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Dynasty Rankings — Overall, PPR

Dynasty value
value = Σt over 2026–2031 VORP(t) × survival(t) × discountt
VORP(t) = this season’s projection carried forward on the position’s aging curve, minus this season’s replacement level (held: a position is refilled by younger players); future seasons below replacement count 0. survival(t) = the chance his career is still going in year t. One year and a discount of 1 give back this season’s VORP exactly (a test).
Stated constants
Discount
0.90 a yearProposed default · Jon to confirm
Horizon
6 years (2026–2031)Proposed default · Jon to confirm
Curves
by position, fitted on nflverse 2006–2025 (11,984 player-seasons), the survivor curve × survival · fitted Sep 29, 2026QB 25→30 ×0.92 · survival 0.94RB 25→30 ×0.59 · survival 0.75WR 25→30 ×0.70 · survival 0.91TE 25→30 ×0.80 · survival 0.94
Your windowThe window changes the discount and the horizon: contender 2026–2028 at 0.70 a year, balanced 2026–2030 at 0.85 a year, rebuild 2026–2031 at 0.90 a year. The other two windows are columns below, so the effect is visible.Proposed defaults · Jon to confirm

Top 24 · by rebuild dynasty value

Tiers: the engine’s rule (a drop more than twice the typical nearby drop and at least 2 points) on the rebuild values. 2026 VORP is the 12-team PPR draft board’s, with its rank on that board. Years of value left = seasons in the window with projected VORP above replacement.
#PlayerPosAge2026 VORP6-yr value · 0.90ContenderBalancedYears of value left
Tier 1430.2–475.8
1Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEAWR24.5120.0 #6475.8261.7407.16 yrs
2Puka NacuaLAWR25.3129.7 #2455.5269.5399.16 yrs
3Jahmyr GibbsDETRB24.5131.2 #1442.5268.7392.86 yrs
4Bijan RobinsonATLRB24.6129.5 #3430.2264.2383.56 yrs
Tier 2396.6–396.6
5De'Von AchaneMIARB24.9125.3 #5396.6252.2358.06 yrs
Tier 3351.9–368.9
6Ja'Marr ChaseCINWR26.5126.2 #4368.9244.3336.26 yrs
7Jeremiyah LoveARIrookieRB21.357.7 #20351.9152.9279.16 yrs
Tier 4292.4–303.7
8Amon-Ra St. BrownDETWR26.9113.8 #7303.7213.8283.66 yrs
9Harold Fannin Jr.CLETE22.133.5 #34302.1109.1228.76 yrs
10Brock BowersLVTE23.757.2 #21293.7141.3239.86 yrs
11Trey McBrideARITE26.889.6 #10292.4178.9258.66 yrs
Tier 5266.7–266.7
12Ashton JeantyLVRB22.762.1 #15266.7141.4226.96 yrs
Tier 6205.1–214.6
13Carnell TateTENrookieWR21.617.2 #58214.670.2159.06 yrs
14Malik NabersNYGWR23.138.2 #33208.799.0173.06 yrs
15Drake LondonATLWR25.164.9 #13205.1134.4189.36 yrs
Tier 7182.0–188.3
16Drake MayeNEQB24.049.8 #26188.3101.8157.46 yrs
17Jonathan TaylorINDRB27.695.8 #9187.6156.9180.34 yrs
18Josh AllenBUFQB30.359.1 #18186.6116.3165.66 yrs
19Christian McCaffreySFRB30.2107.5 #8182.0162.0176.83 yrs
Tier 8175.3–175.3
20George PickensDALWR25.561.7 #16175.3122.7164.05 yrs
Tier 9152.6–153.9
21James CookBUFRB26.977.3 #11153.9129.4148.04 yrs
22Tetairoa McMillanCARWR23.430.2 #37152.677.7130.76 yrs
Tier 10131.2–138.4
23CeeDee LambDALWR27.466.6 #12138.4114.0132.64 yrs
24Chris OlaveNOWR26.258.0 #19137.9107.2131.04 yrs
Showing 24 of 150 · the top 150 of 599 with a value are in the page

Read itDerrick Henry (RB, 32.7) is #27 on this season’s board and #51 here; Harold Fannin Jr. (TE, 22.1) goes the other way, #34 → #9. The same 2026 VORP buys different futures, and the dynasty column is where they part. The 2027 rookie class joins in item 10. 5 deep players without an age get no value. Rookie picks: what each slot has been worth; keepers on this basis: keeper calculator.

VersionsBoard dynasty · ppr · 12 · rebuild 0.9×6· season fit season-fit-2019-2025· table 2026-w01-roster· aging curves survivor · fitted 2026-09-29T08:35:55Z· engine build aabb2e5· Report a problem with this version