TaylorNYJ	TE	22.3	-27.8 #164	-27.8	-27.8	-27.8	0 yrs
28	Colby ParkinsonLA	TE	27.6	-28.1 #165	-28.1	-28.1	-28.1	0 yrs
Tier 7-31.2–-31.2
29	Chig OkonkwoWAS	TE	27.0	-31.2 #177	-31.2	-31.2	-31.2	0 yrs
Tier 8-38.2–-33.9
30	Darren WallerCAR	TE	34.0	-33.9 #183	-33.9	-33.9	-33.9	0 yrs
31	Isaiah LikelyNYG	TE	26.4	-34.5 #185	-34.5	-34.5	-34.5	0 yrs
32	Evan EngramDEN	TE	32.0	-34.9 #186	-34.9	-34.9	-34.9	0 yrs
33	Jonnu SmithGB	TE	31.0	-35.9 #188	-35.9	-35.9	-35.9	0 yrs
34	Jake TongesSF	TE	27.2	-37.8 #190	-37.8	-37.8	-37.8	0 yrs
35	Cole KmetCHI	TE	27.5	-38.2 #192	-38.2	-38.2	-38.2	0 yrs
Tier 9-44.3–-41.2
36	Gunnar HelmTEN	TE	24.0	-41.2 #205	-41.2	-41.2	-41.2	0 yrs
37	Marlin KleinHOUrookie	TE	24.0	-42.2 #206	-42.2	-42.2	-42.2	0 yrs
38	Max KlareLArookie	TE	23.2	-43.7 #212	-43.7	-43.7	-43.7	0 yrs
39	Nate BoerkircherJAXrookie	TE	25.0	-44.3 #214	-44.3	-44.3	-44.3	0 yrs
Tier 10-56.3–-46.5
40	Mike GesickiCIN	TE	30.9	-46.5 #220	-46.5	-46.5	-46.5	0 yrs
41	Dawson KnoxBUF	TE	29.8	-47.1 #222	-47.1	-47.1	-47.1	0 yrs
42	Greg DulcichMIA	TE	26.4	-48.2 #228	-48.2	-48.2	-48.2	0 yrs
43	Michael MayerLV	TE	25.2	-50.2 #235	-50.2	-50.2	-50.2	0 yrs
44	Darnell WashingtonPIT	TE	25.0	-50.9 #237	-50.9	-50.9	-50.9	0 yrs
45	Noah FantNO	TE	28.8	-51.8 #242	-51.8	-51.8	-51.8	0 yrs
46	Tyler HigbeeLA	TE	33.7	-52.7 #245	-52.7	-52.7	-52.7	0 yrs
47	Eli RaridonNErookie	TE	22.6	-54.1 #252	-54.1	-54.1	-54.1	0 yrs
48	Oscar DelpNOrookie	TE	23.1	-54.3 #253	-54.3	-54.3	-54.3	0 yrs
49	Will KacmarekMIArookie	TE	23.6	-55.0 #256	-55.0	-55.0	-55.0	0 yrs
50	Sam RoushCHIrookie	TE	23.0	-55.2 #257	-55.2	-55.2	-55.2	0 yrs
51	Terrance FergusonLA	TE	23.5	-55.2 #258	-55.2	-55.2	-55.2	0 yrs
52	Ja'Tavion SandersCAR	TE	23.4	-56.3 #261	-56.3	-56.3	-56.3	0 yrs
Tier 11-75.5–-62.7
53	Austin HooperATL	TE	31.8	-62.7 #300	-62.7	-62.7	-62.7	0 yrs
54	Tommy TrembleCAR	TE	26.2	-63.5 #307	-63.5	-63.5	-63.5	0 yrs
55	Noah GrayKC	TE	27.3	-64.5 #313	-64.5	-64.5	-64.5	0 yrs
56	Brock WrightDET	TE	27.8	-65.2 #317	-65.2	-65.2	-65.2	0 yrs
57	Daniel BellingerTEN	TE	25.9	-65.6 #319	-65.6	-65.6	-65.6	0 yrs
58	Jackson HawesBUF	TE	25.7	-66.8 #325	-66.8	-66.8	-66.8	0 yrs
59	Cade StoverHOU	TE	26.2	-67.4 #328	-67.4	-67.4	-67.4	0 yrs
60	Erick AllCIN	TE	26.0	-67.6 #330	-67.6	-67.6	-67.6	0 yrs
61	Josh OliverMIN	TE	29.4	-68.1 #331	-68.1	-68.1	-68.1	0 yrs
62	Tanner KoziolJAXrookie	TE	22.6	-68.6 #333	-68.6	-68.6	-68.6	0 yrs
63	Josh CuevasBALrookie	TE	23.9	-68.7 #334	-68.7	-68.7	-68.7	0 yrs
64	Justin JolyMIArookie	TE	22.1	-68.8 #335	-68.8	-68.8	-68.8	0 yrs
65	Carsen RyanCLErookie	TE	23.0	-68.8 #336	-68.8	-68.8	-68.8	0 yrs
66	Jack EndriesCINrookie	TE	22.4	-69.0 #337	-69.0	-69.0	-69.0	0 yrs
67	Matthew HibnerBALrookie	TE	24.5	-69.0 #338	-69.0	-69.0	-69.0	0 yrs
68	Tanner HudsonCIN	TE	31.8	-69.3 #340	-69.3	-69.3	-69.3	0 yrs
69	Riley NowakowskiPITrookie	TE	24.2	-70.3 #341	-70.3	-70.3	-70.3	0 yrs
70	Bauer SharpTBrookie	TE	23.3	-70.3 #342	-70.3	-70.3	-70.3	0 yrs
71	Elijah HigginsARI	TE	25.8	-70.4 #343	-70.4	-70.4	-70.4	0 yrs
72	Mitchell EvansCAR	TE	23.3	-70.7 #344	-70.7	-70.7	-70.7	0 yrs
73	Brevin JordanHOU	TE	26.1	-70.8 #345	-70.8	-70.8	-70.8	0 yrs
74	Dallen BentleyDENrookie	TE	25.7	-70.8 #346	-70.8	-70.8	-70.8	0 yrs
75	Seydou TraoreMIArookie	TE	24.1	-70.9 #347	-70.9	-70.9	-70.9	0 yrs
76	Tyler ConklinDET	TE	31.1	-71.3 #349	-71.3	-71.3	-71.3	0 yrs
77	Elijah ArroyoSEA	TE	23.4	-72.3 #351	-72.3	-72.3	-72.3	0 yrs
78	Davis AllenLA	TE	25.6	-72.9 #355	-72.9	-72.9	-72.9	0 yrs
79	Hunter LongARI	TE	28.0	-73.9 #359	-73.9	-73.9	-73.9	0 yrs
80	Jeremy RuckertNYJ	TE	26.1	-74.5 #360	-74.5	-74.5	-74.5	0 yrs
81	Adam TrautmanDEN	TE	29.6	-75.5 #364	-75.5	-75.5	-75.5	0 yrs
Tier 12-95.2–-77.8
82	Charlie KolarLAC	TE	27.6	-77.8 #370	-77.8	-77.8	-77.8	0 yrs
83	Ben SinnottWAS	TE	24.2	-78.3 #371	-78.3	-78.3	-78.3	0 yrs
84	Foster MoreauHOU	TE	29.3	-78.4 #372	-78.4	-78.4	-78.4	0 yrs
85	Nate AdkinsDEN	TE	27.1	-78.7 #375	-78.7	-78.7	-78.7	0 yrs
86	Josh WhyleGB	TE	27.0	-79.7 #378	-79.7	-79.7	-79.7	0 yrs
87	Tanner ArkinNErookie	TE	23.2	-80.1 #380	-80.1	-80.1	-80.1	0 yrs
88	Mo Alie-CoxIND	TE	33.0	-80.3 #383	-80.3	-80.3	-80.3	0 yrs
89	Luke SchoonmakerDAL	TE	27.9	-80.6 #385	-80.6	-80.6	-80.6	0 yrs
90	Drew SampleCIN	TE	30.4	-81.1 #386	-81.1	-81.1	-81.1	0 yrs
91	Eli StowersPHIrookie	TE	23.4	-81.6 #389	-81.6	-81.6	-81.6	0 yrs
92	Johnny MundtPHI	TE	31.8	-81.6 #390	-81.6	-81.6	-81.6	0 yrs
93	John BatesWAS	TE	28.8	-81.9 #391	-81.9	-81.9	-81.9	0 yrs
94	Gavin BartholomewMIN	TE	23.3	-82.7 #392	-82.7	-82.7	-82.7	0 yrs
95	Luke FarrellSF	TE	28.9	-83.1 #393	-83.1	-83.1	-83.1	0 yrs
96	Nick MuseATL	TE	27.8	-83.9 #397	-83.9	-83.9	-83.9	0 yrs
97	Brevyn Spann-FordDAL	TE	26.7	-84.3 #398	-84.3	-84.3	-84.3	0 yrs
98	Thomas Fidone IINYG	TE	23.9	-84.3 #399	-84.3	-84.3	-84.3	0 yrs
99	Jared WileyKC	TE	25.8	-84.4 #401	-84.4	-84.4	-84.4	0 yrs
100	Kylen GransonTEN	TE	28.4	-84.8 #403	-84.8	-84.8	-84.8	0 yrs
101	Quintin MorrisJAX	TE	27.6	-85.2 #404	-85.2	-85.2	-85.2	0 yrs
102	Andrew OgletreeIND	TE	28.1	-85.5 #405	-85.5	-85.5	-85.5	0 yrs
103	Ian ThomasLV	TE	30.2	-86.3 #407	-86.3	-86.3	-86.3	0 yrs
104	Durham SmytheBAL	TE	31.1	-86.5 #409	-86.5	-86.5	-86.5	0 yrs
105	Charlie WoernerATL	TE	28.9	-86.5 #410	-86.5	-86.5	-86.5	0 yrs
106	Eric SaubertSEA	TE	32.3	-86.6 #411	-86.6	-86.6	-86.6	0 yrs
107	Keleki LatuBUF	TE	24.1	-86.8 #413	-86.8	-86.8	-86.8	0 yrs
108	Jelani WoodsNYJ	TE	27.9	-87.5 #418	-87.5	-87.5	-87.5	0 yrs
109	Payne DurhamTB	TE	26.2	-87.8 #422	-87.8	-87.8	-87.8	0 yrs
110	Blake WhiteheartCLE	TE	26.4	-88.2 #428	-88.2	-88.2	-88.2	0 yrs
111	Nick KallerupSEA	TE	25.4	-88.3 #430	-88.3	-88.3	-88.3	0 yrs
112	Jackson MeeksDET	TE	23.4	-88.3 #431	-88.3	-88.3	-88.3	0 yrs
113	Jaren KanakTENrookie	TE	22.6	-88.3 #432	-88.3	-88.3	-88.3	0 yrs
114	David Martin-RobinsonTEN	TE	26.7	-88.4 #433	-88.4	-88.4	-88.4	0 yrs
115	Chris ManhertzNYG	TE	34.4	-88.8 #437	-88.8	-88.8	-88.8	0 yrs
116	Jake BriningstoolKC	TE	23.7	-88.8 #438	-88.8	-88.8	-88.8	0 yrs
117	Luke MusgraveGB	TE	26.0	-89.0 #440	-89.0	-89.0	-89.0	0 yrs
118	Mark RedmanGB	TE	24.6	-89.3 #444	-89.3	-89.3	-89.3	0 yrs
119	E.J. JenkinsPHI	TE	27.8	-89.5 #445	-89.5	-89.5	-89.5	0 yrs
120	Treyton WelchNO	TE	25.6	-89.5 #446	-89.5	-89.5	-89.5	0 yrs
121	Robert TonyanPIT	TE	32.3	-90.0 #450	-90.0	-90.0	-90.0	0 yrs
122	Joe RoyerCLErookie	TE	24.5	-90.3 #453	-90.3	-90.3	-90.3	0 yrs
123	Colson YankoffWAS	TE	26.5	-90.4 #454	-90.4	-90.4	-90.4	0 yrs
124	Ko KieftTB	TE	28.6	-90.5 #457	-90.5	-90.5	-90.5	0 yrs
125	Cole TurnerMIA	TE	26.5	-91.1 #459	-91.1	-91.1	-91.1	0 yrs
126	Feleipe FranksCAR	TE	28.7	-91.5 #462	-91.5	-91.5	-91.5	0 yrs
127	Julian HillNE	TE	26.1	-91.5 #463	-91.5	-91.5	-91.5	0 yrs
128	Moliki MatavaoNO	TE	23.5	-91.9 #465	-91.9	-91.9	-91.9	0 yrs
129	Grant CalcaterraPHI	TE	27.7	-92.0 #467	-92.0	-92.0	-92.0	0 yrs
130	Carson TowtINDrookie	TE	25.3	-92.1 #468	-92.1	-92.1	-92.1	0 yrs
131	Cameron LatuNE	TE	26.5	-92.1 #469	-92.1	-92.1	-92.1	0 yrs
132	DJ RogersDALrookie	TE	24.8	-92.2 #470	-92.2	-92.2	-92.2	0 yrs
133	Hayden LargeCHIrookie	TE	24.4	-92.2 #471	-92.2	-92.2	-92.2	0 yrs
134	Jameson GeersARIrookie	TE	23.7	-92.2 #472	-92.2	-92.2	-92.2	0 yrs
135	John Michael GyllenborgKCrookie	TE	24.1	-92.3 #473	-92.3	-92.3	-92.3	0 yrs
136	Tip ReimanARI	TE	25.0	-92.7 #476	-92.7	-92.7	-92.7	0 yrs
137	Caleb LohnerDEN	TE	24.9	-92.8 #477	-92.8	-92.8	-92.8	0 yrs
138	Thomas OdukoyaKC	TE	29.3	-92.9 #481	-92.9	-92.9	-92.9	0 yrs
139	Will MalloryIND	TE	27.2	-93.5 #486	-93.5	-93.5	-93.5	0 yrs
140	Ben YurosekMIN	TE	24.5	-94.1 #489	-94.1	-94.1	-94.1	0 yrs
141	Carter RunyonLV	TE	25.1	-94.3 #491	-94.3	-94.3	-94.3	0 yrs
142	Bryson NesbitMIN	TE	23.9	-94.5 #493	-94.5	-94.5	-94.5	0 yrs
143	Princeton FantDAL	TE	27.5	-94.8 #495	-94.8	-94.8	-94.8	0 yrs
144	Nikola KalinicCHI	TE	29.6	-94.8 #496	-94.8	-94.8	-94.8	0 yrs
145	McCallan CastlesGB	TE	26.7	-94.8 #497	-94.8	-94.8	-94.8	0 yrs
146	Thomas YassminGB	TE	26.9	-95.2 #499	-95.2	-95.2	-95.2	0 yrs

Showing 24 of 146 · the top 146 of 146 with a value are in the page

Read itThe 2027 rookie class joins in item 10. 5 deep players without an age get no value. Rookie picks: what each slot has been worth; keepers on this basis: keeper calculator.

VersionsBoard dynasty · half_ppr · 12 · balanced 0.85×5· season fit season-fit-2019-2025· table 2026-w01-roster· aging curves survivor · fitted 2026-09-29T08:35:55Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version