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Frozen at Week 1 kickoff — Wed, Sep 9, 2026, 8:20 PM ET. 2026 drafts are done: this board stays as it was at kickoff so it can be scored. For this week use the weekly rankings; for the rest of the year, rest of season. Back-filled Sep 29 with draft-time information only.
Frozen · version kept

2026 Half-PPR Draft Rankings — QuarterbackFrozen · Sep 9

Teams12

Josh Allen is our QB1 for 2026 Half-PPR drafts, ahead of Drake Maye and Jalen Hurts. The biggest value against ADP in the top 36 is Bo Nix (#6, ADP 113.6); the biggest gap the other way is Cam Ward (#31, ADP 163.6).

The replacement line · what VORP is measured against in a 12-team league

season points
QB replacementQB13 · 214.8Jaxson Dart
RB replacementRB29 · 112.9Tyrone Tracy Jr.
WR replacementWR33 · 116.4Alec Pierce
TE replacementTE13 · 97.1Hunter Henry
K replacementK stream · 137.6weekly streaming (8.6 ppg)
DST replacementDST stream · 153.7weekly streaming (9.61 ppg)
Flex seats (12)8 WR · 4 RB · 0 TEbest left after the starters

HowFill all 12 teams’ starting seats by projected season points, give the 12 flex seats to the best RB/WR/TE left, and the next player at each position is replacement. Kickers and defenses are measured against the weekly streaming level instead — the best matchup left on waivers each week (8.6 ppg for a kicker, 9.61 ppg for a defense), because in a league with waivers that is what an unrostered kicker is worth. VORP = season points − that level. Your league differs? The draft room measures it for your rules.

Top 36 · of 36 · ranked by season points

2026 Half-PPR · 12-team · VORP = season points over the replacement above · Season = the engine’s median with its 20–80 range (bar; tick = median) · Games = expected games played · Value = FFC ADP − our overall rank (positive: drafted later than we rank him) · tiers from the engine: a new tier where the drop to the next player is more than twice the typical drop nearby and at least 2 points
RankPlayerPosTeam · byeVORPSeason · 20–80GamesFFC ADPValue
Tier 11 QB
1Josh AllenQB · BUF · bye 7QB1BUF · 759.1270 191–36113.633.2+19
Tier 21 QB
2Drake MayeQB · NE · bye 11QB2NE · 1149.8261 192–34014.050.6+32
Tier 35 QB
3Jalen HurtsQB · PHI · bye 10QB3PHI · 1026.0237 168–31213.681.9+44
4Matthew StaffordQB · LA · bye 11QB4LA · 1124.7238 167–31313.875.5+34
5Brock PurdyQB · SF · bye 8QB5SF · 824.7238 159–31813.289.4+46
6Bo NixQB · DEN · bye 10QB6DEN · 1022.6235 168–30613.9113.6+66
7Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI · bye 10QB7CHI · 1020.5233 169–30013.992.3+42
Tier 42 QB
8Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX · bye 7QB8JAX · 714.6229 155–30313.291.2+34
9Patrick MahomesQB · KC · bye 5QB9KC · 511.9227 153–30513.2102.6+40
Tier 57 QB
10Jayden DanielsQB · WAS · bye 7QB10WAS · 77.2223 145–30113.073.2−4
11Justin HerbertQB · LAC · bye 7QB11LAC · 74.6217 147–29113.3108.2+28
12Jared GoffQB · DET · bye 6QB12DET · 62.1216 147–28513.2100.7+16
13Jaxson DartQB · NYG · bye 8QB13NYG · 80.0215 143–28513.3121.5+30
14Dak PrescottQB · DAL · bye 14QB14DAL · 14-1.7213 137–28612.665.0−30
15Lamar JacksonQB · BAL · bye 13QB15BAL · 13-2.8210 139–28612.955.4−41
16Baker MayfieldQB · TB · bye 10QB16TB · 10-4.9209 139–28313.1134.8+34
Tier 61 QB
17C.J. StroudQB · HOU · bye 8QB17HOU · 8-12.4203 137–26913.3160.9+41
Tier 73 QB
18Jordan LoveQB · GB · bye 11QB18GB · 11-25.9190 120–25912.6152.8−5
19Aaron RodgersQB · PIT · bye 9QB19PIT · 9-29.0184 125–24813.0——
20Joe BurrowQB · CIN · bye 6QB20CIN · 6-30.3186 111–25612.057.5−114
Tier 82 QB
21Kyler MurrayQB · MIN · bye 6QB21MIN · 6-38.5179 95–25511.4136.3−58
22Fernando MendozaQB · LV · bye 13QB22LV · 13-40.0174 110–23912.5——
Tier 91 QB
23Sam DarnoldQB · SEA · bye 11QB23SEA · 11-47.8168 96–23212.1148.8−75
Tier 103 QB
24Bryce YoungQB · CAR · bye 5QB24CAR · 5-51.8161 98–22612.3——
25Justin FieldsQB · KC · bye 5QB25KC · 5-53.2159 81–23411.0——
26Daniel JonesQB · IND · bye 13QB26IND · 13-54.0159 84–22911.2169.2−82
Tier 114 QB
27Jacoby BrissettQB · ARI · bye 14QB27ARI · 14-58.6156 82–22710.9——
28Tyler ShoughQB · NO · bye 8QB28NO · 8-59.8157 82–22311.1139.7−142
29Sam HowellQB · DAL · bye 14QB29DAL · 14-61.6150 54–2389.2——
30Geno SmithQB · NYJ · bye 13QB30NYJ · 13-63.3152 88–21111.6——
Tier 126 QB
31Cam WardQB · TEN · bye 9QB31TEN · 9-72.9143 82–20211.8163.6−190
32J.J. McCarthyQB · MIN · bye 6QB32MIN · 6-79.8132 52–2069.7——
33Tua TagovailoaQB · ATL · bye 11QB33ATL · 11-84.6128 55–19410.1——
34Shedeur SandersQB · CLE · bye 11QB34CLE · 11-90.3121 52–1919.6——
35Case KeenumQB · CHI · bye 10QB35CHI · 10-93.0113 33–2038.0——
36Michael Penix Jr.QB · ATL · bye 11QB36ATL · 11-97.0115 43–1858.9——

How it’s scored so far

Rank order · Spearman—being computed — reload in a minute
Top-24 hits——
No season leakDraft-time onlyProjections read nothing from Week 1 on — the weekly truncation rule, extended to seasons.
Method checkJon’s v3 · exactQB15 298.7 · RB33 131.8 · WR39 127.0 · TE15 118.1; flex 10 WR / 4 RB; 136 VORPs within 0.1.

Scored on the accuracy page at season’s end against actual league-scored points, alongside ADP alone. The method check re-runs the replacement code on Jon’s hand-built 14-team board and reproduces his levels and every VORP.

VersionsBoard draft · half_ppr · 12 · frozen 2026-09-10T00:20:00Z· projections season-fit-2019-2025+26500efa2fedaffc· ADP FFC 2026 half_ppr 14-team ADP (183 players, sampled through 2026-08-28)· rankings draft-2026-draft-backfill-20260929T1306· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version
2026 Half-PPR Draft Rankings — Quarterback · Red Zone Rank