Dynasty Rankings — RB, Standard

By Red Zone Rank engine · value over replacement for 2026–2030, discounted, with each position’s aging curve and the chance a player’s career continues · 12-team · 2026 values are the draft-time board’s

ScoringPPR Half Standard

Dynasty value

value = Σ_{t over 2026–2030} VORP(t) × survival(t) × discount^t

VORP(t) = this season’s projection carried forward on the position’s aging curve, minus this season’s replacement level (held: a position is refilled by younger players); future seasons below replacement count 0. survival(t) = the chance his career is still going in year t. One year and a discount of 1 give back this season’s VORP exactly (a test).

Stated constants

Discount: 0.85 a yearProposed default · Jon to confirm
Horizon: 5 years (2026–2030)Proposed default · Jon to confirm
Curves: by position, fitted on nflverse 2006–2025 (11,984 player-seasons), the survivor curve × survival · fitted Sep 29, 2026QB 25→30 ×0.92 · survival 0.94RB 25→30 ×0.59 · survival 0.75WR 25→30 ×0.70 · survival 0.91TE 25→30 ×0.80 · survival 0.94

Your windowThe window changes the discount and the horizon: contender 2026–2028 at 0.70 a year, balanced 2026–2030 at 0.85 a year, rebuild 2026–2031 at 0.90 a year. The other two windows are columns below, so the effect is visible.Proposed defaults · Jon to confirm

Top 24 · by balanced dynasty value

Tiers: the engine’s rule (a drop more than twice the typical nearby drop and at least 2 points) on the balanced values. 2026 VORP is the 12-team Standard draft board’s, with its rank on that board. Years of value left = seasons in the window with projected VORP above replacement.
#	Player	Pos	Age	2026 VORP	5-yr value · 0.85	Contender	Rebuild	Years of value left
Tier 1317.3–349.4
1	Jahmyr GibbsDET	RB	24.5	114.7 #1	349.4	236.1	397.5	5 yrs
2	Bijan RobinsonATL	RB	24.6	111.2 #2	334.4	227.8	378.8	5 yrs
3	De'Von AchaneMIA	RB	24.9	108.7 #3	317.3	220.2	355.5	5 yrs
Tier 2261.1–261.1
4	Jeremiyah LoveARIrookie	RB	21.3	56.6 #16	261.1	145.0	328.9	5 yrs
Tier 3136.3–222.2
5	Jonathan TaylorIND	RB	27.6	104.9 #4	222.2	181.0	233.9	5 yrs
6	Ashton JeantyLV	RB	22.7	56.8 #15	207.3	128.5	246.0	5 yrs
7	James CookBUF	RB	26.9	89.2 #5	196.3	158.7	207.0	5 yrs
8	Kyren WilliamsLA	RB	26.0	73.4 #8	174.8	137.2	185.4	5 yrs
9	Christian McCaffreySF	RB	30.2	88.2 #6	150.6	135.5	155.6	4 yrs
10	Bucky IrvingTB	RB	24.0	47.1 #20	138.5	96.6	151.1	5 yrs
11	Quinshon JudkinsCLE	RB	22.8	38.1 #26	136.3	86.2	158.1	5 yrs
Tier 492.3–110.6
12	Breece HallNYJ	RB	25.3	46.9 #21	110.6	88.6	116.9	5 yrs
13	Chase BrownCIN	RB	26.4	52.3 #17	106.6	91.1	111.4	4 yrs
14	Derrick HenryBAL	RB	32.7	73.4 #7	97.9	93.5	99.3	3 yrs
15	Saquon BarkleyPHI	RB	29.6	61.1 #12	97.6	89.9	100.3	3 yrs
16	Omarion HamptonLAC	RB	23.5	30.4 #30	92.3	64.2	99.7	5 yrs
Tier 570.4–79.8
17	TreVeyon HendersonNE	RB	23.9	29.1 #34	79.8	58.9	85.4	5 yrs
18	Javonte WilliamsDAL	RB	26.4	39.5 #23	73.0	65.7	75.6	3 yrs
19	Cam SkatteboNYG	RB	24.6	29.6 #33	70.4	56.7	74.4	4 yrs
Tier 660.7–62.2
20	D'Andre SwiftCHI	RB	27.6	39.6 #22	62.2	57.6	63.7	3 yrs
21	Jadarian PriceSEArookie	RB	22.9	18.0 #50	61.1	41.1	66.4	5 yrs
22	Travis EtienneNO	RB	27.6	38.9 #24	60.7	56.3	62.2	3 yrs
Tier 728.8–36.0
23	Kenneth Walker IIIKC	RB	25.9	21.5 #43	36.0	33.0	37.0	3 yrs
24	Jaylen WarrenPIT	RB	27.8	24.4 #38	31.7	30.4	32.1	2 yrs
25	J.K. DobbinsDEN	RB	27.7	22.5 #42	28.8	27.7	29.1	2 yrs
Tier 85.6–21.9
26	Rico DowdlePIT	RB	28.2	19.1 #48	21.9	21.4	22.0	2 yrs
27	RJ HarveyDEN	RB	25.6	12.6 #59	18.4	17.3	18.7	2 yrs
28	Tony PollardTEN	RB	29.3	13.1 #57	13.1	13.1	13.1	1 yr
29	Kyle MonangaiCHI	RB	24.2	5.0 #72	7.3	6.9	7.5	2 yrs
30	Rhamondre StevensonNE	RB	28.5	6.0 #68	6.0	6.0	6.0	1 yr
31	Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYG	RB	26.8	5.9 #69	5.9	5.9	5.9	1 yr
32	David MontgomeryHOU	RB	29.2	5.6 #71	5.6	5.6	5.6	1 yr
Tier 9-2.7–0.0
33	Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS	RB	25.4	0.0 #90	0.0	0.0	0.0	0 yrs
34	Aaron JonesMIN	RB	31.7	-0.9 #94	-0.9	-0.9	-0.9	0 yrs
35	Woody MarksHOU	RB	25.7	-2.7 #96	-2.7	-2.7	-2.7	0 yrs
Tier 10-9.2–-5.7
36	Kenny GainwellTB	RB	27.5	-5.7 #106	-5.7	-5.7	-5.7	0 yrs
37	Josh JacobsGB	RB	28.6	-6.6 #108	-6.6	-6.6	-6.6	0 yrs
38	Chuba HubbardCAR	RB	27.2	-6.8 #109	-6.8	-6.8	-6.8	0 yrs
39	Alvin KamaraNO	RB	31.1	-9.2 #115	-9.2	-9.2	-9.2	0 yrs
Tier 11-14.5–-12.7
40	Rachaad WhiteWAS	RB	27.6	-12.7 #124	-12.7	-12.7	-12.7	0 yrs
41	Kimani VidalLAC	RB	25.0	-12.9 #126	-12.9	-12.9	-12.9	0 yrs
42	Jordan MasonMIN	RB	27.3	-14.5 #130	-14.5	-14.5	-14.5	0 yrs
Tier 12-22.8–-20.9
43	Kaelon BlackSFrookie	RB	24.9	-20.9 #147	-20.9	-20.9	-20.9	0 yrs
44	Jonathon BrooksCAR	RB	23.1	-21.2 #149	-21.2	-21.2	-21.2	0 yrs
45	Blake CorumLA	RB	25.8	-22.6 #154	-22.6	-22.6	-22.6	0 yrs
46	Tyler AllgeierARI	RB	26.4	-22.8 #155	-22.8	-22.8	-22.8	0 yrs
Tier 13-26.9–-26.1
47	Tyjae SpearsTEN	RB	25.2	-26.1 #168	-26.1	-26.1	-26.1	0 yrs
48	Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX	RB	26.9	-26.9 #172	-26.9	-26.9	-26.9	0 yrs
Tier 14-36.3–-34.7
49	Devin SingletaryNYG	RB	29.0	-34.7 #195	-34.7	-34.7	-34.7	0 yrs
50	Bhayshul TutenJAX	RB	24.5	-35.3 #201	-35.3	-35.3	-35.3	0 yrs
51	Emanuel WilsonSEA	RB	27.3	-36.3 #204	-36.3	-36.3	-36.3	0 yrs
Tier 15-41.7–-39.2
52	Najee HarrisNYG	RB	28.5	-39.2 #210	-39.2	-39.2	-39.2	0 yrs
53	Dylan SampsonCLE	RB	22.0	-39.7 #215	-39.7	-39.7	-39.7	0 yrs
54	Sean TuckerTB	RB	24.9	-39.8 #216	-39.8	-39.8	-39.8	0 yrs
55	Bam KnightARI	RB	25.4	-41.2 #224	-41.2	-41.2	-41.2	0 yrs
56	Brian RobinsonATL	RB	27.4	-41.7 #227	-41.7	-41.7	-41.7	0 yrs
Tier 16-51.9–-44.1
57	Jaylen WrightMIA	RB	23.4	-44.1 #237	-44.1	-44.1	-44.1	0 yrs
58	Mike Washington Jr.LVrookie	RB	23.2	-44.9 #239	-44.9	-44.9	-44.9	0 yrs
59	Nicholas SingletonTENrookie	RB	22.7	-45.6 #242	-45.6	-45.6	-45.6	0 yrs
60	Emmett JohnsonKCrookie	RB	22.9	-46.5 #246	-46.5	-46.5	-46.5	0 yrs
61	Samaje PerineCIN	RB	31.0	-46.6 #247	-46.6	-46.6	-46.6	0 yrs
62	MarShawn LloydGB	RB	25.7	-46.7 #248	-46.7	-46.7	-46.7	0 yrs
63	Eli HeidenreichPITrookie	RB	23.1	-46.9 #250	-46.9	-46.9	-46.9	0 yrs
64	Jonah ColemanDENrookie	RB	23.0	-46.9 #251	-46.9	-46.9	-46.9	0 yrs
65	Kaytron AllenWASrookie	RB	23.6	-47.3 #253	-47.3	-47.3	-47.3	0 yrs
66	Max BredesonMINrookie	RB	23.9	-47.4 #254	-47.4	-47.4	-47.4	0 yrs
67	Seth McGowanINDrookie	RB	24.9	-47.5 #255	-47.5	-47.5	-47.5	0 yrs
68	Demond ClaiborneMINrookie	RB	22.9	-47.8 #257	-47.8	-47.8	-47.8	0 yrs
69	Raheim SandersCLE	RB	24.2	-48.6 #263	-48.6	-48.6	-48.6	0 yrs
70	Tank BigsbyPHI	RB	24.0	-49.5 #265	-49.5	-49.5	-49.5	0 yrs
71	Kendre MillerNO	RB	24.2	-49.5 #267	-49.5	-49.5	-49.5	0 yrs
72	Braelon AllenNYJ	RB	22.6	-50.0 #272	-50.0	-50.0	-50.0	0 yrs
73	Emari DemercadoDAL	RB	27.6	-50.1 #273	-50.1	-50.1	-50.1	0 yrs
74	Ty JohnsonBUF	RB	29.0	-50.6 #275	-50.6	-50.6	-50.6	0 yrs
75	Justice HillBAL	RB	28.8	-50.8 #278	-50.8	-50.8	-50.8	0 yrs
76	Keaton MitchellLAC	RB	24.6	-51.9 #289	-51.9	-51.9	-51.9	0 yrs
Tier 17-59.8–-54.6
77	Isaiah DavisNYJ	RB	24.5	-54.6 #313	-54.6	-54.6	-54.6	0 yrs
78	Ollie Gordon IIMIA	RB	22.6	-56.1 #328	-56.1	-56.1	-56.1	0 yrs
79	Israel AbanikandaDAL	RB	23.9	-56.6 #331	-56.6	-56.6	-56.6	0 yrs
80	Brashard SmithKC	RB	23.4	-57.4 #339	-57.4	-57.4	-57.4	0 yrs
81	Ray DavisBUF	RB	26.8	-57.6 #340	-57.6	-57.6	-57.6	0 yrs
82	CJ DonaldsonNOrookie	RB	22.1	-58.3 #345	-58.3	-58.3	-58.3	0 yrs
83	DJ HermanMIArookie	RB	24.5	-59.8 #352	-59.8	-59.8	-59.8	0 yrs
Tier 18-65.1–-62.6
84	Zach CharbonnetSEA	RB	25.6	-62.6 #363	-62.6	-62.6	-62.6	0 yrs
85	DJ GiddensIND	RB	23.0	-62.9 #366	-62.9	-62.9	-62.9	0 yrs
86	Corey KinerNE	RB	24.6	-64.7 #380	-64.7	-64.7	-64.7	0 yrs
87	Jordan JamesSF	RB	22.4	-65.1 #384	-65.1	-65.1	-65.1	0 yrs
Tier 19-68.5–-68.5
88	James ConnerARI	RB	31.3	-68.5 #411	-68.5	-68.5	-68.5	0 yrs
Tier 20-89.4–-71.5
89	Kaleb JohnsonGB	RB	23.0	-71.5 #436	-71.5	-71.5	-71.5	0 yrs
90	Kyle JuszczykSF	RB	35.4	-72.5 #442	-72.5	-72.5	-72.5	0 yrs
91	LeQuint Allen Jr.JAX	RB	22.1	-72.5 #445	-72.5	-72.5	-72.5	0 yrs
92	Ameer AbdullahJAX	RB	33.2	-72.9 #449	-72.9	-72.9	-72.9	0 yrs
93	Audric EstiméNO	RB	23.0	-73.5 #457	-73.5	-73.5	-73.5	0 yrs
94	Chris BrooksGB	RB	26.6	-73.9 #460	-73.9	-73.9	-73.9	0 yrs
95	Isiah PachecoDET	RB	27.5	-74.6 #468	-74.6	-74.6	-74.6	0 yrs
96	Trey BensonARI	RB	24.1	-74.8 #469	-74.8	-74.8	-74.8	0 yrs
97	Hunter LuepkeDAL	RB	26.5	-74.9 #472	-74.9	-74.9	-74.9	0 yrs
98	Frank Gore Jr.BUF	RB	24.5	-75.3 #476	-75.3	-75.3	-75.3	0 yrs
99	Josh WilliamsTB	RB	26.2	-75.6 #478	-75.6	-75.6	-75.6	0 yrs
100	Lan LarisonNE	RB	24.9	-75.7 #479	-75.7	-75.7	-75.7	0 yrs
101	Connor HeywardLV	RB	27.6	-75.8 #481	-75.8	-75.8	-75.8	0 yrs
102	Roschon JohnsonCHI	RB	25.6	-75.8 #482	-75.8	-75.8	-75.8	0 yrs
103	Devin NealNO	RB	23.1	-76.3 #485	-76.3	-76.3	-76.3	0 yrs
104	Ben VanSumerenKC	RB	26.3	-76.8 #486	-76.8	-76.8	-76.8	0 yrs
105	Will ShipleyPHI	RB	24.0	-77.6 #490	-77.6	-77.6	-77.6	0 yrs
106	AJ DillonCAR	RB	28.3	-77.8 #491	-77.8	-77.8	-77.8	0 yrs
107	Tahj BrooksCIN	RB	24.3	-78.8 #494	-78.8	-78.8	-78.8	0 yrs
108	George HolaniSEA	RB	26.7	-79.1 #496	-79.1	-79.1	-79.1	0 yrs
109	Alec IngoldLAC	RB	30.1	-79.2 #497	-79.2	-79.2	-79.2	0 yrs
110	Tyler BadieDEN	RB	27.6	-79.9 #502	-79.9	-79.9	-79.9	0 yrs
111	Andrew BeckNYJ	RB	30.3	-80.1 #503	-80.1	-80.1	-80.1	0 yrs
112	Adam RandallBALrookie	RB	22.1	-80.3 #504	-80.3	-80.3	-80.3	0 yrs
113	British BrooksHOU	RB	26.8	-80.8 #505	-80.8	-80.8	-80.8	0 yrs
114	Rasheen AliBAL	RB	25.5	-81.3 #506	-81.3	-81.3	-81.3	0 yrs
115	Ronnie RiversLA	RB	27.6	-81.5 #508	-81.5	-81.5	-81.5	0 yrs
116	DeeJay DallasMIN	RB	28.0	-82.6 #515	-82.6	-82.6	-82.6	0 yrs
117	Julius ChestnutTEN	RB	25.8	-82.8 #516	-82.8	-82.8	-82.8	0 yrs
118	Adam PrenticeDEN	RB	29.6	-82.9 #518	-82.9	-82.9	-82.9	0 yrs
119	Chip TrayanumNYJrookie	RB	24.7	-83.7 #521	-83.7	-83.7	-83.7	0 yrs
120	Michael BurtonCLE	RB	34.6	-84.0 #522	-84.0	-84.0	-84.0	0 yrs
121	Jeremy McNicholsWAS	RB	30.7	-84.0 #523	-84.0	-84.0	-84.0	0 yrs
122	Patrick RicardNYG	RB	32.3	-84.2 #525	-84.2	-84.2	-84.2	0 yrs
123	Sione VakiDET	RB	25.1	-84.3 #526	-84.3	-84.3	-84.3	0 yrs
124	Myles MontgomeryNErookie	RB	23.4	-84.3 #527	-84.3	-84.3	-84.3	0 yrs
125	Ty ChandlerNO	RB	28.3	-84.8 #530	-84.8	-84.8	-84.8	0 yrs
126	Velus Jones Jr.SEA	RB	29.3	-84.9 #531	-84.9	-84.9	-84.9	0 yrs
127	Kene NwangwuNYJ	RB	28.6	-85.3 #533	-85.3	-85.3	-85.3	0 yrs
128	Dylan LaubeLV	RB	26.7	-85.6 #535	-85.6	-85.6	-85.6	0 yrs
129	Malik DavisDAL	RB	27.8	-85.9 #536	-85.9	-85.9	-85.9	0 yrs
130	Jacob SaylorsDET	RB	26.5	-86.4 #540	-86.4	-86.4	-86.4	0 yrs
131	Reggie GilliamNE	RB	29.0	-86.5 #542	-86.5	-86.5	-86.5	0 yrs
132	Brady RussellSEA	RB	28.0	-86.6 #543	-86.6	-86.6	-86.6	0 yrs
133	Brittain BrownCHI	RB	28.9	-86.9 #544	-86.9	-86.9	-86.9	0 yrs
134	Chris CollierLV	RB	26.4	-87.4 #545	-87.4	-87.4	-87.4	0 yrs
135	Scott MatlockLAC	RB	26.2	-87.5 #546	-87.5	-87.5	-87.5	0 yrs
136	Trevor EtienneCAR	RB	22.1	-88.4 #553	-88.4	-88.4	-88.4	0 yrs
137	Isaac GuerendoSF	RB	26.2	-88.9 #556	-88.9	-88.9	-88.9	0 yrs
138	Robbie OuztsSEA	RB	24.0	-89.3 #559	-89.3	-89.3	-89.3	0 yrs
139	Trey SermonATL	RB	27.6	-89.4 #560	-89.4	-89.4	-89.4	0 yrs

Showing 24 of 139 · the top 139 of 139 with a value are in the page

Read itDerrick Henry (RB, 32.7) is #7 on this season’s board and #14 here; Jadarian Price (RB, 22.9) goes the other way, #50 → #21. The same 2026 VORP buys different futures, and the dynasty column is where they part. The 2027 rookie class joins in item 10. 5 deep players without an age get no value. Rookie picks: what each slot has been worth; keepers on this basis: keeper calculator.

VersionsBoard dynasty · standard · 12 · balanced 0.85×5· season fit season-fit-2019-2025· table 2026-w01-roster· aging curves survivor · fitted 2026-09-29T08:35:55Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version