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Week 2 Defense Rankings & Results — PPR

ScoringPPR
Week23456

CAR D/ST is our DST1 for Week 2 in PPR, ahead of NE D/ST and MIN D/ST. No rank moved since the last publish.

Results table

Week 2 DST · PPR · Proj = engine median · Range = 20th–80th percentile · Opp/Total from closing lines as of 11:20 PM ET · Actual from final stats · Finish = actual rank on this board · Δ = actual − proj · Hit = within 6 ranks or inside the range
RankPlayerTeamOppProjRangeActualFinishΔHitNote
Tier 1
1CAR D/ST
CAR @ ATL · 43.5 · locked
CAR@ ATL6.026.0DST1+20.0HitPlayed: 26.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
Tier 2
2NE D/ST
NE vs PIT · 41.5 · locked
NEvs PIT6.021.0DST2+15.0HitPlayed: 21.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
Tier 3
3MIN D/ST
MIN @ CHI · 46.5 · locked
MIN@ CHI6.017.0DST3+11.0HitPlayed: 17.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
Tier 4
4LV D/ST
LV @ LAC · 43.5 · locked
LV@ LAC5.012.0DST4+7.0HitPlayed: 12.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
5CIN D/ST
CIN @ HOU · 45.5 · locked
CIN@ HOU6.011.0DST5+5.0HitPlayed: 11.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
6LA D/ST
LA vs NYG · 47.5 · locked
LAvs NYG (Mon)6.011.0DST6+5.0HitPlayed: 11.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
Tier 5
7DEN D/ST
DEN vs JAX · 45.5 · locked
DENvs JAX6.08.0DST7+2.0HitPlayed: 8.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
8NO D/ST
NO @ BAL · 45.5 · locked
NO@ BAL4.08.0DST8+4.0HitPlayed: 8.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
9PIT D/ST
PIT @ NE · 41.5 · locked
PIT@ NE7.08.0DST9+1.0HitPlayed: 8.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
10SEA D/ST
SEA @ ARI · 40.5 · locked
SEA@ ARI8.08.0DST100.0HitPlayed: 8.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
11SF D/ST
SF vs MIA · 44.5 · locked
SFvs MIA6.08.0DST11+2.0HitPlayed: 8.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
12CHI D/ST
CHI vs MIN · 46.5 · locked
CHIvs MIN6.07.0DST12+1.0HitPlayed: 7.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
13TEN D/ST
TEN vs PHI · 39.5 · locked
TENvs PHI4.07.0DST13+3.0HitPlayed: 7.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
14CLE D/ST
CLE @ TB · 41.5 · locked
CLE@ TB4.06.0DST14+2.0HitPlayed: 6.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
15HOU D/ST
HOU vs CIN · 45.5 · locked
HOUvs CIN6.06.0DST150.0HitPlayed: 6.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
16NYJ D/ST
NYJ vs GB · 44.5 · locked
NYJvs GB4.06.0DST16+2.0HitPlayed: 6.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
17GB D/ST
GB @ NYJ · 44.5 · locked
GB@ NYJ5.05.0DST170.0HitPlayed: 5.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
18LAC D/ST
LAC vs LV · 43.5 · locked
LACvs LV6.04.0DST18-2.0HitPlayed: 4.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
19NYG D/ST
NYG @ LA · 47.5 · locked
NYG@ LA (Mon)4.04.0DST190.0HitPlayed: 4.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
20BAL D/ST
BAL vs NO · 45.5 · locked
BALvs NO6.03.0DST20-3.0HitPlayed: 3.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
21BUF D/ST
BUF vs DET · 54.5 · locked
BUFvs DET (Thu)5.03.0DST21-2.0HitPlayed: 3.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
22DAL D/ST
DAL vs WAS · 51.5 · locked
DALvs WAS4.03.0DST22-1.0HitPlayed: 3.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
23JAX D/ST
JAX @ DEN · 45.5 · locked
JAX@ DEN6.03.0DST23-3.0HitPlayed: 3.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
24PHI D/ST
PHI @ TEN · 39.5 · locked
PHI@ TEN7.03.0DST24-4.0HitPlayed: 3.0 actual — kept on the board at his score.
Showing 24 of 32 · tiers 5+ below

What the numbers say

4.7mean abs. error · PPR points, top 24
0.50rank correlation · Spearman, top 24
10 / 12ranked top 12 who finished top 12
67%actuals inside the 20–80 range · target 60%
This version was published after the week's first kickoff, so it is scored as a retrospective, not a forecast.
The engine's read on Week 2
Engine byline · no human author

Engine-generated board: four projection sources (recency, season rate, opportunity × efficiency, opponent) blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger, scored through 10,000 fitted-distribution outcomes under this format. No analyst has reviewed it yet.

Common questions about Week 2 DST rankings

Who is the best defense to start in Week 2 PPR?

CAR D/ST, our DST1 with a 6.0-point median; NE D/ST is DST2.

When do these rankings update?

Published Tuesday, refreshed Thursday and Saturday mornings, and again Sunday at 8 AM ET; inactives are polled from 90 minutes before each kickoff.

Why is CAR D/ST still ranked after playing?

Locked players stay on the board at their actual points so ranks and flex comparisons stay complete.

How this board is built
Projectionsens-fit-2026w03-mkt-2026-w2-2026-09-28+mkt-closing-2026-w02
Marketclosing-2026-w02
Simulation10,000 outcomes per player
Accuracyscored after the week flips
Rankings versionv3 · Mon, Sep 28, 11:20 AM ET
Ranks tagseed-2026-w2-20260928T1520
Projection sources are blended by weights fitted on the forecast ledger; ranges come from simulated outcomes with injury status priced in. Every number on this page is the engine's. Data credits
VersionsRankings vc58bd38a· projections ens-fit-2026w03-mkt-2026-w2-2026-09-28+mkt-closing-2026-w02· lines closing-2026-w02· injuries 2026-10-15T20:30:34Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version