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Dynasty Rankings — Rookies, PPR

By Red Zone Rank engine · value over replacement for 2026–2030, discounted, with each position’s aging curve and the chance a player’s career continues · 12-team · 2026 values are the draft-time board’s

ScoringPPRHalfStandard
Dynasty value
value = Σt over 2026–2030 VORP(t) × survival(t) × discountt
VORP(t) = this season’s projection carried forward on the position’s aging curve, minus this season’s replacement level (held: a position is refilled by younger players); future seasons below replacement count 0. survival(t) = the chance his career is still going in year t. One year and a discount of 1 give back this season’s VORP exactly (a test).
Stated constants
Discount
0.85 a yearProposed default · Jon to confirm
Horizon
5 years (2026–2030)Proposed default · Jon to confirm
Curves
by position, fitted on nflverse 2006–2025 (11,984 player-seasons), the survivor curve × survival · fitted Sep 29, 2026QB 25→30 ×0.92 · survival 0.94RB 25→30 ×0.59 · survival 0.75WR 25→30 ×0.70 · survival 0.91TE 25→30 ×0.80 · survival 0.94
Your windowThe window changes the discount and the horizon: contender 2026–2028 at 0.70 a year, balanced 2026–2030 at 0.85 a year, rebuild 2026–2031 at 0.90 a year. The other two windows are columns below, so the effect is visible.Proposed defaults · Jon to confirm

Top 24 · by balanced dynasty value, rookies only

Tiers: the engine’s rule (a drop more than twice the typical nearby drop and at least 2 points) on the balanced values. 2026 VORP is the 12-team PPR draft board’s, with its rank on that board. Years of value left = seasons in the window with projected VORP above replacement.
#PlayerPosAge2026 VORP5-yr value · 0.85ContenderRebuildYears of value left
Tier 1279.1–279.1
1Jeremiyah LoveARIrookieRB21.357.7 #20279.1152.9351.95 yrs
Tier 2159.0–159.0
2Carnell TateTENrookieWR21.617.2 #58159.070.2214.65 yrs
Tier 36.8–19.0
3Jadarian PriceSEArookieRB22.95.7 #7819.015.020.24 yrs
4KC ConcepcionCLErookieWR21.9-13.0 #12016.6-5.828.54 yrs
5Kenyon SadiqNYJrookieTE21.5-22.5 #14710.1-17.629.23 yrs
6Makai LemonPHIrookieWR22.2-12.7 #1186.8-8.212.44 yrs
Tier 4-10.7–-10.7
7Omar Cooper Jr.NYJrookieWR22.7-13.9 #122-10.7-13.0-10.22 yrs
Tier 5-43.4–-39.7
8Kaelon BlackSFrookieRB24.9-39.7 #184-39.7-39.7-39.70 yrs
9Fernando MendozaLVrookieQB22.9-40.0 #188-40.0-40.0-40.00 yrs
10De'Zhaun StriblingSFrookieWR23.7-42.4 #192-42.4-42.4-42.40 yrs
11Denzel BostonCLErookieWR22.7-42.6 #193-42.6-42.6-42.60 yrs
12Germie BernardPITrookieWR22.7-43.4 #198-43.4-43.4-43.40 yrs
Tier 6-59.3–-56.7
13Marlin KleinHOUrookieTE24.0-56.7 #238-56.7-56.7-56.70 yrs
14Max KlareLArookieTE23.2-58.6 #242-58.6-58.6-58.60 yrs
15Nate BoerkircherJAXrookieTE25.0-59.3 #244-59.3-59.3-59.30 yrs
Tier 7-75.4–-70.9
16Mike Washington Jr.LVrookieRB23.2-70.9 #286-70.9-70.9-70.90 yrs
17Ted Hurst IIITBrookieWR22.2-70.9 #287-70.9-70.9-70.90 yrs
18Nicholas SingletonTENrookieRB22.7-71.4 #290-71.4-71.4-71.40 yrs
19Eli RaridonNErookieTE22.6-71.6 #292-71.6-71.6-71.60 yrs
20Oscar DelpNOrookieTE23.1-71.8 #293-71.8-71.8-71.80 yrs
21Antonio WilliamsWASrookieWR22.1-71.9 #294-71.9-71.9-71.90 yrs
22Chris BellMIArookieWR22.2-72.3 #295-72.3-72.3-72.30 yrs
23Emmett JohnsonKCrookieRB22.9-72.5 #296-72.5-72.5-72.50 yrs
24Ja'Kobi LaneBALrookieWR22.1-72.7 #297-72.7-72.7-72.70 yrs
Showing 24 of 99 · the top 99 of 99 with a value are in the page

Read itThe 2027 rookie class joins in item 10. 5 deep players without an age get no value. Rookie picks: what each slot has been worth; keepers on this basis: keeper calculator.

VersionsBoard dynasty · ppr · 12 · balanced 0.85×5· season fit season-fit-2019-2025· table 2026-w01-roster· aging curves survivor · fitted 2026-09-29T08:35:55Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version