Dynasty Rankings — Overall, Standard

By Red Zone Rank engine · value over replacement for 2026–2030, discounted, with each position’s aging curve and the chance a player’s career continues · 12-team · 2026 values are the draft-time board’s

ScoringPPR Half Standard

Dynasty value

value = Σ_{t over 2026–2030} VORP(t) × survival(t) × discount^t

VORP(t) = this season’s projection carried forward on the position’s aging curve, minus this season’s replacement level (held: a position is refilled by younger players); future seasons below replacement count 0. survival(t) = the chance his career is still going in year t. One year and a discount of 1 give back this season’s VORP exactly (a test).

Stated constants

Discount: 0.85 a yearProposed default · Jon to confirm
Horizon: 5 years (2026–2030)Proposed default · Jon to confirm
Curves: by position, fitted on nflverse 2006–2025 (11,984 player-seasons), the survivor curve × survival · fitted Sep 29, 2026QB 25→30 ×0.92 · survival 0.94RB 25→30 ×0.59 · survival 0.75WR 25→30 ×0.70 · survival 0.91TE 25→30 ×0.80 · survival 0.94

Your windowThe window changes the discount and the horizon: contender 2026–2028 at 0.70 a year, balanced 2026–2030 at 0.85 a year, rebuild 2026–2031 at 0.90 a year. The other two windows are columns below, so the effect is visible.Proposed defaults · Jon to confirm

Top 24 · by balanced dynasty value

Tiers: the engine’s rule (a drop more than twice the typical nearby drop and at least 2 points) on the balanced values. 2026 VORP is the 12-team Standard draft board’s, with its rank on that board. Years of value left = seasons in the window with projected VORP above replacement.
#	Player	Pos	Age	2026 VORP	5-yr value · 0.85	Contender	Rebuild	Years of value left
Tier 1317.3–349.4
1	Jahmyr GibbsDET	RB	24.5	114.7 #1	349.4	236.1	397.5	5 yrs
2	Bijan RobinsonATL	RB	24.6	111.2 #2	334.4	227.8	378.8	5 yrs
3	De'Von AchaneMIA	RB	24.9	108.7 #3	317.3	220.2	355.5	5 yrs
Tier 2261.1–261.1
4	Jeremiyah LoveARIrookie	RB	21.3	56.6 #16	261.1	145.0	328.9	5 yrs
Tier 3196.3–226.1
5	Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA	WR	24.5	67.3 #10	226.1	146.9	261.5	5 yrs
6	Jonathan TaylorIND	RB	27.6	104.9 #4	222.2	181.0	233.9	5 yrs
7	Puka NacuaLA	WR	25.3	72.1 #9	216.5	149.0	243.1	5 yrs
8	Ashton JeantyLV	RB	22.7	56.8 #15	207.3	128.5	246.0	5 yrs
9	James CookBUF	RB	26.9	89.2 #5	196.3	158.7	207.0	5 yrs
Tier 4146.8–174.8
10	Kyren WilliamsLA	RB	26.0	73.4 #8	174.8	137.2	185.4	5 yrs
11	Josh AllenBUF	QB	30.3	59.1 #14	165.6	116.3	186.6	5 yrs
12	Ja'Marr ChaseCIN	WR	26.5	65.7 #11	163.4	124.3	174.1	5 yrs
13	Drake MayeNE	QB	24.0	49.8 #18	157.4	101.8	188.3	5 yrs
14	Christian McCaffreySF	RB	30.2	88.2 #6	150.6	135.5	155.6	4 yrs
15	Harold Fannin Jr.CLE	TE	22.1	22.6 #41	148.0	71.5	195.0	5 yrs
16	Brock BowersLV	TE	23.7	35.1 #28	146.8	86.5	179.8	5 yrs
Tier 5136.3–139.5
17	Trey McBrideARI	TE	26.8	49.0 #19	139.5	97.4	156.9	5 yrs
18	Bucky IrvingTB	RB	24.0	47.1 #20	138.5	96.6	151.1	5 yrs
19	Amon-Ra St. BrownDET	WR	26.9	60.1 #13	137.4	109.8	145.2	5 yrs
20	Quinshon JudkinsCLE	RB	22.8	38.1 #26	136.3	86.2	158.1	5 yrs
Tier 6106.6–110.6
21	Breece HallNYJ	RB	25.3	46.9 #21	110.6	88.6	116.9	5 yrs
22	Chase BrownCIN	RB	26.4	52.3 #17	106.6	91.1	111.4	4 yrs
Tier 790.6–97.9
23	Derrick HenryBAL	RB	32.7	73.4 #7	97.9	93.5	99.3	3 yrs
24	Saquon BarkleyPHI	RB	29.6	61.1 #12	97.6	89.9	100.3	3 yrs
25	Omarion HamptonLAC	RB	23.5	30.4 #30	92.3	64.2	99.7	5 yrs
26	George PickensDAL	WR	25.5	36.0 #27	90.6	70.6	96.2	5 yrs
Tier 885.7–85.7
27	Drake LondonATL	WR	25.1	31.7 #29	85.7	64.8	91.5	5 yrs
Tier 966.3–79.8
28	TreVeyon HendersonNE	RB	23.9	29.1 #34	79.8	58.9	85.4	5 yrs
29	Colston LovelandCHI	TE	22.4	8.3 #64	77.7	35.1	102.6	5 yrs
30	George KittleSF	TE	32.9	38.8 #25	76.4	64.3	80.0	4 yrs
31	Carnell TateTENrookie	WR	21.6	3.2 #78	74.0	28.2	102.7	5 yrs
32	Javonte WilliamsDAL	RB	26.4	39.5 #23	73.0	65.7	75.6	3 yrs
33	Cam SkatteboNYG	RB	24.6	29.6 #33	70.4	56.7	74.4	4 yrs
34	Jalen HurtsPHI	QB	28.1	26.0 #35	68.8	50.1	73.8	5 yrs
35	Brock PurdySF	QB	26.7	24.7 #37	66.6	47.2	73.6	5 yrs
36	Malik NabersNYG	WR	23.1	12.4 #60	66.3	36.9	78.0	5 yrs
Tier 1058.3–63.2
37	Tetairoa McMillanCAR	WR	23.4	13.6 #56	63.2	37.5	71.8	5 yrs
38	D'Andre SwiftCHI	RB	27.6	39.6 #22	62.2	57.6	63.7	3 yrs
39	Jadarian PriceSEArookie	RB	22.9	18.0 #50	61.1	41.1	66.4	5 yrs
40	Travis EtienneNO	RB	27.6	38.9 #24	60.7	56.3	62.2	3 yrs
41	Bo NixDEN	QB	26.5	22.6 #40	59.5	42.8	65.1	5 yrs
42	Tyler WarrenIND	TE	24.3	15.7 #53	58.3	37.6	66.5	5 yrs
Tier 1150.0–52.5
43	Caleb WilliamsCHI	QB	24.8	20.5 #45	52.5	38.5	57.6	5 yrs
44	CeeDee LambDAL	WR	27.4	30.1 #31	50.8	46.5	52.2	3 yrs
45	Nico CollinsHOU	WR	27.5	30.1 #32	50.0	45.9	51.4	3 yrs
Tier 1243.4–46.3
46	Tucker KraftGB	TE	25.8	18.8 #49	46.3	35.7	49.2	5 yrs
47	Chris OlaveNO	WR	26.2	23.4 #39	43.8	39.3	45.3	3 yrs
48	Sam LaPortaDET	TE	25.6	17.3 #51	43.4	33.4	46.1	5 yrs
Tier 1335.6–37.2
49	Zay FlowersBAL	WR	26.0	20.0 #46	37.2	33.5	38.5	3 yrs
50	Kenneth Walker IIIKC	RB	25.9	21.5 #43	36.0	33.0	37.0	3 yrs
51	Kyle PittsATL	TE	25.9	15.7 #52	35.6	28.9	37.5	4 yrs
Tier 1428.8–31.7
52	Jaylen WarrenPIT	RB	27.8	24.4 #38	31.7	30.4	32.1	2 yrs
53	Trevor LawrenceJAX	QB	26.9	14.6 #54	31.3	25.8	32.9	4 yrs
54	Justin JeffersonMIN	WR	27.2	21.1 #44	30.8	29.1	31.4	3 yrs
55	Matthew StaffordLA	QB	38.6	24.7 #36	28.9	28.1	29.1	2 yrs
56	J.K. DobbinsDEN	RB	27.7	22.5 #42	28.8	27.7	29.1	2 yrs
Tier 1521.9–23.9
57	A.J. BrownNE	WR	29.2	19.5 #47	23.9	23.1	24.1	2 yrs
58	Rico DowdlePIT	RB	28.2	19.1 #48	21.9	21.4	22.0	2 yrs
Tier 1616.5–18.4
59	RJ HarveyDEN	RB	25.6	12.6 #59	18.4	17.3	18.7	2 yrs
60	Jameson WilliamsDET	WR	25.4	10.1 #63	18.3	16.7	18.9	3 yrs
61	Emeka EgbukaTB	WR	23.9	3.9 #76	17.8	12.9	19.2	4 yrs
62	Tee HigginsCIN	WR	27.6	14.2 #55	17.6	17.0	17.8	2 yrs
63	Rashee RiceKC	WR	26.4	12.2 #61	17.3	16.4	17.6	2 yrs
64	Patrick MahomesKC	QB	31.0	11.9 #62	16.5	15.7	16.8	2 yrs
Tier 1712.7–13.1
65	Tony PollardTEN	RB	29.3	13.1 #57	13.1	13.1	13.1	1 yr
66	Davante AdamsLA	WR	33.7	12.7 #58	12.7	12.7	12.7	1 yr
Tier 189.6–10.6
67	Ladd McConkeyLAC	WR	24.8	4.9 #73	10.6	9.4	11.0	3 yrs
68	Jayden DanielsWAS	QB	25.7	7.2 #66	10.4	9.8	10.6	3 yrs
69	Brian Thomas Jr.JAX	WR	23.9	1.5 #85	10.2	7.6	11.0	4 yrs
70	Kenyon SadiqNYJrookie	TE	21.5	-12.4 #122	9.6	-8.9	22.3	3 yrs
Tier 19-26.9–7.3
71	Kyle MonangaiCHI	RB	24.2	5.0 #72	7.3	6.9	7.5	2 yrs
72	Travis KelceKC	TE	36.9	6.7 #67	6.7	6.7	6.7	1 yr
73	Rhamondre StevensonNE	RB	28.5	6.0 #68	6.0	6.0	6.0	1 yr
74	Oronde Gadsden IILAC	TE	23.2	-4.4 #101	5.9	0.1	7.4	4 yrs
75	Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYG	RB	26.8	5.9 #69	5.9	5.9	5.9	1 yr
76	Dallas GoedertPHI	TE	31.7	5.9 #70	5.9	5.9	5.9	1 yr
77	David MontgomeryHOU	RB	29.2	5.6 #71	5.6	5.6	5.6	1 yr
78	Justin HerbertLAC	QB	28.5	4.6 #75	5.5	5.3	5.5	2 yrs
79	DK MetcalfPIT	WR	28.7	4.6 #74	4.6	4.6	4.6	1 yr
80	Garrett WilsonNYJ	WR	26.1	3.8 #77	3.8	3.8	3.8	1 yr
81	Courtland SuttonDEN	WR	30.9	2.4 #79	2.4	2.4	2.4	1 yr
82	DeVonta SmithPHI	WR	27.8	2.2 #82	2.2	2.2	2.2	1 yr
83	Jared GoffDET	QB	31.9	2.1 #83	2.1	2.1	2.1	1 yr
84	Alec PierceIND	WR	26.3	1.6 #84	1.6	1.6	1.6	1 yr
85	Mark AndrewsBAL	TE	31.0	1.3 #86	1.3	1.3	1.3	1 yr
86	Jaylen WaddleDEN	WR	27.8	0.5 #87	0.5	0.5	0.5	1 yr
87	Hunter HenryNE	TE	31.7	0.0 #88	0.0	0.0	0.0	0 yrs
88	Quentin JohnstonLAC	WR	25.0	0.0 #89	0.0	0.0	0.0	0 yrs
89	Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS	RB	25.4	0.0 #90	0.0	0.0	0.0	0 yrs
90	Jaxson DartNYG	QB	23.3	0.0 #91	0.0	0.0	0.0	0 yrs
91	Juwan JohnsonNO	TE	30.0	-0.5 #92	-0.5	-0.5	-0.5	0 yrs
92	Michael WilsonARI	WR	26.5	-0.9 #93	-0.9	-0.9	-0.9	0 yrs
93	Aaron JonesMIN	RB	31.7	-0.9 #94	-0.9	-0.9	-0.9	0 yrs
94	Dak PrescottDAL	QB	33.1	-1.7 #95	-1.7	-1.7	-1.7	0 yrs
95	Woody MarksHOU	RB	25.7	-2.7 #96	-2.7	-2.7	-2.7	0 yrs
96	Lamar JacksonBAL	QB	29.6	-2.8 #97	-2.8	-2.8	-2.8	0 yrs
97	Rome OdunzeCHI	WR	24.2	-3.0 #98	-3.0	-3.0	-3.0	0 yrs
98	Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN	WR	25.7	-3.8 #99	-3.8	-3.8	-3.8	0 yrs
99	Deebo Samuel Sr.SF	WR	30.6	-4.3 #100	-4.3	-4.3	-4.3	0 yrs
100	Baker MayfieldTB	QB	31.4	-4.9 #102	-4.9	-4.9	-4.9	0 yrs
101	Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI	WR	24.1	-5.6 #104	-5.6	-5.6	-5.6	0 yrs
102	Jake FergusonDAL	TE	27.6	-5.6 #105	-5.6	-5.6	-5.6	0 yrs
103	Kenny GainwellTB	RB	27.5	-5.7 #106	-5.7	-5.7	-5.7	0 yrs
104	AJ BarnerSEA	TE	24.3	-6.3 #107	-6.3	-6.3	-6.3	0 yrs
105	Josh JacobsGB	RB	28.6	-6.6 #108	-6.6	-6.6	-6.6	0 yrs
106	Chuba HubbardCAR	RB	27.2	-6.8 #109	-6.8	-6.8	-6.8	0 yrs
107	Jordan AddisonMIN	WR	24.6	-7.0 #110	-7.0	-7.0	-7.0	0 yrs
108	Christian WatsonGB	WR	27.3	-7.2 #111	-7.2	-7.2	-7.2	0 yrs
109	Dalton SchultzHOU	TE	30.1	-7.8 #112	-7.8	-7.8	-7.8	0 yrs
110	Mike EvansSF	WR	33.0	-8.7 #113	-8.7	-8.7	-8.7	0 yrs
111	Alvin KamaraNO	RB	31.1	-9.2 #115	-9.2	-9.2	-9.2	0 yrs
112	Dalton KincaidBUF	TE	26.9	-9.4 #116	-9.4	-9.4	-9.4	0 yrs
113	Brenton StrangeJAX	TE	25.7	-11.4 #120	-11.4	-11.4	-11.4	0 yrs
114	C.J. StroudHOU	QB	24.9	-12.4 #121	-12.4	-12.4	-12.4	0 yrs
115	Jakobi MeyersJAX	WR	29.8	-12.6 #123	-12.6	-12.6	-12.6	0 yrs
116	Rachaad WhiteWAS	RB	27.6	-12.7 #124	-12.7	-12.7	-12.7	0 yrs
117	Kimani VidalLAC	RB	25.0	-12.9 #126	-12.9	-12.9	-12.9	0 yrs
118	Terry McLaurinWAS	WR	31.0	-14.0 #128	-14.0	-14.0	-14.0	0 yrs
119	Theo JohnsonNYG	TE	25.5	-14.2 #129	-14.2	-14.2	-14.2	0 yrs
120	Jordan MasonMIN	RB	27.3	-14.5 #130	-14.5	-14.5	-14.5	0 yrs
121	Michael PittmanPIT	WR	28.9	-14.9 #131	-14.9	-14.9	-14.9	0 yrs
122	KC ConcepcionCLErookie	WR	21.9	-17.8 #138	-15.8	-17.8	-15.4	2 yrs
123	Parker WashingtonJAX	WR	24.4	-16.1 #132	-16.1	-16.1	-16.1	0 yrs
124	Cade OttonTB	TE	27.4	-16.1 #133	-16.1	-16.1	-16.1	0 yrs
125	DJ MooreBUF	WR	29.4	-17.3 #135	-17.3	-17.3	-17.3	0 yrs
126	Makai LemonPHIrookie	WR	22.2	-17.3 #136	-17.3	-17.3	-17.3	0 yrs
127	Omar Cooper Jr.NYJrookie	WR	22.7	-17.6 #137	-17.6	-17.6	-17.6	0 yrs
128	Pat FreiermuthPIT	TE	27.9	-18.7 #139	-18.7	-18.7	-18.7	0 yrs
129	Khalil ShakirBUF	WR	26.6	-18.9 #141	-18.9	-18.9	-18.9	0 yrs
130	Jayden ReedGB	WR	26.3	-19.9 #143	-19.9	-19.9	-19.9	0 yrs
131	Romeo DoubsNE	WR	26.4	-19.9 #144	-19.9	-19.9	-19.9	0 yrs
132	Jauan JenningsMIN	WR	29.1	-20.1 #145	-20.1	-20.1	-20.1	0 yrs
133	Kaelon BlackSFrookie	RB	24.9	-20.9 #147	-20.9	-20.9	-20.9	0 yrs
134	Tre TuckerLV	WR	25.5	-21.0 #148	-21.0	-21.0	-21.0	0 yrs
135	Jonathon BrooksCAR	RB	23.1	-21.2 #149	-21.2	-21.2	-21.2	0 yrs
136	Colby ParkinsonLA	TE	27.6	-21.9 #153	-21.9	-21.9	-21.9	0 yrs
137	Blake CorumLA	RB	25.8	-22.6 #154	-22.6	-22.6	-22.6	0 yrs
138	Tyler AllgeierARI	RB	26.4	-22.8 #155	-22.8	-22.8	-22.8	0 yrs
139	David NjokuLAC	TE	30.1	-23.4 #157	-23.4	-23.4	-23.4	0 yrs
140	T.J. HockensonMIN	TE	29.2	-24.2 #159	-24.2	-24.2	-24.2	0 yrs
141	Stefon DiggsWAS	WR	32.8	-24.3 #160	-24.3	-24.3	-24.3	0 yrs
142	Keenan AllenIND	WR	34.3	-24.7 #161	-24.7	-24.7	-24.7	0 yrs
143	Darren WallerCAR	TE	34.0	-25.3 #163	-25.3	-25.3	-25.3	0 yrs
144	Luther Burden IIICHI	WR	22.7	-25.5 #164	-25.5	-25.5	-25.5	0 yrs
145	Troy FranklinDEN	WR	23.6	-25.9 #166	-25.9	-25.9	-25.9	0 yrs
146	Jordan LoveGB	QB	27.8	-25.9 #167	-25.9	-25.9	-25.9	0 yrs
147	Tyjae SpearsTEN	RB	25.2	-26.1 #168	-26.1	-26.1	-26.1	0 yrs
148	Mason TaylorNYJ	TE	22.3	-26.4 #169	-26.4	-26.4	-26.4	0 yrs
149	Isaiah LikelyNYG	TE	26.4	-26.6 #170	-26.6	-26.6	-26.6	0 yrs
150	Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX	RB	26.9	-26.9 #172	-26.9	-26.9	-26.9	0 yrs

Showing 24 of 150 · the top 150 of 599 with a value are in the page

Read itMatthew Stafford (QB, 38.6) is #36 on this season’s board and #55 here; Harold Fannin Jr. (TE, 22.1) goes the other way, #41 → #15. The same 2026 VORP buys different futures, and the dynasty column is where they part. The 2027 rookie class joins in item 10. 5 deep players without an age get no value. Rookie picks: what each slot has been worth; keepers on this basis: keeper calculator.

VersionsBoard dynasty · standard · 12 · balanced 0.85×5· season fit season-fit-2019-2025· table 2026-w01-roster· aging curves survivor · fitted 2026-09-29T08:35:55Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version